Antony Richard

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Wenn #XRP die Unterstützung bei $1 verliert, kannst du bei $0,6 einkaufen, laut dem wöchentlichen Candlestick-Chart.
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$BTC The possibility of Bitcoin testing the $49,000 level is currently a high-probability scenario in the broader structural correction, heavily dependent on how the price interacts with key weekly moving averages.
With recent bearish movements breaking below immediate local support levels (particularly the $59,000–$60,000 region), the market structure has shifted downward. A multi-week perspective clarifies the mechanics of a potential drop to $49,000.
The Moving Average Framework
Analyzing the intermediate to long-term trend requires looking at the critical interplay between the 10-week, 25-week, and 75-week moving average#
When Bitcoin loses the support of both the 10-week and 25-week averages, the market typically seeks liquidity at the next major historical baseline. In the current cycle, that baseline is the 75-week moving average.
The Significance of $49,000
The $49,000 mark is not just a random psychological number; it represents a confluence of critical technical factors:
The 75-Week Baseline: As a long-term support level, the 75-week moving average historically attracts strong buying pressure.
Macro Liquidity Zone: This area represents an older, untested macro breakout point. Markets naturally gravitate toward these zones to collect trapped buy-side liquidity before initiating any sustained, long-term recovery.
Corrective Flush: If the current local support (around the $59,700 sweep region) fails to spark a sustained reversal and instead prints a weak weekly close, it opens the door for a cascading flush. This capitulation event would efficiently drive the price down to the $49,000 demand zone.
Outlook
As long as the price remains suppressed below key mid-range resistance and fails to reclaim the shorter-term weekly averages, the broader trend remains cautious. A test of $49,000 is the most logical structural outcome if the 25-week moving average fails to hold the line. At that point, the $49,000 level (and the 75-week MA) would serve as the ultimate proving ground for the bulls to stage a macro reversal.
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