Crypto_GR 1

Bitcoin Demand Shows One of the Strongest Recoveries of 2026

According to CryptoQuant, overall demand for Bitcoin improved significantly over the past week, rising from -500,000 $BTC to -75,000 $BTC. The recovery has been driven mainly by activity in the futures market, while demand in the spot market remains relatively weak.

Analysts at Glassnode believe the market may be building a price bottom, but they say it is still too early to confirm that the bearish trend has ended. In their view, a stronger recovery in spot buying and the return of institutional investors will be important signals of a lasting market reversal.

#Macro Insights#

Trader Turns $838 Into More Than $1 Million With a Memecoin in Just 20 Days

According to Lookonchain, a trader bought 15.04 million CASHCAT tokens for only $838 and held the position for 20 days.

After the token's price surged, the trader sold most of the holdings for around $917,600. The remaining tokens are still worth approximately $134,000.

The total profit from the trade exceeded $1.05 million.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

Is the "Saylor Signal" Flashing Bullish Again?

Back in 2022, Strategy sold Bitcoin for the first time to optimize its taxes. Shortly afterward, $BTC reached its bottom and started a new bull cycle.

Now, the company has sold Bitcoin once again—this time to help fund payments related to STRC.

BonkDAO Treasury Hit by a $20 Million Governance Attack

An attacker spent around $4.4 million to buy BONK tokens, gaining enough voting power to pass a proposal under their control. After the proposal was approved, approximately $20 million in assets were transferred from the DAO treasury.

Following the incident, BONK fell by more than 9%. The BonkDAO team is now working with cryptocurrency exchanges and law enforcement agencies to trace the stolen funds and identify the person responsible.

🚨 La stratégie vend 3 588 bitcoins d’une valeur de 225 millions de dollars
Strategy a vendu 3 588 $BTC, évalués à environ 225,6 millions de dollars. À la suite de la vente, la société détient désormais 843 775 BTC dans sa trésorerie.

JPMorgan réduit ses prévisions de prix de l’or pour 2026

JPMorgan a abaissé son objectif de prix de l’or pour fin 2026 de 6 000 $ à 4 500 $ l’once. La banque invoque une demande plus faible que prévu et la possibilité que la Réserve fédérale américaine relève ses taux plus tôt que prévu.

Malgré cette révision, JPMorgan reste optimiste à long terme concernant l’or. Elle s’attend à ce que les prix reprennent leur tendance haussière en 2027, soutenue par des achats continus des banques centrales.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

Ethereum prépare sa plus grande mise à niveau depuis la fusion

Vitalik Buterin a révélé un nouveau plan de développement à long terme appelé Lean Ethereum, qu’il décrit comme la plus importante transformation du réseau depuis The Merge.

Au cours des trois à quatre prochaines années, les développeurs visent à repenser de nombreux systèmes fondamentaux d’Ethereum. La feuille de route comprend une nouvelle approche du consensus, une sécurité résistante aux attaques quantiques, des preuves STARK récursives, des fonctionnalités de confidentialité renforcées et une meilleure scalabilité afin d’améliorer les performances globales du réseau.

D’après Buterin, cela marque le troisième grand chapitre de l’évolution d’Ethereum, après le succès de The Merge.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

I Gave an AI $1,000 to Help Me Trade Crypto

I recently came across an interesting video where a content creator ran a simple experiment: he allocated $1,000 and used an AI assistant to help guide his crypto trading decisions.

It wasn't an automated trading bot or a system that executed trades on its own. Instead, the AI acted as a market analyst, providing insights and possible scenarios while the creator made every trading decision manually.

How the experiment worked

Before opening a position, he asked the AI to analyze the market and answer questions such as:

- What is the current outlook for Bitcoin?
- Is the market showing bullish or bearish momentum?
- Which support and resistance levels should traders watch?
- Based on the current structure, what could be a reasonable entry, stop-loss, and take-profit?

The AI never placed trades or made final decisions. It simply provided a structured analysis that the trader could use as a second opinion.

The results

As expected, the outcome wasn't a straight line.

Some trades performed well because the market respected the levels and scenarios suggested by the AI. Others failed as volatility increased or market structure changed unexpectedly. During sideways market conditions, many setups simply lacked enough momentum to reach their targets.

The biggest takeaway

The experiment showed something important:

Artificial intelligence doesn't predict the future.

What it does exceptionally well is organize information, identify possible scenarios, and help traders approach the market with a clearer plan.

However, it cannot replace experience, emotional control, or risk management. Markets are driven by uncertainty, and no AI can eliminate that uncertainty.

Used correctly, AI isn't a crystal ball—it's a decision-support tool. The final responsibility will always belong to the trader.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

DWF Labs: Crypto Market Fundamentals Remain Strong Despite ETF Outflows

DWF Labs reported that the first half of 2026 was the first period on record in which spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs finished with net capital outflows.

Even so, the company believes the crypto industry's fundamentals remain stronger than ever. According to its analysts, investor attention has temporarily shifted toward artificial intelligence, and they expect capital to return to the cryptocurrency market over time.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

There are rumors on X that on Wednesday, Strategy may have sold around 500 $BTC. At the moment, nothing has been officially confirmed, so it should be treated as speculation.

If this turns out to be true, it could increase uncertainty in the market and create a new wave of FUD around Bitcoin.

Michael Burry Bets Against the AI Chip Sector

Investor Michael Burry, who became famous for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has opened short positions against Nvidia and Applied Materials. He has also bet against the semiconductor ETF SOXX, which includes companies such as Micron.

Burry believes the AI chip sector is becoming too expensive. In his view, many stock prices are rising because of investors' fear of missing out (FOMO) rather than strong business results.

