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๐ macro โ the new dominant force
With the Iran war over, macro became the new enemy of $BTC in June. Three data points defined the month ๐
๐ก๏ธ CPI (May): 4.2% YoY โ highest in 3 years, in line but accelerating
๐ญ PPI (May): 6.5% YoY โ highest since Nov 2022, broke all relief
๐ PCE (May): in line โ still well above 2% Fed target
๐ GDP: strong โ economy not weak enough to force Fed cuts
๐ต DXY: gaining strength โ dollar up, pressure on all risk assets
๐จ Rate HIKE probability July: 36% โ conversation shifted from cuts to hikes
The economic paradox of June โ strong GDP with sticky inflation is the worst possible combination for $BTC. The Fed has no reason to cut and every reason to hike. 9 out of 18 Fed members now believe 2% inflation won't be reached until 2028. The macro headwind is structural, not temporary. ๐ง
#dyor #PCE #cpi #GDP
With the Iran war over, macro became the new enemy of $BTC in June. Three data points defined the month ๐
๐ก๏ธ CPI (May): 4.2% YoY โ highest in 3 years, in line but accelerating
๐ญ PPI (May): 6.5% YoY โ highest since Nov 2022, broke all relief
๐ PCE (May): in line โ still well above 2% Fed target
๐ GDP: strong โ economy not weak enough to force Fed cuts
๐ต DXY: gaining strength โ dollar up, pressure on all risk assets
๐จ Rate HIKE probability July: 36% โ conversation shifted from cuts to hikes
The economic paradox of June โ strong GDP with sticky inflation is the worst possible combination for $BTC. The Fed has no reason to cut and every reason to hike. 9 out of 18 Fed members now believe 2% inflation won't be reached until 2028. The macro headwind is structural, not temporary. ๐ง
#dyor #PCE #cpi #GDP
Warsh puts inflation math back on the table
On July 1, Warsh said inflation risks have come down.
The Fed is not cutting rates yet, but markets are already leaning into a softer path. Early risk-on usually starts this way: expectations move before the actual policy move.
โ๏ธ What the Fed is reviewing
After the June 17 FOMC, Warsh talked about reviewing how the Fed reads the economy and inflation.
On the table: Fed projections, market communication, data collection, inflation frameworks, and the way inflation itself is measured.
Old surveys, national accounts, and delayed data are losing value in a 2026 economy. The Fed wants more real-time data, private sources, and better analytical tools.
๐ Official May CPI: 4.2%
Truflation on June 30: 1.91%
Old data still shows heat. Faster data already shows cooling.
๐งญ Why markets care
The Fed no longer wants to pre-commit on the next rate move: hold, cut, or hike.
The decision will be built closer to the meeting, using fresh inflation, expectations, labor market, oil, dollar, and yields.
If the new approach shows lower inflation risk, markets will price rate cuts faster.
๐ Next checkpoints
July 14 โ Warsh in Congress
July 28โ29 โ FOMC
For crypto, this is about the dollar, yields, and liquidity.
BTC reads the shift in expectations first. Alts follow only if the risk bid holds.
#fomc #warsh #cpi #truflation $BTC $ETH $SOL
On July 1, Warsh said inflation risks have come down.
The Fed is not cutting rates yet, but markets are already leaning into a softer path. Early risk-on usually starts this way: expectations move before the actual policy move.
โ๏ธ What the Fed is reviewing
After the June 17 FOMC, Warsh talked about reviewing how the Fed reads the economy and inflation.
On the table: Fed projections, market communication, data collection, inflation frameworks, and the way inflation itself is measured.
Old surveys, national accounts, and delayed data are losing value in a 2026 economy. The Fed wants more real-time data, private sources, and better analytical tools.
๐ Official May CPI: 4.2%
Truflation on June 30: 1.91%
Old data still shows heat. Faster data already shows cooling.
๐งญ Why markets care
The Fed no longer wants to pre-commit on the next rate move: hold, cut, or hike.
The decision will be built closer to the meeting, using fresh inflation, expectations, labor market, oil, dollar, and yields.
If the new approach shows lower inflation risk, markets will price rate cuts faster.
๐ Next checkpoints
July 14 โ Warsh in Congress
July 28โ29 โ FOMC
For crypto, this is about the dollar, yields, and liquidity.
