The most accurate analysis published yesterday says it all: the CLARITY Act has already passed the Senate committee on May 14 (15-9), it's on the legislative calendar as Calendar No. 423, and the full vote could happen any day in the coming weeks. There's just one piece missing: 7 Democratic votes. The Republicans hold 53 seats — they need 60 to break the filibuster. The two Democrats who voted in committee (Gallego and Alsobrooks) stated that their vote was not a commitment for the full vote. Polymarket gives a 72% chance that it passes in 2026. $XRP is trading at $1.14 with that fork looming.