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I’m watching flows closely this week, and a red flag popped up: US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a $75.2 million net outflow on Dec 5, and that marks the second straight day of withdrawals. For anyone tracking institutional adoption of ETH, this short streak is worth paying attention to.

Here’s what I’m seeing and why it matters:

• One fund drove the move. According to data from Farside Investors, BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) accounted for the entire $75.2M outflow on Dec 5. All other US spot ETH ETFs showed zero net change that day. That concentration makes me think this was likely a large, idiosyncratic institutional move (profit-taking or rebalancing) rather than a broad retail flight.

• Short-term flows can be noisy. Two down days pushed the week (Dec 1–5) into negative territory, but one week doesn’t make a trend. New products often see volatile early flows as big holders lock profits or rebalance at month/quarter end.

• Possible reasons for the withdrawals:

– Profit-taking from early investors.

– Portfolio rebalancing by institutions.

– Temporary sentiment or liquidity shifts — ETFs are still building track records and investor familiarity.

• Do these outflows mean ETH ETFs are failing? Not necessarily. This is a data point — a headline-grabbing one — but not a verdict. The true test will be how these ETFs gather assets across different market environments over the coming months and quarters.

• Why flows matter for price (in theory): Spot ETF redemptions could force an issuer to sell ETH into the market, which introduces selling pressure. But market price depends on many factors, so short-term flows don’t automatically predict price moves.

My take: I’m watching subsequent days closely. If outflows persist and broaden beyond a single fund, that’s a more serious signal. If it’s concentrated and short-lived, it may just be an early-product wobble. Either way, flows + on-chain fundamentals are the combo I’m tracking to judge real institutional demand.

Quick FAQ (so you can copy-paste / share):

• Which ETF had the outflow? BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) — $75.2M on Dec 5.

• Is this a long-term problem? Too soon to say — new ETFs often see volatile early flows.

• Where’s the data from? Farside Investors’ ETF flow reports.

• Should I sell because of this? This is info, not advice. Base decisions on your plan, risk tolerance, and broader data.

If you follow ETH institutional adoption like I do, this one-week dip is an alert — not a conclusion. I’ll keep monitoring flows, ETF behavior, and on-chain signals and share updates as the picture clears.

🔁 Feel free to share this on Twitter/LinkedIn to start a discussion — institutional flows are where the story of crypto’s next phase gets written.

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✔ 1. The Father of Smart Contracts

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📈 Ethereum Price Prediction (2025)

(Trend-based estimation, not financial advice.)

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$ETH SAME PATTERN SAME TIMELINE SAME OUTCOME
🚨Ethereum is showing something extremely interesting... and extremely familiar‼️
When we compare the previous corrective cycle to the current one, both have unfolded almost identically, not just in structure, but also in duration, each measuring around 124 days.
Both cycles followed a clean 1-to-9 wave sequence inside a falling channel before ETH broke out aggressively. And right now, ETH is completing the same exact structure, approaching wave 9 once again.
If history rhymes, and it often does in crypto, ETH may be preparing for a major impulsive phase, similar to what happened after the previous 124-day correction.
From the lower bound of the channel, we will be looking for trend-following longs, anticipating a potential bullish reversal that mirrors the last breakout.
Cycles don't repeat perfectly...
But they rhyme more often than people think.
For now, the trend remains bearish, however, ETH would invalidate the entire bearish structure if the upper trendline breaks upward aggressively, signaling that bulls have fully taken over.
Do you believe ETH is about to repeat its previous breakout? Share your view below!
Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck!

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🔮 Scaling Solutions: How Dencun
🔄 The Great Reshuffling: How Dencun Changes the Top $ETH Burners List
Hey everyone! 👋
That's an insightful question! The Dencun upgrade (particularly EIP-4844, or "Proto-Danksharding") has fundamentally changed the underlying economics of Ethereum; so, how will this new scaling solution update likely rearrange the list of top burners in the future?
The short answer is: The Layer 2 Rollups themselves are becoming less direct burners, but their massive user growth could still drive overall burn higher through Layer 1 activity.
📉 The Direct Impact on Layer 2 Burn Contribution
The main innovation of Dencun was introducing "Blobs" (temporary data storage) for Layer 2s instead of forcing them to use expensive "Calldata."
* Cost Reduction: Blobs drastically reduced the cost for L2s (like Arbitrum, Optimism, Base) to post their batch transaction data to the Ethereum mainnet, sometimes by up to 95%.
* Decoupling: Since the cost for L2s to settle is now primarily driven by the Blob Fee Market (which is also burned, but is much cheaper than the main L1 gas market), the L2s are consuming less of the main L1 gas that used to make them top burners.
* The Immediate Effect: Post-Dencun, the total amount of $ETH burned initially plummeted, and Ethereum's supply briefly became inflationary again, as the high-volume L2 traffic was moved to a much cheaper data space.
📈 The Indirect Impact: User Adoption and the Future Burn
The goal of Dencun wasn't to burn less ETH; it was to scale Ethereum. Lower L2 fees create a positive feedback loop that may eventually offset the initial burn decrease:
* Massive User Growth on L2s: With L2 fees dropping to mere cents (in some cases, less than a penny), these networks become incredibly attractive. This fuels explosive growth in L2 user activity.
* Increased L1 Bridge/Settlement Demand: Even with Blobs, an increase in L2 activity still requires more settlement and more frequent interactions with L1 contracts for bridging, staking, and crucial security updates.
* The New Burn Leaders:
* The Primary L1 Burners: Traditional L1-only transactions, like complex DeFi protocols (e.g., liquid staking platforms like Lido) and large Stablecoin transfers executed directly on the mainnet, will likely dominate the top burner list again, as they still pay the high L1 gas Base Fee.
* The L2 Effect: If L2 adoption booms enough, the sheer volume of users flowing into the ecosystem could eventually drive up demand and fees for the remaining L1 execution space (the main chain), pushing the total burn rate back up.
Conclusion: The Top Burners list will shift away from Layer 2 Rollups as they use the cheaper Blob space. The list will be re-dominated by core L1 DeFi applications and Stablecoin movements. However, the overall health and user volume injected by the scaled L2s will be the key factor in determining if the total $ETH burn rate becomes strongly deflationary again. The upcoming Fusaka upgrade, focusing on even more scaling, aims to further accelerate this user
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; #L2Scaling