Dicas de Cripto

Here is a fully rewritten version in EnglisBith, keeping the meaning but avoiding plagiarism and making it more engaging with emojis:
The question “Can Bitcoin reach $1 million?” has once again sparked debate in the crypto world. 💰🚀
According to Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at the multi-billion-dollar asset management firm Bitwise, the idea of Bitcoin hitting $1,000,000 might not be as unrealistic as many people believe. In fact, he argues that a lot of investors are making a key mistake when evaluating Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
Hougan explains that many people analyze Bitcoin as if the market around it will remain unchanged. However, he believes the correct way to evaluate Bitcoin is to see it as a store-of-value asset and compare it to the overall size of that global market. In this sense, Bitcoin behaves similarly to gold 🪙, providing a way for people to preserve wealth outside traditional financial systems—except in a digital format.
Currently, the global store-of-value market is estimated at around $38 trillion. Out of that total, roughly $36 trillion belongs to gold, while Bitcoin accounts for about $1.4 trillion. That means Bitcoin currently represents only about 4% of this entire market.
If the size of this market stayed exactly the same, Bitcoin would need to capture more than half of it to reach the $1 million price level, which sounds extremely difficult.
However, Hougan believes investors are overlooking one critical factor: the market itself keeps growing over time. 📈
For example, when the first gold ETF launched in the United States in 2004, the global gold market was valued at about $2.5 trillion. Today, that number has grown to nearly $40 trillion, representing an annual growth rate of roughly 13%.
Several factors are driving this expansion, including:

Rising global debt 🌍

Increasing geopolitical tensions ⚠️

Expansionary monetary policies by governments 💵

If this trend continues, Hougan believes the store-of-value market could reach around $121 trillion within the next decade.
In that scenario, Bitcoin would only need to capture about 17% of the market to reach the $1 million milestone—a much more achievable target considering Bitcoin’s growth over the past few years.
Another important factor is the rapid increase in institutional adoption. Just a few years ago, Bitcoin ETFs didn’t even exist in the United States, and many institutional investors were hesitant to add Bitcoin to their portfolios.
Today, however, Bitcoin ETFs are among the fastest-growing ETFs ever launched. Major institutions—including Harvard University’s endowment fund and Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund—are reportedly allocating capital to Bitcoin as well.
At the same time, Bitcoin’s long-term volatility has been gradually decreasing, which has encouraged professional investors to consider allocating up to 5% of their portfolios to the asset. 📊
Of course, Hougan also acknowledges that this projection comes with risks. If the store-of-value market stops growing at the pace seen over the past two decades, or if Bitcoin fails to capture the expected market share, the $1 million target could become much harder to achieve.
But there is also the possibility of the opposite outcome. As global debt levels rise and economic uncertainty increases, demand for alternative stores of value may grow even faster—potentially allowing Bitcoin to capture an even larger share of the market than expected. 🚀 #bitcoin #BTC
$BTC

ストライヴのビットコインストラテジスト、ジョー・バーネットは、BTCの未来に対する大胆な長期展望を発表しました 🚀。彼は、ビットコイン関連の投資が2035年までに1000万ドルに達する可能性があるという予測を再確認し、2036年初頭の基準期待をBTCあたり1100万ドル程度に設定しています 💰。
バーネットによると、次の10年は2つの巨大な力の衝突によって形作られるだろう: AI駆動の生産性の成長 🤖 と攻撃的な金融拡大 💵。人工知能が生産コストを下げ、効率を高めるにつれて、強いデフレ圧力を引き起こす可能性がある。政策立案者は、価格の下落に対抗するためにマネーサプライを拡大するかもしれず、その追加流動性は彼が「絶対に希少な」資産として説明するもの、ビットコインに流れ込む可能性がある。