โฟ BITCOIN โ October 4, 2026
๐ Price: ~$84,770โ84,800
๐ Week: +0.6% โ 3rd week of consecutive growth
โ๏ธ Trigger: NFP +29K (shock) crushed the odds of a rate hike in October to 17โ20%
๐ WHATโS IMPORTANT
โข BTC ETF: week 28.09โ02.10 +$82.9M โ 3rd straight week of inflows
โข IBIT (BlackRock): $292M for the week โ inflow leader
โข US Senate: the SEC proposed new custody rules for institutions
โข FedWatch: October โ 17% for a hike, December โ 86%
โ๏ธ LEVELS
๐ข Support: $82,900 โ $81,600 โ $78,700 (50-week MA)
๐ด Resistance: $87,200 โ $88,000 โ $96,000
๐ฌ SENTIMENT
Fear & Greed: 65 (โgreedโ, down from 67). Polymarket: chance of BTC reaching $100k by year-end โ 39%. RSI 55, MACD death cross โ risk of a retest of the 50-day MA. A break of $87.2k will open the way to $96k; losing $82.9k raises the risk of a move to $78.7k.
โ ๏ธ RISKS
โข US 10Y at 5.28% โ highest since 2007, weighing on risk assets
โข ETF inflows slowed: $82.9M vs $2.39B in the prior week
โข $87,200 โ key resistance; rejected price multiple times
โข Polymarket: 61% of traders donโt believe in $100k by year-end
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. The crypto market is high risk.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #ETF #BlackRock #IBIT #SEC #FOMC #Uptober $BTC
๐ Price: ~$84,770โ84,800
๐ Week: +0.6% โ 3rd week of consecutive growth
โ๏ธ Trigger: NFP +29K (shock) crushed the odds of a rate hike in October to 17โ20%
๐ WHATโS IMPORTANT
โข BTC ETF: week 28.09โ02.10 +$82.9M โ 3rd straight week of inflows
โข IBIT (BlackRock): $292M for the week โ inflow leader
โข US Senate: the SEC proposed new custody rules for institutions
โข FedWatch: October โ 17% for a hike, December โ 86%
โ๏ธ LEVELS
๐ข Support: $82,900 โ $81,600 โ $78,700 (50-week MA)
๐ด Resistance: $87,200 โ $88,000 โ $96,000
๐ฌ SENTIMENT
Fear & Greed: 65 (โgreedโ, down from 67). Polymarket: chance of BTC reaching $100k by year-end โ 39%. RSI 55, MACD death cross โ risk of a retest of the 50-day MA. A break of $87.2k will open the way to $96k; losing $82.9k raises the risk of a move to $78.7k.
โ ๏ธ RISKS
โข US 10Y at 5.28% โ highest since 2007, weighing on risk assets
โข ETF inflows slowed: $82.9M vs $2.39B in the prior week
โข $87,200 โ key resistance; rejected price multiple times
โข Polymarket: 61% of traders donโt believe in $100k by year-end
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. The crypto market is high risk.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #ETF #BlackRock #IBIT #SEC #FOMC #Uptober $BTC