#Bitcoin up 0.5% today but no real change on the chart. It's still trading in the local range near the lows. I am still watching $65500 and if it gets above there, then it starts showing strength. Whilst below there it is still looking weak. $BTC #crypto #altcoins
MY DAILY TRADING WATCHLIST; The big event today is the $SPACEX IPO. Shares are live at NY open but often aren't available to retail through their brokers for an hour or more. Here are the main things I am watching; -The excitement around the IPO means my bias is for a grind up this morning. I am watching the #Nasdaq to see if it can get above $29678 and potentially push towards 30000. BUT, after the IPO has settled, markets could sell off. So any longs are day trades for me and I am trading cautiously. - #Bitcoin is up slightly this morning and I am watching for some signs of life. The first step would be to get above the local range at $63800. Next step is $65500 and if it gets above there I will start becoming more bullish. I'm not in a trade but waiting for some strength. $BTC - #Gold has had a bounce of relief after Trumps last post. I am sceptical about the move but waiting for the chart to tell me more. $4100 is support and 4380 is resistance. If it gets above 4380 I will become more bullish and start to look for longs. $GOLD - #Mag7 - Ill be watching to see if the SPACEX IPO pulls money out of the other mega caps.
#Bitcoin is up 2% today but no real change in the chart. It is trading within the orange wedge pattern and I am watching that for a break out and a clue as to which way it goes next. This is a bear flag pattern so I slightly favour a break down to make new lows but as it is just above major support, it's not a trade for now. If it can break up, I would look for a regain of $65500 for a sign of strength and then I would consider going long. BUT, I have to take into account the #stockmarket which is looking on the edge of a major breakdown. $BTC #crypto #altcoins #trading
MY DAILY #TRADING #WATCHLIST : The #stockmarket is very edgy right now so I am trading cautiously. These are the main things I am watching today; - Can the #SP500 regain the blue line at $7333? Above here and it is bullish. Below is bearish. - Can $GOLD regain $4100. If it does, that would be a bullish sign and could be a long trade. ( $SILVER is similar with the 64.65 level) - $OIL has to always be on the watchlist until the situation in the middle east calms down. It's still trying to break down from the wedge but for now just about holding - DATA - PPI is released today before NY - IPO - #SpaceX IPO news will start coming out today with a final price set.
#Bitcoin and the #stockmarket getting a bounce this morning. On $BTC , I have added in the orange triangle to show the local pattern I am watching. Break out above this and it can start a move up. Break down and it makes new lows. Overall, this is a bearish pattern so I slightly favour a breakdown. But, the risk reward here at the lows of the chart are not high enough for a trade. So I am just waiting for a bigger sign of strength or a break lower for a better level. #crypto #altcoins
The #stockmarket is down in the overnight and pre market with the #SP500 futures ( $ES ) down 0.7% and the #Nasdaq futures ( $NQ ) down over 1%. There markets are fighting with the crucial blue line support/resistance that they managed to regain late yesterday. Losing this and market structure has changed and the door opens to a bigger correction. I have talked the last few days about how whilst above that, my bias was for short term upside. But there has been some real damage done to the market and investor sentiment this week. I am now 50-50 whilst above the blue line and bearish if we get below. There is #CPI data today and I won't be taking any major positions until that comes out and then I will see where the market settles. In these volatile markets, RISK MANAGEMENT and CAPITAL PRESERVATION is vital. It's very easy to blow up your account on high risk plays. Sometimes it is better to sit out these moves and not lose money. $SPY $SPX $QQQ #trading
The #Stockmarket is having a big down day today again with the #SP500 down 2% and the #Nasdaq down 3.3%. The major levels to watch are $7333 on the SP500 and $28567 on the Nasdaq. If they close below those, the markets have made a lower lower and on this more local time frame, market structure is broken. That doesn't mean the market instantly crashes but it does mean that institutions and big money will start changing the bias and algorithms will reset to not be pushing it up. This is one of a series of stepping stones that make up the bigger picture and change when a market goes from bull to bear. BUT that is not even me saying we are flipping from bull to bear yet, but it would be one step on the ladder. I still do not expect a collapse or much more selling before fridays #SpaceX but this is increasing the probability that markets start to correct after that. I'll try to post my bigger downside targets today or tomorrow when I get a chance. $ES $NQ $SPX $SPY
