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$XRP Opportunities in crypto rarely arrive fully formed. They often emerge subtly, through key support levels, historical patterns, and statistical indicators. Traders who spot these moments early can position themselves strategically, capturing potential gains while others react emotionally to volatility. For XRP, one such moment may be approaching, drawing attention from both technical analysts and market participants.
Chart analyst ChartNerd highlighted this scenario in a recent X post, describing a potential buying opportunity near $0.73. He noted that this level aligns with historical macro bottoms observed on the 3-month Gaussian Channel upper regression band.
Past retests of this zone triggered strong vertical expansions, suggesting that a similar pattern today could create favorable conditions for disciplined buyers ready to act on data rather than emotion.

👉Historical Patterns Signal Opportunity
XRP has shown a consistent tendency for sharp recoveries after reaching macro support zones. The Gaussian Channel regression band offers a statistical framework to identify these critical levels.
ChartNerd’s analysis reveals that previous interactions with this channel frequently preceded significant upward movements. Understanding these patterns allows traders to anticipate potential market behavior instead of reacting to short-term noise.
👉Key Support Levels Drive Momentum
Maintaining a price above $1.17, established during a multi-year fractal breakout, is crucial for sustaining bullish momentum. ChartNerd emphasizes that if XRP holds this support, the market could bypass intermediate dips and accelerate toward short-term upside targets between $8 and $13.
Successfully defending these levels strengthens the probability of reaching upper boundary targets sooner, highlighting the importance of patience and strategic positioning in volatile markets.
👉Data-Driven Trading Versus Emotional Reactions
The scenario underscores the importance of disciplined, data-driven trading. Historical patterns, regression analysis, and fractal structures all point to a potential accumulation phase that could reward long-term holders.
ChartNerd advises waiting for confirmation at critical support levels rather than chasing reactive price movements. By focusing on structural signals, traders can reduce risk while positioning for meaningful gains.
👉Implications for Investors
If this opportunity materializes, XRP could enter a phase of accelerated upward movement, rewarding disciplined traders and long-term holders alike. Beyond short-term gains, such a move could reflect renewed confidence in XRP’s utility in cross-border payments and its broader adoption in financial systems.
XRP’s current setup demonstrates how statistical rigor and historical analysis can reveal rare opportunities in highly volatile markets. For those prepared to act strategically, the coming weeks may offer one of the most compelling windows for positioning in XRP yet.

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$XRP Paplašinātās lejupslīdes bieži pārbauda investoru pacietību, taču tās var arī sagatavot nozīmīgām apgriešanām. XRP ir pievērsa šo uzmanību pēdējos mēnešos, jo pastāvīga pārdošanas spiediena dominēja noskaņojumu. Tirgotājiem un analītiķiem jautājums ir, vai šī sērija turpināsies vai arī atgūšanās ir tuvojas.
Krypto izstrādātājs Bērds uzsvēra šo dinamiku nesenajā X ierakstā, analizējot XRP mēneša diagrammu 2026. gada februārī. Viņš norādīja, ka XRP ir fiksējis gandrīz piecus secīgus sarkanos mēneša sveces, modelis, kas atspoguļo vēsturisko precedentu.

$XRP Kriptovalūtu tirgos lielākie maki bieži stāsta vissvarīgāko stāstu. Kamēr cenu diagrammas dominē virsrakstus, lielie turētāji klusi veido likviditātes apstākļus aiz ainas. Kad vaļi uzkrāj, piedāvājums sašaurinās. Kad tie izplata, svārstīgums bieži seko. Tāpēc augšējo adresu izsekošana ir būtiska, lai izprastu XRP plašāku tirgus struktūru.
Kriptovalūtu analītiķis Čads Steingraber nesen izcēla šo dinamiku ierakstā X, daloties ar atjauninātiem vaļu koncentrācijas datiem par XRP. Saskaņā ar viņa norādītajiem skaitļiem, 100 labākās XRP adreses pašlaik tur 25.77 miljardus XRP. Ņemot vērā XRP fiksēto maksimālo piedāvājumu 100 miljardu tokenu apjomā, šie maki kopā kontrolē aptuveni 25% no kopējā piedāvājuma.

