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Bitcoin is on the verge of a market structure shift.
The MVRV for short-term holders is hovering around 1.0 — a key line between loss and profit. Below it, rallies struggle; above it, momentum picks up.
Historically, a recovery above MVRV > 1.0 and the realized price for short-term holders has marked the start of strong bullish trends.
$BTC is getting very close to that trigger.
$TST $BABY 👀👀👀👀
#news #CryptoVCFundingFalls74%inApril #bitcoin #MVRV #bullish
The MVRV for short-term holders is hovering around 1.0 — a key line between loss and profit. Below it, rallies struggle; above it, momentum picks up.
Historically, a recovery above MVRV > 1.0 and the realized price for short-term holders has marked the start of strong bullish trends.
$BTC is getting very close to that trigger.
$TST $BABY 👀👀👀👀
#news #CryptoVCFundingFalls74%inApril #bitcoin #MVRV #bullish
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📢 Bitcoin Nears Potential Market Shift
“Ongoing recovery of the Realized Price, with the MVRV indicator stabilizing and trending above 1.0, may indicate a structural change in the market system."
This scenario is often considered an important transitional signal from a bearish market to a bullish one, according to the CryptoQuant platform.
Do you really expect this shift to happen and for the market to start rising? 📊
#BTC #MarketSentimentToday #MVRV $BTC
“Ongoing recovery of the Realized Price, with the MVRV indicator stabilizing and trending above 1.0, may indicate a structural change in the market system."
This scenario is often considered an important transitional signal from a bearish market to a bullish one, according to the CryptoQuant platform.
Do you really expect this shift to happen and for the market to start rising? 📊
#BTC #MarketSentimentToday #MVRV $BTC
#Bitcoin on the verge of a regime shift — an important signal from #CryptoQuant
In the BTC market, a structural shift is emerging. CryptoQuant analysts have identified a rare combination of indicators that historically separates ‘bearish’ cycles from ‘bullish’ ones. A sustained recovery of the realized price combined with the stabilization of the MVRV ratio above the 1.0 level signals a fundamental change in market regime.
The return of indicator #MVRV to the 1.0 mark means that the market has ceased trading at a ‘discount’ and the average investor is seeing profits back in their accounts. As long as $BTC remains above the average purchase price on the network, any dip is seen as a correction within a rising trend rather than a continuation of a crash. CryptoQuant emphasizes that it’s not the short-term spikes that matter, but the durability of these metrics, which deny speculators the chance to tank the price at every bounce.
This inflection point will determine the asset's movement for the entire summer of 2026. Despite the bullish signal, analysts urge to keep an eye on spot volumes. For a full transition to a bull market, the structural shift in metrics must be confirmed by real purchases on the exchanges.
#CryptoMarket
In the BTC market, a structural shift is emerging. CryptoQuant analysts have identified a rare combination of indicators that historically separates ‘bearish’ cycles from ‘bullish’ ones. A sustained recovery of the realized price combined with the stabilization of the MVRV ratio above the 1.0 level signals a fundamental change in market regime.
The return of indicator #MVRV to the 1.0 mark means that the market has ceased trading at a ‘discount’ and the average investor is seeing profits back in their accounts. As long as $BTC remains above the average purchase price on the network, any dip is seen as a correction within a rising trend rather than a continuation of a crash. CryptoQuant emphasizes that it’s not the short-term spikes that matter, but the durability of these metrics, which deny speculators the chance to tank the price at every bounce.
This inflection point will determine the asset's movement for the entire summer of 2026. Despite the bullish signal, analysts urge to keep an eye on spot volumes. For a full transition to a bull market, the structural shift in metrics must be confirmed by real purchases on the exchanges.
#CryptoMarket
# The $XRP "Handover": Why the Floor is Rising 📈
The "supply overhang" narrative is shifting. We aren't looking at a "dump"; we’re watching a Strategic Divestment to meet the CLARITY Act’s 20% decentralisation threshold.
## The Technical Reality
The Floor: Calculations suggest a "Maximum Pain" zone at $1.26 (0.85 MVRV). This aligns with estimated institutional OTC buy-in levels — making a return to $0.90 highly unlikely without a total market collapse.
The Handover: Ripple is moving supply from Escrow to the balance sheets of Spot ETFs and global banks. They are trading "Control" for "Legitimacy."
Supply Shock: Once Ripple hits that 20% mark, the "direct tap" for institutions dries up. To buy big, institutions will have to hit the open market.
The Bottom Line:
We are transitioning from a Distributive Phase (Ripple selling) to a Scarcity Phase (Institutional hoarding). When the primary source of discounted supply disappears, price discovery begins.
