Baoluo币商资本

#1piece #海贼王 Day 188 of recurring investment

When should you use leverage?

It’s not always the right time to increase leverage.

The conditions that typically make it worthwhile to take on more risk are:

① A major opportunity emerges
② Market volatility is low enough
③ The market structure is clear enough
④ Confirmation from the right side has already arrived

In a market like this, which is resting and consolidating after a rally, the most important thing isn’t to keep increasing leverage. Instead:

Manage your leverage and position size, and patiently wait for the next opportunity.

Go on the offensive when an opportunity comes; stay defensive when it doesn’t.

Trading isn’t about who takes the most risks,
but who has enough ammunition when an opportunity arises.

Manage risk to stay in the game longer;
stay in the game long enough, and you can catch the truly big moves.

$ETH Today’s candle was brutal: ETFs saw $200M in outflows in a single day, and Tom Lee says “we’re almost done buying”
ETH dropped to a low of 2,535 today, down around 4% over 24 hours.
I don’t think we can just look at the chart this time—several things happening elsewhere have collided.
🌍 First, the broader macro picture.
Brent crude is back above $100, the US 10-year Treasury yield has surged to around 5.28%, and the dollar is strengthening too.
When all of these come together, highly volatile assets like BTC and ETH tend to take a hit.
💸 Then there are the ETFs.
October 1: -$55.4 million
October 2: -$37.4 million
October 5: -$50.8 million
October 6: -$201.9 million
Over four trading days, spot ETH ETFs saw roughly $346 million in outflows.
Especially on October 6, when $200 million flowed out in a single day.
🐋 And just then, one of the market’s biggest ETH buyers had something to say.
BitMine now holds around 6.016 million ETH, about 4.9% of ETH’s total supply.
Tom Lee put it plainly yesterday at Token2049:
Once they reach 5%, they’ll stop buying.
They’re now roughly 100,000 ETH short of that target.
I think this matters more than the usual “institutional accumulation” story.
That’s because BitMine has been one of the market’s most consistent big buyers lately.
If they really stop at 5%, that means one long-term buyer will be gone.
That said, the ETH they hold isn’t just sitting idle.
📌 Around 5.067 million ETH is currently staked. According to the company’s disclosures, that’s about 84% of its total ETH holdings.
🧱 Development on the technical side hasn’t stopped, either.
Glamsterdam was officially activated on the Sepolia testnet on October 6.
Key priorities include ePBS, Block-level Access Lists, and further changes to the gas pricing mechanism. The main goal is still to increase L1 throughput. There’s no mainnet launch date yet.
The positioning in the futures market looks even more contradictory.
📊 ETH:
OI: around 2.4 million ETH
Long positions among retail accounts: 77.2%
Long positions among large holders: 61.4%
Funding rate: -0.0033%
In the latest few 4H periods, the taker buy/sell ratio was mostly below 1
It’s a strange picture.
More than 70% of accounts are long.
But the price keeps getting hammered, aggressive selling is still weighing on it, and the funding rate is even negative.
Put simply:
Lots of people want to buy the dip.
But those actually putting serious money in aren’t as confident as it might seem

$AMZNB
#BinanceLaunchesBinanceIntelligence
#EvernorthDelaysNasdaqDebutToOct12

Lisa Su visits Taiwan again: Strong demand for AI chips, memory supply remains tight
AMD CEO Lisa Su arrived in Taiwan today for a brief visit. Speaking to the media in Taipei, she said global chip demand remains significantly higher than supply, with memory chip supply particularly tight. As the AI industry develops rapidly, she expects market demand to remain strong over the next few years.
Su said AMD is working closely with memory suppliers to coordinate customer demand and supply plans, and thanked TSMC for continuing to expand capacity. She stressed that the key is not only to expand capacity, but also to ensure the new capacity can come online in tandem. Chip supply is expected to increase significantly in 2027.
On AI development, she said AI will have a positive impact on the world and will not harm humanity. She also emphasized the importance of collaboration among major U.S. AI companies. She noted that much work remains to be done to ensure safe innovation, and that industry and government must work together to move forward.
Regarding the United States’ establishment of a “Superintelligence Working Group,” Su said it was an important step toward advancing AI safety and innovation. During her visit to Taiwan, she will also visit TSMC and hold in-depth discussions with Foxconn to further strengthen cooperation across the AI supply chain.$AMDB

🌅A New Dawn｜Only by enduring the quiet can we see the light✨
Markets never offer uninterrupted gains; more often, they demand long periods of preparation and patience📊
There’s no need to envy others’ short-term gains—everyone has their own window of opportunity.