$XRP When Apple updates its payment infrastructure, markets listen. The company sits at the center of global consumer technology, and even incremental financial features can signal broader shifts in how money moves. With digital payments accelerating worldwide, every major announcement invites speculation about which networks power the next generation of finance.
Crypto commentator Paul White Gold Eagle amplified that speculation after Apple unveiled expanded “Tap to Pay” functionality between iPhones as part of its iOS 18 rollout. In his X post, he highlighted that the word “Ripple” appeared among financial-related terms during the presentation. He argued that this reference supports the view that XRP underpins the emerging financial system.
👉What did Apple Confirmed in Its Announcement
Apple’s Tap to Pay feature allows merchants to accept contactless payments directly on compatible iPhones using near-field communication technology. The system integrates with Apple Pay and existing payment networks, enabling users to complete transactions without additional hardware. Apple continues to deepen its financial services ecosystem through wallet integration, embedded payments, and partnerships with regulated financial institutions.

However, Apple has not released any official documentation confirming direct integration with Ripple or XRP within iOS 18. The company traditionally collaborates with major payment processors and banking partners to facilitate its services. Public records and official announcements do not currently list XRP as an operational component of Apple’s payment rails.
👉Ripple’s Role in Global Payments
Ripple focuses on enterprise-grade cross-border settlement solutions. Its infrastructure aims to reduce reliance on correspondent banking networks that require pre-funded accounts across multiple jurisdictions. XRP functions as a bridge asset within certain Ripple liquidity solutions, allowing near-instant transfers without locking up large capital reserves.
Although Ripple and XRP now enjoy improved regulatory standing in the United States, regulatory clarity alone does not confirm consumer-facing integration with major technology platforms.
👉Distinguishing Momentum From Confirmation
Apple’s broader push into seamless digital payments aligns with Ripple’s long-standing vision of faster, more efficient financial rails. Yet thematic alignment does not automatically equal direct collaboration. A reference to “Ripple” in a presentation slide may reflect industry acknowledgment rather than technical deployment.
Paul White Gold Eagle’s assertion captures growing optimism within the XRP community. Supporters view expanding digital payment infrastructure as validation of blockchain-based solutions. However, verifiable partnerships, official filings, and confirmed integrations remain the standard for establishing infrastructure claims.
The global financial system continues to digitize at a rapid pace. Whether XRP ultimately anchors that transformation depends on confirmed adoption, not interpretation.

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$BTC Bitcoin has pulled back to its Anchored VWAP from the 2022 bear market lows near $62,300 — a major volume-weighted fair value level that could define whether the post-2022 accumulation cycle stays intact or breaks down further.
👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a significant technical benchmark around the Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (AVWAP) from the 2022 bear market lows, near $62,300. BTC is currently sitting right at this volume-weighted fair value level from its longer accumulation cycle. The monthly chart shows Bitcoin trading near $63,180, closely aligned with the AVWAP reference at approximately $62,328 — a convergence of price and historic volume that traders aren't taking lightly.

👉 The AVWAP works as a structural equilibrium point, tracking average trading prices weighted by volume since major cycle lows. After an extended rally through 2024 and into 2025 that pushed BTC well above six figures, the recent pullback has brought it back to this anchored average. The shaded support corridor on the chart runs from roughly $62,000 to $75,000 — a zone where buyers and sellers have historically been most active and where price could find footing during the current retracement.
When BTC returns to its long-cycle AVWAP, it's not just a number — it's where the market decides if accumulation still means something.
👉 This encounter with the anchored fair value level ties directly into broader support dynamics shaping Bitcoin's price behavior. Bitcoin Price Holds $66K Support Zone as $68K Resistance Tests Begin — mid-range support between $66,000 and $68,000 has been a recurring battleground, with micro clusters driving short-term momentum decisions. When these levels hold, consolidation tends to follow before the next directional push. A clean break below them, on the other hand, opens the door to deeper corrective moves.
👉 The stakes are clear: a sustained hold around the $62,300 AVWAP suggests the post-2022 accumulation cycle is still on track. A decisive close below it could signal a more extended correction phase. Bitcoin Eyes $69K Target as $68.4K Support Level Defines Next Move — and how BTC reacts at this long-standing volume-weighted reference will shape that path. Bitcoin Tests $67K Support as Traders Debate Bottom or Lower Leg — the debate is very much alive, and the AVWAP at $62.3K sits at the center of it.

