Bitcoin maxis hate seeing this, but alts and BTC just run on different clocks. Always have.
Bear markets for alts are usually shorter, around 7 to 11 months. Bitcoin bears tend to stretch closer to a year.
Midway through a bear, BTC can still be sliding while some alts start showing life. Even if Bitcoin makes new lows, a lot of alts won't. They get priced in early, overshoot to the downside, and sit there.
Alts aren't just lottery tickets. In the right phase, they're how you accumulate more BTC. $ETH $XRP $BNB
🔴 With Bitcoin trading around $66,000, Short Term Holders (STHs) are still largely holding at a loss.
💥 Their average unrealized loss currently stands at 26.3%, which is a relatively significant level.
Periods where the average unrealized losses exceed 25% are most often associated with an advanced bear market phase.
During bear markets, these unrealized losses can even reach extremes of around 40% for a short period of time.
These phases, where STH begin holding substantial losses, have historically represented good opportunities for long term investors to accumulate through DCA, as this chart clearly illustrates.
Another interesting point is the relationship between profits and price dynamics.
🟢 When the average unrealized profit of STH moves back above 0%, that is typically when bullish trends have been able to develop.
However, this only holds up to a certain point. When STH profits become too elevated, around 20% in this cycle, the risk of a trend reversal increases significantly.
👉 At the current stage, the trend should still be considered largely bearish, with STH holding historically high levels of losses. Nevertheless, these are also the periods where it makes sense to build exposure.$BTC $ETH
🚨MACRO ECONOMIST SEES BITCOIN AT $110K–$120K THIS MONTH
Macro economist Henrik Zeberg says Bitcoin could surge to $110,000–$120,000, driven by rising risk appetite, strong ETF inflows, and increasing institutional adoption of digital assets.$BTC $ETH
Expected pullback for $BTC - Testing the midline of our range. Could be a logical bounce level. But... at this point nothing surprises (due world events). Let's keep our eyes on that 1H RSI. We don't want it to dip in the "rekt" zone!
President Donald Trump says the operation has ‘always been a four-week process,’ adding that despite the size of the country, it could take four weeks - or less.$BTC $ETH