BTC reads the shift in expectations first. Alts follow only if the risk bid holds.
#fomc #warsh #cpi #truflation $BTC $ETH $SOL
Mid-July inflation data is, in my view, more worth watching in advance than many short-term headlines.
The U.S. June CPI is scheduled for release on July 14, and the PPI will follow on July 15. What crypto really needs to watch isnโt whether the headline number looks good, but whether core inflation continues to stay sticky and whether the service components are cooling off. If the data canโt be brought down, the market will start worrying again that the Fed will keep delaying rate cuts. When the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields tick back up, the ETF fund flows from $BTC are likely to get stuck.
On the other hand, if both CPI and PPI clearly cool off, risk appetite may have a chance to gradually recover. Then whether $ETH can attract and be supported by institutional capital and on-chain activity will matter. For high-beta assets like $SOL , whatโs more important is whether trading volume and overall ecosystem heat can also come back.
This isnโt a call to bet on a direction. On July 14 and 15, first look at core CPI and PPI on a month-over-month basis, then check whether ETF net inflows improve in tandem. Without capital confirmation, even good news can be quickly digested by the price action.
#CPI #PPI
The U.S. June CPI is scheduled for release on July 14, and the PPI will follow on July 15. What crypto really needs to watch isnโt whether the headline number looks good, but whether core inflation continues to stay sticky and whether the service components are cooling off. If the data canโt be brought down, the market will start worrying again that the Fed will keep delaying rate cuts. When the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields tick back up, the ETF fund flows from $BTC are likely to get stuck.
On the other hand, if both CPI and PPI clearly cool off, risk appetite may have a chance to gradually recover. Then whether $ETH can attract and be supported by institutional capital and on-chain activity will matter. For high-beta assets like $SOL , whatโs more important is whether trading volume and overall ecosystem heat can also come back.
This isnโt a call to bet on a direction. On July 14 and 15, first look at core CPI and PPI on a month-over-month basis, then check whether ETF net inflows improve in tandem. Without capital confirmation, even good news can be quickly digested by the price action.
#CPI #PPI
I used to be really annoyed by macroeconomics.
I thought that was something Wall Street dealt withโwhat does it have to do with trading crypto?
Until one time, when CPI data came out, BTC dropped 5% in two hours.
At the time, I was fully loaded in long positions, and I didnโt even set my stop-loss.
After that, I set the macro calendar to phone reminders.
Itโs not to turn you into an economist.
Itโs to let you know when to take your hands off the keyboard.
CPI, FOMC, Non-Farm Payrollsโthose three are enough.
The pattern is simple: from two hours before the data release to one hour after itโs published, volatility is 1.5 to 2 times the usual.
Direction doesnโt matterโwhat matters is whether your position sizing is right.
The habit Iโve developed: before major data releases, my position size is no more than half of my usual.
Itโs not that Iโm bearishโitโs that I donโt gamble.
You win ten times, and then one macro black swan wipes it all back.
Iโve been through it, and I donโt want to experience it again.
Will you reduce your position before the data is released? If so, reduce by 1; if not, reduce by 2. Iโve never cared about macro deduction 3.
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
I thought that was something Wall Street dealt withโwhat does it have to do with trading crypto?
Until one time, when CPI data came out, BTC dropped 5% in two hours.
At the time, I was fully loaded in long positions, and I didnโt even set my stop-loss.
After that, I set the macro calendar to phone reminders.
Itโs not to turn you into an economist.
Itโs to let you know when to take your hands off the keyboard.
CPI, FOMC, Non-Farm Payrollsโthose three are enough.
The pattern is simple: from two hours before the data release to one hour after itโs published, volatility is 1.5 to 2 times the usual.
Direction doesnโt matterโwhat matters is whether your position sizing is right.
The habit Iโve developed: before major data releases, my position size is no more than half of my usual.
Itโs not that Iโm bearishโitโs that I donโt gamble.
You win ten times, and then one macro black swan wipes it all back.
Iโve been through it, and I donโt want to experience it again.
Will you reduce your position before the data is released? If so, reduce by 1; if not, reduce by 2. Iโve never cared about macro deduction 3.
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
I used to be really annoyed by macro.
I thought that was a Wall Street thingโwhat did it have to do with trading crypto?
