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EllySon85
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EllySon85

Digital currency advocacy & influencer / Crypto market analyst & Trader
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Jungs, das habe ich gesagt: $AAVE wird niemals zurückkommen. Wenn ihr diese Gelegenheit verpasst, sagt nicht, ich hätte es nicht gesagt. #Aave. Letztes Ziel sind 3500 $.
Jungs, das habe ich gesagt: $AAVE wird niemals zurückkommen. Wenn ihr diese Gelegenheit verpasst, sagt nicht, ich hätte es nicht gesagt. #Aave. Letztes Ziel sind 3500 $.
Übersetzung ansehen
$ETH /USDT Key Levels To watch. 🟢 Resistance Zones * 1600 – 1615 → MA25 + mid BB (VERY important) * 1670 – 1680 → Supertrend + upper BB (major rejection zone) 🔴 Support Zones * 1550 – 1560 → recent consolidation * 1510 → strong support (recent low) Probable Scenarios 🟢 Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Short-Term) * If price breaks and holds above 1600–1615 * Next move → 1640 → 1670 👉 This is a relief rally inside a downtrend 🔴 Scenario 2: Rejection (More Likely) * Rejection at 1600–1615 resistance * Price pulls back to: * 1550 first * Possibly retest 1510 👉 This aligns with the overall bearish structure ⚖️ Scenario 3: Consolidation * Range between 1550 – 1610 * Before a stronger move •Clean Read (Trader’s Perspective) * Trend: Bearish * Momentum: Short-term bullish * Setup: Dead cat bounce / relief rally 👉 Best interpretation: ETH is likely pushing slightly higher, but unless it reclaims 1615–1670, expect another drop after the bounce.
$ETH /USDT Key Levels To watch.

🟢 Resistance Zones

* 1600 – 1615 → MA25 + mid BB (VERY important)
* 1670 – 1680 → Supertrend + upper BB (major rejection zone)

🔴 Support Zones

* 1550 – 1560 → recent consolidation
* 1510 → strong support (recent low)

Probable Scenarios

🟢 Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Short-Term)

* If price breaks and holds above 1600–1615
* Next move → 1640 → 1670

👉 This is a relief rally inside a downtrend

🔴 Scenario 2: Rejection (More Likely)

* Rejection at 1600–1615 resistance
* Price pulls back to:
* 1550 first
* Possibly retest 1510

👉 This aligns with the overall bearish structure

⚖️ Scenario 3: Consolidation

* Range between 1550 – 1610
* Before a stronger move

•Clean Read (Trader’s Perspective)

* Trend: Bearish
* Momentum: Short-term bullish
* Setup: Dead cat bounce / relief rally

👉 Best interpretation:

ETH is likely pushing slightly higher, but unless it reclaims 1615–1670, expect another drop after the bounce.
Artikel
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What means Deflation in Crypto?In crypto, deflation means the supply of a coin/token decreases over time, which can increase its value if demand stays the same or grows. 👉 Think of it like this: Less supply + same demand = higher price Less supply + increasing demand = even stronger price growth 🪙 Real Crypto Examples 1. Bitcoin (Scarcity Model) Fixed supply: 21 million coins New supply keeps decreasing (halving events) 👉 This creates a deflationary pressure over time That’s why many people call Bitcoin “digital gold” 2. Ethereum (Burn Mechanism) A portion of transaction fees is burned (removed permanently)During high network activity → more ETH gets burned 👉 Sometimes ETH becomes net deflationary (more burned than issued) 📉 Why Deflation Can Pump Prices (But Not Always) Bullish Side: Reduced supply creates scarcityTraders expect higher future prices → more buyingStrong narrative = long-term holding (HODL) Bearish Reality Check: Deflation alone doesn’t guarantee price increase Price still depends on: DemandMarket sentimentLiquidityMacro conditions (BTC trend, interest rates, etc.) ⚠️ Trader Insight (Important ) From a trading perspective: Deflationary tokens often:Perform well in bull marketsLag if demand dries up Watch for:🔥 Token burns (supply shock events)📊 On-chain activity (is usage increasing?)💰 Volume (is demand real or just hype?) Simple Trading Analogy Inflationary token = constant selling pressure (new supply) Deflationary token = reduced selling pressure (less supply hitting market) ⚡ Pro Tip The best setups happen when:Deflation + Increasing Demand + Bullish Market StructureThat’s when you get explosive moves.

