🚨 THE U.S. GOVERNMENT WILL SHUT DOWN IN 12 HOURS
You need to understand the risk we are walking into at midnight.
When 80% of the government shuts down, the agencies that calculate the numbers we trade on will also shut down.
This is a data blackout.
Here’s what disappears:
– Employment Report (NFP): The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is part of the shutdown. If this lasts, the monthly Non-Farm Payroll report will be delayed.
– Inflation Data (CPI/PPI): Data collectors for the Consumer Price Index stop working. This means we won’t know if inflation is rising or falling.
– GDP and PCE: The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) generally halts operations, meaning there will be no updates on GDP and no PCE (the Fed's favorite inflation indicator).
– CFTC Reports: The "Commitment of Traders" (CoT) report, which tells us how large funds are positioned, will stop being published.
– The SEC halts almost everything except emergency enforcement.
– IPO and M&A On Hold: New IPOs and merger reviews are put on hold. If you are waiting for the approval of a deal, good luck.
– Historically, shutdowns reduce GDP growth by about 0.1% to 0.2% for every week they last.
The longer this lasts, the more the "uncertainty discount" is valued in stocks.
I will be monitoring the market to see what happens during this blackout.
#Marialecripto $BTC