Until one time, the CPI data came out, and BTC dropped 5% in two hours.
I was fully loaded long, and I hadnโt even placed my stop-loss.
After that, I set the macro calendar as phone reminders.
This isnโt to make you an economist.
Itโs to help you know when to take your hands off the keyboard.
CPI, FOMC, Non-Farm Payrollsโthese three are enough.
The pattern is simple: from two hours before the data is released to one hour after, volatility is 1.5 to 2 times the usual.
Direction doesnโt matterโwhat matters is whether your position sizing is right.
The habit Iโve developed now is: before major data releases, my position size doesnโt exceed half of my usual.
Not because Iโm bearishโbecause Iโm not gambling.
Win ten times, and one macro black swan wipes it all back.
Iโve been through it. I donโt want to experience it again.
Will you reduce your position before the data is released? If so, reduce by 1. If not, reduce by 2. Iโve never cared about macro deductions beforeโdeduction 3.
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
I thought that was a Wall Street thingโwhat did it have to do with trading crypto?
Until one time, the CPI data came out, and BTC dropped 5% in two hours.
I was fully loaded long, and I hadnโt even placed my stop-loss.
After that, I set the macro calendar as phone reminders.
This isnโt to make you an economist.
Itโs to help you know when to take your hands off the keyboard.
CPI, FOMC, Non-Farm Payrollsโthese three are enough.
The pattern is simple: from two hours before the data is released to one hour after, volatility is 1.5 to 2 times the usual.
Direction doesnโt matterโwhat matters is whether your position sizing is right.
The habit Iโve developed now is: before major data releases, my position size doesnโt exceed half of my usual.
Not because Iโm bearishโbecause Iโm not gambling.
Win ten times, and one macro black swan wipes it all back.
Iโve been through it. I donโt want to experience it again.
Will you reduce your position before the data is released? If so, reduce by 1. If not, reduce by 2. Iโve never cared about macro deductions beforeโdeduction 3.
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
Keep an eye on this key date this week โ it's not about the candlesticks, but rather what's on the macro calendar.
๐ June 23rd, Tuesday, Macro Event Preview
๐ธ Key Events This Week
CPI/PPI/FOMC/Non-Farm โ these acronyms have a bigger impact on your positions than any technical indicator.
๐ธ Historical Patterns
On CPI release days, BTC's average volatility is 1.5-2 times higher than usual. The direction doesn't matter; what's crucial is, have you set your stop-loss?
๐ธ Dollar Index and BTC
If DXY strengthens โ Risk assets come under pressure. Where is DXY at currently?
๐ก A reminder for today:
Reduce your leverage before and after macro events. Itโs not that you shouldn't trade; itโs about not gambling.
๐ Will you scale down your positions before the data is released? Tap 1 for yes, tap 2 for no, tap 3 if you never pay attention to macro events.
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
๐ June 23rd, Tuesday, Macro Event Preview
๐ธ Key Events This Week
CPI/PPI/FOMC/Non-Farm โ these acronyms have a bigger impact on your positions than any technical indicator.
๐ธ Historical Patterns
On CPI release days, BTC's average volatility is 1.5-2 times higher than usual. The direction doesn't matter; what's crucial is, have you set your stop-loss?
๐ธ Dollar Index and BTC
If DXY strengthens โ Risk assets come under pressure. Where is DXY at currently?
๐ก A reminder for today:
Reduce your leverage before and after macro events. Itโs not that you shouldn't trade; itโs about not gambling.
๐ Will you scale down your positions before the data is released? Tap 1 for yes, tap 2 for no, tap 3 if you never pay attention to macro events.
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
๐จ Bitcoin vs. The Fed: What the Core Data is Actually Telling Us
The market is moving sideways, but if you look under the hood, the real narrative is starting to shift. Following the recent June FOMC decision and CPI data, here is exactly where we stand:
The Headline Illusion: US Headline CPI printed at 4.2%, which shook some retail traders. However, Core CPI (which the Fed actually cares about) dropped to 2.9% YoY. The entire spike was energy-driven.
The ETF Ceiling: Glassnode data shows the average break-even price for US spot Bitcoin ETF holders sits near $83,000. This is creating persistent sell pressure on any sharp rallies as trapped capital look to break even.
