美联储重启降息步伐

$ZEC
🔥The Federal Reserve has officially lowered interest rates! But beware of a huge shock, don’t rush to FOMO! 👉了解最新情况 进来聊聊吧!

Brothers, the heavy news has landed! The Federal Reserve has indeed lowered rates by 25 basis points, but the market is eerily calm. Why? Because the old script of 'buy the rumor, sell the news' is playing out! All the good news was already priced in, and the actual announcement has turned into a short-term powder keg💥.

Powell's speech in the early hours is the real bomb! While lowering rates, he’s also sounding hawkish, saying 'relying on data,' but in reality warning the market not to get too cocky. Inflation is still high, and this round of rate cuts feels more like a 'passive compromise,' with a sudden halt possible at any time. Be wary of the market suddenly changing direction! $ETH

But remember, the trend is greater than short-term fluctuations! Three layers of logic to see the essence:
1️⃣ This time it's a 'policy trial,' next time it will be 'the market's ultimatum'! Poor data → strong expectations; Good data → more courage to cut. The liquidity easing train has already started, and the direction is hard to reverse.
2️⃣ History is a mirror: 2019 turned dovish, 2020 massive liquidity, 2023 ETFs... Every round of liquidity has seen crypto assets become kings of growth. A new cycle is already brewing beneath the surface.
3️⃣ It’s darkest before dawn, volatility equals opportunity. Smart money is positioning itself amid panic, and those with lighter positions should prepare their bullets. Big trends don’t rely on one-day explosions, but the turning point is getting closer.

Right now is a psychological warfare moment: is it a trap or a golden pit? Follow me, let's catch the next wave of certainty together!

Do you think this is the 'end of good news' or the 'starting point of a bull market'? Let’s chat wildly in the comments! 💬👇#美联储重启降息步伐

This week's market revolves around one thing: everyone is waiting for the Federal Reserve at 3 AM on the 11th. Firstly, a rate cut is essentially a done deal; there's no suspense about that. The key question is whether they dare to sound a bit more dovish about next year's rate cut expectations.

If they continue to act hawkish, be prepared for a collective sell-off. If they dare to soften their tone in line with what Trump suggests, there might be some breathing room. Because I don't believe at all in the forward guidance that these people talk about.

Looking back at the scene from the end of last year, we know that market sentiment was already good around Christmas. Trump won the election, and the rate cut was implemented. However, Powell's speech pushed down this year's rate cut expectations to two times.

The market was directly pressed down, and what happened? This year, there were actually four rate cuts, what does that indicate? It shows that the plans these old hawks talk about are just a way to fool retail investors. When real trouble hits, they are more cowardly than anyone else.

It's the same now; whatever dot plot, just treat it as nonsense. If they claim to prioritize inflation, it means they are preparing to crush the American economy, likely leading to a recession. If they focus on the economy, they can only cut rates faster and more aggressively; inflation is just a shield.

No matter how tough they claim to be, their actions tell a different story. Once the new Fed chairman takes office, it will only align more closely with Trump's rhythm. The real rate cut pathway will come eventually; it's just that this December meeting is destined to be a torment.
#美联储重启降息步伐

$ETH $BNB $ZEC
🔥Breaking Warning: Don't think that the interest rate cut means stability — the real tough moves are all in Powell's speech.
🪙This interest rate cut was forced, and Powell is not willing at all.
Key timing to watch:
Interest rate cut at 3 AM Thursday → Powell speaks at 3:30
I bet he will throw out a bunch of hawkish bombs, directly paving the way for 'no further cuts afterward.'
This guy has never held back when it comes to scaring the market.

Why hawkish for sure?
After the cut, the interest rate will drop to around 3.5%, which is no longer considered 'restrictive.'
But inflation is still hovering around 3%, far from the 2% target.
The economic data isn't bad; why would the Fed continue to cut?
This completely aligns with Powell's consistent approach: if it can stay still, it absolutely will.

My judgment:
After the rate cut next week, the market is likely to make a sharp turn, starting a deep correction.

How to respond?