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$ETH Monthly transactions on the Ethereum network are approaching 70 million in early 2026, hitting multi-year highs after a long consolidation phase between 30M and 40M transactions.
👉 Ethereum's on-chain activity is heating up. Monthly transactions are pushing toward 70 million in early 2026, a level that marks a genuine cycle high after years of the network grinding sideways. The chart data from The Block shows bars climbing steadily — this isn't a one-month spike, it's a sustained move beyond the 30M-40M consolidation band that defined much of the previous cycle. For anyone watching Ethereum's record usage alongside fees falling below $1, the timing makes sense.

👉 The buildup didn't happen overnight. Activity began accelerating through 2024 and 2025 before breaking into the current elevated range. Lower gas fees and expanding Layer-2 adoption have quietly made the network accessible to far more users and apps, which shows up directly in these numbers.
Sustained growth in Ethereum's transaction volumes demonstrates that the network's role as a settlement layer remains strong.
👉 What's driving 70 million monthly transactions? A mix of everything — stablecoin transfers, DeFi interactions, smart contract calls, and growing dApp usage. Layer-1 throughput is holding up, while L2 solutions are efficiently handling overflow. Interestingly, this growth is happening even as ETH price has shown mixed performance, which suggests the demand is fundamentally driven rather than purely speculative. It's also worth noting that network activity surges aren't unique to Ethereum — similar momentum has appeared across the broader crypto ecosystem.
👉 Approaching new cycle highs in transaction count is one of the cleaner signals in on-chain analysis. It points to real, expanding usage rather than a market driven by narrative alone. For those building a longer-term view, this kind of metric — alongside picks from the best crypto assets with real growth potential — matters more than short-term price action. Watching how these numbers evolve over the coming months will tell a lot about where Ethereum's adoption cycle is truly headed.

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$XRP Kriptovalūtu investors un tirgotājs Xaif Crypto ir izdevis atjauninājumu par būtisku likumdošanas attīstību Arizonā, norādot, ka uzklausīšana, ko viņš raksturoja kā “$XRP Rezervju likumprojektu” ir plānota 23. februārī.
Uzklausīšana notiks 8:45 AM (MST) Kaukāza telpā 1 pirms Noteikumu komitejas, saskaņā ar oficiālo paziņojumu, kas redzams pievienotajās attēlā.
Twiiterī minētie dokumenti identificē likumdošanu kā Senāta likumprojektu 1649, kas tika ieviests piecdesmit septītajā likumdevējā, otrajā regulārajā sesijā 2026. gadā.

#vitaliksells The cryptocurrency market has been stirred up again by the wallet movements of Ethereum (ETH) co-founder Vitalik Buterin, who has been very active in selling throughout February 2026. The massive sell-off comes amidst fragile market conditions, sparking concerns among investors about the future of the world’s number two digital asset price.
In addition to Vitalik’s sell-off, a sharp increase in inflows to global exchanges and a decline in staking interest have put additional pressure on the ecosystem. Observers are now wondering whether this barrage of negative signals will drag prices down further or be part of a healthy asset redistribution for the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
👉Vitalik Buterin Releases 8,800 ETH Worth Rp310 Billion

Vitalik Buterin has sold more than 8,800 ETH throughout February 2026. The total value of the assets released is estimated at $18.45 million or equivalent to Rp310.5 billion if converted using an exchange rate of Rp16,829 per US dollar. This sell-off is actually part of Vitalik’s strategic plan to allocate a total of 16,384 ETH to support various long-term initiatives over the next few years.
Vitalik also shared on social media that he is exploring more secure decentralized staking options in order to repurpose his staking reward capital for development purposes. The impact of this series of sales has been significant on the price movements in the crypto market.
In early February, Vitalik sold around 6,958 ETH which coincided with Ethereum’s (ETH) price slump of 22.7% from $2,360 to $1,825. More recently, in the last two days alone, he reportedly offloaded another 1,869 ETH which triggered a further 5.7% price drop in a short period of time. Despite his massive selling volume, data shows that Vitalik Buterin still holds a total balance of 224,105 ETH in his main digital wallet.
👉Inflows to Binance hit record high since 2025