The Next Move: BTC is hovering around the $65,800 mark. If global liquidity begins to expand later this quarter, this structural chop will be looked back on as the ultimate accumulation zone.
Key Takeaway: Don't let the headline noise shake you out of a structural bull cycle. The core macro pressures are quietly easing.
Drop your strategy below: Are you buying this dip, or waiting for a clean breakout past $68k? ๐
#Bitcoin #CPI #FOMC #CryptoMarket
The market is moving sideways, but if you look under the hood, the real narrative is starting to shift. Following the recent June FOMC decision and CPI data, here is exactly where we stand:
The Headline Illusion: US Headline CPI printed at 4.2%, which shook some retail traders. However, Core CPI (which the Fed actually cares about) dropped to 2.9% YoY. The entire spike was energy-driven.
The ETF Ceiling: Glassnode data shows the average break-even price for US spot Bitcoin ETF holders sits near $83,000. This is creating persistent sell pressure on any sharp rallies as trapped capital look to break even.
The Next Move: BTC is hovering around the $65,800 mark. If global liquidity begins to expand later this quarter, this structural chop will be looked back on as the ultimate accumulation zone.
Key Takeaway: Don't let the headline noise shake you out of a structural bull cycle. The core macro pressures are quietly easing.
Drop your strategy below: Are you buying this dip, or waiting for a clean breakout past $68k? ๐
#Bitcoin #CPI #FOMC #CryptoMarket
๐จ BREAKING: INFLATION FEARS CRUSH SUMMER RATE-CUT HOPES ๐บ๐ธ๐๐ฅ$ATM $H $ESPORTS
Fresh Federal Reserve data is sending a clear warning to markets ๐โก
๐ The Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcasting model projects U.S. headline CPI at 4.05% YoY, signaling inflation pressure remains stubbornly elevated ๐ฃ
โ ๏ธ WHAT'S DRIVING IT? โข Energy prices remain under pressure ๐ข๏ธ โข Maritime supply disruptions continue impacting costs ๐ข โข Inflation is proving more persistent than expected ๐ โข Markets are rapidly repricing Fed expectations ๐ฆ
๐ฅ THE FED IMPACT: โข Summer rate-cut hopes are fading fast ๐จ โข Traders now expect a prolonged "higher-for-longer" environment โ๏ธ โข Swap markets are pricing a 70% probability that rates stay elevated into late 2026 ๐ โข Risk assets face renewed macro pressure โก
๐ MARKET REACTION: โข Bitcoin and crypto remain sensitive to rate expectations โฟ โข Stocks are struggling to price in prolonged tight policy ๐ โข Bond yields remain in focus ๐ต
๐ WHAT TRADERS ARE WATCHING: โข Upcoming CPI releases ๐ โข Federal Reserve guidance ๐๏ธ โข Energy market volatility ๐ข๏ธ โข Interest-rate expectations ๐
๐ญ BOTTOM LINE: Sticky inflation is forcing investors to confront a harsh reality: rate cuts may stay off the table far longer than markets originally hoped. ๐ฅโก
Follow for more updates ๐จ
#Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #FOMC #BreakingNews
Fresh Federal Reserve data is sending a clear warning to markets ๐โก
๐ The Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcasting model projects U.S. headline CPI at 4.05% YoY, signaling inflation pressure remains stubbornly elevated ๐ฃ
โ ๏ธ WHAT'S DRIVING IT? โข Energy prices remain under pressure ๐ข๏ธ โข Maritime supply disruptions continue impacting costs ๐ข โข Inflation is proving more persistent than expected ๐ โข Markets are rapidly repricing Fed expectations ๐ฆ
๐ฅ THE FED IMPACT: โข Summer rate-cut hopes are fading fast ๐จ โข Traders now expect a prolonged "higher-for-longer" environment โ๏ธ โข Swap markets are pricing a 70% probability that rates stay elevated into late 2026 ๐ โข Risk assets face renewed macro pressure โก
๐ MARKET REACTION: โข Bitcoin and crypto remain sensitive to rate expectations โฟ โข Stocks are struggling to price in prolonged tight policy ๐ โข Bond yields remain in focus ๐ต
๐ WHAT TRADERS ARE WATCHING: โข Upcoming CPI releases ๐ โข Federal Reserve guidance ๐๏ธ โข Energy market volatility ๐ข๏ธ โข Interest-rate expectations ๐
๐ญ BOTTOM LINE: Sticky inflation is forcing investors to confront a harsh reality: rate cuts may stay off the table far longer than markets originally hoped. ๐ฅโก
Follow for more updates ๐จ
#Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #FOMC #BreakingNews
$NVIDIA Faces a Higher-Volatility Macro Regime ๐
US CPI at 4.2% puts inflation back above a level that often tightens financial conditions and reduces risk appetite. That does not guarantee a drawdown, but it does raise the probability of choppier price action as rate-cut expectations get pushed out.
