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Bitcoin Averages 100% Return After Down Years: Will The Pattern Repeat In 2026?
History shows Bitcoin’s rare down years have been followed by triple-digit rebounds, keeping 2026 firmly on traders’ watchlists.
Bitcoin
BTC
$90,965
ended 2025 slightly in the red with a -6.36% return after a strong start earlier in the year. While the annual loss appears modest, historical patterns suggest that down years have often preceded some of Bitcoin’s strongest rallies.
Key takeaways:
Bitcoin has historically averaged close to 100% gains in the year following a down year.
Long-term models project a substantial target near $300,000 if liquidity conditions turn supportive.
Bitcoin history hints at upside after rare red years
According to Jesse Myers, Bitcoin Strategy Head at Smarter Web Company, Bitcoin has shown a consistent tendency to recover sharply after negative annual closes. Data from the past decade highlighted four down years: 2014, 2018, 2022, and, most recently, 2025.
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #Article4 #FYp
Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Investment 101
Bitcoin's performance after a down year. Source: Jesse Myers/ X
The years immediately following those drawdowns delivered gains of 35%, 95%, and 156% respectively. Averaged together, these recoveries approach 95%, rounded to a 100% historical benchmark. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the repetition of this pattern continues to shape expectations for 2026.
Adding to the longer-term bullish case, Bitcoin researcher Sminston With noted that Bitcoin’s base-case valuation for 2026 sits between $200,000 and $300,000. With’s Bitcoin Decay Channel model uses quantile regression on historical price data to account for diminishing volatility across cycles.
Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Investment 101
Bitcoin Decay Channel. Source: Sminston With/X
With explained that the model’s oscillator remains near 20%, a level historically associated with early expansion phases. The projected 2026 target zone contrasts with Bitcoin’s stagnation near $88,000 at the end of 2025, which With attributed to delayed liquidity cycles rather than a definitive cycle peak.
Bitcoin
BTC
$90,965
ended 2025 slightly in the red with a -6.36% return after a strong start earlier in the year. While the annual loss appears modest, historical patterns suggest that down years have often preceded some of Bitcoin’s strongest rallies.
Key takeaways:
Bitcoin has historically averaged close to 100% gains in the year following a down year.
Long-term models project a substantial target near $300,000 if liquidity conditions turn supportive.
Bitcoin history hints at upside after rare red years
According to Jesse Myers, Bitcoin Strategy Head at Smarter Web Company, Bitcoin has shown a consistent tendency to recover sharply after negative annual closes. Data from the past decade highlighted four down years: 2014, 2018, 2022, and, most recently, 2025.
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #Article4 #FYp
Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Investment 101
Bitcoin's performance after a down year. Source: Jesse Myers/ X
The years immediately following those drawdowns delivered gains of 35%, 95%, and 156% respectively. Averaged together, these recoveries approach 95%, rounded to a 100% historical benchmark. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the repetition of this pattern continues to shape expectations for 2026.
Adding to the longer-term bullish case, Bitcoin researcher Sminston With noted that Bitcoin’s base-case valuation for 2026 sits between $200,000 and $300,000. With’s Bitcoin Decay Channel model uses quantile regression on historical price data to account for diminishing volatility across cycles.
Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Investment 101
Bitcoin Decay Channel. Source: Sminston With/X
With explained that the model’s oscillator remains near 20%, a level historically associated with early expansion phases. The projected 2026 target zone contrasts with Bitcoin’s stagnation near $88,000 at the end of 2025, which With attributed to delayed liquidity cycles rather than a definitive cycle peak.
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Day 30 Market Analysis
The market has reached a critical turning point, and the current price level is extremely important. Traders must closely monitor the battle around key levels. If support cannot be held, a multi-stage retracement test is likely.
🔴 Bullish Reversal Opportunity: The key lies in whether a valid breakout above 3176 can be achieved.
If successful, the market could rebound to 3191 ~ 3227,
followed by consolidation to build momentum for a potential further rise to 3245.
🟢 Downward Risk Warning: If below 3147 is broken,
it indicates short-term support has failed, and a high probability of entering a range of 3147 ~ 3092 for consolidation. If the decline continues,
the next target will be 3076 ~ 3030 to seek support.
