The Bank of Japan is about to raise rates by 0.25% on December 19 Bitcoin fell the last 3 times the BoJ raised interest rates: March 2024 → -27% July 2024 → -30% January 2025 → -30%
The market is liquidating, the most likely scenario is that it will drop to 84,000 and then there will be a rebound up to approximately 87,000.
For now, only Scalping with assumed risk, taking advantage of the Pulls, but the price will continue to drop, that is a fact.
Why? Because down there in the area of 84,000 there is a lot of liquidity, so first, we need to sweep to have a momentum that is worth it for the large investments and the system. _________________________________ Recommendation: LONG (short term) Entry: 84,700 (approximately) TP: 86,000 / 87,000. Up to this zone would be a probable, natural, and healthy rebound. SL: 83,500. Below this value, it will go deeper. _________________________________
Remember, this is not a fact, it is an analysis that at the end of the day can collapse due to “whale” manipulation. 🐳 #btc $BTC
Before looking for +110k again. It will first sweep down to 102k because there is a lot of liquidation in that area. The most logical thing is to look to liquidate there to start the descent towards 70/75/80 and begin the new cycle.
IN SUMMARY:
- Same 5 phases. - Same overflow peak. - Same emotional curve. Each stage has developed.
Phase 5: Prepare for maximum pain This is not capitulation. It's the disguised launch pad. Get ready. Survive. Accumulate. $BTC
Short ACTIVE. Take advantage of the overbought, right now they will take profits. Make a short trade with a maximum SL at 0.35200.
TP: As far as you want, don't exit the chart, it may drop to about 0.25000 / 0.30000. Remember that this coin is being manipulated, so there are no deep technical analyses. #PIPPINUSDT
He behaved as I told them. Not exactly where, but just 1k difference. If you did what I mentioned before, congratulations you already have some good earnings today 😎. $BTC #btc
Short. WAIT FOR THE 1H CLOSE. - if the 1h candle closes above 89.800 do not enter. - if the 1h candle closes below it is a good entry (manage the risk)
Short to short term active, the safest bet is that it will reach 80/85 if it breaks 87. (I have it at 78 because I am monitoring manually). $BTC
If you haven't entered, don't enter yet. Wait for it to return to 89/90. ✅ #btc
The short is invalidated if the 1H/4H candle closes above 90.800.
——————————————— WAIT FOR THE 1H CLOSE. - if the 1h candle closes above 89.800 don't enter. - if the 1h candle closes below it is a good entry (manage the risk)
$ETH behaves exactly like Bitcoin. This means that the next support of #ETH is the 80,000 of #BTC . If Bitcoin stays below 80, the price will inevitably go to the next support which is the area of 60,000 to 70,000. Because the next support of #ETH is equivalent to that value of Bitcoin. (60k / 70k)
If you're thinking of going Long, I recommend doing the following:
- Enter at 80k with a minimum TP at 105k and SL at 75k. This is ideal because upon entering at 80,000, if the price rebounds, it will seek a new maximum rebound; previously, it reached 93,000, so right now it would look for the area of 100,000. Thus, you can capitalize a good amount before a possible breakdown lower (zone 60k) or that the price breaks upwards directly.
Having an SL at 75,000 is ideal because in that value area, it means that the price broke the barrier and will seek a lower zone, like the area of 65 to 70. So, even if your SL closes there, you can reopen a position with a higher profit margin.
I am not an expert; this is my projection based on my technical knowledge. We will see if time proves me right.