🚨BREAKING: Polymarket shows a 76% probability that Trump’s tariffs will be ruled illegal.
The Supreme Court is expected to issue its decision on Friday.
If the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs, there are 2 big issues.
FIRST: REFUNDS. Tariffs already collected may have to be returned to importers. That removes cash from the system and worsens government finances.
SECOND: THE DEFICIT. These tariffs were projected to reduce the U.S. deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next decade. If the ruling goes against them, that reduction disappears.
A ruling against Trump does not mean tariffs are permanently banned. It only blocks the current legal structure being used.
The President still has other legal tools to impose tariffs, but: • they are slower • more limited • and less efficient than the current setup
This creates near term uncertainty.
Trump has repeatedly argued that tariffs are supporting economic strength and stock market performance.
If the Court rules against the tariffs, that will be affected badly.
Over time, removing tariffs would reduce government revenue, ease inflation pressure and increase the likelihood of rate cuts.
#ASTER $ASTER coming back into the range after getting rejected at the 0.8130 level. We’re heading into support here — looking for a bounce at the POC.
🚨 SENATE BANKING COMMITTEE WILL VOTE ON THE CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE BILL ON JANUARY 15.
This bill could change how crypto trades forever.
The CLARITY Act is a market structure bill focused on one thing: stopping manipulation and bringing real transparency to crypto markets.
What does it actually do?
• Bans wash trading and fake volume • Criminalizes spoofing and front running • Gives regulators real time tools to monitor market abuse • Requires proof of reserves and regular audits for U.S. exchanges
WHY THIS ACT IS IMPORTANT?
Now look at what happened on October 10.
That day, the crypto market saw $100 billion+ in real liquidations. Bitcoin and altcoins collapsed together.
To this day, we don’t know exactly how it started, we don’t know which large entities blew up.
There was no clear report, transparency or accountability.
Since then, market crypto has behaved very weirdly.
Almost every asset class outside crypto has rmade new highs.
But in crypto, every pump gets fully sold, Good news leads to dumps and Bad news leads to even sharper dumps.
This is not normal price action.
This is exactly what the CLARITY Act targets.
If rules for this are in place then large liquidations can’t happen quietly, market abuse becomes traceable and exchanges can’t hide fake volume or risk.
It also changes who participates.
Right now, institutions mostly hold Bitcoin only. They avoid altcoins because the rules are unclear.
If the CLARITY Act passes regulatory risk will drop and institutions will start allocating to altcoins as well which could bring a massive liquidity.
Why is the left up in arms after Trump captured Maduro, but 3 years prior Biden extradited and jailed the President of Honduras?
And unlike Maduro, Honduras' President Hernandez was fairly elected, worked closely with the U.S., and dropped crime and drug trafficking in his country by 50% and 90%
How does this make sense?
fyi, SBF spent a year in jail with the President (who I just interviewed today) before Trump pardoned him.
🇺🇸🇸🇦 OPINION: HOW THE U.S. + SAUDI + VENEZUELA "OIL AXIS" COULD SQUEEZE RUSSIA AND CHINA DRY
The U.S., fresh off its bold snatch of Maduro and a grip on Venezuela's monster oil stash, just reached out to Saudi Arabia.
The OPEC heavyweight that's been cozying up to Washington again.
Throw in Venezuela's reserves now under Uncle Sam's thumb, and you've got a trio packing over 600 billion barrels of proven crude.
That's not just big; it's a potential stranglehold on global supply that could leave Russia gasping for revenue and China scrambling for alternatives.
But is this a possible power play or just a tinfoil idea of mine?
Let's break it down.
First off, the reserves are no joke.
Venezuela sits on a whopping 303 billion barrels, the world's top dog.
Years of mismanagement and sanctions have tanked its output to under a million barrels a day.
Saudi's got 267 billion, pumping around 11 million daily like clockwork.
Add the U.S.'s 45 billion and its chart-topping 20 million barrels daily production, and this bloc controls nearly 40% of global proven reserves.
Russia? A respectable 80 billion, but it's an exporter kingpin relying on sales for half its budget.
China? Barely 25-28 billion domestically, forcing it to suck in 11 million barrels daily from abroad.
Mostly Russia (2.2 million), Saudi (1.6 million), and spots like Iraq and Iran.
Trump's team didn't just boot Maduro; they're eyeing Venezuela's oil as a U.S.-led revival project.
Energy Sec Chris Wright's talking direct control of sales, with American firms like Exxon or Chevron pouring billions to fix the busted infrastructure.
Production could ramp to 3 million barrels daily in a couple of years, flooding markets, crashing prices, and gutting Russia's war chest.
Remember, Moscow's exports dipped 7% last year during sanctions, with revenues hitting rock bottom at $11B in November.
A supply glut from this theoretical "Oil Axis?" That's Russia's nightmare, slashing its $394B annual export haul and starving Putin's machine.
China's the real wildcard.
Beijing's imports are hooked on Russian crude (20% share).