Once even this range is breached, the next levels to test will be 3010 / 2977 / 2921 in sequence.
For those interested in more detailed market analysis, feel free to
Like and Subscribe to my YouTube, search for Ocean487_d (Ocean ETH)
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#洋哥交易筆記 #主頁連結 #推薦 #熱門 #熱搜 #fyp #ETH #盤面分析 #關鍵點位 #加密貨幣 #Crypto
The market has reached a critical turning point, and the current price level is extremely important. Traders must closely monitor the battle around key levels. If support cannot be held, a multi-stage retracement test is likely.
🔴 Bullish Reversal Opportunity: The key lies in whether a valid breakout above 3176 can be achieved.
If successful, the market could rebound to 3191 ~ 3227,
followed by consolidation to build momentum for a potential further rise to 3245.
🟢 Downward Risk Warning: If below 3147 is broken,
it indicates short-term support has failed, and a high probability of entering a range of 3147 ~ 3092 for consolidation. If the decline continues,
the next target will be 3076 ~ 3030 to seek support.
Once even this range is breached, the next levels to test will be 3010 / 2977 / 2921 in sequence.
For those interested in more detailed market analysis, feel free to
Like and Subscribe to my YouTube, search for Ocean487_d (Ocean ETH)
Like and Subscribe to Threads, search for Ocean487_d (Ocean ETH)
#洋哥交易筆記 #主頁連結 #推薦 #熱門 #熱搜 #fyp #ETH #盤面分析 #關鍵點位 #加密貨幣 #Crypto
$60 → $5,000 😱💸
Is this a real rocket 🚀 or just hype 🤔🔥?
🔥 #crypto
🚀 #trending
💸 #money
📈 #investing
📊 #fyp
Is this a real rocket 🚀 or just hype 🤔🔥?
🔥 #crypto
🚀 #trending
💸 #money
📈 #investing
📊 #fyp
🚀 $SHIB Lovers, where you at?
$SHIB is flexing strong bullish momentum with a +3.57% pump! 📈 The chart is breaking higher with rising volume, confirming steady buying pressure. This iconic meme coin is heating up, and price action hints this could be the start of a bigger upward move. 🔥
💹 Trade Setup (Long):
Entry: 0.00000830 – 0.00000845
Target 1: 0.00000880 🎯
Target 2: 0.00000920 🎯
Target 3: 0.00000970 🎯
Stop-Loss: 0.00000800 ❌
💎 Enter with confidence, but manage your risk! $SHIB shows healthy momentum and has clear potential for further gains if support stays strong. 💪✨
#fyp 📈 – One of the most popular tags on TikTok with huge global views. �
TTS Vibes
#trending 🔥 – Common across platforms to show what’s hot right now. �
Best Hashtags
#viral 🚀 – Great for content that’s catching momentum. �
Best Hashtags
#instagood ❤️ – Widely used on Instagram for positive/high‑quality posts. �
DesignRush
$SHIB is flexing strong bullish momentum with a +3.57% pump! 📈 The chart is breaking higher with rising volume, confirming steady buying pressure. This iconic meme coin is heating up, and price action hints this could be the start of a bigger upward move. 🔥
💹 Trade Setup (Long):
Entry: 0.00000830 – 0.00000845
Target 1: 0.00000880 🎯
Target 2: 0.00000920 🎯
Target 3: 0.00000970 🎯
Stop-Loss: 0.00000800 ❌
💎 Enter with confidence, but manage your risk! $SHIB shows healthy momentum and has clear potential for further gains if support stays strong. 💪✨
#fyp 📈 – One of the most popular tags on TikTok with huge global views. �
TTS Vibes
#trending 🔥 – Common across platforms to show what’s hot right now. �
Best Hashtags
#viral 🚀 – Great for content that’s catching momentum. �
Best Hashtags
#instagood ❤️ – Widely used on Instagram for positive/high‑quality posts. �
DesignRush
🚀 $BABY is showing mild bullish momentum, holding strong above short-term support 🟢. Price is stabilizing around key intraday levels, with steady volume 📊 suggesting controlled accumulation rather than sudden spikes ⚖️.
As long as $BABY stays above 0.0172–0.0173, the path looks set for a gradual upward move ⬆️.