· The aggressive faction: Take advantage of the rebound to position 2–5 times long-term short positions
· The conservative faction: Don't act, wait until next year when it crashes before buying the dip

Why wait until next year?
The second half of next year is the true 'open the floodgates' moment:
Trump back in office → New chairperson takes position → Aggressive easing policy starts
Crazy interest rate cuts + liquidity frenzy → A bull market on the scale of 3–5 years is just around the corner.

In simple terms: the present is a pit, next year is a wave. Don't get dizzy from the rate cuts; the hawkish claws are still waiting behind.

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Those meme coins on the Ethereum chain that are riding on Musk's hype (you know what I mean!)

Soaring directly in a low gas environment! Low chips, strong pump, absolutely perfect stealth targets!

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$BTC This month, everyone's main focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut.

There have already been two rate cuts this year, and there are three days left until the Federal Reserve is set to announce on December 11th.

The first rate cut was on September 17th, and after the rate cut, Bitcoin dropped from 117900 to below 108600, a decrease of 7.8%.

The second rate cut was on October 29th, and after the rate cut, Bitcoin fell from 113600 to below 80600, a decrease of 28.6%.

Therefore, this rate cut is highly likely to be confirmed, and the situation after the rate cut is also quite pessimistic; those holding long positions need to be more cautious.
#美联储重启降息步伐

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are basically a done deal, but the cryptocurrency market is not excited at all. Everyone is closely watching the voting disagreements and Powell's statements! Previously, the expectation for rate cuts was high, and Bitcoin even surged past 110,000, but Powell's remark of "being more cautious with rate cuts next year" directly crashed the market, with BTC dropping below 100,000 and ETH plummeting over 7%, resulting in over 700 million dollars in liquidations across the network.

This time, there was a first appearance of dissenting voices in the voting, and the hawkish resistance has clearly increased. The dot plot shows that the number of rate cuts next year has been halved. It’s important to note that Powell's hawkish rhetoric is extremely powerful; his last statement caused the cryptocurrency market to evaporate a trillion dollars in market value within 48 hours.

Liquidity easing should have been beneficial for risk assets, but the Federal Reserve's ambiguous stance has caused panic in the market, and funds are hesitant to enter easily. We will have to see if Powell will release more signals; after all, the cryptocurrency market is extremely sensitive to every word he says, and even a slight disturbance can lead to significant volatility! $BTC
#美联储重启降息步伐

Don't naively think that once the interest rate cuts are announced, you can rest easy; what you really need to be wary of is Powell's speech after the rate cut! This rate cut was not initiated by Powell himself but was completely forced by the situation.

Let me highlight a key time for everyone: the interest rate cut at 3 AM on Thursday, followed by Powell's speech at 3:30 AM. I boldly predict that he will definitely release super strong hawkish signals, which is a precaution against "no more rate cuts in the future." It's important to know that Powell is not a soft-hearted person; when it comes to scaring the market, he will definitely hold nothing back.

Why do I say he will be so hawkish this time? After the rate cut, the interest rate will reach the "neutral interest rate" range of 3.5%, which will no longer have a significant restrictive effect on the economy like before. But now inflation is still as high as 3%, far from the 2% target.

Looking at the economic data, the performance isn't bad either; the Federal Reserve has no reason to continue cutting rates. This is completely consistent with Powell's previous attitude; he has said before that if they can avoid cutting rates, they will try to do so.

Based on this analysis, I have come to my own conclusion: after next week's rate cut, the market is likely to take a sharp turn downwards, initiating a period of deep correction.

Let me share my personal strategy: I plan to take advantage of the market before it drops, positioning long-term short positions at 2 - 5 times leverage.

If you want to play it safe and not take risks, then don't operate for now; wait until the market plummets next year before buying the dip.

Why wait until next year? Because in the second half of next year, there is a high probability of a real wave of easing. After Trump takes office, he will appoint a new Federal Reserve chair, and the new chair is likely to adopt an aggressive easing policy, cutting rates drastically. At that time, once liquidity returns, the market is likely to enter a major upward cycle for 3 - 5 years.