Around the same time as the founder’s sell-off, Ethereum (ETH) inflows to the Binance exchange recorded a surge to its highest level since November 2025. Total deposits to the exchange over the past 30 days have reached a fantastic $33.3 billion.
The surge in inflows to exchanges is often taken by analysts as an indication that investors are preparing to make quick deals or even liquidate their assets. The largest exchange deposits in recent months put considerable psychological pressure on retail traders who are monitoring price movements.
While an increase in exchange inflows is usually considered a bearish or negative signal, some analysts mention that this phenomenon could also reflect strategic repositories by big players. Under conditions of extremely high market volatility, investors tend to move their assets to centralized exchanges in order to respond more instantly to price movements.
However, you should remain vigilant because if the additional supply in the market is not immediately absorbed by strong market demand, the downward price pressure may continue for some time to come. This puts the market in a highly sensitive phase to global macroeconomic news.
👉Declining Staking Interest Increases Liquid Supply Risk

The general state of the cryptocurrency market looks increasingly challenging with reports of a sharp decline in demand for Ethereum (ETH) staking activity. Asset holders now seem to have a higher preference for holding their liquidity directly rather than locking it in the network protocol for yield.
Macroeconomic uncertainty as well as investors’ rapidly declining risk appetite are the main reasons why many have begun to move away from long-term commitments in these networks. This reflects the cautious attitude of large financiers amidst a downward trend that shows no sign of ending.
The direct impact of this reduced staking activity is the increased amount of freely circulating Ethereum (ETH) supply or liquid supply in the market. When more coins are available for trading while demand from new buyers remains low, this automatically creates additional selling pressure on the price chart.
You should note that the current price movement of ETH is highly dependent on how the market is able to absorb the abundant liquidity amidst the global downtrend. As of now, Ethereum (ETH) is still trading at around $1,868.04, which means it has decreased by around 5.35% in the last 24 hours.

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$XRP A 50% price drop usually triggers panic. Traders question conviction, critics resurface, and social media amplifies fear. XRP now finds itself in that exact moment. Yet while retail investors react to sharp volatility, another narrative has begun to circulate—one that shifts attention from short-term price to long-term institutional positioning.
Crypto commentator Armando Pantoja brought that narrative to the forefront in a recent video on X. He stated that JPMorgan ranked Ripple’s XRP highly in a private institutional briefing, describing it as one of the strongest crypto assets for banks based on regulatory alignment, liquidity, and transaction efficiency. His remarks quickly ignited debate across the digital asset community.
👉Retail Fear Versus Institutional Strategy
XRP’s recent decline has occurred during broader crypto market weakness. Market-wide corrections often reflect liquidity contraction and macro uncertainty rather than structural flaws in a single asset. Retail investors typically respond to visible price damage. Institutions, however, evaluate infrastructure value, settlement efficiency, and long-term cost reduction.

Pantoja argues that banks care less about today’s volatility and more about whether an asset solves real financial bottlenecks. That distinction matters. Short-term traders react to candles. Institutions study systems.
👉Why Banks Continue to Study XRP
Global banking infrastructure still relies heavily on correspondent networks that require pre-funded accounts across jurisdictions. That structure locks up capital and slows settlement times. Ripple designed XRP to enable near-instant cross-border transfers without requiring banks to park large sums in multiple countries.
Regulatory clarity also plays a decisive role. The Ripple-SEC case formally concluded in August 2025 after both parties withdrew their appeals and the appellate court approved those withdrawals. That resolution removed a major uncertainty cloud in the United States and strengthened XRP’s institutional viability.
Although JPMorgan has not publicly released a report declaring XRP the top crypto for banks, large financial institutions continuously evaluate blockchain-based settlement tools. JPMorgan itself has developed blockchain payment infrastructure through its Onyx platform and JPM Coin initiative. Institutional exploration of digital asset rails remains active across the sector.
👉Volatility Is Structural, Not Unique
Crypto trades continuously across global exchanges without circuit breakers or centralized volatility controls. That structure naturally produces sharper price swings than traditional equity markets. XRP’s decline reflects broader market dynamics rather than isolated weakness. If XRP had collapsed while the rest of the market remained stable, concerns would carry more weight.
👉The Broader Implication
Pantoja’s claim underscores a larger tension in crypto markets: retail participants focus on price, while institutions focus on infrastructure. Whether JPMorgan formally elevates XRP or simply studies it, the discussion alone signals that XRP remains part of the institutional conversation. In volatile markets, perception shifts can matter as much as price.