🎯 Targets:
0.0178 ✨
0.0185 💎
0.0195 🚀
#fyp
#foryoupage
#viral
#trending
#tiktok
As long as $BABY stays above 0.0172–0.0173, the path looks set for a gradual upward move ⬆️.
🎯 Targets:
0.0178 ✨
0.0185 💎
0.0195 🚀
#fyp
#foryoupage
#viral
#trending
#tiktok
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$COLLECT #Binance #fyp This coin has just experienced a significant surge (pump) from the area $0.033 to a peak of $0.097, followed by a substantial correction. However, there are some positive signals:
Moving Average (MA) Support: The current price ($0.082) is above MA(7) and MA(25). This indicates that the short-term trend is turning bullish (upward) again.
Profit Position: The current price ($0.082) is already above your "Cost Price" ($0.074). You are in a floating profit position.
Liquidity vs Market Cap: Market Cap of $44M with liquidity of $2.5M. This includes coins with high volatility. Price movements can be very rapid, either up or down.
Moving Average (MA) Support: The current price ($0.082) is above MA(7) and MA(25). This indicates that the short-term trend is turning bullish (upward) again.
Profit Position: The current price ($0.082) is already above your "Cost Price" ($0.074). You are in a floating profit position.
Liquidity vs Market Cap: Market Cap of $44M with liquidity of $2.5M. This includes coins with high volatility. Price movements can be very rapid, either up or down.
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BREAKING: The US–Venezuela Conflict Escalates
Military attacks by the United States have been reported in Venezuela, including airstrikes in Caracas and claims of the capture of President Maduro. The Venezuelan government condemns it as military aggression. The situation is still developing — not a formal war, but a significant escalation in the relationship between these two countries.
#CryptoNews Venezuela USA #Binance #MarketUpdate #FYp
Military attacks by the United States have been reported in Venezuela, including airstrikes in Caracas and claims of the capture of President Maduro. The Venezuelan government condemns it as military aggression. The situation is still developing — not a formal war, but a significant escalation in the relationship between these two countries.
#CryptoNews Venezuela USA #Binance #MarketUpdate #FYp
🚀 Get Rich Quick Alert! 💸💥
🐸 $PEPE – 0.00000509 🔥 +24.45%
🌊 $RIVER – 12.02 🚀 +25.43%
⚡ $A2Z – 0.001678 💹 +18.67%
🏆 #WinFor_Traders ✨📈
#fyp
#viral
#foryoupage
#funny
#dancehall
🐸 $PEPE – 0.00000509 🔥 +24.45%
🌊 $RIVER – 12.02 🚀 +25.43%
⚡ $A2Z – 0.001678 💹 +18.67%
🏆 #WinFor_Traders ✨📈
#fyp
#viral
#foryoupage
#funny
#dancehall
🚀 $FIL Vertical Breakout – Momentum in Control! 💎
$FIL exploded out of the base with strong volume 📊🔥 and is holding above key resistance. As long as it stays firm, the upside remains active 💪⚡
🎯 Entry Zone: 1.48 – 1.52
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.40
🏁 Targets:
TP1: 1.60 💎
TP2: 1.72 🔥
TP3: 1.90 🚀
💡 Simple setup, strong trend – let momentum do its thing! ⚡📈
Or a shorter, hype social-media version:
💥 $FIL Momentum Breakout!
Entry: 1.48 – 1.52 🎯 | SL <1.40 🛑
TP1: 1.60 💎 | TP2: 1.72 🔥 | TP3: 1.90 🚀
Strong trend, let the momentum ride! ⚡
#crypto
#bitcoin
#fyp
#ethereum
#trading
$FIL exploded out of the base with strong volume 📊🔥 and is holding above key resistance. As long as it stays firm, the upside remains active 💪⚡
🎯 Entry Zone: 1.48 – 1.52
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.40
🏁 Targets:
TP1: 1.60 💎
TP2: 1.72 🔥
TP3: 1.90 🚀
💡 Simple setup, strong trend – let momentum do its thing! ⚡📈
Or a shorter, hype social-media version:
💥 $FIL Momentum Breakout!