What means Deflation in Crypto?

In crypto, deflation means the supply of a coin/token decreases over time, which can increase its value if demand stays the same or grows.
👉 Think of it like this:
Less supply + same demand = higher price
Less supply + increasing demand = even stronger price growth
🪙 Real Crypto Examples
1. Bitcoin (Scarcity Model)
Fixed supply: 21 million coins
New supply keeps decreasing (halving events)
👉 This creates a deflationary pressure over time
That’s why many people call Bitcoin “digital gold”
2. Ethereum (Burn Mechanism)
A portion of transaction fees is burned (removed permanently)During high network activity → more ETH gets burned
👉 Sometimes ETH becomes net deflationary (more burned than issued)
📉 Why Deflation Can Pump Prices (But Not Always)
Bullish Side:
Reduced supply creates scarcityTraders expect higher future prices → more buyingStrong narrative = long-term holding (HODL)
Bearish Reality Check:
Deflation alone doesn’t guarantee price increase Price still depends on:
DemandMarket sentimentLiquidityMacro conditions (BTC trend, interest rates, etc.)
⚠️ Trader Insight (Important )
From a trading perspective:
Deflationary tokens often:Perform well in bull marketsLag if demand dries up
Watch for:🔥 Token burns (supply shock events)📊 On-chain activity (is usage increasing?)💰 Volume (is demand real or just hype?)
Simple Trading Analogy
Inflationary token = constant selling pressure (new supply)
Deflationary token = reduced selling pressure (less supply hitting market)
⚡ Pro Tip
The best setups happen when:Deflation + Increasing Demand + Bullish Market StructureThat’s when you get explosive moves.
Übersetzung ansehen
The Following are Tokens that are the first ones to get to their #Bottom 1. $AAVE . 2 . $AVAX by Avalance 3. $LINK by ChainLink 4. #Ada. By Cardano 5. #SOL by Solana , very near the Bottom All these Tokens are showing signals of Bottom or near .
The Following are Tokens that are the first ones to get to their #Bottom

1. $AAVE .

2 . $AVAX by Avalance

3. $LINK by ChainLink

4. #Ada. By Cardano

5. #SOL by Solana , very near the Bottom

All these Tokens are showing signals of Bottom or near .
Übersetzung ansehen
$ETH /USDT Key Levels to Watch. 🟢 Support Zones * 1512 → strong recent low (major support) * 1535–1550 → Bollinger lower band region 🔴 Resistance Zones * 1600–1625 → immediate resistance (MA + Bollinger mid) * 1670 → Supertrend resistance (very important) * 1695–1700 → MA(99) strong ceiling Probable Scenarios 🟡 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Most Likely) * Price rejects 1600–1625 zone * Moves back toward: * 1550 * Then 1512 * If 1512 breaks → next leg down likely (1480–1450 zone) 👉 This aligns with trend + indicators → HIGH probability 🟢 Scenario 2: Short-Term Relief Bounce * If price breaks and holds above 1625 * Could push toward: * 1670 (Supertrend) * BUT expect strong rejection there 👉 This is a temporary bullish move inside a downtrend 🔵 Scenario 3: Trend Reversal (Low Probability) * Requires: * Break above 1670 * Then 1700+ hold * Would shift structure to bullish 👉 Currently LOW probability
$ETH /USDT Key Levels to Watch.