If U.S.-influenced Venezuela diverts flows away from discount deals to China, and Saudi fully pivots West under Trump-Rubio diplomacy, Xi's got problems.
Recent Rubio-Faisal bin Farhan chats on Mideast stability hint at coordinated plays, maybe syncing output to pressure Beijing on trade or Taiwan.
China's already pivoting to Iran (1.6 million barrels daily), but that's volatile with U.S. sanctions on the horizon.
And with Venezuela's heavy crude perfect for China's refineries, losing access means higher costs or risky bets on Middle East volatility.
Venezuela's revival may not be quick, needing $100 billion+ and years from corruption hangovers.
Saudi Arabia's got its own Vision 2030 diversification, and full-on embargoes on China would spike global prices, hurting everyone (including U.S. drivers).
But Trump's track record? Tariffs as weapons, energy dominance as gospel.
This team-up isn't about total cutoff; it's leverage.
Flood the market to undercut Russia's prices, offer China deals tied to concessions, like ditching Huawei or easing rare earth access, and watch the dominoes fall.
Sources: Visual Capitalist, Grokipedia, CNN, Reuters, Energy and Clean Air
🚨🇺🇸🇺🇳 TRUMP ANNOUNCES U.S. WITHDRAWAL FROM 66 INTERNATIONAL TREATIES AND ORGANIZATIONS: "NO LONGER SERVE AMERICAN INTERESTS"
The largest mass withdrawal from international agreements in modern history.
Trump announced Wednesday the United States is pulling out of 66 treaties and international organizations, gutting American participation in climate, development, human rights, and UN bodies.
The highlights of what's being abandoned:
Climate and environment:
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, International Renewable Energy Agency, International Solar Alliance
Human rights and justice:
UN Entity for Gender Equality (UN Women), UN Population Fund, offices on Violence Against Children, Sexual Violence in Conflict, and Children in Armed Conflict
Development:
UN Democracy Fund, UN Human Settlements Programme, UN Conference on Trade and Development, Education Cannot Wait
Security cooperation:
Global Counterterrorism Forum, European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats, Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combatting Piracy in Asia
This comes days after Trump secured $570 million in cuts and 2,900 job eliminations at the UN.
The "back-to-basics" vision is becoming reality.
Whether that means a leaner, more focused international order or American retreat from global leadership depends on who you ask.
🚨BREAKING: Real Estate giant Blackstone $BX just dropped 9% after President Trump says he is immediately plans to ban large institutional investors from buying single-family homes.
BlackStone is the largest owner of apartments in the US, owning 230K+ apartment units, which is over 1% of the entire share.
Trump said institutional investors buying homes at scale has made housing less affordable for families and first-time buyers.
The plan targets future purchases only, meaning large funds would be blocked from adding more single-family homes to their portfolios.
Existing holdings would not be forced to sell, but growth through new home purchases would be directly restricted.
Trump said he will push Congress to turn this into law.
🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪🇷🇺 U.S. TRIES TO SEIZE VENEZUELAN OIL TANKER, SO RUSSIA RESPONDS WITH A SUBMARINE
You thought this was just about oil? It’s now a full-on naval showdown.
The U.S. is actively trying to seize the Marinera, a Russian-flagged tanker (formerly Bella 1) carrying sanctioned Venezuelan oil, and Moscow is not having it.
Now, Russia has deployed a submarine to escort the tanker off the Venezuelan coast, in what looks like a direct challenge to U.S. naval enforcement.
So, to recap: - The U.S. raids Venezuela, takes out Maduro, and claims 30–50M barrels of oil. - China is furious. - Russia steps in to block further seizures with military hardware.
If the U.S. seizes the Marinera, it sends a message that American sanctions now come with force.
If Russia stops it, it signals that they’re willing to fight, literally, to protect their stake in the region.
We’re no longer talking about embargoes and backdoor deals, this is open confrontation on the high seas, with oil, power, and global alliances all on the line.
🚨 DID MORGAN STANLEY MANIPULATE CRYPTO MARKET WITH MSCI ?
This all started on October 10th when MSCI introduced a proposal that could exclude companies holding 50% or more of their assets in Bitcoin or digital assets from its global indexes.
For those who don't know, MSCI was originally founded as a division of Morgan Stanley.
Interestingly, the MSCI proposal happened just hours before the biggest crypto crash, which resulted in $20B+ in long liquidations.
After that, the crypto market fully detached from the stock market and ended up being the worst-performing asset class in 2025.
And then something interesting happened yesterday.
Morgan Stanley filed for a Bitcoin spot ETF, becoming the first major US bank to do this.
And then just 10 hours after this filing, MSCI decided not to exclude Bitcoin and crypto treasury companies from its indexes.
In simple terms:
- Morgan Stanley created the biggest FUD
- Caused the biggest crash
- Kept the market in uncertainty with MSCI removal news
- Filed for Bitcoin spot ETF
- Immediately Bitcoin and crypto DATs got confirmation that they won't get removed
After all this, if you still think that everything that happened over the past 3 months was not manipulation, I have a bridge to sell you.
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