老K专业解盘

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👑 Daily sharing of market analysis and teaching insights for big and small pancakes

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$BTC $ETH $BNB

Today's layout is bullish, the net has been collected, this game is truly grindy, brothers, the old saying still holds: sell high

$BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金

Accidentally took my brothers for a meal again. If I don't understand the market, I won't engage; if I do, I'll go all in.

$BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Are the global central banks 'singing a different tune'? The crossroads of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, a storm is coming!

As the global market holds its breath waiting for the Federal Reserve to 'ease', the European Central Bank has sent out a completely different message — they not only do not want to cut interest rates, but the next step may even be 'raising rates'.

Just now, the 'hawkish' representative of the European Central Bank, Schnabel, spoke out rarely, clearly affirming the market's expectation that the European Central Bank will raise rates next. She emphasized that the current interest rate level is already the 'lower limit', and the risks to the economy and inflation still 'tilt upward'. This means that, in the eyes of the European Central Bank, the battle against inflation is far from over.

This stands in sharp contrast to the 'rate cut drama' about to unfold at the Federal Reserve.

In summary: on one side is Europe, which may raise rates, while on the other side is the Federal Reserve, which is preparing to cut rates. The global market is standing at an unprecedented policy crossroads. Be prepared, this is not an ordinary market situation, but an ultimate stress test of traders' determination and discipline.
$BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金

【2025/12/8】 $BTC market analysis

Brothers, the key moment has arrived! The big coin has forcibly broken through the critical resistance at 90.4K with a bullish candle.

This means that the position of 90.4K has changed from the previous 'ceiling' to a new 'floor' (the resistance has turned into support). As long as the price retraces and does not break 90K, the structure for a short-term rebound is still intact.

However, don't celebrate too early! The real challenges are above:
First level: 92.2K, where it coincides with the upper Bollinger Band, making it very difficult to break through in one go.
Ultimate BOSS level: long-term downward trend line + 200-day moving average. Before effectively breaking through here, the main rhythm of the market will still be a 'slow rise and sharp fall' type of fluctuation, specifically targeting friends who chase highs.

Operation suggestions:
Go long: 89.2K - 90K range
Target: around 91.5K-92.2K

Go short: 93.2K - 94K range
Target: around 92.2K

$ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金

The late-night delivery has arrived, and there will be a lot of news data this week. Brothers, don't jump in randomly; just wait for my internal notification. You should still eat the meat you need.

$BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Alert! The "Super Week" in the crypto world is coming, and survival is the primary goal

Brothers, buckle up! This week could be the most exciting and also the most dangerous week of 2025.

Why? Because the global central banks' "trump cards" will all be revealed this week! The most critical one is the Federal Reserve.

Core battleground (Beijing time):
Thursday at 3 AM: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic forecast.
Then at 3:30 AM: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference, and every word he says could trigger a massive market shake-up.

The market is almost certain that there will be a rate cut (probability near 90%). But the real risk is: What if there is a rate cut, and Powell says some "hawkish" things? Or what if the future rate cut path (dot plot) is worse than expected?

This is the classic "expectation fulfillment is bearish" script. Good news that everyone knows, once it lands, may instead become the catalyst for a decline.

This week, watch the calendar more than the charts. Reduce trading, preserve capital. In the macro tidal wave, surviving is more important than how much you earn. Once the storm passes and the situation becomes clear, it will not be too late to set sail again.

$BTC $ETH $LUNA
#比特币VS代币化黄金
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#美联储重启降息步伐

Don't panic! U has dropped, it's not a disaster, it's the market in a 'cooling period'

Recently, many friends have asked me: Why has USDT (U) been falling continuously? Is the exchange going to run away?

First, let's state the conclusion: Absolutely not! This is not a problem with U itself, but rather the 'premium' for buying U off-exchange has disappeared.

To put it simply, there are four reasons:
1. The market is too bad, no one wants to enter: The market is barely alive, new investors aren't coming in, so naturally fewer people are buying U.
2. Old players are retreating: Many are cashing out, leaving the market, and liquidating projects, all frantically selling U for cash, driving the price down.
3. Channels have tightened, merchants are lowering prices: The channels for acquiring U are under regulatory scrutiny, merchants are more cautious in collecting U, desperately pushing prices down, resulting in weaker buying power.
4. The exchange rate has stabilized, arbitrageurs are gone: Previously, the RMB fluctuated greatly, and some people relied on exchanging U for arbitrage profits. Now that the exchange rate is stable, this group of people has disappeared.

Remember a core formula: U price = Retail investor sentiment thermometer
U price rising: New investors are eagerly calling to enter the market.
U price stable: Everyone is observing.
U price falling: Like now, it indicates that retail investors are quietly exiting.

So, what should we do? Want to buy at the bottom? Now exchanging for U is actually more cost-effective; it's a cost advantage period.

Want to hoard U for arbitrage? Save it, there’s basically no room.
Keep in mind: U is just a 'bridge' for you to enter and exit the cryptocurrency world, not a 'house' for investment!
The market is just cold in emotion, not broken systems. Stay calm!

#比特币VS代币化黄金 $LUNC $ETH $LUNA

Waited for a day, finally came for a bit, felt great
$BTC $ETH $BNB

The Iron Head Air Force is here~ Have any multi-headed ones been taken down? The current market is extremely tricky, Ethereum has been in a downward trend today, and those without direction can hop on the bus, free practical experience

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析

Why did the Federal Reserve shift at this time? The superficial reason is the slowdown in inflation and the need to nurture the economy. But the deeper reason is an imminent "battle for dollar credit protection."\n\nIn the face of this upcoming tsunami, being obsessed with short-term fluctuations is futile. What you need is elevated thinking.\n\nThe dovish shift of the Federal Reserve is not an isolated economic event. It is a switch for a transformation of an era—from the old order dominated by fiat currency credit to the rise of a new order of digital-native assets.\n\n$BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察

Is it often like this: when the price drops, you feel anxious and want to cut your losses, and when it rises, you regret buying too little? Do you always feel like the market is against you?

What kills you is never the heavy rain, but rather the impulsive, fearful, and unwilling part of yourself that rushes into the rain without an umbrella.

Respond to fluctuations with reason, and protect yourself with discipline

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析

Brothers, the demon coin has reached a new high again, the script will only repeat itself time and time again, the internal points have been given, sprint

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐

Was yesterday's rise a return of the bulls? Brothers, don't overthink it, it's all a script and routine! The bears have already had their fill, it's time to retreat brothers, don't think about eating the tails
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #币安区块链周 #比特币VS代币化黄金

In the blink of an eye, it came down again
$ETH $ZEC $PIPPIN #币安区块链周 #美联储重启降息步伐

This market has no ifs, only results and missed opportunities. Every chance is fleeting, keep up with the rhythm and be ready to take off

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #币安区块链周 #美联储重启降息步伐

Is it that every decision to 'enter' and 'exit' consumes your mental energy, affects your emotions, and leads to frequent losses in trading?

A brother who follows me said: "Now when I see market fluctuations, my first reaction is not anxiety,
but rather trusting that the team is handling it professionally. This mental ease is more precious than making money."

Free practical experience! Brothers who are still confused and without ideas can come and follow my trading logic in practice.

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #币安区块链周 #美联储重启降息步伐