Status: The ceiling is becoming the floor. 💎🚀$XRP #XRPL #ClarityACT #MVRV
This is not financial advice. #DYOR
Trading involves risk.
The "supply overhang" narrative is shifting. We aren't looking at a "dump"; we’re watching a Strategic Divestment to meet the CLARITY Act’s 20% decentralisation threshold.
## The Technical Reality
The Floor: Calculations suggest a "Maximum Pain" zone at $1.26 (0.85 MVRV). This aligns with estimated institutional OTC buy-in levels — making a return to $0.90 highly unlikely without a total market collapse.
The Handover: Ripple is moving supply from Escrow to the balance sheets of Spot ETFs and global banks. They are trading "Control" for "Legitimacy."
Supply Shock: Once Ripple hits that 20% mark, the "direct tap" for institutions dries up. To buy big, institutions will have to hit the open market.
The Bottom Line:
We are transitioning from a Distributive Phase (Ripple selling) to a Scarcity Phase (Institutional hoarding). When the primary source of discounted supply disappears, price discovery begins.
Status: The ceiling is becoming the floor. 💎🚀$XRP #XRPL #ClarityACT #MVRV
This is not financial advice. #DYOR
Trading involves risk.
Bitcoin($BTC ) hit bottom, according to the indicator
#MVRV 👀
The MVRV (Market-Value-to-Realized-Value) indicator is a key thermometer that compares the current market value of bitcoin ($BTC ) with the price at which its coins were acquired on average. 📈
This reveals whether the market is overheated (overvalued) or oversold (undervalued).
🗞 More details
#MVRV 👀
The MVRV (Market-Value-to-Realized-Value) indicator is a key thermometer that compares the current market value of bitcoin ($BTC ) with the price at which its coins were acquired on average. 📈
This reveals whether the market is overheated (overvalued) or oversold (undervalued).
🗞 More details
CryptoQuant warns: a "second hump of the camel" is forming on the BTC chart 🐪
🔍 The MVRV ratio indicates a possible beginning of a downtrend as early as the end of August — until September 10.
Analysts compare the current situation to market movements in 2021 — back then, the second peak ended with a strong correction.
📉 If the signal is confirmed — this could mark the beginning of a medium-term decline phase in the market.
❓ What do you think, will the 2021 scenario repeat? Or is the market already operating under new rules? Write in the comments 👇
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #CryptoQuant #MVRV
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
🔍 The MVRV ratio indicates a possible beginning of a downtrend as early as the end of August — until September 10.
Analysts compare the current situation to market movements in 2021 — back then, the second peak ended with a strong correction.
📉 If the signal is confirmed — this could mark the beginning of a medium-term decline phase in the market.
❓ What do you think, will the 2021 scenario repeat? Or is the market already operating under new rules? Write in the comments 👇
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #CryptoQuant #MVRV
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#Bitcoin Shows Signs of Stabilization: Can $BTC Rebound Toward $120K?
Since mid-2025, institutional confidence in Bitcoin (#BTC ) has steadily increased, as the asset’s annualized volatility fell to near 30%, the lowest ever recorded in its history. This decline in volatility has drawn attention from long-term investors, signaling that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a purely speculative asset toward a more mature macro hedge in institutional portfolios.
Financial giant #JPMorgan recently emphasized that Bitcoin remains undervalued relative to gold, highlighting its evolving role in diversified investment strategies rather than simply being a speculative vehicle. This view aligns with a broader trend of growing institutional adoption, particularly among hedge funds, family offices, and corporate treasuries.
On-Chain Metrics #Signal Structural Strength
Several on-chain indicators reinforce the argument that Bitcoin’s current price may underestimate its intrinsic value.
#MVRV Ratio at 2.1: This metric, which compares market capitalization to realized value, remains well below overheated levels near 4, suggesting BTC is not in a speculative bubble.
Shrinking Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin held on exchanges continues to decline, reflecting a trend of long-term accumulation rather than short-term trading.
ETF Inflows: Despite volatility, exchange-traded fund inflows have remained steady, indicating sustained institutional demand.
Together, these indicators suggest a structurally bullish foundation, with both long-term holders and institutional investors supporting Bitcoin at current levels.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch...
read more 24crypto .news
Since mid-2025, institutional confidence in Bitcoin (#BTC ) has steadily increased, as the asset’s annualized volatility fell to near 30%, the lowest ever recorded in its history. This decline in volatility has drawn attention from long-term investors, signaling that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a purely speculative asset toward a more mature macro hedge in institutional portfolios.