🟢 Support Zones

* 1512 → strong recent low (major support)
* 1535–1550 → Bollinger lower band region

🔴 Resistance Zones

* 1600–1625 → immediate resistance (MA + Bollinger mid)
* 1670 → Supertrend resistance (very important)
* 1695–1700 → MA(99) strong ceiling

Probable Scenarios

🟡 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Most Likely)

* Price rejects 1600–1625 zone
* Moves back toward:
* 1550
* Then 1512
* If 1512 breaks → next leg down likely (1480–1450 zone)

👉 This aligns with trend + indicators → HIGH probability

🟢 Scenario 2: Short-Term Relief Bounce

* If price breaks and holds above 1625
* Could push toward:
* 1670 (Supertrend)
* BUT expect strong rejection there

👉 This is a temporary bullish move inside a downtrend

🔵 Scenario 3: Trend Reversal (Low Probability)

* Requires:
* Break above 1670
* Then 1700+ hold
* Would shift structure to bullish

👉 Currently LOW probability
Übersetzung ansehen
$AVAX has bottomed already , but it will continue hovering around $6 ,$5, and $7 till september before making a major movement upward in October .
$AVAX has bottomed already , but it will continue hovering around $6 ,$5, and $7 till september before making a major movement upward in October .
Übersetzung ansehen
Guys , My signal about $ETH this morning was real & good ! I hope everyone is taking profit now Be blessed !
Guys , My signal about $ETH this morning was real & good ! I hope everyone is taking profit now

Be blessed !
Übersetzung ansehen
BREAKING: $AAVE at $57,83 has already touched it’s #Bottom , #Aave after hitting it’s Bottom it will continue hovering and consolidating between $80 and 70$ just to wait for $BTC to get to it’s Bottom of $44k then #Aave will quickly start it’s recovery journey. {spot}(AAVEUSDT)
BREAKING:

$AAVE at $57,83 has already touched it’s #Bottom , #Aave after hitting it’s Bottom it will continue hovering and consolidating between $80 and 70$ just to wait for $BTC to get to it’s Bottom of $44k then #Aave will quickly start it’s recovery journey.
Übersetzung ansehen
📊 Key Levels to Watch 🔴 Resistance Zones * 1,670 – 1,690 → major rejection zone (MA cluster + structure) * 1,700 – 1,730 → strong supply zone 🟢 Support Zones * 1,600 – 1,580 → short-term support * 1,551 → key swing low (very important) * Below that → opens 1,500 – 1,480 Probable Scenarios 🟡 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Most Likely) * Price pushes into 1,670–1,690 * Gets rejected * Then drops again toward: * 1,580 * Possibly 1,550 (or lower) 👉 This is a classic pullback → continuation setup. 🟢 Scenario 2: Strong Reversal (Less Likely) * Price breaks and holds above 1,700 * Flips resistance into support * Then targets: * 1,730 * 1,780 👉 This would require strong volume + momentum, which is currently weak. ⚠️ Scenario 3: Consolidation * Price ranges between: * 1,600 – 1,680 * Before next impulsive move
📊 Key Levels to Watch

🔴 Resistance Zones

* 1,670 – 1,690 → major rejection zone (MA cluster + structure)
* 1,700 – 1,730 → strong supply zone

🟢 Support Zones

* 1,600 – 1,580 → short-term support
* 1,551 → key swing low (very important)
* Below that → opens 1,500 – 1,480

Probable Scenarios

🟡 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Most Likely)

* Price pushes into 1,670–1,690
* Gets rejected
* Then drops again toward:
* 1,580
* Possibly 1,550 (or lower)

👉 This is a classic pullback → continuation setup.

🟢 Scenario 2: Strong Reversal (Less Likely)

* Price breaks and holds above 1,700
* Flips resistance into support
* Then targets:
* 1,730
* 1,780

👉 This would require strong volume + momentum, which is currently weak.

