Today’s screening is for continuation. In the prior $US day, the rise is about 28.7%, and $RUNE about 18.4%. Over 6h it has all been around +5%, but 1h has flattened (US +0.3%, RUNE near 0). The trend hasn’t broken, but the upside momentum at the tip is weakening—better suited to wait for a move back toward the moving average rather than chasing on daily breakout magnitude.
Structurally, US is about 20 away by roughly 7.4%, and about 17% from 50; RUNE is about 5.4% from 20 and about 11% from 50. Fees: US about +0.028%, RUNE about +0.01%. Longs have the edge but not extremely so. The difference lies in positioning: RUNE OI in 1h is +26.1%, while US is only +8.7%—within the same main lineup, RUNE is more crowded, making the probability of a pullback after a false breakout higher.
【Top1 · $US】
Current price is about 0.02716, with a trading value of about $63.2 million USDT. Selected: the continuation matches the magnitude of the downside move and volume; fees are mild, and the OI growth rate is relatively controllable—less crowded chasing than RUNE.
Observation zone: the 20-MA is roughly 0.0253; ATR ≈ 0.0017, with the pullback area around 0.0248–0.0256.
Trigger: re-enter this zone and try long again after a 15m/1h stop-the-fall confirmation; do not chase a breakout if price is already above 0.027.
Invalidation: a valid drop below about 0.0232 (near the 50-MA) with a 1h close steady below it, or after a pullback the attempt to extend upward fails by printing a longer upper wick without making new highs—first clear the trial position.
Discipline: the first position should be relatively small; only add in the pullback zone, not in the top 1/3 of a daily big bullish candle.
【Top2 · $RUNE】
Current price is about 0.774, with a trading value of about $35.6 million. Selected: trend and liquidity are still there; it’s about 5.4% away from the 20-MA, slightly better than US. The downgrade point is crowded OI: OI in 1h is +26%, which is tight.
Observation zone: the 20-MA is about 0.735; ATR ≈ 0.023; the pullback area is about 0.72–0.74.
Trigger: after pulling back into this zone, consider again once 1h shows a stop-the-fall; if it keeps one-way pulling above 0.77, just observe and do not open a new long.
Invalidation: breaks below about 0.70 (near the 50-MA), or while OI keeps increasing the price stalls—priority is to exit as crowded take-profit is likely.
Discipline: position size must not be higher than US; avoid being fully loaded on both US and the other at the same time to prevent overlap in similar longs.
【Alternative · $2Z】
Daily up about 21%, only 2.3% from the 20-MA, but OI in 1h is an abnormal +91%. 1h has already turned negative (about -0.57%), and fees are about -0.48% deeply negative. Not entering the official Top set, and not extending recommendations; before the abnormal OI is digested, treat it as noise.
【Execution checklist】
1. Official candidates only keep $US and $RUNE; $2Z is not included in the trading plan.
2. The entry is paired with “returning near the 20-MA + short-term stop-the-fall confirmation”; forbid chasing breakouts at market price when 6h is already +5% and 1h has gone flat.
3. Same-direction: at most one main and one auxiliary. Prefer US; RUNE should be smaller. Total exposure follows the per-asset risk cap.
4. Pre-set invalidation: US≈0.0232, RUNE≈0.70—if touched, exit first.
5. If 1h strengthens again but price is still more than 8% away from the 20-MA, only upgrade to “observation,” not to an increased position.
【Risk】
After a day’s rise of 18%–29%, pullbacks often sweep stops; a sharp OI surge in RUNE/2Z will amplify needle-like wicks. Screening ≠ win rate; adjust leverage yourself. This content is a record of quantitative screening and does not constitute investment advice.
Summary: the US/RUNE continuation in the down market has already been 5%–7% above the 20-MA and 1h has flattened—only confirm by the pullback zone; do not chase based on daily rise magnitude. $2Z is only observed due to abnormal OI.