It is a one-square-mile medieval enclave with its own laws, its own government, its own police force, and its own mayor — separate from the Mayor of London.
It operates outside British law by design.
It is the global capital of offshore banking, money laundering, and financial secrecy.
Every corrupt oligarch, every rogue intelligence agency, every dark money operation on earth runs capital through it.
It has operated this way since the medieval era.
Pressure Britain to annex it. Force it to comply with modern banking regulations. Then watch trillions in dark money get flushed out of the shadows and into legitimate markets.
I believe both the crypto market and the stock market have reached a point where we’re likely to see a major shift in trend, a change in market behavior, or something we’ve never seen before.
Throughout Bitcoin’s entire history, every major cycle has respected a declining trend angle. Today, that angle has compressed to around 3.22°.
If Bitcoin continues to follow this long-term rule, it becomes increasingly difficult for the market to produce a new all-time high. In my opinion, this suggests that the current cycle is approaching a critical turning point.
Because of that, I expect something unusual to happen next. It could be a long-term sideways market, or it could be a deep correction that resets the entire market structure before the next major expansion begins.
Time will reveal which scenario plays out, but one thing is clear to me: the market is approaching a point where the character of this cycle is likely to change. $MMT $B
SOL has broken below the lower boundary of the bearish flag channel, and at this moment, after a brief consolidation, a move lower is expected to be seen.
The reason I was cautious in April was simply because the market structure wasn't fully bullish yet. At that point, the market could have moved in either direction, teaching what a constructive bullish structure should look like—or, in the bearish scenario, printing new lows.
Now, after revisiting the chart, we can clearly see that the structure broke down, and new lows were on the table for both BTC and ETH.
Looking at ETH in particular, we're now attempting to form a double bottom. As long as we're holding support above the lower timeframe EMAs, we can say that price wants to move higher for now, targeting at least the 2,050–2,100 area.
But the real test comes next just like it did in April. If the structure manages to hold a higher low, then ETH will become strongly bullish, and we'll likely revisit the 2,800–3,000+ area.
At the same time, if the structure fails to hold once again, there's a strong probability we'll sweep those equal lows before moving higher.
I was bullish then, and I still am bullish on the macro timeframe even if Ethereum were to drop to 1,000 because of strong DCA levels i have in mind.
If you want to learn more in depth about market structure and how I analyze the market, check the link in my bio.
Every time BTC sold off, found a local bottom, and then consolidated for a long time, I noticed the same pattern from people.
Once price fails to continue selling off, people get confident, but at the same time, very emotional. Perhaps most of them are suffering a big drawdown… or even worse, they sold the exact bottom, capitulated, and then bought back at higher prices because they were afraid of getting sidelined.. a vicious cycle.
I have said this many times: Bitcoin bear markets are BRUTAL from a psychology perspective. Not good for the inexperienced trader.
I am starting to notice that cocky confidence from some people whenever I post my view on the current state of the trend. Although I am not as bearish as I was months ago, I can’t help but notice the behavior from a lot of people, either mocking me or “advising” me that I should buy here, DCA, or whatever.
Some are respectful, and I respect their opinion. Everyone should follow their own analysis.
But many are disrespectful. And I am pretty sure that once Bitcoin bounces high enough into the value area I have been pointing to SINCE EARLY JUNE, I will get a lot of hate and insults again: “stupid bear.”
I am not a bear. I am a swing trader. You want to go against me? Go ahead. But if you are getting emotional from my posts only because I am pointing out zones where I believe there is a high probability of price getting rejected and possibly continuing the downtrend, then you should probably ask yourself whether you truly have conviction in your decision to buy.
All my trades are perfectly documented on my X account. It is basically my trading journal. Even better, my Substack articles point exactly to everything I have been doing. I've wrote very few of them so it's very easy for you to check..
But at least I have the balls to make it public.
Anyway, I really want to see $BTC reach the $67k–$70k zone. It will be funny to see all the emotional “traders” insult me again, only to get wrecked once again
We are in June and we've only reached 58K, this is only a trading plan I have for now if we do not hold a higher low after taking 73K, then we could make one final low into the 55K region, printing a deviation to the downside, just like we printed one to the upside in May.
Back when I made this statement at 66k I was very bullish and thought we could reach 90K–96K before the correction. However, we topped out around 80K–82K. That hasn't changed my perspective in any way that a pullback in June can still happen. At the same time, that doesn't mean 90K–96K won't get filled. Based on my macro perspective, after printing a bottom here, I still see 90K–96K being taken regardless for Bitcoin.
Either way right now on the LTF, we are currently watching both the 100 EMA and the 200 EMA, which align perfectly with the range levels of 68.3K and 73.7K. These levels serve as our LTF bullish targets and can also provide a short opportunity when the time comes, to target either a higher low around 61K or a new low below 58K into the 55K region. $BTC
HISTORICAL BEAR MARKETS ENTERED THEIR SHARPEST PHASE NEAR THE END
Bitcoin's previous bear markets often experienced some of their largest declines during the final months of the correction.
Historical examples include:
2014 — Approximately 67% decline during the final phase.
2018 — Approximately 54% decline before the market stabilized.
2022 — Approximately 33% decline leading into the eventual cycle low.
These historical patterns are why some analysts believe the current market could still experience elevated volatility before establishing a confirmed long-term bottom.
History can provide valuable context, but every cycle is influenced by different economic conditions, liquidity, and investor sentiment. The next phase will depend on how the market responds to upcoming macroeconomic and technical developments.
In the last two major bear markets, BTC/Gold bottoms came almost exactly 14 months after the ratio topped.
2017 top to 2019 bottom - 13.7 Months
2021 top to 2023 bottom - 14.5 Months
This cycle, the final major BTC/Gold high came in August 2025. We are only around 10.8 months from that high.
If the same timing plays out again, the real bottom window is not now. It is October 2026, right before the US midterms.
This also gives BTC/Gold enough time to bleed toward the major 9 region, which has been one of the most important levels on that chart historically.
So yes, Bitcoin can bounce here. It can trap shorts and squeeze late bears but if BTC/Gold is following the same pattern as the last two cycles, we are still around 3 months early.