⚠️ Scenario 3: Consolidation

* Price ranges between:
* 1,600 – 1,680
* Before next impulsive move
Das ist massiv! Schau dir den Strike an, der bei $SNDKB zurückkommt, eeeh! Was ist das Geheimnis hinter diesem Projekt? Jungs, wagt euch niemals, eine Short-Position auf diesen Token zu eröffnen.
Das ist massiv! Schau dir den Strike an, der bei $SNDKB zurückkommt, eeeh! Was ist das Geheimnis hinter diesem Projekt? Jungs, wagt euch niemals, eine Short-Position auf diesen Token zu eröffnen.
Übersetzung ansehen
$ETH Current Market Structure, full indicators analysis. * Price: ~1636 * Strong bearish move from ~1779 → ~1632 * You’re now sitting near recent low support (1630–1635 zone) This is important: the market just completed a sharp impulse down, and now it’s reacting at support. 📉 Indicators Overview 1. Trend (MA + Supertrend) * Price is below MA7, MA25, MA99 → bearish alignment * Supertrend = bearish (red) → trend still down 👉 Conclusion: Trend bias = bearish 2. Bollinger Bands * Price pushed to lower band (~1628) and bounced slightly * Bands are expanding → high volatility after breakdown 👉 This usually means: * Either continuation after weak bounce * Or short-term relief before next leg 3. MACD * MACD is deep in negative territory * Histogram still red but slightly weakening 👉 Interpretation: * Bearish momentum is still dominant * But selling pressure is slowing slightly (possible short bounce) 4. Volume * High volume on the dump candles 👉 Confirms: strong sellers in control 📊 Key Levels 🔻 Support: * 1630 – 1625 (current base) * If broken → next likely zone: 1600 – 1580 🔺 Resistance: * 1655 – 1670 (recent consolidation) * Strong resistance: 1690 – 1705 (MA cluster + mid BB) ⚡ Probable Scenarios 🟢 Scenario 1: Short-Term Bounce (Less dominant) * Price holds 1630 * Small relief rally to: * 1655 → 1670 * Then rejection likely 👉 This is a dead cat bounce / pullback in a downtrend Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation (More probable) * Weak consolidation near 1630 * Break below 1625 * Next move: * 1600 * Possibly 1580 👉 This aligns with: * Strong downtrend * Indicator confirmation * No bullish structure yet My Trading Read (Simple) * Market is bearish overall * Current move = pause after dump * Expect: * Small bounce → then continuation down ⚠️ What to Watch Next * If candles show strong rejection wicks at 1655–1670 → short bias * If price reclaims 1700 with strength → bearish setup invalidated.
$ETH Current Market Structure, full indicators analysis.

* Price: ~1636
* Strong bearish move from ~1779 → ~1632
* You’re now sitting near recent low support (1630–1635 zone)

This is important: the market just completed a sharp impulse down, and now it’s reacting at support.

📉 Indicators Overview

1. Trend (MA + Supertrend)

* Price is below MA7, MA25, MA99 → bearish alignment
* Supertrend = bearish (red) → trend still down
👉 Conclusion: Trend bias = bearish

2. Bollinger Bands

* Price pushed to lower band (~1628) and bounced slightly
* Bands are expanding → high volatility after breakdown

👉 This usually means:

* Either continuation after weak bounce
* Or short-term relief before next leg

3. MACD

* MACD is deep in negative territory
* Histogram still red but slightly weakening

👉 Interpretation:

* Bearish momentum is still dominant
* But selling pressure is slowing slightly (possible short bounce)

4. Volume

* High volume on the dump candles
👉 Confirms: strong sellers in control

📊 Key Levels

🔻 Support:

* 1630 – 1625 (current base)
* If broken → next likely zone: 1600 – 1580

🔺 Resistance:

* 1655 – 1670 (recent consolidation)
* Strong resistance: 1690 – 1705 (MA cluster + mid BB)

⚡ Probable Scenarios

🟢 Scenario 1: Short-Term Bounce (Less dominant)

* Price holds 1630
* Small relief rally to:
* 1655 → 1670
* Then rejection likely

👉 This is a dead cat bounce / pullback in a downtrend

Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation (More probable)

* Weak consolidation near 1630
* Break below 1625
* Next move:
* 1600
* Possibly 1580

👉 This aligns with:

* Strong downtrend
* Indicator confirmation
* No bullish structure yet

My Trading Read (Simple)

* Market is bearish overall
* Current move = pause after dump
* Expect:
* Small bounce → then continuation down