For equities, the market usually reacts less to the headline itself and more to what it means for policy. If inflation stays sticky, valuations can stay under pressure even when growth remains solid.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
#CPI #MacroEconomy #StockMarket #NVIDIA #NVDA
๐ก๏ธ
US CPI at 4.2% puts inflation back above a level that often tightens financial conditions and reduces risk appetite. That does not guarantee a drawdown, but it does raise the probability of choppier price action as rate-cut expectations get pushed out.
For equities, the market usually reacts less to the headline itself and more to what it means for policy. If inflation stays sticky, valuations can stay under pressure even when growth remains solid.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
#CPI #MacroEconomy #StockMarket #NVIDIA #NVDA
๐ก๏ธ
CPI Above 4% Raises the Pressure on Risk Assets ๐
US inflation is back in the spotlight after CPI printed 4.2% YoY, a level that has historically tightened conditions for equities and other risk assets. The market impact is less about the headline alone and more about what it means for rate cuts, liquidity, and valuation support in the months ahead.
When inflation stays above this threshold, volatility tends to rise and investors become more selective. That does not guarantee a major drawdown, but it does shift the backdrop toward caution rather than easy upside.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
#CPI #MacroEconomy #StockMarket #RiskAssets
๐
US inflation is back in the spotlight after CPI printed 4.2% YoY, a level that has historically tightened conditions for equities and other risk assets. The market impact is less about the headline alone and more about what it means for rate cuts, liquidity, and valuation support in the months ahead.
When inflation stays above this threshold, volatility tends to rise and investors become more selective. That does not guarantee a major drawdown, but it does shift the backdrop toward caution rather than easy upside.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
#CPI #MacroEconomy #StockMarket #RiskAssets
๐
Inflation Just Crossed 4% and Risk Assets Are on Notice ๐
US CPI just printed 4.2% YoY, the hottest reading since 2023, and that is the kind of macro headline that can shake weak hands fast. History does not guarantee a repeat, but when inflation pushes above 4%, markets often get choppy and jeets start getting rekt.
If this sticks, expect more volatility across stocks and crypto alike. Stay nimble, keep size sane, and do not let FUD force bad entries.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
#CPI #Inflation #SP500 #RiskAssets
๐ก๏ธ
US CPI just printed 4.2% YoY, the hottest reading since 2023, and that is the kind of macro headline that can shake weak hands fast. History does not guarantee a repeat, but when inflation pushes above 4%, markets often get choppy and jeets start getting rekt.
If this sticks, expect more volatility across stocks and crypto alike. Stay nimble, keep size sane, and do not let FUD force bad entries.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
#CPI #Inflation #SP500 #RiskAssets
๐ก๏ธ
๐ด Inflation Just Crossed 4% โ Markets Should Pay Attention
US CPI has risen to 4.2% YoY, the highest level since 2023.
Historically, when inflation first moved above 4%, the S&P 500 averaged a -3.5% decline over 3 months and -6.6% over 6 months.
Past examples like 1946 and 1987 saw even deeper corrections.
History doesn't guarantee the future, but inflation above 4% has often been a warning sign for risk assets.
The next few months could be critical for stocks.
#CPI #SP500 #Inflation
US CPI has risen to 4.2% YoY, the highest level since 2023.
Historically, when inflation first moved above 4%, the S&P 500 averaged a -3.5% decline over 3 months and -6.6% over 6 months.
Past examples like 1946 and 1987 saw even deeper corrections.
History doesn't guarantee the future, but inflation above 4% has often been a warning sign for risk assets.
The next few months could be critical for stocks.