#Bitcoin is flat today so there is no real change on the chart. I am still in a long but still remain cautious. I posted a long explanation of my trade, how I see it developing and how I am managing it the other day. Nothing has changed so here is the link if its of interest; https://x.com/icooperTrades/status/2063594389134250303?s=20 $BTC #crypto #altcoins
#Bitcoin and #crypto are getting the bounce from the key level it reached on Friday. I posted a long article about my long trade and how I will build, manage and judge over the coming days. I am very interested to see how the #stockmarket futures open up tonight. During recent weeks, the trend has been for every dip to be bought up quickly and new highs to come. But Friday did feel a bit different. On $BTC , I'm watching Fridays low as the must hold for bulls. And above, breaking through 65500 would be a bullish sign. On the $ES ( $SP500 #futures ) a break below 7350 and the cracks start really showing. #trading
#EDUCAȚIE ANALIZĂ: #BITCOIN STRATEGIE DE TRADING; $BTC a fost lovit puternic în ultimele zile și săptămâni și a străpuns 59.8k vineri înainte de a avea un mic bounce astăzi. Am intrat long vineri și am explicat de unde vin nivelurile mele, dar mulți au avut întrebări, așa că iată o trecere în revistă a DE CE am intrat, UNDE sunt targetele mele și CUM se poate dezvolta trade-ul meu. Postarea este pe X, așa că dacă ești interesat, o poți citi aici https://x.com/icooperTrades/status/2063594389134250303?s=20 #trading #crypto #altcoins
#ARGINT O ANALIZĂ PROFUNDĂ; OBIECTIVE ȘI NIVELURI DE TRADING. Tocmai am postat un articol lung despre #aur (linkul la final) și iată echivalentul meu pentru argint. DAR nu vreau să te plictisesc cu statisticile istorice despre scăderile anterioare și raționamentele, deoarece sunt aceleași ca la aur. Argintul a crescut cu 235% și acum este înapoi cu 44% față de maxime. Pe scurt, am scurtat de la peste $100 și am spus atunci că $54 era ținta mea (TRANSPARENȚĂ: Am încheiat acel short acum mult timp și am avut câteva altele, inclusiv un nou short joi, în care sunt încă, deoarece sunt un trader pe termen scurt). -VOLATILITATE ȘI CONTEXT: Argintul este mai volatil decât aurul, așa că mișcările de creștere și retragerile tind să fie mai mari. Este un metal industrial mai mult decât un depozit de valoare/siguranță, deci este mai legat de piața de acțiuni și economie. - Există multă lichiditate pentru a lua puțin sub 64.65, așa că acesta este următorul obiectiv de scădere după ce a spart linia de tendință portocalie (încă nu este confirmat sub linia portocalie) și voi închide shortul meu actual la 64.65, deoarece ar trebui să primească un rebound. - 64.65 este de asemenea perfect nivelul fib 0.618, ceea ce adaugă mai multă forță. Aceasta este o bună retragere, așa că voi considera că este un nivel unde am putea obține un fund. - DAR văd mai jos în aur și în piața de acțiuni, așa că cred că argintul se va lupta să mențină acel nivel. - $54 este următorul nivel de suport și acesta, împreună cu retragerea de 0.75 la 52.30, este cazul meu de bază și unde încep să cumpăr masiv. #metale #trading $SLV $SL $ARGINT
$GOLD got hammered on Friday like all assets. I shorted from 5000 adding every 200 on the way up and was called crazy. I still think we go lower and have written a long article on why and my targets on X. If you are interested go there and read or follow me https://x.com/icooperTrades
WHERE DID THE MONEY GO? STOCKMARKET ANALYSIS AND TARGETS; Yesterday, the #SP500 , $QQQX , $GOLD $BTC and almost everything else was down big. Normally when one area is down, somewhere else is up and people talk about money rotation. BUT not this time. This was just a mini crash day and when they occur, nothing is immune. The reason? A combination of factors; - Some people are attributing it to a strong jobs number and the follow on reduction on chances of rate cuts. Now there is some truth in those points as facts. BUT I do not buy that they were the cause of this. - Some people are saying that money is flowing out of the markets to be ready to go into the #spaceX IPO and the following #anthropic and #openAI IPOs. There will also be some truth in this but that will be more gradual - Some people are saying that the war in Iran will re-ignite and that #oil and global markets need to price that risk in. But oil was down. MY TAKE: the markets are at a peak/nearing a peak of a massive AI bubble. I've posted regularly my thoughts on this so this is NOT calling it after a drop. BUT I have said for several months we are topping. At these points in cycles, investors are well aware of the downside risks. So they are edgy. All 3 of the factors above acted on Friday as kindling in lighting the spark. THEN THE ALGORITHMS KICK IN: Big money all has built in algorithms that kick in and sell once prices move outside an acceptable range. WHERE DOES THIS GO NEXT: The honest answer is that I don't know and no one knows. Do we keep selling on Monday? Again I don't know. Nothing goes in a straight line and we could easily buy the dip on monday and go back to new highs. We could equally continue down another 3-5%. BUT in the medium term I do see a 20+% correction. THE TARGETS: I will post a separate post today. Follow me on X @icooperTrades for more details