⚠️ What to Watch Next

* If candles show strong rejection wicks at 1655–1670 → short bias
* If price reclaims 1700 with strength → bearish setup invalidated.
Übersetzung ansehen
#BREAKING Today 24th of June 2026 $1MBABYDOGE hits again it’s all time low of 0,0003076, this token will probably #Bottom at 0,0000985$ this Year.
#BREAKING

Today 24th of June 2026 $1MBABYDOGE hits again it’s all time low of 0,0003076, this token will probably #Bottom at 0,0000985$ this Year.
Mit einer Chance von 85% wird $ETH bei 1200$ landen, bevor es die 2000$ erreicht.
Mit einer Chance von 85% wird $ETH bei 1200$ landen, bevor es die 2000$ erreicht.
Artikel
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Zcash was the first major cryptocurrency to implement zero-knowledge proof.Zcash (ZEC) is a cryptocurrency launched in 2016 that forked from Bitcoin’s codebase but added a key feature Bitcoin lacks: optional privacy through cryptography. Its core innovation: zk-SNARKs Zcash was the first major cryptocurrency to implement zero-knowledge proofs (specifically zk-SNARKs — “zero-knowledge succinct non-interactive arguments of knowledge”). This lets the network verify a transaction is valid — correct amounts, no double-spending, sender actually owns the funds — without revealing the sender, receiver, or amount. • Bitcoin is pseudonymous: every transaction is public, just tied to wallet addresses instead of names • Zcash made transactions optionally fully private: with “shielded” transactions, the blockchain shows almost nothing Shielded vs. transparent $Zcash gives users a choice: • Transparent addresses (t-addr): behave like Bitcoin, fully visible • Shielded addresses (z-addr): amount, sender, and receiver are all encrypted This optionality was a deliberate design choice — full privacy by default raised regulatory concerns, so Zcash let users and exchanges opt in. Why it mattered for crypto broadly The zk-SNARK cryptography Zcash pioneered didn’t stay confined to private payments — it became foundational to: • Ethereum’s zk-rollup scaling solutions (zkSync, Starknet, etc.) • Various zk-based identity and compliance tools • Broader “zero-knowledge” tech now used well beyond privacy coins In that sense, Zcash’s biggest legacy may be less “private digital cash” and more “proved zero-knowledge proofs work at scale on a live blockchain,” which seeded an entire subfield of crypto cryptography.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Zcash was the first major cryptocurrency to implement zero-knowledge proof.

Zcash (ZEC) is a cryptocurrency launched in 2016 that forked from Bitcoin’s codebase but added a key feature Bitcoin lacks: optional privacy through cryptography.
Its core innovation: zk-SNARKs
Zcash was the first major cryptocurrency to implement zero-knowledge proofs (specifically zk-SNARKs — “zero-knowledge succinct non-interactive arguments of knowledge”). This lets the network verify a transaction is valid — correct amounts, no double-spending, sender actually owns the funds — without revealing the sender, receiver, or amount.
• Bitcoin is pseudonymous: every transaction is public, just tied to wallet addresses instead of names
• Zcash made transactions optionally fully private: with “shielded” transactions, the blockchain shows almost nothing
Shielded vs. transparent
$Zcash gives users a choice:
• Transparent addresses (t-addr): behave like Bitcoin, fully visible
• Shielded addresses (z-addr): amount, sender, and receiver are all encrypted
This optionality was a deliberate design choice — full privacy by default raised regulatory concerns, so Zcash let users and exchanges opt in.
Why it mattered for crypto broadly
The zk-SNARK cryptography Zcash pioneered didn’t stay confined to private payments — it became foundational to:
• Ethereum’s zk-rollup scaling solutions (zkSync, Starknet, etc.)
• Various zk-based identity and compliance tools
• Broader “zero-knowledge” tech now used well beyond privacy coins
In that sense, Zcash’s biggest legacy may be less “private digital cash” and more “proved zero-knowledge proofs work at scale on a live blockchain,” which seeded an entire subfield of crypto cryptography.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
Schlüssellevels zu beobachten * Unterstützungszone: 👉 $1,635 – $1,620 (aktuelle Tiefstpreiszone) * Widerstandszone: 👉 $1,700 – $1,720 (MA-Cluster + vorherige Unterstützung) Wahrscheinliche Szenarien 🟥 Bärische Fortsetzung (HOHE WAHRSCHAFTLICHKEIT) * Kleiner Bounce → Ablehnung bei $1,700–$1,720 * Dann Fortsetzung nach unten Richtung: * $1,600 * Möglicherweise $1,550 ✔ Dies ist das wahrscheinlichste Szenario gerade jetzt 🟨 Kurzfristiger Erleichterungsbounce (GERINGERE WAHRSCHAFTLICHKEIT) * Preis könnte aus überverkauften Bedingungen bouncen * Ziel: * $1,700–$1,730 * Aber es sei denn, es reclaimt über MA25, bleibt der Trend bärisch.
Schlüssellevels zu beobachten