Financial giant #JPMorgan recently emphasized that Bitcoin remains undervalued relative to gold, highlighting its evolving role in diversified investment strategies rather than simply being a speculative vehicle. This view aligns with a broader trend of growing institutional adoption, particularly among hedge funds, family offices, and corporate treasuries.
On-Chain Metrics #Signal Structural Strength
Several on-chain indicators reinforce the argument that Bitcoin’s current price may underestimate its intrinsic value.
#MVRV Ratio at 2.1: This metric, which compares market capitalization to realized value, remains well below overheated levels near 4, suggesting BTC is not in a speculative bubble.
Shrinking Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin held on exchanges continues to decline, reflecting a trend of long-term accumulation rather than short-term trading.
ETF Inflows: Despite volatility, exchange-traded fund inflows have remained steady, indicating sustained institutional demand.
Together, these indicators suggest a structurally bullish foundation, with both long-term holders and institutional investors supporting Bitcoin at current levels.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch...
read more 24crypto .news
Bitcoin Oversold — Is Accumulation Underway?
Oversold metrics are signaling a potential buying opportunity. With the MVRV ratio at -11.5%, Bitcoin sits in a classic accumulation zone where long-term holders quietly accumulate supply.
The recent bounce, however, is not yet a confirmed trend—it reflects a short-term reaction driven by support levels holding firm and clear oversold conditions. While these signals highlight opportunity, a true reversal in momentum will require Bitcoin to reclaim and sustain $95,000.
Investors monitoring this phase can interpret it as a measured accumulation window. The market is quietly preparing, and those with patience may position themselves advantageously for the next significant move in BTC.
#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoAccumulation #MVRV #MarketInsight
Oversold metrics are signaling a potential buying opportunity. With the MVRV ratio at -11.5%, Bitcoin sits in a classic accumulation zone where long-term holders quietly accumulate supply.
The recent bounce, however, is not yet a confirmed trend—it reflects a short-term reaction driven by support levels holding firm and clear oversold conditions. While these signals highlight opportunity, a true reversal in momentum will require Bitcoin to reclaim and sustain $95,000.
Investors monitoring this phase can interpret it as a measured accumulation window. The market is quietly preparing, and those with patience may position themselves advantageously for the next significant move in BTC.
#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoAccumulation #MVRV #MarketInsight
Ethereum ($ETH ) is showing strong bullish signals! 🚀
The recent 15%+ rebound from lows, coupled with a bull flag pattern and positive on-chain data, suggests we could see significant upside momentum.
A key indicator, the MVRV deviation bands, shows ETH stabilizing near historical support, which has often been a launching pad for rallies toward $5,000!
The critical hurdle to watch? Holding above the 200-day EMA near $3,550 to confirm the bullish setup.
Can ETH reclaim $4,500 this October? Things are looking promising! 👀
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #BullFlag #MVRV
The recent 15%+ rebound from lows, coupled with a bull flag pattern and positive on-chain data, suggests we could see significant upside momentum.
A key indicator, the MVRV deviation bands, shows ETH stabilizing near historical support, which has often been a launching pad for rallies toward $5,000!
The critical hurdle to watch? Holding above the 200-day EMA near $3,550 to confirm the bullish setup.
Can ETH reclaim $4,500 this October? Things are looking promising! 👀
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #BullFlag #MVRV
🚨 $BTC Alert: Rare Zone Detected!
$BTC is trading near **-1 SD of short-term holders’ average cost** — historically a **risk redistribution zone**, not a crash point.
📉 Past examples:
- 2020: ~$3k
- 2021: ~$29k
- 2022: $15k–$20k
- 2024: ~$49k
- 2025: $74k–$85k
💡 **Insight:** Selling pressure from weak hands is fading. Prolonged dips below this level are rare. Expect **local bottoms or consolidation before next impulse**.
🔹 Not a buy signal, but a **critical market condition marker**.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Binance #BTCAnalysis #MVRV
$BTC is trading near **-1 SD of short-term holders’ average cost** — historically a **risk redistribution zone**, not a crash point.
📉 Past examples:
- 2020: ~$3k
- 2021: ~$29k
- 2022: $15k–$20k
- 2024: ~$49k
- 2025: $74k–$85k
💡 **Insight:** Selling pressure from weak hands is fading. Prolonged dips below this level are rare. Expect **local bottoms or consolidation before next impulse**.
🔹 Not a buy signal, but a **critical market condition marker**.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Binance #BTCAnalysis #MVRV
📉 Is the market deceptive... or are opportunities hiding in the shadows?