In simple terms, right now is the calm before the storm; next year is the real turning point. If you want to delve deep into this circle but can't find a clue, and want to quickly get started with information gaps, you can click on my avatar to follow and gain more first-hand information and in-depth analysis. #美联储重启降息步伐

This week's biggest focus has three key points, all crucial points in a volatile market💥
First: The internal voting results of the Federal Open Market Committee, whether Fed Chair Powell can push for this rate cut with the least opposition votes.
Second: Powell's statements after the rate cut meeting, and whether he will continue to stay on the Federal Reserve Board. (After three consecutive rate cuts, the probability of a slowdown will be relatively high)
Third: The predictions from Federal Reserve officials on the future path of rate cuts, whether to accelerate or decelerate, will shake the market, not just the U.S. dollar index.
This meeting will directly affect the short-term trends of global risk assets, and it is also the last meeting of the year, with a probability of 87.4%, due to the continuing weakness in the U.S. labor market, raising expectations.
What needs to be guarded against are the subsequent speeches! Regardless of how things go, don't gamble on uncertain factors! Brother Long will continue to pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve for ambush, @龙哥的翻仓计划 keep a close eye! I will analyze the Ethereum trend for everyone later! $ETH

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Analyst Banmuxia declares: Will the Fed's interest rate cut this week lead to a "collective takeoff" in the market?

On December 8, Chinese crypto analyst Banmuxia suddenly "called for a bull market": this week, with the Fed cutting interest rates and restarting quantitative easing, the tight liquidity will have to be loosened, and U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, and precious metals are likely to collectively "rise", not just this week, but the entire month of December might see a broad rally!

This is not a spur-of-the-moment idea — as early as November 11, Banmuxia predicted that "the Fed will stop tapering and start expanding its balance sheet in December," suggesting that this wave of liquidity return would replicate the market conditions of October 2019; he even made a bold statement: the real "flood irrigation" will have to wait until May next year when Trump controls the Fed, directly satisfying the market like in March 2020.

Currently, the market is closely watching the Fed's actions. Will Banmuxia's "prophecy" come true?

The market conditions of these days are likely to become a "large-scale verification site".
@最强操盘司令

#美联储重启降息步伐

#加密市场观察

#比特币VS代币化黄金

The year-end drama is unfolding! Retail investors have run away, but the big players are quietly hoarding?

Brothers, this market at the end of the year is really exciting! Bitcoin can jump between 88,000 and 92,000 in a single day, and the reason is simple: there is less money in the market, so any little disturbance can cause big waves. It's like a pond that is almost dry; throwing a small stone creates a big splash.

But there are two particularly interesting phenomena: first, despite the volatility, not many positions have been liquidated, indicating that retail investors have either already run away or are too scared to play; the contract positions are half of what they were at their peak. Second, on the other hand, the real "smart money" is quietly hoarding coins! A large amount of Bitcoin and Ethereum is being withdrawn from exchanges, and institutional holdings have surpassed the exchange's inventory for the first time in history. What does this indicate? The big players are quietly picking up cheap chips while the market is quiet and the public sentiment is scattered.

So where is the key point? It's in this week's Federal Reserve meeting. Everyone expects interest rate cuts; the key is to see their plans for "easing" afterward. This will determine the direction of this year-end market trend.

What should we retail investors do?
Don't get shaken out by the volatility. The current fluctuations are due to a shallow market, not because the trend has changed. Hold on to your spot positions and don't make random moves.
Understand the current situation. When you feel scared and want to run, it might be the long-term funds laying out their plans. Emotions are often counter-indicative.
Be prepared to wait for direction. The market depth is poor, which means once the Federal Reserve gives a clear signal, the breakout upwards or downwards could be strong. Keep some funds available, and if a key position breaks out with volume, then consider following the trend.

In short, the market is being nurtured in desperation. Stay patient, don't lose your chips in the volatility, and quietly wait for the Federal Reserve to provide the next directional signal this week.
Let go of illusions, face the market head-on. Hongcai will guide you to interpret signals with hardcore techniques; daily points are your and my passport to stable profit. #美联储重启降息步伐

Alert! The "Super Week" in the crypto world is coming, and survival is the primary goal

Brothers, buckle up! This week could be the most exciting and also the most dangerous week of 2025.

Why? Because the global central banks' "trump cards" will all be revealed this week! The most critical one is the Federal Reserve.

Core battleground (Beijing time):
Thursday at 3 AM: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic forecast.
Then at 3:30 AM: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference, and every word he says could trigger a massive market shake-up.