#CPI #SP500 #Inflation
The rate cut cake hasn't even been served, and the rate hike knife is already being sharpened.
CPI has surged to the highest point of 2023; the inflation beast is far from tamed. The Fed is no longer debating whether to cut rates but rather if they should hit the brakes even harder.
Powell must be feeling overwhelmed, while the market is still betting on a soft landing? Wake up.
In this environment of macro tightening expectations, BTC is going to face major hurdles to pump hard. Let's see how liquidity reacts first. #CPI $BTC
CPI has surged to the highest point of 2023; the inflation beast is far from tamed. The Fed is no longer debating whether to cut rates but rather if they should hit the brakes even harder.
Powell must be feeling overwhelmed, while the market is still betting on a soft landing? Wake up.
In this environment of macro tightening expectations, BTC is going to face major hurdles to pump hard. Let's see how liquidity reacts first. #CPI $BTC
๐ก๏ธ CPI โ in line, but higher than last month
CPI came in exactly as the market expected โ no surprise, no panic. But the annual rate accelerated to 4.2%, up from 3.8% the month before โ the fastest pace in more than three years. No improvement, inflation still running hot. ๐
๐ญ PPI โ breaks the relief, the real warning
The day after CPI, PPI hit hard. Producer prices rose 1.1% MoM โ well above the 0.7% forecast โ pushing the annual rate to 6.5%, the highest since November 2022. Nearly 80% of the increase came from energy, with wholesale gasoline up over 23% in a single month. This is the pipeline โ what shows up in PPI today shows up in CPI next month. ๐จ
๐ก๏ธ CPI: 4.2% YoY โ in line, but up from 3.8%
๐ญ PPI: 6.5% YoY โ highest since Nov 2022, beat forecast
โฝ Wholesale gasoline: +23% in one month
โ ๏ธ Talk shifting from "when will the Fed cut" to "could it hike"
The reflexive bull case after CPI was that the shock is narrow โ strip out energy and core inflation looks tolerable. PPI complicated that story. The pipeline is loaded with energy-driven pressure, and that pressure is heading toward consumers next. ๐ง
#cpi #PPI #PPIShockwave #Inflation #DYOR*
CPI came in exactly as the market expected โ no surprise, no panic. But the annual rate accelerated to 4.2%, up from 3.8% the month before โ the fastest pace in more than three years. No improvement, inflation still running hot. ๐
๐ญ PPI โ breaks the relief, the real warning
The day after CPI, PPI hit hard. Producer prices rose 1.1% MoM โ well above the 0.7% forecast โ pushing the annual rate to 6.5%, the highest since November 2022. Nearly 80% of the increase came from energy, with wholesale gasoline up over 23% in a single month. This is the pipeline โ what shows up in PPI today shows up in CPI next month. ๐จ
๐ก๏ธ CPI: 4.2% YoY โ in line, but up from 3.8%
๐ญ PPI: 6.5% YoY โ highest since Nov 2022, beat forecast
โฝ Wholesale gasoline: +23% in one month
โ ๏ธ Talk shifting from "when will the Fed cut" to "could it hike"
The reflexive bull case after CPI was that the shock is narrow โ strip out energy and core inflation looks tolerable. PPI complicated that story. The pipeline is loaded with energy-driven pressure, and that pressure is heading toward consumers next. ๐ง
#cpi #PPI #PPIShockwave #Inflation #DYOR*
๐จ High Impact Economic Data Just In
๐บ๐ธ US CPI inflation came in at 4.2%
๐ Previous reading: 3.8%
๐ Market expectation: 4.2%
This marks the highest inflation level since April 2023, signaling renewed price pressures in the U.S. economy and keeping markets on edge.
#cpi #Inflationdata
$ONDO $JELLYJELLY $MUB
๐บ๐ธ US CPI inflation came in at 4.2%
๐ Previous reading: 3.8%
๐ Market expectation: 4.2%
This marks the highest inflation level since April 2023, signaling renewed price pressures in the U.S. economy and keeping markets on edge.
#cpi #Inflationdata
$ONDO $JELLYJELLY $MUB
This week there's a time point you need to keep an eye on โ not the candlestick, but that day on the macro calendar
๐ June 12th, Friday - Upcoming Macro Events
๐ธ Key Events This Week
CPI/PPI/FOMC/Non-Farm โ these acronyms will impact your positions more than any technical indicator.