Entry: 1.48 – 1.52 🎯 | SL <1.40 🛑
TP1: 1.60 💎 | TP2: 1.72 🔥 | TP3: 1.90 🚀
Strong trend, let the momentum ride! ⚡
#crypto
#bitcoin
#fyp
#ethereum
#trading
🚀 $BLESS – LONG NOW! 💎🔥
🎯 Entry: 0.01256
🏁 Targets:
TP1: 0.01320 💎
TP2: 0.01390 🔥
TP3: 0.01480 🚀
🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.01210
Or a shorter, hype version for social media:
💥 $BLESS LONG ALERT!
Entry: 0.01256 🎯 | SL: 0.01210 🛑
TP1: 0.01320 💎 | TP2: 0.01390 🔥 | TP3: 0.01480 🚀
#crypto 💎
#trading 📈
#bitcoin ₿
#fyp 🚀
#investing 💰
🎯 Entry: 0.01256
🏁 Targets:
TP1: 0.01320 💎
TP2: 0.01390 🔥
TP3: 0.01480 🚀
🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.01210
Or a shorter, hype version for social media:
💥 $BLESS LONG ALERT!
Entry: 0.01256 🎯 | SL: 0.01210 🛑
TP1: 0.01320 💎 | TP2: 0.01390 🔥 | TP3: 0.01480 🚀
#crypto 💎
#trading 📈
#bitcoin ₿
#fyp 🚀
#investing 💰
📈 $H Vertical Expansion – Momentum Breakout 🚀
🎯 Entry Zone: 0.186 – 0.194
💪 Bullish Above: 0.196
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 0.175
🏁 Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 0.215 💎
TP2: 0.245 🔥
TP3: 0.285 🚀
Or a shorter hype version for social media:
🚀 $H Momentum Breakout!
Entry: 0.186 – 0.194 🎯 | Bullish >0.196 💪
SL: 0.175 🛑
TP1: 0.215 💎 | TP2: 0.245 🔥 | TP3: 0.2
#crypto 💎
#fyp 🚀
#bitcoin
#investing 📈
#trading 💹
🎯 Entry Zone: 0.186 – 0.194
💪 Bullish Above: 0.196
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 0.175
🏁 Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 0.215 💎
TP2: 0.245 🔥
TP3: 0.285 🚀
Or a shorter hype version for social media:
🚀 $H Momentum Breakout!
Entry: 0.186 – 0.194 🎯 | Bullish >0.196 💪
SL: 0.175 🛑
TP1: 0.215 💎 | TP2: 0.245 🔥 | TP3: 0.2
#crypto 💎
#fyp 🚀
#bitcoin
#investing 📈
#trading 💹
🚀 $PEOPLE — Higher Highs, Momentum Intact! 💎
$PEOPLE surged from 0.0087 📈, forming a clean series of higher highs & higher lows before hitting 0.0104 resistance 🔥. The pullback was shallow and controlled ✅ — real demand driving this move, not a quick spike ⚡.
📊 Current Price: ~0.0102, holding above breakout zone
💡 Key Zone: Stay above 0.0099–0.0100 to keep bullish structure valid
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 0.0099 – 0.0101 🎯
Targets:
TP1: 0.0108 💎
TP2: 0.0116 🔥
TP3: 0.0128 🚀
Stop-Loss: 0.0093 🛑
⏳ No need to chase highs — patience near support = better risk control ⚡💪
Or a shorter, hype version:
💥 $PEOPLE Momentum Alert!
Entry: 0.0099–0.0101 🎯 | SL: 0.0093 🛑
TP1: 0.0108 💎 | TP2: 0.0116 🔥 | TP3: 0.0128 🚀
Holding above breakout, momentum strong ⚡📈
#crypto 💎
#trading 📈
#bitcoin ₿
#fyp 🚀
#investing 💰
$PEOPLE surged from 0.0087 📈, forming a clean series of higher highs & higher lows before hitting 0.0104 resistance 🔥. The pullback was shallow and controlled ✅ — real demand driving this move, not a quick spike ⚡.