The market is almost certain that there will be a rate cut (probability near 90%). But the real risk is: What if there is a rate cut, and Powell says some "hawkish" things? Or what if the future rate cut path (dot plot) is worse than expected?

This is the classic "expectation fulfillment is bearish" script. Good news that everyone knows, once it lands, may instead become the catalyst for a decline.

This week, watch the calendar more than the charts. Reduce trading, preserve capital. In the macro tidal wave, surviving is more important than how much you earn. Once the storm passes and the situation becomes clear, it will not be too late to set sail again.

$BTC $ETH $LUNA
#比特币VS代币化黄金
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#美联储重启降息步伐

12.11 Early Morning Federal Reserve Meeting Preview: Rate Cut Becomes a Foregone Conclusion, Policy Signals are the Key
For the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in the early hours of December 11, the market has long reached a consensus — a 25 basis point rate cut is essentially a done deal. What truly stirs the market is not the rate cut itself, but the policy direction behind the meeting.

Currently, the market's attention has shifted from whether to cut rates to two core focal points.

First, how significant are the policy discrepancies within the Federal Reserve.

If the number of votes opposing the rate cut significantly increases in this decision, it means that there is a clear rift in the understanding of future monetary policy paths among Federal Reserve officials. This kind of disagreement could lead to significant uncertainties in future policy directions, and the possibility of policy reversals cannot be ruled out.

Second, is the art of rhetoric of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.

How will he frame this rate cut? Will he directly imply that this is just a one-time cut, and that the policy will return to a wait-and-see state afterward, or will he leave room for hints at the next rate cut?

This statement will directly influence the market's expectations regarding future liquidity.
Ultimately, the 25 basis point rate cut is already a thing of the past; internal disagreements and Powell's speech are what will determine the market's future direction.

For ordinary investors, a surge in opposing votes may lead to short-term pressure on the market, while Powell's dovish signals are expected to sustain the current trend. In the most extreme case where there is no rate cut, the market is likely to experience significant volatility.

Rather than betting on a single direction, it is better to prepare for multiple scenarios. After the market sentiment has fully digested, the true trend will emerge.

#加密市场观察

#美联储重启降息步伐

Monday QE Begins
Tuesday Inflation Expectations
Wednesday Federal Reserve Rate Cut
Thursday Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Release
Friday Jerome Powell Resigns

Next week's market can only be described as stimulating, everyone should manage their positions carefully 🙏#美联储重启降息步伐

The Federal Reserve's "Gentle Knife": Rate cuts are not a market rescue, but a warning with hidden dangers! Retail investors, don't rush to celebrate!

Brothers, today let's talk about something exciting—The Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates again, but this time it's different, it's called "hawkish rate cut"! What does that mean? It's like giving you candy while giving you a warning: it was cut this month, but it might not be next month!

Powell is having a tough time now, the Fed is split into two factions arguing fiercely. He has to play a balancing act: he gives you a little sweetness with the rate cut, but all his words imply “don’t expect me to loosen again”! U.S. banks are saying outright: this guy has a tough job, there’s a mountain of data, and the government is still shut down, can he afford to make any promises?

What impact does this have on the crypto world? Let me tell you: don’t rush in just because there’s a rate cut! This is called “expectation management.” The rate was cut, but the words are very tough, and the market is even more tangled. Bitcoin (BTC) might spike temporarily, but don't be fooled—if Powell indicates “there might not be more easing ahead,” institutions will immediately turn their backs and run!

What should retail investors do? Remember three phrases:

Good news might translate to bad news, don’t chase highs!

Pay attention to what he said about “data determines action”—the worse the economy, the more likely there might be another rate cut.

Hold onto your spot positions, don’t recklessly use leverage, be careful of being liquidated on both sides!