๐ธ Historical Patterns
On CPI release days, BTC's average volatility is 1.5 to 2 times higher than usual.
Direction doesnโt matter; whatโs important is have you set your stop-loss?
๐ธ Dollar Index and BTC
DXY strengthening โ Risk assets under pressure. Where is the DXY currently at?
๐ก A reminder for today:
Reduce leverage before and after macro events. Itโs not about not trading; itโs about not gambling.
๐ Will you reduce your position before the data release? Hit 1 for yes, 2 for no, 3 if you never pay attention to macro
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
๐ June 12th, Friday - Upcoming Macro Events
๐ธ Key Events This Week
CPI/PPI/FOMC/Non-Farm โ these acronyms will impact your positions more than any technical indicator.
๐ธ Historical Patterns
On CPI release days, BTC's average volatility is 1.5 to 2 times higher than usual.
Direction doesnโt matter; whatโs important is have you set your stop-loss?
๐ธ Dollar Index and BTC
DXY strengthening โ Risk assets under pressure. Where is the DXY currently at?
๐ก A reminder for today:
Reduce leverage before and after macro events. Itโs not about not trading; itโs about not gambling.
๐ Will you reduce your position before the data release? Hit 1 for yes, 2 for no, 3 if you never pay attention to macro
$BTC $USD #ๅฎ่ง #CPI
๐
MACRO - ECONOMY: WHY CPI AND THE FED SHAKE UP CRYPTO?
Even though Web3 is decentralized, the prices of cryptocurrencies remain highly correlated with U.S. financial decisions. Two monthly events dictate the trend.
1) THE CPI (Consumer Price Index): It's the main indicator of inflation.
.... Higher than expected CPI = fiat currency loses value, but this forces the central bank ๐ฆ to raise rates, which stresses financial markets (including cryptos).
..... Lower than expected CPI = Inflation cools down, excellent bullish signal for risk assets.
2) The FED meetings (Federal Reserve): This is where interest rates are decided. Low or decreasing rates make capital access easier ("free" money), which quickly flows into Bitcoin and altcoins.
Keeping an eye on the ๐ macroeconomic calendar helps you avoid getting caught off guard by extreme volatility spikes.
๐ Do you check the economic calendar for the week before opening a trade?
$BTC $BNB $SOL
#BinanceSquareFamily #bitcoin #CPI #FED #Inflation
Even though Web3 is decentralized, the prices of cryptocurrencies remain highly correlated with U.S. financial decisions. Two monthly events dictate the trend.
1) THE CPI (Consumer Price Index): It's the main indicator of inflation.
.... Higher than expected CPI = fiat currency loses value, but this forces the central bank ๐ฆ to raise rates, which stresses financial markets (including cryptos).
..... Lower than expected CPI = Inflation cools down, excellent bullish signal for risk assets.
2) The FED meetings (Federal Reserve): This is where interest rates are decided. Low or decreasing rates make capital access easier ("free" money), which quickly flows into Bitcoin and altcoins.
Keeping an eye on the ๐ macroeconomic calendar helps you avoid getting caught off guard by extreme volatility spikes.
๐ Do you check the economic calendar for the week before opening a trade?
$BTC $BNB $SOL
#BinanceSquareFamily #bitcoin #CPI #FED #Inflation
๐๐ซ๐๐๐ค๐ข๐ง๐ .
US CPI just came in at 4.2 percent.
Exactly in line with expectations.
But here is the part that matters. That is the highest inflation print since April 2023.
Not a miss. Not a beat. Just a quiet confirmation that inflation is not going away as fast as anyone hoped.
Markets will digest this. But the trend line is worth watching closely now.
---
#cpi
#InflationWatch
#USACryptoTrends
#MacroAlert
#breakingnews
$BTC
US CPI just came in at 4.2 percent.
Exactly in line with expectations.
But here is the part that matters. That is the highest inflation print since April 2023.
Not a miss. Not a beat. Just a quiet confirmation that inflation is not going away as fast as anyone hoped.
Markets will digest this. But the trend line is worth watching closely now.
---
#cpi
#InflationWatch
#USACryptoTrends
#MacroAlert
#breakingnews
$BTC
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