📊 Current Price: ~0.0102, holding above breakout zone
💡 Key Zone: Stay above 0.0099–0.0100 to keep bullish structure valid
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 0.0099 – 0.0101 🎯
Targets:
TP1: 0.0108 💎
TP2: 0.0116 🔥
TP3: 0.0128 🚀
Stop-Loss: 0.0093 🛑
⏳ No need to chase highs — patience near support = better risk control ⚡💪
Or a shorter, hype version:
💥 $PEOPLE Momentum Alert!
Entry: 0.0099–0.0101 🎯 | SL: 0.0093 🛑
TP1: 0.0108 💎 | TP2: 0.0116 🔥 | TP3: 0.0128 🚀
Holding above breakout, momentum strong ⚡📈
#crypto 💎
#trading 📈
#bitcoin ₿
#fyp 🚀
#investing 💰
– SMART MONEY BULLISH SETUP
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweep
Price first swept sell-side liquidity below the lows.
This move is used by smart money to trap sellers and build long positions.
2️⃣ Break of Structure (BOS)
After the sweep, price broke previous highs, confirming a bullish shift in market structure.
3️⃣ Order Block → Breaker Block
The previous bearish order block failed and flipped into a breaker block, acting as strong bullish support.
4️⃣ Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The impulsive move up created an imbalance (FVG).
Price retracing into this zone offers a high-probability buy area.
5️⃣ Bullish Flag Continuation
Price consolidated in a bullish flag, showing healthy pullback before continuation.
6️⃣ Target Projection
Expansion aligns with previous highs and measured move → continuation toward premium levels.
🔑 Key Insight
Liquidity → Structure Shift → Imbalance → Continuation
This is how institutions engineer high-probability trades.
#FYp #forextrading #CryptoTradingInsights
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC #ANMOLWRITES $BTC $XRP $SOL
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweep
Price first swept sell-side liquidity below the lows.
This move is used by smart money to trap sellers and build long positions.
2️⃣ Break of Structure (BOS)
After the sweep, price broke previous highs, confirming a bullish shift in market structure.
3️⃣ Order Block → Breaker Block
The previous bearish order block failed and flipped into a breaker block, acting as strong bullish support.
4️⃣ Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The impulsive move up created an imbalance (FVG).
Price retracing into this zone offers a high-probability buy area.
5️⃣ Bullish Flag Continuation
Price consolidated in a bullish flag, showing healthy pullback before continuation.
6️⃣ Target Projection
Expansion aligns with previous highs and measured move → continuation toward premium levels.
🔑 Key Insight
Liquidity → Structure Shift → Imbalance → Continuation
This is how institutions engineer high-probability trades.
#FYp #forextrading #CryptoTradingInsights
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC #ANMOLWRITES $BTC $XRP $SOL
$ETH is consolidating around the $3,000 level 🔺. Price is marginally higher today, though it has faced pressure over the past month.
$AUCTION $ID
Open: $2,985
Close: $2,991
Change: +0.22% 📈
#TrendingNow
#Viral
#ExplorePage
#InstaTrends
#FYP
$AUCTION $ID
Open: $2,985
Close: $2,991
Change: +0.22% 📈
#TrendingNow
#Viral
#ExplorePage
#InstaTrends
#FYP
Attention traders 🚨
$COLLECT /USDT (new listing) looks to be moving through the typical first pump → distribution → liquidity sweep structure.
📉 Short idea (my bias)
Entry: 0.0738 – 0.0758
DCA zone: 0.0782 – 0.0810
Stop-loss (wide): 0.0922
🎯 Targets:
👉 0.0710
👉 0.0665
👉 0.0605
👉 0.0542
⚠️ This is a new listing, so volatility is very high. Trade with strict risk management.
Short setup below 👇
🔥 #FYp
🔥 #foryoupage
🔥 #viral
🔥 #trending
🔥 #tiktok
$COLLECT /USDT (new listing) looks to be moving through the typical first pump → distribution → liquidity sweep structure.
📉 Short idea (my bias)
Entry: 0.0738 – 0.0758
DCA zone: 0.0782 – 0.0810
Stop-loss (wide): 0.0922
🎯 Targets:
👉 0.0710
👉 0.0665
👉 0.0605
👉 0.0542
⚠️ This is a new listing, so volatility is very high. Trade with strict risk management.
Short setup below 👇
🔥 #FYp
🔥 #foryoupage
🔥 #viral
🔥 #trending
🔥 #tiktok
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