On January 26, Santiment, a company specializing in analyzing cryptocurrency markets, highlighted an important point that many may overlook:
Cryptocurrencies that show a negative MVRV indicator may present smart entry opportunities.
🔍 What does that simply mean?
When the MVRV indicator is negative, it means that most traders are currently at a loss.
And here — as BlockBeats analyzes — the level of buying risk may decrease, especially as the negativity of the indicator increases.
📊 Currently prominent cryptocurrencies with a negative MVRV indicator:
🔗 Chainlink: -9.5%
🟦 Cardano: -7.9%
💎 Ethereum: -7.6%
⚡ XRP: -5.7%
🟠 Bitcoin: -3.7%
💡 Why do investors care about this indicator?
MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value
It is a measure used to determine:
Is the average investor winning or losing?
Is the market valuation high or low?
When the indicator is negative...
📉 Pain dominates the market
👀 But sharp eyes start to watch
⚠️ Important Note:
This is analytical data and not investment advice. The decision is always your responsibility, and knowledge is the first line of defense.
💬 What do you think?
Do you see these numbers representing real opportunities or just calm before the storm?
Share your opinion, share the post, and don't forget to like 👍
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #Bitcoin #altcoins #Santiment
On January 26, Santiment, a company specializing in analyzing cryptocurrency markets, highlighted an important point that many may overlook:
Cryptocurrencies that show a negative MVRV indicator may present smart entry opportunities.
🔍 What does that simply mean?
When the MVRV indicator is negative, it means that most traders are currently at a loss.
And here — as BlockBeats analyzes — the level of buying risk may decrease, especially as the negativity of the indicator increases.
📊 Currently prominent cryptocurrencies with a negative MVRV indicator:
🔗 Chainlink: -9.5%
🟦 Cardano: -7.9%
💎 Ethereum: -7.6%
⚡ XRP: -5.7%
🟠 Bitcoin: -3.7%
💡 Why do investors care about this indicator?
MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value
It is a measure used to determine:
Is the average investor winning or losing?
Is the market valuation high or low?
When the indicator is negative...
📉 Pain dominates the market
👀 But sharp eyes start to watch
⚠️ Important Note:
This is analytical data and not investment advice. The decision is always your responsibility, and knowledge is the first line of defense.
💬 What do you think?
Do you see these numbers representing real opportunities or just calm before the storm?
Share your opinion, share the post, and don't forget to like 👍
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #Bitcoin #altcoins #Santiment
$BTC MVRV HITS 1.0 DANGER ZONE!
Entry: 0 🟩
Target 1: 0 🎯
Stop Loss: 0 🛑
WHALES ARE ACCUMULATING NOW. This is the bottom formation signal. Bitcoin is screaming undervalued. Average holders are suffering. This is your generational wealth moment. Do not miss this drain.
#BTC #CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #MVRV 🐂
Entry: 0 🟩
Target 1: 0 🎯
Stop Loss: 0 🛑
WHALES ARE ACCUMULATING NOW. This is the bottom formation signal. Bitcoin is screaming undervalued. Average holders are suffering. This is your generational wealth moment. Do not miss this drain.
#BTC #CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #MVRV 🐂
🚨$BTC APPROACHING GENERATIONAL BUY ZONE!🚨
$BTC MVRV ratio is at 1.1, signaling we are kissing the major undervaluation zone. History shows this is where the biggest pumps originate. Average holders are bleeding, smart money is loading. DO NOT FADE THIS DIP. This is prime accumulation time before liftoff.
#Bitcoin #MVRV #Accumulation #Crypto #Altseason 🐂
$BTC MVRV ratio is at 1.1, signaling we are kissing the major undervaluation zone. History shows this is where the biggest pumps originate. Average holders are bleeding, smart money is loading. DO NOT FADE THIS DIP. This is prime accumulation time before liftoff.
#Bitcoin #MVRV #Accumulation #Crypto #Altseason 🐂
$BTC MVRV and SOPR both sit above 1.0.
That means short-term holders are in profit and selling into strength, not panic.
The STH cost basis is 74,000. Price is above it. This is the same level
highlighted in prior analysis.
As long as 74,000 holds, the on-chain structure favors continuation.
The order book shows 76 percent bid dominance. The largest bid at
77,532 carries 3.36 BTC. Cumulative bids exceed 20 BTC down to
77,530. Asks are thin. Buyers are absorbing supply passively.
Support is 76,900 and 74,000. Resistance is 78,581 and 80,000. The
setup is long with a stop below 76,900. First target 78,581. Second target 80,000.
On-chain data, order flow, and structure all point the same direction. The trend is intact until 74,000 breaks.
