Huatai Securities has released its A-share strategy, noting that the market continued to experience volatility last week due to fluctuating Middle East tensions and pre-Qingming Festival risk aversion. According to Jin10, the tracked A-share sentiment index remains in the 'panic' range. Structurally, sectors benefiting from geopolitical factors and high oil prices, such as power, new energy, and coal, faced profit-taking due to high crowding levels. Meanwhile, sectors with low correlation, like telecommunications and innovative pharmaceuticals, performed well, with earnings season exceeding expectations becoming a new trading cue.
The current odds for left-side positioning may gradually increase, but it is advised not to make unilateral bets until geopolitical situations become clearer. It is recommended to continue waiting for right-side signals. Additionally, despite the unexpected non-farm payroll data, caution is advised regarding the risk chain of rising oil prices leading to inflation and liquidity tightening.
In terms of asset allocation, it is suggested to control positions and leave room for maneuver. In the short term, maintain a defensive stance and allocate assets with low correlation, such as dividends, AI computing power, and innovative pharmaceuticals. In the medium term, focus on low-entry opportunities around the power chain and prosperity clues.