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EUR/USD Eyes 1.1700 as US Dollar Weakness Gains Momentum 💹
EUR/USD eased slightly from session highs near 1.1700 but remains 0.4% higher on the day as the US Dollar faces mounting pressure amid political uncertainty and global tensions.

US Dollar Under Pressure 🇺🇸
The US Dollar continues to falter as concerns over the Fed’s independence intensify. Reports indicate that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is under criminal investigation regarding his Senate testimony on the Fed’s Washington headquarters renovation. Powell has called the probe “unprecedented” and framed it as political pressure to influence interest rate decisions.
Eurozone Sentiment Improves 🇪🇺
The Sentix Investor Confidence Index for the Eurozone improved to -1.8 in January from -6.2 in December, marking the best reading in six months. While the positive sentiment did little to immediately boost the Euro, it shows improving confidence among investors.
Geopolitical Risks 🌍
Rising tensions in Iran and the threat of US intervention continue to support safe-haven flows into currencies like the USD. However, the political uncertainty surrounding the Fed is currently outweighing these concerns, keeping EUR/USD elevated.

Technical Outlook 🔍
Support: 1.1615 (December 8–9 lows), 1.1590 (December 2 low)
Resistance: 1.1700 (channel top & January 7 high), 1.1742 (January 6 high)
EUR/USD has rebounded strongly from one-month lows near 1.1620, breaking key technical barriers. The MACD on the 4-hour chart has crossed above the signal line, indicating fading bearish momentum, while the RSI has moved above 50, showing renewed upward strength. A break above 1.1700 could open the path toward 1.1742, while any pullback may find support at 1.1615.
Market Outlook
Investors are eyeing upcoming US data, including CPI releases and Fed speeches, which could guide the Dollar’s next moves. Meanwhile, Eurozone fundamentals remain relatively steady, and technical momentum favors further EUR/USD upside in the short term.
💡 Takeaway: With the US Dollar under political and market pressure, EUR/USD could test key resistance near 1.1700 in the coming sessions. Traders should watch macro developments closely and manage risk accordingly.

Once a month, one number shakes everything: US Non-Farm Payroll.
Strong jobs mean the Fed stays tough. Weak jobs mean rate cuts start getting priced in. That’s why price moves fast and emotions move faster.
NFP isn’t about prediction. It’s about reaction. Those who wait and read the market usually survive. Those who guess usually donate.
Trade the response, not the headline.
What’s your plan for NFP day?
#NFP #NonFarmPayroll #USJobs #MacroEconomics #ForexTrading
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