#BTC #MVRV #SOPR $KAT $DEGO
That means short-term holders are in profit and selling into strength, not panic.
The STH cost basis is 74,000. Price is above it. This is the same level
highlighted in prior analysis.
As long as 74,000 holds, the on-chain structure favors continuation.
The order book shows 76 percent bid dominance. The largest bid at
77,532 carries 3.36 BTC. Cumulative bids exceed 20 BTC down to
77,530. Asks are thin. Buyers are absorbing supply passively.
Support is 76,900 and 74,000. Resistance is 78,581 and 80,000. The
setup is long with a stop below 76,900. First target 78,581. Second target 80,000.
On-chain data, order flow, and structure all point the same direction. The trend is intact until 74,000 breaks.
#BTC #MVRV #SOPR $KAT $DEGO
Is Bitcoin Entering a Bear Market? CryptoQuant Issues a Warning!
Recently, analysts at CryptoQuant have discovered some concerning signals through on-chain data, indicating that Bitcoin may be at the beginning of a bear market. While pullbacks in Bitcoin are not uncommon during a bull market, the current valuation indicators suggest that this adjustment could be deeper than before.
CryptoQuant's analysts found some troubling signals in the on-chain data. For instance, the Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator is currently at the most bearish level of this cycle, and the Z-score of the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has fallen below the 365-day moving average. This indicates that Bitcoin’s upward momentum has weakened.
Moreover, Bitcoin's demand is also contracting, and the pace at which whales are accumulating has slowed. Last week, Bitcoin's demand plummeted at the fastest rate since July 2024, dropping by 103,000 BTC in one go. It's not just the whales; the annual accumulation rate of other large investors has also significantly decreased, from 368,000 BTC in January to 268,000 BTC now.
What's more concerning is that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have now become net sellers of BTC, in stark contrast to the frenzied buying seen during the same period last year. So far this year, these ETFs have only bought about $700 million worth of BTC, whereas last year around this time, they bought $8.7 billion. This adds additional downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Additionally, the number of BTC flowing into the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, from other platforms has also fallen below the 90-day moving average. Since February 13, Coinbase has been in a price adjustment period, when BTC was approximately $96,000. Typically, when demand is high, BTC flows into Coinbase, but the situation has reversed now.
CryptoQuant's analysts also mentioned that if BTC cannot maintain the support level between $75,000 and $78,000, the price could drop to $63,000. As of the time of writing, BTC is priced at $83,400, while $63,000 is the lowest on-chain realized price range for traders.
Do you think Bitcoin has entered a bear market? Will Bitcoin rebound or continue to decline in the coming weeks? At this moment, would you choose to buy the dip or continue to wait and see?
#比特币 #熊市预警 #CryptoQuant #MVRV
Recently, analysts at CryptoQuant have discovered some concerning signals through on-chain data, indicating that Bitcoin may be at the beginning of a bear market. While pullbacks in Bitcoin are not uncommon during a bull market, the current valuation indicators suggest that this adjustment could be deeper than before.
CryptoQuant's analysts found some troubling signals in the on-chain data. For instance, the Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator is currently at the most bearish level of this cycle, and the Z-score of the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has fallen below the 365-day moving average. This indicates that Bitcoin’s upward momentum has weakened.
Moreover, Bitcoin's demand is also contracting, and the pace at which whales are accumulating has slowed. Last week, Bitcoin's demand plummeted at the fastest rate since July 2024, dropping by 103,000 BTC in one go. It's not just the whales; the annual accumulation rate of other large investors has also significantly decreased, from 368,000 BTC in January to 268,000 BTC now.
What's more concerning is that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have now become net sellers of BTC, in stark contrast to the frenzied buying seen during the same period last year. So far this year, these ETFs have only bought about $700 million worth of BTC, whereas last year around this time, they bought $8.7 billion. This adds additional downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Additionally, the number of BTC flowing into the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, from other platforms has also fallen below the 90-day moving average. Since February 13, Coinbase has been in a price adjustment period, when BTC was approximately $96,000. Typically, when demand is high, BTC flows into Coinbase, but the situation has reversed now.
CryptoQuant's analysts also mentioned that if BTC cannot maintain the support level between $75,000 and $78,000, the price could drop to $63,000. As of the time of writing, BTC is priced at $83,400, while $63,000 is the lowest on-chain realized price range for traders.
Do you think Bitcoin has entered a bear market? Will Bitcoin rebound or continue to decline in the coming weeks? At this moment, would you choose to buy the dip or continue to wait and see?
#比特币 #熊市预警 #CryptoQuant #MVRV
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