#Bitcoin finally pierced $59800 level reaching as low as $59000 earlier and as a result I have now taken a long position. I am looking for a weekend bounce and then I will be moving my stop up to break even for the start of trading next week. BUT, to be clear, $BTC is looking weak and this bounce could easily rollover quickly. It will only be if it reclaims $65360 will I start to think there is any strength here. This is why I am going to be moving my stop quite quickly to break even. This is also part of risk management as if the #stockmarket keeps falling next week, bitcoin will follow it lower. I will be doing some more in depth analysis on the stockmarket this weekend but I will definitely start next week cautiously. If we get above the 65360 level I will then start looking at upside targets. #crypto #altcoins
#Bitcoin down another 5% today and still trying to find a bottom. I have included my 10 min chart to show the amazing $1700 reaction it had from the $59800 level I have mentioned. I didn't take the trade there as I would like a bigger wick through that level before I think the drop is done. I would still like to see it drop through that level and waiting a bit longer to open a position. BUT, I could now miss the bottom and if I do, I'll enter a bit higher on some more strength. $BTC #crypto #trading
MY DAILY TRADING WATCHLIST A lot of markets sold off overnight and I think we could get a lot of volatility today so it could be an exciting day. Here are some of the main charts I am watching; - #stockmarket continues to have positive momentum but there are signs it is weakening. (I posted about this earlier if you want to check it out). I am watching the #SP500 and #Nasdaq closely for market structure changes or just continued upside. - $SILVER is down 1.6% overnight and I am watching to see of the orange line breaks. If it does, $64.65 is next and a possible QUICK/DAY TRADE buy. ( $GOLD is also getting close to the vertex of it's wedge) - #Bitcoin is trying to put in a bottom (shown by the last 2 days of wicks) but I still want to see $59800 taken. I am looking for the right entry for a long $BTC - #Nvidia is trying to hold above the $212 level I talked about weeks ago. Just having it's 3rd bounce from there but each one is getting weaker. I continue to watch that level and think it breaks soon. If it does, $195 is likely and thats my buy level. $NVDA - As always, I continue to watch $OIL but nothing happening so far today. And $NATGAS too.
The #stockmarket has sold off overnight and is certainly looking more on edge than at any point in the last few days/weeks. My thoughts, plans and key levels remain the same as in the posts yesterday (I posted a long piece about market structure explaining this in detail yesterday). I still have a LONG bias until momentum and market structure change but there are signs that could happen. So today should be an interesting day. But for now, I am still looking day trade longs with 30000 on the $NQ the first zone I am watching now. AND I still hold my swing trade shorts. $ES $NQ $SPY $SPX $QQQ #trading
Markets across the board have sold off overnight and #Bitcoin as a risk asset and with it's current lack of interest sold off massively. Down another 3.8% currently. As I mentioned yesterday, it is now in an area that, whilst I still expect a bit lower, it is due a decent bounce and I am looking for the right entry. My plan remains the same. Wait for it to sweep the liquidity below the Feb 6th low and then watch for the reaction. There's a good chance I'll enter a long there but it will depend on the reaction. $BTC #crypto #altcoins
I don't buy the privacy excitement in relation to #monero (I think there will be privacy winners but they will be newer and better tech than monero). BUT from a chart point of view, the orange trend line is crucial to hold for bulls. Whilst above there it can bounce up again. Break that line (I think it probably will) and I don't see a lot to trade until $257. That would be the first place I would consider buying with add level shown in white. Above, $419 is resistance. Another option for a trade would be to wait for it to break above the yellow line and then retrace. This would be a sign of strength and a good trade IMO. $XMR #crypto #trading
#Bitcoin este în scădere cu puțin sub 1% în prezent pentru ziua de azi. Deși pare că va fi o altă zi roșie, a crescut de la minimele intra-zilnice și formează o candelă mare. Aceasta nu este o candelă de fundare, dar rămâne o potențială candelă de reversare. A luat lichiditatea sub candelă din 24 februarie astăzi și asta a generat rebound-ul intra-zilnic. Însă, cred că trebuie să spargă minimul din 6 februarie înainte să putem considera că a atins fundul. DAR, având în vedere asta, nu scot poziții la aceste niveluri și caut poziții long. Dar cu această slăbiciune (și gândurile mele de mai sus), trebuie să văd puțină forță înainte să încerc un long. Mi-ar plăcea să văd o închidere a unei candele de cel puțin 4 ore deasupra 65360 (aratat prin linia albastră) înainte să intru. Alternativ, voi căuta și un long dacă sparge nivelul 59800. $BTC #crypto #altcoins