Gold and silver have both retreated sharply from their January 2025 highs, falling below key psychological milestones. Gold is down roughly 28% from its January peak of $5,600 and now trading below $4,000 per ounce, while silver has fallen more than 50%, slipping beneath $59 per ounce on Wednesday.
The sell-off has been driven largely by growing fears of tighter monetary policy under new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets are currently pricing in two 25 basis point rate hikes by March 2027, which would lift the federal funds rate to 4.00%-4.25% due to renewed inflation fears.
The reversal marks a dramatic shift from the dominant macro narrative of 2025, the "debasement trade", the belief that persistent fiscal deficits and rising government debt would continue to erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies
Trump Cancels Bipartisan Housing Bill Signing, Demands Passage of SAVE America Act First
CoinDesk reported that President Trump's refusal to sign the bipartisan housing affordability bill — which includes a four-year ban on central bank digital currencies extending to the end of 2030 — until Congress passes the unrelated SAVE America Act could trigger a legislative domino effect that endangers the crypto industry's more urgent policy priority: the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. With the Senate calendar offering only about five weeks before Congress' summer break, any further delay risks squeezing out the time needed to finalize and bring the market structure bill to a Senate floor vote. Trump canceled a planned signing ceremony on Wednesday via Truth Social, demanding passage of the voter-ID and citizenship-proof legislation first — though TD Cowen policy analyst Jaret Seiberg wrote in a research note that "there is no path for the SAVE Act becoming law," noting Senate Republicans would need to eliminate the filibuster — a step they have already rejected — and may lack 50 votes even without it. The housing bill had passed both chambers with overwhelming bipartisan support, including a veto-proof margin, meaning Republican allies would need to vote against Trump to override a potential veto. The embedded CBDC prohibition, strongly backed by a crypto industry that argued a Federal Reserve digital dollar could enable financial surveillance, now hangs in the balance alongside the broader affordability package. Speaker Mike Johnson told reporters the SAVE America Act "has been stuck in the Senate" and would need to be attached to a budget bill, raising further questions about whether election legislation qualifies under reconciliation rules.
Bitcoin leads metals, lags equities One silver lining for bitcoin bulls is that the cryptocurrency has outperformed both precious metals since the ratios bottomed in February, gaining roughly 30% against gold and more than 55% against silver.
However, all three assets have lagged U.S. equities in 2026, where momentum remains concentrated in semiconductor and memory-related stocks
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