* Unterstützungszone:
👉 $1,635 – $1,620 (aktuelle Tiefstpreiszone)
* Widerstandszone:
👉 $1,700 – $1,720 (MA-Cluster + vorherige Unterstützung)

Wahrscheinliche Szenarien

🟥 Bärische Fortsetzung (HOHE WAHRSCHAFTLICHKEIT)

* Kleiner Bounce → Ablehnung bei $1,700–$1,720
* Dann Fortsetzung nach unten Richtung:
* $1,600
* Möglicherweise $1,550

✔ Dies ist das wahrscheinlichste Szenario gerade jetzt

🟨 Kurzfristiger Erleichterungsbounce (GERINGERE WAHRSCHAFTLICHKEIT)

* Preis könnte aus überverkauften Bedingungen bouncen
* Ziel:
* $1,700–$1,730
* Aber es sei denn, es reclaimt über MA25, bleibt der Trend bärisch.
Artikel
Übersetzung ansehen
The world is Facing a Liquidity Crisis, What can Happen If countries decide to print more money ?Historically, more money printing has been bullish for Bitcoin and crypto over the medium term — but the path there is rarely smooth, and it depends heavily on why the printing is happening. The core mechanism Crypto behaves almost like a leveraged bet on global liquidity. Cryptocurrencies correlate almost perfectly with global money supply and suffer badly when liquidity contracts — the flip side is also true: when central banks expand balance sheets or governments run the printing presses to patch a liquidity hole, that new money eventually has to find a home, and risk assets (crypto especially) tend to be among the biggest beneficiaries. Bitcoin in particular gets framed as a “systematic barometer” of liquidity, holding a role as digital gold in inflationary times . But the order of operations matters A liquidity crisis usually means stress first, stimulus second. In the initial panic phase, everything sells off together — crypto often falls harder than stocks because it’s the most liquid thing to dump for cash. The rally tends to come once the printing actually hits the system (this is the 2020 COVID playbook: crash in March, then a liquidity-driven melt-up). One analyst’s 2026 outlook makes this exact point: monetary inflation is here to stay as governments’ go-to fix for fiscal/budget woes, but a looming downswing in global liquidity could produce turbulence for risk assets first — if growth accelerates and drains liquidity, risk-off moves could hammer speculative assets before the printing kicks in . Current backdrop This isn’t purely theoretical right now — the Fed has already paused quantitative tightening and started purchasing USD 40 billion in Treasury bills per month through Reserve Management Purchases, alongside rate cuts, suggesting accommodative US liquidity conditions ahead . At the same time, other analysts warn that repo market stress and aggressive QT have drained liquidity buffers, with emergency interventions risking normalizing crisis-era dependence , so the “printing vs. draining” tug-of-war is actively playing out across central banks right now, not in some hypothetical future. The honest caveat: this correlation is a pattern, not a law. Regulatory clampdowns, a credit event severe enough to force forced-selling/deleveraging, or a genuine flight to USD cash can all override the “money printing = crypto up” thesis for a while. Arthur Hayes, who you follow, writes about exactly this dynamic if you want a deeper dive into the mechanics.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

The world is Facing a Liquidity Crisis, What can Happen If countries decide to print more money ?

