V340RK
Є копітрейдинг. Можна підключитись — угоди повторюються автоматично, статистика відкрита. Або просто читати канал і розуміти, що відбувається на ринку.
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This is a channel about the cryptocurrency market and real earnings on it.
I do not publish trades here and do not give signals.
My main income is trading.
If someone wants to repeat my actions — there is copy trading
with open statistics, where trades are repeated automatically,
without manual entry.
This channel is not about 'what to buy'.
Here I explain:
Macro data and liquidity
news that really moves the market
My main income is trading.
If someone wants to repeat my actions — there is copy trading
with open statistics, where trades are repeated automatically,
without manual entry.
This channel is not about 'what to buy'.
Here I explain:
Macro data and liquidity
news that really moves the market
See original
Pentagon — on round-the-clock mode.
The so-called 'Pentagon Pizza' meme indicator has shown abnormal activity around the Pentagon for several days in a row.
It sounds funny, but historically such spikes strangely coincided with real military events.
And right now the mood is very tense.
After the mobilization of reservists, Israel began placing hospitals on emergency mode.
It sounds funny, but historically such spikes strangely coincided with real military events.
And right now the mood is very tense.
After the mobilization of reservists, Israel began placing hospitals on emergency mode.
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BTC — Monday Review
Third week in a row I open the chart and… nothing fundamentally new.
As it was cutting, so it keeps cutting.
Last week they took liquidity from the 4H FVG, got an immediate reaction and then pulled back again.
Important point — the fractal repeats: taking liquidity from the swing high (high of the previous month) → reaction → pullback.
As it was cutting, so it keeps cutting.
Last week they took liquidity from the 4H FVG, got an immediate reaction and then pulled back again.
Important point — the fractal repeats: taking liquidity from the swing high (high of the previous month) → reaction → pullback.
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What's Really Happening with the U.S. Economy — and the Impact on the Market
There's a feeling that official figures say one thing, while reality says something slightly different. And the market is beginning to catch on.
The U.S. is slowly "braking".
One of the most unpleasant signals is the collapse in heavy-duty truck sales.
Why is this important?
But trucks are not 'cars' — they are economy in motion.
Fewer trucks = fewer shipments → fewer orders → less business activity.
The U.S. is slowly "braking".
One of the most unpleasant signals is the collapse in heavy-duty truck sales.
Why is this important?
But trucks are not 'cars' — they are economy in motion.
Fewer trucks = fewer shipments → fewer orders → less business activity.
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ETF flows for the past week (05–09.01)
At the start — liquidity was injected, then quickly withdrawn as excessive optimism faded. For January, this is a standard scenario.
BTC Spot ETF
Weekly summary: −$680.9M
The contrast is quite strong:
January 5: +$697.2M came in,
then — four consecutive days of outflows totaling −$1.378B.
This is a routine profit-taking after a very strong start to the year. Someone came in — someone immediately took profits.
BTC Spot ETF
Weekly summary: −$680.9M
The contrast is quite strong:
January 5: +$697.2M came in,
then — four consecutive days of outflows totaling −$1.378B.
This is a routine profit-taking after a very strong start to the year. Someone came in — someone immediately took profits.
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US: Key news of the week (January 13–15)
In focus — inflation and consumers. This is where the market's next move is being decided right now.
Tuesday, 01/13
15:30 — CPI and Core CPI (December)
Main release of the week.
News impact:
● above expectations → dollar and bonds up → risk becomes tight
● below expectations → market starts believing in a softer rate again → risk-on comes in easier
Tuesday, 01/13
15:30 — CPI and Core CPI (December)
Main release of the week.
News impact:
● above expectations → dollar and bonds up → risk becomes tight
● below expectations → market starts believing in a softer rate again → risk-on comes in easier
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USA and Iran — once again, it smells like serious escalation
The situation in Iran is quickly going beyond "internal protests".
➥ Donald Trump strongly warned Tehran:
"If Iranian military opens fire on unarmed people, we will deliver a powerful strike against them."
This is not diplomacy. This is a direct threat — public and demonstrative.
