水水Jason

Still the same saying, when the box structure is broken, many people like to short at this time when new highs are reached. My view is exactly the opposite. Currently, the daily chart has broken through the resistance of the range and is above 2800. There are two options: going long or short. The risk of shorting is greater than going long, in my personal opinion.

It is not impossible to break through the box area and establish a new oscillation range. Set the stop-loss for going long just above 2800, as there is more profit to be gained from this gamble. I come to this conclusion because I do not believe that 110,000 is the endpoint; everything is based on this judgment. At this moment, the second contract has broken out of the range, and I prefer to go with the trend. Shorting on the left side, how many shorts at over 2700 have been trapped? How many shorts at the bottom have been trapped?

Many people may be afraid to stand at high points, but you should set a stop-loss, what is there to be afraid of? If it breaks below 2800, just run away. Those who like to hold positions during such a big market move may find themselves going in the opposite direction. Maybe holding can help them break even; maybe it will just lead to a wave of losses. In any case, you must set a stop-loss. If the gamble fails, you can still find opportunities to enter the market again. Holding positions is always a one-way road; how many retail investors can actually hold? What if they can't hold on? $ETH

$BNB

$BTC

This Wednesday is exciting!

Wall Street is already holding money and waiting.

This Wednesday, the day when the Fed’s interest rate decision is announced, coincides with the release of CPI inflation.

How will the Fed decide without the May inflation data?

Will the CPI inflation trend be completely opposite to the expectations of the Fed’s decision statement? Tomorrow will be very turbulent.

After careful analysis by the JPMorgan Chase trading desk, the market currently predicts that the S&P 500 index will fluctuate by 1.3% to 1.4% before this Friday. The bank specifically pointed out in its report that with the announcement of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Fed’s interest rate decision, the market may see a potential contrast between Powell’s press conference and the CPI results.

JPMorgan Chase further analyzed that if the core CPI month-on-month increase in the month exceeds 0.4%, risk assets may be sold off, and the S&P 500 index may face a decline of 1.5% to 2.5%, but the probability of this happening is only 5%. If the increase is between 0.3% and 0.35%, the volatility of the S&P 500 index will be controlled within 0.75%, and changes in housing costs, automobile and medical prices will be the decisive factors. If the core CPI month-on-month increase drops to 0.2% to 0.25%, the market may predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September, and some traders may even predict that there will be a possibility of a rate cut in July, mainly based on the consideration that the European Central Bank has taken the lead in cutting interest rates.

If the core CPI month-on-month increase falls below 0.2%, it will be regarded as extremely good news, which may push the S&P 500 index to soar by 1.75% to 2.5%. At present, the market generally expects that the US core CPI will increase by 0.3% month-on-month in May.

Have you already sold your position?

Are your bullets ready to buy the bottom tomorrow?

#美联储利率决策即将公布 #IO价格预测 #BTC #ETH #美国4月核心PCE指标显示通胀放缓

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