Uncle Pa's Daily | March 30
Middle East Situation · Crypto Quick Review
【Qualitative】: Bearish ❎
【Logic】: Large-scale airstrikes + Blockade of shipping lanes + Hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve
1. Iran's Call
- Event: The Iranian Speaker stated that the pre-market news is a “profit-taking trap,” urging everyone to do the opposite.
- Interpretation: Pure rhetoric interference, ineffective in the face of real battle ❎
2. Escalation of Conflict
- Event: Israeli military dropped over 120 munitions on weapon production lines; Iran retaliated, claiming it would strike at the residences of U.S. and Israeli “military and political personnel.”
- Interpretation: Nature of the conflict has fundamentally changed, personal threats heighten the war premium ❎
3. Hormuz in Crisis
- Event: The number of passing vessels plummeted from 138 to 11.
- Interpretation: Energy artery comes to a halt, inflation expectations soar ❎
4. Federal Reserve Personnel
- Event: The confirmation hearing for Waller as Chair of the Federal Reserve may take place in April.
- Interpretation: Expectations of a hawkish return, bearish for liquidity ❎
【Strategy】
Short BTC at highs in the short term or wait and see, strictly control leverage
$BTC $ETH $BNB #美国“无王”抗议 #比特币ETF价格战 #全球市场波动 #特朗普再挺比特币 #BTC行情
Middle East Situation · Crypto Quick Review
【Qualitative】: Bearish ❎
【Logic】: Large-scale airstrikes + Blockade of shipping lanes + Hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve
1. Iran's Call
- Event: The Iranian Speaker stated that the pre-market news is a “profit-taking trap,” urging everyone to do the opposite.
- Interpretation: Pure rhetoric interference, ineffective in the face of real battle ❎
2. Escalation of Conflict
- Event: Israeli military dropped over 120 munitions on weapon production lines; Iran retaliated, claiming it would strike at the residences of U.S. and Israeli “military and political personnel.”
- Interpretation: Nature of the conflict has fundamentally changed, personal threats heighten the war premium ❎
3. Hormuz in Crisis
- Event: The number of passing vessels plummeted from 138 to 11.
- Interpretation: Energy artery comes to a halt, inflation expectations soar ❎
4. Federal Reserve Personnel
- Event: The confirmation hearing for Waller as Chair of the Federal Reserve may take place in April.
- Interpretation: Expectations of a hawkish return, bearish for liquidity ❎
【Strategy】
Short BTC at highs in the short term or wait and see, strictly control leverage
$BTC $ETH $BNB #美国“无王”抗议 #比特币ETF价格战 #全球市场波动 #特朗普再挺比特币 #BTC行情