➥ Meanwhile, Trump posts a video of mass protests in Mashhad — the country's second-largest city — and subtly hints that the regime may not hold on.
➥ Donald Trump strongly warned Tehran:
"If Iranian military opens fire on unarmed people, we will deliver a powerful strike against them."
This is not diplomacy. This is a direct threat — public and demonstrative.
➥ Meanwhile, Trump posts a video of mass protests in Mashhad — the country's second-largest city — and subtly hints that the regime may not hold on.
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Trump's Tariffs: What the Court Will Decide — and Why It Won't Change the Big Picture
Just a few days ago, insiders from Bloomberg reported that today, January 9, the US Supreme Court may respond to a key question for the markets:
Are Donald Trump's tariffs legal?
The first thing to pay attention to:
On the Polymarket predictions, 76% of participants are confident that the court will rule against the tariffs and declare them illegal.
Are Donald Trump's tariffs legal?
The first thing to pay attention to:
On the Polymarket predictions, 76% of participants are confident that the court will rule against the tariffs and declare them illegal.
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Big Bada Boom
A little news, but with subtext
The Middle East is a high-risk area
Any destabilization here always hurts the global economy.
Iran — protests are intensifying, demonstrators are already moving to take over cities. This is not a "one-off rally," but a growing movement.
The US Republicans are openly declaring that if the Iranian authorities start mass-suppressing protests with weapons, a military strike is possible. Such statements are not made lightly.
The Middle East is a high-risk area
Any destabilization here always hurts the global economy.
Iran — protests are intensifying, demonstrators are already moving to take over cities. This is not a "one-off rally," but a growing movement.
The US Republicans are openly declaring that if the Iranian authorities start mass-suppressing protests with weapons, a military strike is possible. Such statements are not made lightly.
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US: Mixed macro signal and why the market is hesitant to draw conclusions
The data released on January 7th were ambiguous.
Neither a clear risk-on nor a clear risk-off. It's precisely these days that most often confuse people.
1) ADP (December)
41K vs 49K forecast
The private sector labor market is growing, but more slowly than expected.
This is neither alarm nor overheating — a soft, neutral signal.
2) ISM Services (December)
Neither a clear risk-on nor a clear risk-off. It's precisely these days that most often confuse people.
1) ADP (December)
41K vs 49K forecast
The private sector labor market is growing, but more slowly than expected.
This is neither alarm nor overheating — a soft, neutral signal.
2) ISM Services (December)
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"Cat and mouse" - Trump's tariffs
According to Bloomberg, on January 9, the U.S. Supreme Court may issue a decision on Donald Trump's tariffs.
A key detail:
The official calendars of the U.S. Supreme Court do not confirm that the decision will be made exactly on this day and exactly on this issue. Bloomberg itself acknowledges that the headline may be sensational — although it's not ruled out that journalists have insider information.
A key detail:
The official calendars of the U.S. Supreme Court do not confirm that the decision will be made exactly on this day and exactly on this issue. Bloomberg itself acknowledges that the headline may be sensational — although it's not ruled out that journalists have insider information.
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Bitcoin: the first review of 2026 and three scenarios
The year began exactly as expected.
BTC has exited a two-week sideways range of $83–90k and has finally shown movement. The price is trying to consolidate above $90–92k and is looking towards the next zone of $94–96k.
The first signs of strength are appearing — and that is key.
The background is restless. Geopolitics adds tension: Venezuela, Trump's loud statements, discussions about Mexico and Greenland. The focus has clearly shifted from tariffs to personal ambitions and MAGA.
BTC has exited a two-week sideways range of $83–90k and has finally shown movement. The price is trying to consolidate above $90–92k and is looking towards the next zone of $94–96k.
The first signs of strength are appearing — and that is key.
The background is restless. Geopolitics adds tension: Venezuela, Trump's loud statements, discussions about Mexico and Greenland. The focus has clearly shifted from tariffs to personal ambitions and MAGA.
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ETF flows (29.12 - 02.01): the start of the year showed that the demand for risk is alive
The end of the year was nervous: rebalancing, fixing, liquidity transfer.