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$XRP Crypto expert Jake Claver has issued a blunt warning to XRP holders and the wider digital asset community, emphasizing that hardware wallets offer no protection against legal enforcement actions.
In a recent post on X, Claver stated clearly that while hardware wallets are effective tools against cybercriminals, they provide no defense when confronted with a lawful court order.
“Your hardware wallet protects you from hackers. It does nothing against a court order,” Claver wrote. He added that when the Internal Revenue Service appears with legal authority, claiming that crypto assets were lost “in a boating accident” does not constitute a valid legal defense.
The message was targeted at individuals who believe that self-custody through hardware wallets places their holdings beyond the reach of government authorities. Claver’s post focused on clarifying the distinction between technological security and legal accountability.

👉Court Orders Override Self-Custody Protections
Claver’s statement underscores a central issue in digital asset ownership: self-custody prevents unauthorized third-party access, but it does not nullify legal obligations.
Hardware wallets are designed to secure private keys offline, reducing exposure to hacks and exchange failures. However, as Claver emphasized, compliance with tax laws and court directives remains mandatory regardless of where or how assets are stored.
His comments come amid ongoing discussions within the crypto community about tax liabilities, asset reporting, and enforcement mechanisms. By highlighting the limits of hardware wallet protection, Claver aimed to correct what he appears to view as a misconception among some investors.
The reference to the cited “boating accident” narrative reflects a long-running joke in crypto circles, where holders claim to have lost access to funds to avoid disclosure. Claver made it clear that such claims do not withstand legal scrutiny when examined under formal investigation.
👉Community Reactions Address Legal and Tax Risks
Following Claver’s post, several users contributed perspectives on enforcement and taxation. Dan Thurman, known online as @MotiveXRP, responded that legitimately losing access to funds can be a defense, noting that the burden of proof rests with authorities.
However, he warned that lying to federal officials constitutes a felony offense. He added that once funds are moved, discrepancies can be detected, potentially leading to charges of tax evasion or wire fraud, including financial penalties, interest, and possible imprisonment.
Another user, DanielThaLion, argued that holders are not taxed on unrealized gains and suggested that if XRP appreciates significantly, investors could borrow against their holdings through decentralized finance platforms without triggering taxable events.
Claver’s original message, however, remained focused on legal compliance. His position was unambiguous: technological tools cannot shield individuals from statutory obligations. For XRP holders and other crypto investors, the post serves as a reminder that asset security and regulatory compliance are separate issues, and that failing to recognize this distinction may carry serious consequences.

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#BİNANCE reported a 96.8% decline in sanctions-category exposure as a share of exchange volumes from January 2024 to July 2025, with the figure falling from roughly 0.284% to 0.009% over the period.
👉 Binance says its sanctions-related exposure dropped 96.8% between January 2024 and July 2025. The exchange linked the decline to stronger internal controls and improved risk management. The data tracks total exposure to the sanctions category as a percentage of exchange volumes, with a clear downward regression trendline running through the entire period.