The market never gives direct answers; it only gives fog. Those who can navigate through the fog without getting lost rely not on sight but on their brains. #美联储重启降息步伐

The curtain on interest rate cuts has been raised! If U.S. stocks hit the brakes, how should players in the crypto space navigate?\n\nHello everyone, I am Yi Ge!\n\nI just came across a latest report from JPMorgan that sounds an alarm for crypto enthusiasts: the grand play of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts has already begun.\n\nHowever, the upward momentum of U.S. stocks may very likely hit the brakes, especially with the end of the year approaching, as many investors are calculating to cash out and secure their profits first.\n\nIt's important to understand that currently, U.S. stocks and the crypto space are like grasshoppers tied to the same string.\n\nOnce U.S. stocks experience significant fluctuations, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to sway along too. But don't panic.\n\nYi Ge believes that the crypto space has its own little quirks, like Defi and NFT segments, which can often create independent market trends. So while there is a connection between the two, the crypto space won't completely act based on U.S. stocks.\n\nSo how should we ordinary players respond?\n\nThe core principle is one word: stability! If you are a conservative investor, it might be wise to reduce your position appropriately, locking in some profits in your wallet for peace of mind.\n\nEven for those who prefer high-risk and aggressive strategies, don't rush to chase highs; instead, it might be better to patiently wait for the market to provide suitable opportunities for positioning.\n\nIn summary, we need to keep an eye on the movements of U.S. stocks while not letting them lead us around by the nose.\n\nThe market changes rapidly; maintaining a stable mindset and flexible operations is key.\n\nThe road in the crypto space is still long, and let's learn as we go! I am Yi Ge, see you next time!\n\n#美联储重启降息步伐 \n#加密市场观察

$DOGE A historic week is coming! Five major nuclear-level benefits are set to explode consecutively, and the crypto frenzy is about to erupt fully!

On Monday, quantitative easing (QE) restarts, global liquidity gates are opened again, and a flood of capital is looking for an exit;
On Tuesday, inflation expectations heat up, anxiety over the depreciation of traditional currencies intensifies, and the hedging value of hard currency Bitcoin will shine brightly;
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized, the era of cheap money returns, and risk assets welcome the strongest booster;
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet is released, and once the trend of expansion is confirmed, it will further validate the long-term trend of massive liquidity injection; On Friday, Chairman Jerome Powell steps down, marking a significant turning point in global financial policy, and a new era of monetary order is being reshaped!

$GIGGLE This week will be a key turning point for the traditional financial system and the glorious starting point for cryptocurrencies to take up the torch of the era. Everything points in the same direction: the fiat currency system is under pressure, and capital is accelerating to find decentralized alternatives. Bitcoin is not only a shield against inflation but also a pioneer in this transformation. As the old world begins to loosen, the assets of the new world are bound to soar first.

$PEPE Fasten your seatbelt and hold on to your position. This super market driven by the macro landscape is likely to ignite the future completely starting from this week! The future of blockchain has already shone into reality.
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This week's super data week is coming with great momentum! The highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision has finally been unveiled, and Powell's speech has become the absolute focus—will it be a 25 basis point rate cut, maintaining the current rate, or initiating balance sheet expansion, or even an unexpected 50 basis point rate cut? Coupled with the implementation of policies from the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Bank of England, and other countries, Federal Reserve officials are speaking intensively, and the global financial market is about to experience significant volatility, so stay tuned! #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH

This week’s super bull market schedule! The Federal Reserve's heavy catalysts, and the crypto market is filled with bullish signals!

Monday: Quantitative funds entering the market, liquidity in the market is building up in advance;

Tuesday: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's significant speech, policy direction will soon become clear;

Wednesday: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized! A liquidity easing big package is coming;

Thursday: The Federal Reserve's balance sheet data will be released, further verifying the extent of easing;

Friday: The new Federal Reserve Chairman candidate will be officially announced, long-term policy expectations will be set;

Global attention is focused on the Federal Reserve! Every node hides market opportunities, the triple easing signals (interest rate cuts + balance sheet expansion + personnel decisions) resonate, and cryptocurrencies as high-elasticity assets will directly benefit from the release of liquidity～

Mr. Lin reminds: Grasp the policy window period, strictly adhere to position discipline, and follow the trend to engage in certain market conditions!

Follow @林总实时带单 to avoid getting lost, for more information!
$BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

On December 8, the Federal Reserve will announce the December interest rate decision this week, with the probability of 'Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December' on Polymarket reaching 93%. The market has reached a high level of consensus on the interest rate cut this month.

In addition, on January 28 next year, the Federal Reserve will also release the January interest rate decision. As of the time of writing, the probability of 'Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates this month' has risen to 68%, while the probability of a rate cut is only 27%.#美联储重启降息步伐