But the first full session of January sharply changed the picture — and this is the main signal of the week.
BTC Spot ETF: +459 million $ for the week
By days:
29.12: −19.3 million
30.12: +355.1 million
31.12: −348.1 million — a typical sell-off at the year's close
02.01: +471.3 million — a strong return of liquidity
But the first full session of January sharply changed the picture — and this is the main signal of the week.
BTC Spot ETF: +459 million $ for the week
By days:
29.12: −19.3 million
30.12: +355.1 million
31.12: −348.1 million — a typical sell-off at the year's close
02.01: +471.3 million — a strong return of liquidity
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17 Years of Bitcoin: Numbers That Put Everything in Its Place
Yesterday Bitcoin turned 17 years old.
Let's just look at the price on the same date, January 3, year by year.
BTC price on January 3:
2010 — ~$0.0008
2011 — ~$0.30
2012 — ~$5.20
2013 — ~$13.30
2014 — ~$342
2015 — ~$275
2016 — ~$432
2017 — ~$970
2018 — ~$13,880
2019 — ~$3,670
2020 — ~$7,260
2021 — ~$33,100
2022 — ~$46,458
2023 — ~$23,000
2024 — ~$45,000
2025 — ~$96,800
2026 — ~$90,000
On this journey, there has been everything:
Let's just look at the price on the same date, January 3, year by year.
BTC price on January 3:
2010 — ~$0.0008
2011 — ~$0.30
2012 — ~$5.20
2013 — ~$13.30
2014 — ~$342
2015 — ~$275
2016 — ~$432
2017 — ~$970
2018 — ~$13,880
2019 — ~$3,670
2020 — ~$7,260
2021 — ~$33,100
2022 — ~$46,458
2023 — ~$23,000
2024 — ~$45,000
2025 — ~$96,800
2026 — ~$90,000
On this journey, there has been everything:
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US Macro Calendar for the Week of January 5–9
The week again fully focuses on macro.
Market focus — business activity (PMI / ISM) and the labor market (ADP, JOLTS, claims, NFP).
In such periods, simple logic often applies:
the first move can be false; the direction emerges after consolidation.
Monday, January 5
17:00 — ISM Manufacturing PMI (December)
Industry sets the tone for the dollar and yields.
Market focus — business activity (PMI / ISM) and the labor market (ADP, JOLTS, claims, NFP).
In such periods, simple logic often applies:
the first move can be false; the direction emerges after consolidation.
Monday, January 5
17:00 — ISM Manufacturing PMI (December)
Industry sets the tone for the dollar and yields.
See original
Well, it's all simple, there's nothing to worry about..
Donald Trump (part 2)
(press conference)
➠ The USA will be restoring the infrastructure of Venezuela.
➠ Don't play with Trump — this won't end well (Marco Rubio).
➠ I don't see any serious problems in the relations between the Russian Federation and the USA due to the operation in Venezuela.
➠ Machado won't be able to become the leader of Venezuela — she has no leadership qualities, she's just nice.
➠ Venezuela is waiting for a reconstruction: we will be taking a significant amount of money from underground.
➠ We will be selling large volumes of oil to other countries.
➠ Right now, there is no one in Venezuela who could take power. The Vice President of Venezuela expressed her willingness to cooperate with the USA in a conversation with Rubio.
➠ Venezuela has hosted foreign forces on its territory and purchased offensive weapons that posed a threat to the USA.
➠ We never talked to Putin about Maduro. I'm not thrilled about Putin.
➠ I thought the simplest conflict was the war between Ukraine and Russia. So far, I haven't managed to reconcile them, but I want to achieve an agreement.
➠ This is the war of Biden, Zelensky, and Putin. I stepped into this situation — and there is total chaos.
Donald Trump (part 2)
(press conference)
➠ The USA will be restoring the infrastructure of Venezuela.
➠ Don't play with Trump — this won't end well (Marco Rubio).
➠ I don't see any serious problems in the relations between the Russian Federation and the USA due to the operation in Venezuela.