👉 At the start of 2024, exposure sat at roughly 0.284% of total volume. It stayed elevated through the first half of the year before starting to ease, with a labeled point around mid-2024 still showing approximately 0.238%. The slide became more pronounced heading into late 2024, and by January 2025 the chart highlights a reading near 0.044% - making clear this was a sustained contraction, not a brief dip. For anyone tracking crypto compliance trends heading into 2026, that kind of multi-month compression is exactly the type of data that matters.
Sanctions-category exposure, measured as a share of exchange volumes, steadily declined from early 2024 levels to a materially lower reading by mid-2025.
👉 The compression continued into mid-2025. By July, the figure had fallen to roughly 0.009% - effectively approaching the bottom of the plotted range. Binance framed the shift as a risk-management outcome driven by tighter controls and enhanced monitoring, rather than a one-time event. The consistency of the downtrend across multiple reporting intervals supports that reading.
👉 Sanctions screening has become one of the more closely watched operational metrics for major crypto venues, especially as regulatory scrutiny increases across jurisdictions. The persistent downtrend across 2024 and into 2025 fits the broader pattern of exchanges across Europe and globally strengthening oversight frameworks to maintain access to international markets. For Binance specifically, the numbers add weight to its argument that compliance infrastructure has meaningfully improved over the past 18 months.

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$XRP Crypto markets thrive on anticipation. A single date, dropped without context, can ignite waves of speculation across trading desks and social media feeds. When traders sense that something significant may be approaching, volatility often rises before any official confirmation appears. That dynamic now surrounds XRP after a bold claim placed one specific date under the spotlight.
Crypto commentator Cobb stirred the community after posting on X that February 29 would be “huge for XRP,” adding that he had received “massive inside info.” His statement quickly spread across the XRP ecosystem, prompting traders to question what major development could justify such confidence.
👉The Leap Year Detail That Changes Everything
A critical calendar fact immediately shapes this discussion. The year 2026 is not a leap year, which means February 29 does not exist this year. The most recent leap year occurred in 2024, and the next will arrive in 2028. This reality forces market participants to interpret the statement carefully.

If Cobb referenced February 29, 2028, the claim points to a longer-term horizon. If he meant 2026, the date cannot occur. That discrepancy alone has intensified debate, with some suggesting symbolism while others suspect a simple misstatement.
👉XRP’s Current Market Environment
XRP now operates in a fundamentally different environment compared to prior cycles. The Ripple-SEC litigation formally concluded in August 2025. With legal uncertainty resolved, investors now evaluate XRP based on adoption, liquidity expansion, exchange flows, and broader crypto sentiment.
Recent price action shows consolidation within tightening technical structures, suggesting that traders already anticipate a significant move. In such conditions, rumors can amplify volatility, especially when influential voices hint at undisclosed developments.
👉Speculation Versus Verification
Crypto history shows that vague “inside info” claims often trigger short-term price reactions. However, sustainable rallies typically require confirmed catalysts such as institutional partnerships, regulatory approvals, exchange-traded product launches, or major network upgrades.
As of now, no official regulatory filing, corporate announcement, or protocol update publicly aligns with February 29, 2026. Responsible analysis demands a clear separation between speculation and documented developments. Without verifiable evidence, the claim remains unconfirmed.
👉Market Discipline Remains Key
Cobb’s statement has undeniably captured attention, and markets frequently move on anticipation alone. Still, disciplined investors prioritize confirmed information, measurable on-chain activity, and validated announcements before adjusting long-term positions.
Until credible details surface, February 29 remains a focal point driven by intrigue rather than evidence. For XRP traders, the smarter approach lies in preparation, not assumption.

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CoinShares data shows $XRP racked up $105M in month-to-date inflows while Bitcoin lost $579M and Ethereum shed $117M over the same period - a rare divergence in institutional crypto flows.
👉 Institutional money kept flowing into XRP the week ending February 20, even as Bitcoin and Ethereum continued to bleed. According to CoinShares' latest report, XRP pulled in roughly $3.5 million for the week - pushing its month-to-date total to a solid $105 million. That puts it in rare company right now, with most major crypto assets still sitting in outflow territory. For a deeper look at what's driving this shift, XRP Price Poised to Challenge Bitcoin ETF Dominance as Market Eyes Reallocation Shift breaks down the bigger picture.

