Earnings report window—first look at the guidance, then the profits

Don’t use last week’s interest-rate cut story to explain today’s market.

Use today’s highs and lows for technical levels; don’t force-fit old supports.

S&P 7,666 (5-day -0.49%, Yahoo)
NASDAQ 26,872 (5-day -0.25%, Yahoo)

BTC 24h high 86913 / low 83400, current price 86498. VIX 15.95, volatility is being compressed. In this kind of position, US stocks tend to grind up slowly. In crypto, don’t use US stock upside to add leverage—once VIX pops, the futures contracts will die first.

ETH 24h +1.97% underperforms BTC +3.16%, with the exchange rate at 0.03179. Capital is shrinking back into BTC; watch the right side first for alts.

In crypto, I’m only watching one thing: can BTC close above the 24h high of 86913? If it can’t, then any follow-through rally is just talk.

My position: I only do pullbacks, not breakout chase orders. If the structure hasn’t broken, I keep the core position; any add-ons must wait for a pullback.

Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day % change). Missing numbers aren’t filled.
Are you currently in cash waiting for a pullback, or already on board?

#美股 #技术面 #BTC

Data card (same batch as the main text; what’s missing is the dash):
BTC 86,498 +3.16% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,750 +1.97% ETH/BTC 0.03179
S&P 7,666 -0.49% Yahoo 5-day
NASDAQ 26,872 -0.25% Yahoo 5-day
US Dollar 102 +0.80% DXY 5-day
VIX 15.95 -0.75% Yahoo
Fee rate 0.0080% Position 8.58B (24h +7.35) Long/Short 0.9011 Binance U-margined

Supporting evidence: out there people are discussing “"bitcoin OR stock market OR 美股" - Google News”. I only use it as background; the conclusion still depends on the main-text numbers.

My personal view: the numbers are from the sources shown in the main text. Not an order to trade.