➠ Machado won't be able to become the leader of Venezuela — she has no leadership qualities, she's just nice.
➠ Venezuela is waiting for a reconstruction: we will be taking a significant amount of money from underground.
➠ We will be selling large volumes of oil to other countries.
➠ Right now, there is no one in Venezuela who could take power. The Vice President of Venezuela expressed her willingness to cooperate with the USA in a conversation with Rubio.
➠ Venezuela has hosted foreign forces on its territory and purchased offensive weapons that posed a threat to the USA.
➠ We never talked to Putin about Maduro. I'm not thrilled about Putin.
➠ I thought the simplest conflict was the war between Ukraine and Russia. So far, I haven't managed to reconcile them, but I want to achieve an agreement.
➠ This is the war of Biden, Zelensky, and Putin. I stepped into this situation — and there is total chaos.
Is this allowed?
Donald Trump:
The US plans to manage Venezuela.
We will govern the country until we can ensure a safe, proper, and reasonable transition of power.
The US oil industry will enter Venezuela.
We will allow major American oil companies to enter the Venezuelan market.
The US plans to manage Venezuela.
We will govern the country until we can ensure a safe, proper, and reasonable transition of power.
The US oil industry will enter Venezuela.
We will allow major American oil companies to enter the Venezuelan market.
See original
Is this allowed?
Donald Trump:
The US plans to manage Venezuela.
We will govern the country until we can ensure a safe, proper, and reasonable transition of power.
The US oil industry will enter Venezuela.
We will allow major American oil companies to enter the Venezuelan market.
The US plans to manage Venezuela.
We will govern the country until we can ensure a safe, proper, and reasonable transition of power.
The US oil industry will enter Venezuela.
We will allow major American oil companies to enter the Venezuelan market.
See original
'Black Swan' and will there be a correction on Monday
Parallel to the events in Venezuela, the tension around Iran is sharply rising.
Mass protests are starting there, and the authorities are using force against the demonstrators.
Donald Trump has already stated publicly: if the shootings continue, the USA is ready to intervene and 'protect democracy.'
At the same time, Israel is preparing for a new wave of escalation.
Mass protests are starting there, and the authorities are using force against the demonstrators.
Donald Trump has already stated publicly: if the shootings continue, the USA is ready to intervene and 'protect democracy.'
At the same time, Israel is preparing for a new wave of escalation.
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Several important news items for today
Anti-crypto SEC commissioner has resigned
Caroline Crenshaw, one of the toughest critics of the crypto market within the SEC, has resigned.
What does this mean for the crypto market:
minus one vote against crypto in the regulator;
less ideological pressure, more chances for pragmatic solutions;
positive for the long-term background for ETFs, exchanges, and major players.
Caroline Crenshaw, one of the toughest critics of the crypto market within the SEC, has resigned.
What does this mean for the crypto market:
minus one vote against crypto in the regulator;
less ideological pressure, more chances for pragmatic solutions;
positive for the long-term background for ETFs, exchanges, and major players.
See original
Donald Trump:
• The USA successfully conducted a full-scale strike against Venezuela.
• The President of Venezuela, Maduro, and his wife were captured and taken out of the country. The operation was carried out jointly with American law enforcement agencies.
• A press conference will take place today (at 18:00 Kyiv time).
• The USA successfully conducted a full-scale strike against Venezuela.
• The President of Venezuela, Maduro, and his wife were captured and taken out of the country. The operation was carried out jointly with American law enforcement agencies.
• A press conference will take place today (at 18:00 Kyiv time).
U.S. and Venezuela: What is known at this moment
The media is widely reporting information about possible U.S. strikes on facilities in Venezuela.
The data is controversial, there is currently no official confirmation from the White House, but the information background has sharply escalated.
What sources are reporting
CBS reports that U.S. President Donald Trump allegedly gave the order for strikes on Venezuelan facilities.
The data is controversial, there is currently no official confirmation from the White House, but the information background has sharply escalated.
What sources are reporting
CBS reports that U.S. President Donald Trump allegedly gave the order for strikes on Venezuelan facilities.
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