#BTH In the afternoon, this wave of rebound feels more like "catching a breath"; don't treat it as a reversal. The news has been fluctuating back and forth these past two days, and the market rhythm has clearly accelerated. 点击进群
On the oil side, it first dropped then rallied, with the US stock market and cryptocurrency markets following suit. Essentially, it's still about funds waiting for certainty. #美伊冲突接下来会如何发展？
Back to the main points on the chart.
For Bitcoin, after rebounding from around 73600 to 74700, it has clearly started to weaken, now oscillating back around 74300.
Ethereum is also following a similar rhythm, rebounding from around 2250 to near 2290, then slowly grinding downwards.
From a structural perspective, it’s actually not complicated:
The four-hour chart has already shown signs of weakening, and this daily bullish candle has basically been partially eaten back, as the previous wave of gains is "taking profits" rather than accelerating further.
Looking at the shorter one-hour cycle, after a peak, the momentum cannot keep up; the position at 75000 has always been hard to break, indicating that there is still selling pressure above, and the bulls are a bit exhausted.
In this market, to put it simply: there is a rebound, but it feels more like giving shorts a chance to position.
Combining it with the previous macro rhythm, it’s the same:
Before the news lands, it’s likely to be oscillation plus repetition; the real direction will have to wait for the capital to show its stance.
Therefore, in terms of operation, keep the thinking as simple as possible:
Bitcoin
In the range of 75000–75500, consider looking for opportunities to short, first aiming for 74000, then 73000.
Ethereum
In the range of 2300–2320, also leaning towards a bearish mindset, first looking for a drop to 2270, and a weaker support at 2220.
One key point to mention:
If you are going to trade in these few days, use light positions, and enter and exit quickly, don’t bring emotions; before the news lands, make sure to reduce your positions, don’t gamble on the results. You don’t need to guess all the market movements correctly; just put yourself in a safe position during uncertain times. #比特币价格走势
On the oil side, it first dropped then rallied, with the US stock market and cryptocurrency markets following suit. Essentially, it's still about funds waiting for certainty. #美伊冲突接下来会如何发展？
Back to the main points on the chart.
For Bitcoin, after rebounding from around 73600 to 74700, it has clearly started to weaken, now oscillating back around 74300.
Ethereum is also following a similar rhythm, rebounding from around 2250 to near 2290, then slowly grinding downwards.
From a structural perspective, it’s actually not complicated:
The four-hour chart has already shown signs of weakening, and this daily bullish candle has basically been partially eaten back, as the previous wave of gains is "taking profits" rather than accelerating further.
Looking at the shorter one-hour cycle, after a peak, the momentum cannot keep up; the position at 75000 has always been hard to break, indicating that there is still selling pressure above, and the bulls are a bit exhausted.
In this market, to put it simply: there is a rebound, but it feels more like giving shorts a chance to position.
Combining it with the previous macro rhythm, it’s the same:
Before the news lands, it’s likely to be oscillation plus repetition; the real direction will have to wait for the capital to show its stance.
Therefore, in terms of operation, keep the thinking as simple as possible:
Bitcoin
In the range of 75000–75500, consider looking for opportunities to short, first aiming for 74000, then 73000.
Ethereum
In the range of 2300–2320, also leaning towards a bearish mindset, first looking for a drop to 2270, and a weaker support at 2220.
One key point to mention:
If you are going to trade in these few days, use light positions, and enter and exit quickly, don’t bring emotions; before the news lands, make sure to reduce your positions, don’t gamble on the results. You don’t need to guess all the market movements correctly; just put yourself in a safe position during uncertain times. #比特币价格走势