#RedSeptember September has long been a "nightmare" for financial markets, and Bitcoin is no exception. From 2013 to present, this digital currency has averaged a decline of 3.77% each September, with 8 out of 11 instances of downturns, according to data from #coinglass .
The reasons stem from multiple factors: investment funds closing financial books, rebalancing portfolios, pressure from Fed policies, and geopolitical volatility. When U.S. stocks are in the red, #bitcoin often becomes the first asset sold to cover margin or reduce risk. Currently, the Fear & Greed index has dropped from 74 to 52, reflecting a shift in market sentiment towards defense.
Technically, Bitcoin has just lost a crucial support level of 110,000 USD, with the 105,000 USD zone considered the "death line." If this threshold is breached, prices could fall below 100,000 USD. However, maintaining above 110,000 USD in the next two weeks could break the "September curse."
Some experts believe that "
#RedSeptember " is largely a repeated psychological effect, while Bitcoin's current fundamentals have strengthened due to ETFs, institutional capital flows, and lower volatility than before. In fact, in the past two years, BTC has even recorded positive growth in September.
📉 Septembe
#️⃣ s long been a “nightmare” for financial markets—and Bitcoin is no exception. Since 2013, BTC has averaged a -3.77% decline each September, with 8 out of 11 downturns (Coinglass data).
🔎 Why does September hit so hard?
📊 Investment funds closing books & portfolio rebalancing
💵 Pressure from Fed policies & rate expectations
🌍 Geopolitical volatility
📉 U.S. stock weakness spilling into Bitcoin as the first asset sold to cover risk
⚠️ Currently, the Fear & Greed Index dropped from 74 → 52, showing a clear shift toward defensive sentiment.
⚡ Technical Outlook
BTC has lost support at $110,000
Next critical zone: $105,000 (“death line”)
A break below may drag prices under $100,000
Holding above $110,000 for 2 weeks could break the “September curse”
🤔 But is “#RedSeptember” real?
Some experts argue it’s more psychological than fundamental. Unlike before, Bitcoin now has:
✅ ETF inflows
✅ Institutional adoption
✅ Lower volatility
➡️ In fact, BTC posted gains in September for the past 2 years.
🚀 Looking Ahead
Even if September stays weak, history shows “Uptober” is typically Bitcoin’s best-performing month.
👉 What do you think—another Red September, or will BTC defy the odds this year?
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