Sharpen your understanding, manage your pace, stay humble and patient, and avoid blindly following the crowd🌱
Focus on the present and build steadily; time rewards those who persevere.
A new day begins. Stay focused and keep moving forward—let’s do this together🌻🌻
#交易心理

#比特币跌破8.4万美元

#1688家族family

$USD1 #韩国拟将股票债券纳入代币化证券
May our motherland prosper and be prosperous; may the Chinese nation’s heritage endure for generations. Happy National Day to everyone……

🚀 🎰 7+7=14
Go for this post

Tell a set of very interesting comparison data:
Mid-September (three weeks ago):
Fear & Greed Index: 48 (neutral, slightly fearful) BTC price: ~$72,000 ETF flows: continuous outflows Market sentiment: "The bear market isn’t over yet""It’s going to drop to 60,000"

Today (September 26):
Fear & Greed Index: 74 (greedy) BTC price: ~$84,000 ETF flows: net inflows for 4 consecutive days, cumulative exceeding $2.8 billion Market sentiment: "The bull market is coming""Expect 100,000+ by year-end"

Over three weeks, the price rose 17%. Sentiment shifted from fear to greed, and the narrative changed from "the end of the bear market" to "the beginning of the bull market".

Is the price change big? Actually, it’s not that big—17% is nothing in crypto.

Is the sentiment change big? It’s a complete turnaround.
That’s the most interesting—and most dangerous—part of the crypto market:
When the price doesn’t move much, people’s minds have already gone through several rounds.
People who were still saying "everything is about to collapse" last week may be shouting "all in" this week.
Price is just the surface; sentiment is the amplifier.
The hardest part of investing isn’t figuring out the market direction—
it’s keeping your own rhythm
amid the noise of emotions.

Long-termism isn’t slow—it’s steady.
Using time as leverage and focus as the foundation, you accumulate through compounding and unleash results through persistence.
True great wealth belongs to those who can see farther, hold steady, and keep going for the long haul.

Crypto moves fast, but there is no need to chase every candle.

I prefer waiting for confirmation, support, and a clear invalidation level.

Patience is part of trading.

$NIGHT $SAND $GALA

Pay attention to her👇,
there’s a wealth code🧧,
I don’t tell it to ordinary people👻
@静姐168 #以太坊三季度涨70.9%

$ETH $BTC #Many people ask me about market conditions. To be honest, I really can’t find any reason to be bearish right now. There’s a rule that’s been circulating in the crypto world: bull runs last three years and bear markets last one. This bear market we’re in started last October, so the cycle is almost coming to an end.💥

Many people are still afraid of the price falling, but remember—when a bear market is nearing its end, any pullback isn’t a collapse; it’s an opportunity for you to get on board. The bigger trend can only be bullish from here on out. Every drop is a window to build your position in batches.🚨

Of course, you can’t be blindly optimistic either. Don’t go all-in. Even if the overall trend turns bullish, there will definitely be plenty of consolidation and “shakeout” in between. The big players will keep moving back and forth to harvest leveraged traders repeatedly. Never take on extremely high leverage to hold a position. If a sudden negative catalyst hits, you can easily get liquidated.🔥#

The transition from bull to bear (and vice versa) won’t happen overnight. It’s not like once a bear market ends, prices will just surge nonstop. Hold your coins patiently—don’t let yourself get shaken out by short-term fluctuations. When the market moves, hold steady. When opportunities drop low enough to buy, have the courage to lay out your plan and stick to your own position limits.💥

The market always has uncertainty. No market prediction is 100% accurate. You must control how much capital you投入 and only participate with money you can afford to lose. Be mentally prepared for potential losses.💥#美国10年期美债收益率逼近5.3% #美元指数创2025年5月来新高

Fortunate to Meet You in Three Lives, with Apricots🌻💖🌺