Historically, more money printing has been bullish for Bitcoin and crypto over the medium term — but the path there is rarely smooth, and it depends heavily on why the printing is happening.
The core mechanism
Crypto behaves almost like a leveraged bet on global liquidity. Cryptocurrencies correlate almost perfectly with global money supply and suffer badly when liquidity contracts — the flip side is also true: when central banks expand balance sheets or governments run the printing presses to patch a liquidity hole, that new money eventually has to find a home, and risk assets (crypto especially) tend to be among the biggest beneficiaries. Bitcoin in particular gets framed as a “systematic barometer” of liquidity, holding a role as digital gold in inflationary times .
But the order of operations matters
A liquidity crisis usually means stress first, stimulus second. In the initial panic phase, everything sells off together — crypto often falls harder than stocks because it’s the most liquid thing to dump for cash. The rally tends to come once the printing actually hits the system (this is the 2020 COVID playbook: crash in March, then a liquidity-driven melt-up). One analyst’s 2026 outlook makes this exact point: monetary inflation is here to stay as governments’ go-to fix for fiscal/budget woes, but a looming downswing in global liquidity could produce turbulence for risk assets first — if growth accelerates and drains liquidity, risk-off moves could hammer speculative assets before the printing kicks in .
Current backdrop
This isn’t purely theoretical right now — the Fed has already paused quantitative tightening and started purchasing USD 40 billion in Treasury bills per month through Reserve Management Purchases, alongside rate cuts, suggesting accommodative US liquidity conditions ahead . At the same time, other analysts warn that repo market stress and aggressive QT have drained liquidity buffers, with emergency interventions risking normalizing crisis-era dependence , so the “printing vs. draining” tug-of-war is actively playing out across central banks right now, not in some hypothetical future.
The honest caveat: this correlation is a pattern, not a law. Regulatory clampdowns, a credit event severe enough to force forced-selling/deleveraging, or a genuine flight to USD cash can all override the “money printing = crypto up” thesis for a while. Arthur Hayes, who you follow, writes about exactly this dynamic if you want a deeper dive into the mechanics.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
$ETH Wichtige Niveaus zu Beobachten. 🔼 Widerstand: * 1750 – 1760 (Bollinger obere + lokale Ablehnungszone) * 1785 (Supertrend → wichtiges Ausbruchsniveau) 🔽 Unterstützung: * 1715 – 1720 (Mittelband + MA25) * 1680 (starke Unterstützungszone) 🧭 Wahrscheinliche Szenarien 🟢 Bullishes Szenario (Höhere Wahrscheinlichkeit Kurzfristig) * Wenn der Preis über 1720 bleibt * Bricht 1755 👉 Erwarten Sie eine Bewegung in Richtung: * 1780 – 1800 ABER: * Wahrscheinlich starkes Ablehnen bei 1785 (Supertrend) 🔴 Bärisches Szenario * Wenn der Preis 1720 verliert * Besonders bei Volumenspitze 👉 Erwarten Sie einen Rückgang in Richtung: * 1700 → 1680
$ETH Wichtige Niveaus zu Beobachten.

🔼 Widerstand:

* 1750 – 1760 (Bollinger obere + lokale Ablehnungszone)
* 1785 (Supertrend → wichtiges Ausbruchsniveau)

🔽 Unterstützung:

* 1715 – 1720 (Mittelband + MA25)
* 1680 (starke Unterstützungszone)

🧭 Wahrscheinliche Szenarien

🟢 Bullishes Szenario (Höhere Wahrscheinlichkeit Kurzfristig)

* Wenn der Preis über 1720 bleibt
* Bricht 1755

👉 Erwarten Sie eine Bewegung in Richtung:

* 1780 – 1800

ABER:

* Wahrscheinlich starkes Ablehnen bei 1785 (Supertrend)

🔴 Bärisches Szenario

* Wenn der Preis 1720 verliert
* Besonders bei Volumenspitze

👉 Erwarten Sie einen Rückgang in Richtung:

* 1700 → 1680
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