👉 The numbers for $BTC Bitcoin and $ETH Ethereum tell a very different story. BTC saw $215.3 million in net outflows for the week alone, stacking on top of $579 million month-to-date withdrawals and a staggering -$1.298 billion year-to-date. Ethereum wasn't far behind, logging $36.5 million in weekly outflows and $117.5 million for the month. XRP, meanwhile, sits at $151 million year-to-date - one of the few major assets actually in the green. As the data shows, BTC and ETH ETFs Log Major Net Outflows - and there's little sign that trend is reversing anytime soon.
XRP's inflows suggest selective demand for alternative digital assets while Bitcoin and Ethereum products see ongoing net withdrawals.
👉 Elsewhere, Solana added $3.3 million on the week and $41.6 million month-to-date, offering another pocket of positive momentum. Short Bitcoin products brought in $5.5 million weekly, though they remain negative for the month. Multi-asset products saw $32.5 million in outflows. All in, total digital asset investment products shed $288 million for the week and $607 million month-to-date, putting year-to-date flows at -$1.595 billion. Total assets under management across these products stood at around $130.4 billion. More on XRP's recent momentum: XRP (Ripple) Pulls in $11 Million as $2 Becomes the New Normal.

👉 What the data really shows is a selective rotation happening beneath the surface. Institutional players aren't abandoning crypto - they're just being choosy. XRP is benefiting from that, picking up capital that's moving away from the two biggest names in the space. Whether that momentum holds is the question worth watching.

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$XRP recently crashed after retesting a pivotal EMA on the weekly timeframe, but the historical structure points to a potential recovery to $13.
The crypto market has continued to face sustained declines since the fourth quarter of 2025, with the global crypto market cap losing $2 trillion over the last five months. XRP has not escaped the onslaught, now down 62% from its all-time high of $3.66.
Notably, market data indicates that the downturn actually coincided with XRP’s collapse after a failed retest of a pivotal exponential moving average (EMA) on the 1-week chart. While XRP has continued to decline after this failed retest, historical data indicates a potential 1,030% rise to $13 could play out.
👉Key Points
XRP’s Price Decline Amid Broader Crypto Market Losses: XRP has fallen 62% from its all-time high of $3.66, as the global crypto market cap has lost $2 trillion since Q4 2025.
Rejection at Critical EMA and Potential Reversal: A failed retest of a pivotal exponential moving average (EMA) on the weekly chart coincided with XRP’s decline, but historical data suggests a possible recovery to $13.
Significance of the Mysterious EMA: Market analyst EGRAG Crypto points out that a critical EMA since 2018 has acted as resistance or support; failing to break above it during retests has historically led to steeper declines.
XRP’s Failed Breakout and Future Projections: XRP’s attempt to break above the EMA in late 2025 failed, leading to further declines; however, a possible rebound could push XRP to $2.2 before another drop to $0.78.
Historical Context Supporting the Bullish Potential: The projected $13 target represents a 1,030% increase from recent lows, similar to XRP’s past surge from late 2020 to 2021 after a previous EMA retest failure.
👉The Mysterious Yet Critical EMA
This suggestion came from a market analysis shared by notable chartist EGRAG Crypto as XRP continues to struggle below $1.5. The chartist emphasized that his analysis centers around a critical EMA on the 1-week chart that has served as an important technical indicator since XRP dropped from the 2018 peak.
EGRAG noted that once market participants successfully identify this EMA, they would come to understand the unique pattern that XRP has followed since 2018. However, the analyst kept the actual EMA mysterious, with details revealed only to subscribers.
While the EMA remains a mystery, data from his chart shows how it has acted as a critical dynamic resistance or support level depending on the structure. Notably, whenever XRP retests the EMA during a downtrend and fails to break above it, what follows is typically a steeper crash.

👉XRP’s Failed Breakout
In the current cycle, XRP slipped below the EMA in November 2025 amid the ongoing downtrend. After this breakdown, the price continued to witness downward pressure until it hit a low of $1.82 in late December 2025. The recovery that emerged in early January 2025 pushed XRP to $2.41, allowing it to retest the EMA as it attempted a break back above it.
However, this breakout attempt failed and has now led to steeper declines for XRP. Specifically, XRP collapsed to a floor of $1.15 on Feb. 6 before recovering to the current price of $1.42. EGRAG expects the recovery to pick up momentum, potentially pushing XRP’s price to a high of $2.2 before another pullback takes XRP to $ 0.78.