$NVDA #Macro Insights#

Trump Says He Doesn't Know How Much He Earns From Crypto

Donald Trump said he does not know how much money he makes from cryptocurrency because his children manage that part of the business.

He also said the United States must stay ahead in crypto and artificial intelligence. According to Trump, if the U.S. falls behind, China will take the lead.

#Macro Insights# $BTC

$BTC and $ETH Finish Their Weakest Month of the Year

June was the most difficult month of the year for the crypto market. Bitcoin lost around 20%, falling below $58,000, while Ethereum also dropped by more than 20% and continued its long-term downtrend.

Even with this decline, both cryptocurrencies still ended the second quarter with small gains. Bitcoin finished the quarter up about 1%, and Ethereum gained around 1.6%.

Several factors weighed on the market, including money leaving spot Bitcoin ETFs, uncertainty around major companies such as Strategy, and lower trading activity from investors.

There is still some optimism. Historically, July has often been a stronger month for crypto, with the biggest market rallies usually taking place during the autumn.

#Macro Insights#

Trump Made Over $1 Billion From Crypto in One Year

Donald Trump's latest financial report shows that cryptocurrency became one of his biggest sources of income in 2025.

Here are the main numbers:

$635 million from the TRUMP memecoin and NFT sales.
More than $521 million earned through World Liberty Financial.
Over $100 million held in Bitcoin ( $BTC) and Ethereum ( $ETH).
$1.8 million earned from staking Ethereum.

#Macro Insights#

Germany Leads the EU in MiCA Crypto Licenses

As the MiCA transition period comes to an end, EU regulators have issued a total of 244 Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) licenses.

Germany tops the list with 57 licenses, accounting for nearly one quarter of all approvals. The Netherlands and France follow with 26 licenses each.

Meanwhile, several EU countries—including Poland, Portugal, Romania, Hungary, and Greece—have not granted any CASP licenses so far.

Starting tomorrow, July 1, the MiCA transition period officially ends, marking the beginning of the EU's new regulatory framework for the crypto industry.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

Major financial companies collaborate on a new stablecoin project

A group of large financial firms, including Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, BlackRock, and Coinbase, are reportedly working together to launch a new stablecoin called OUSD.

The project is designed so that participating companies share the revenue generated from the use of the stablecoin.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

Key Indicators to Identify a Potential Bitcoin Bottom

Bitcoin bottoms are not identified by a single metric, but by the confluence of multiple on-chain indicators that have historically aligned with capitulation and accumulation phases.

1. MVRV Z-Score
Compares Bitcoin’s market value with its realized value (average network cost basis).
When it drops near or below 0, the asset is historically undervalued and often near cycle bottoms.

2. Supply in Loss
Measures the percentage of BTC held at an unrealized loss.
When it exceeds 50%, the market is typically in extreme pain and broad capitulation.

3. SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio)
Shows whether coins are being sold at a profit or loss.
SOPR > 1 → selling at profit
SOPR < 1 → selling at loss
Sustained values below 1 indicate capitulation.

4. Realized Losses
Tracks actual losses being realized on-chain.
Extreme spikes usually mark forced selling from weak hands.

5. LTH Supply in Loss
Measures how many long-term holders are in unrealized losses.
When strong hands turn red, it often signals late-stage bear market conditions.

6. Puell Multiple
Evaluates miner profitability.
Very low levels indicate miner stress, historically associated with market bottoms.

7. Exchange Flows
Net outflows → accumulation
Net inflows → selling pressure
Bottoms often form during sustained outflows to cold storage.

8. NUPL
Measures unrealized profit and loss across the market.
Negative zones reflect extreme fear and accumulation conditions.

Historically, these conditions have marked not the end of the cycle, but the beginning of long-term accumulation.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

Chinese Businessman Sentenced to 30 Years in Prison for $1 Billion Crypto Fraud

A U.S. court has sentenced Chinese businessman Guo Wengui to 30 years in prison and ordered the forfeiture of approximately $889 million.

According to prosecutors, Guo raised funds from investors through several fraudulent schemes. Authorities estimate that the total losses exceeded $1 billion.

During the sentencing, prosecutors argued that the scale of the fraud was comparable to other major financial crime cases, including those involving Sam Bankman-Fried and Bernard Madoff.

Guo's legal team has announced that it plans to appeal the court's decision.

$BTC #Macro Insights#

Is Strategy Preparing for Possible $BTC Sales? 👀

The discussion around Strategy and Michael Saylor has intensified in recent days.

For years, the company’s message was very clear: buy Bitcoin and hold it long term. However, Strategy has now officially indicated that it could sell part of its $BTC holdings if needed to strengthen its financial position or manage liquidity more effectively.

At the same time, the company has taken several important steps:

- Increased its cash reserve to $2.55 billion
- Approved a $1 billion share buyback program
- Authorized the possibility of raising liquidity through up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin sales if required

Does this mean Strategy is in trouble?

Not necessarily.

Many analysts view these actions as a way to improve financial flexibility rather than a shift away from its long-term Bitcoin conviction. In addition, the buyback program has not yet been executed, which suggests the company may be waiting for more favorable market conditions.

The key question remains: what happens if Bitcoin drops further? In that scenario, pressure on Strategy’s balance sheet would increase, and the likelihood of $BTC sales would rise.

#Macro Insights# #Strategy

$BTC at $58K Feels a Lot Like $18K Did in 2022

I came across an interesting on-chain metric showing that the number of Bitcoin holders currently at a loss has reached its highest level in the past four years.

The last time this happened was during the 2022 bear market, when Bitcoin was trading around $18K.

I still remember many people saying they would only buy if $BTC dropped to $10K–12K. In reality, that opportunity never came, and Bitcoin never returned to those levels after the market recovered.

#BTC Price Analysis#