This $0.78 level aligns with a historically important horizontal trendline identified by EGRAG as the Binance lowest wick. From here, the analyst believes XRP could stage a full-blown upsurge toward the $13 target. After $13, XRP could drop again to $3.3, aligning with the upper trendline of a symmetrical triangle that has lingered since XRP started trading. However, the rebound from here could take XRP to $200.
👉Historical Context
Notably, the $13 target aligns with historical data. For context, this $13 price represents a 1,030% increase from XRP’s lows of around $1.15, which it recently recovered from this month.
Interestingly, after XRP dropped from a failed retest of the pivotal EMA in Q4 2018, it eventually soared from late August 2020 to $1.96 by April 2021. This marked a 1,030% rise from previous lows. EGRAG believes a similar 1,030% increase could ensue this time.

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$XRP has been under steady selling pressure, but data suggests its futures Open Interest metric could spot the next big move.
With XRP now trading at $1.35 and sitting 28% down year-to-date, a well-known XRP community commentator says futures Open Interest could act as an “extremely great indicator” for predicting where price could head next, citing historical data.
👉Key Points
XRP is down 28% year-to-date, with the price at $1.35 and Open Interest (OI) reduced to $2.29 billion amid the current downtrend.
Historical data suggest the XRP price and Open Interest have always moved in lockstep.
After Donald Trump’s November 2024 victory, XRP climbed from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025 while OI hit a then-record $7.76 billion.
In June to July 2025, XRP rose from $2.19 to $3.6 as Open Interest reached a new all-time high of $10.94 billion.
Rising prices and rising OI often feed into each other, but OI works best as a trend confirmation tool, not a standalone predictor.
👉Historical Data Confirms Relationship Between XRP Price and OI
Chad Steingraber, a community commentator, highlighted this trend. Notably, CryptoQuant data confirms the close relationship between OI and price, as XRP’s three last major price surges since 2021 have occurred alongside a rise in OI.

The first major surge happened between March 2021 and April 2021. Within this period, XRP jumped from $0.46 to $1.96. At the same time, Open Interest expanded from around $500 million to $1.95 billion.
After the rally faded in the months that followed, both price and Open Interest pulled back together. Even the smaller rallies that came later still showed the same connection, though on a milder scale.

The second major move followed the November 2024 election win of Donald Trump. XRP rose from $0.5 in early November 2024 to $3.4 by January 2025. During that same period, OI surged from about $640 million to $7.76 billion. When the rally slowed and the price fell, Open Interest dropped as well.
The third big rally came in June 2025, when XRP climbed from $2.19 to $3.6 by July 2025. Notably, Open Interest jumped from $3.68 billion to $10.94 billion, marking another record high. Now, with XRP back in a steep downtrend, Open Interest has also fallen to $2.29 billion.
👉Why XRP Price and Open Interest Often Move Together
While Steingraber encourages investors to watch for Open Interest spikes as a signal of recovery, the relationship between price and Open Interest is not always simple. Notably, the two often move together because they feed off each other.
When the price starts rising, traders rush in to open long positions. Every new long position must match with a short contract, which increases total Open Interest.
This usually shows new money entering the market and strengthening the trend. At the same time, heavy leveraged trading can add buying pressure. Essentially, more contracts mean more liquidity and more room for volatility, which can, in turn, push prices higher.
👉Other Hidden Factors
Meanwhile, there is also a technical detail that many traders overlook. Specifically, exchanges often report Open Interest in dollar terms, not by the number of contracts. So when XRP’s price rises, the dollar value of existing contracts rises too, even if traders do not add new positions.
This means reported Open Interest can increase automatically when price climbs, and this creates the impression of new activity even when the number of contracts stays the same.
Another subtle factor involves market psychology. Notably, when traders see both price and Open Interest rising together, they read it as a strong trend. This belief pulls in trend followers, which then creates higher demand to feed the uptrend and keep the cycle going.
Traders mainly use OI to confirm trends, not to predict direction on its own. When price rises, and Open Interest rises steadily, it usually indicates healthy participation and fresh capital. But if Open Interest shoots up too quickly during a rally, the market can become crowded with leveraged longs, raising the risk of sharp liquidations.

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