ADEEL TRADES

$ETH
Der Ethereum-Preis begann einen erheblichen Rückgang, nachdem er es nicht schaffte, $2.500 zu überschreiten. ETH ist um 20% gefallen und kämpft jetzt, über der Unterstützung von $2.200 zu bleiben.
Ethereum konnte sich nicht über $2.550 halten und begann einen neuen Rückgang.
Der Preis wird unter $2.400 gehandelt und dem 100-stündigen einfachen gleitenden Durchschnitt.
Es bildet sich eine wichtige bärische Trendlinie mit Widerstand bei $2.415 im Stundenchart von ETH/USD (Datenfeed über Kraken).
Das Paar könnte einen neuen Anstieg beginnen, wenn es über der $2.200-Zone bleibt.
Ethereum-Preis sinkt um 20%

$BTC $ETH
Schlüsselstellen:
Die Kryptomärkte erlebten einen scharfen Flash-Crash am Wochenende, der Bitcoin auf das Niveau von Ende 2024 zurückdrängte und schwere Liquidationen auslöste, die von Ethereum angeführt wurden.
Der Verkaufsdruck beschleunigte sich, nachdem Präsident Donald Trump Kevin Warsh als nächsten Fed-Vorsitzenden nominiert hatte.
Analysten sagten, dass der Umzug eine vertraute De-Leveraging-Phase widerspiegelt und nicht strukturelle Schäden.
Der Kryptomarkt erlitt in den letzten 48 Stunden einen Flash-Crash, bei dem die gesamte Marktkapitalisierung um fast 4 % auf 2,56 Billionen USD fiel, wobei die Liquidation auf der Long-Seite von Ethereum (ETH) angeführt wurde. Analysten sind jedoch nicht allzu besorgt und haben es als ein De-Leveraging-Ereignis bezeichnet.

$ETH Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has proposed a new creator token model that combines decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) with prediction market mechanics to incentivize higher-quality content creation.
Creator tokens, or content coins, are blockchain-based assets that can grant fans a slice of ownership, access rights, or even royalties for the content creator’s work, which could be in the form of posts, photos, music, or videos. 
However, in a post on X on Sunday, Buterin said existing creator token platforms notably prioritize mass content creation over quality, and it’s now being exacerbated by AI-generated content.
To combat this, Buterin said one idea would be for content creators to launch tokens and apply to curated creator DAOs, where members decide which content to accept, while speculators profit by predicting which creators or content will be admitted.
Accepted content creators could then see their coins rise in value when the DAO burns their tokens, reducing supply and increasing scarcity.

He noted that many of the top creator coins on existing platforms like BitClout and Zora are led by celebrities or people of “very high social status,” making it challenging for creators to succeed purely on merit.
Another example, not mentioned by Buterin, is Friend.tech — a SocialFi app on Ethereum layer-2 Base that allowed creators to share content in private chatrooms accessed via tradable keys.
However, some criticized the platform because the price of the keys were driven mainly by speculation.
Friend.tech shuttered in September 2024 after activity had significantly dropped and the native token fell 95% from its high.
Focus on niches to win specific audiences, Buterin suggests
Buterin also recommended that DAOs avoid trying to capture the entire market and instead focus on certain content styles, whether short-form video or long-form writing, and the content should cater to a specific country or political audience, for example.
Related: Why proof-of-reserves alone doesn’t build real trust 
Buterin added: “The goal is to have a group that is larger than one creator and can accumulate a public brand and collectively bargain to seek revenue opportunities, but at the same time small enough that internal governance is tractable.”
The token speculators would also be assisting the DAO by helping surface high-quality content worth rewarding.
“Individual speculators can stay in the game and thrive to the extent that they do a good job of predicting the creator DAOs' actions,” Buterin sai
#WhenWillBTCRebound #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #MarketCorrection

$BTC India Budget 2026: Crypto Tax Data Shows Investors Paid Tax Even After Losses
New data shows a growing gap between crypto trading outcomes and tax liability. While high-activity traders contribute most of the TDS, thin profit margins mean both active and retail investors are facing liquidity pressure.
In FY 2024–25, investor results were almost evenly split, with 50.91% reporting net gains and 49.09% ending the year with net losses. Despite this, taxable capital gains rose to ₹3,722 crore, even though actual net profits were lower. Investors who collectively recorded ₹1,178 crore in net losses still paid tax on ₹180 crore of gains, as current rules do not allow losses to be set off.
February 1, 2026 06:51:22 UTC
India Budget 2026: Buybacks to Be Taxed as Capital Gains for All Shareholders
The government has announced a change in how share buybacks will be taxed. Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said that buybacks will now be treated as capital gains for all shareholders.
The move is meant to stop the misuse of tax benefits through buybacks. Promoters, in particular, will have to pay more tax on buyback income. Corporate promoters will be taxed at 22%, while non-corporate promoters will face a 30% tax.
The new rule aims to make buyback taxation more uniform and reduce tax loopholes.
February 1, 2026 06:14:23 UTC
India Budget 2026: India’s Crypto TDS Mismatch Leaves Traders Owed Crores in Refunds
India’s crypto ecosystem saw ₹511.83 crore collected as TDS in FY 2024–25, but new data highlights a growing mismatch between tax deducted and actual tax owed. KoinX users alone contributed ₹130.16 crore, or 25.43% of total collections, even though their final tax liability stood at only ₹91.64 crore. This resulted in an estimated ₹38.52 crore locked in excess TDS and potential refunds.
The imbalance appears widespread. Over 30% of TDS deductions exceeded traders’ final tax dues, while nearly half of all TDS-paying users ended the year with net capital losses. At the same time, trading activity remains highly concentrated, with less than 5% of traders accounting for 87% of total TDS collections.
February 1, 2026 05:31:02 UTC
India Budget 2026: New Data Fuels Calls to Reform India’s Crypto Tax Regime
As the Union Budget 2026 approaches, India’s crypto industry is calling for a more outcome-based tax framework, including rationalisation of the 30% capital gains tax, permission to offset losses, and a review of the 1% tax deducted at source (TDS) on crypto transactions. These demands are supported by India’s Crypto Tax Story 2025, a new report by KoinX, which analyses anonymised data from nearly 7 lakh Indian crypto users in FY 2024–25 and shows how current tax rules often diverge from actual investor outcomes.
February 1, 2026 05:09:14 UTC
India Budget 2026: Crypto Rules Must Shift Beyond Tax and Enforcement,
Manhar Garegrat, Country Head–India at Liminal Custody, said India’s crypto policy needs to move toward market structure and sustainability, warning that current tax frictions are pushing compliant trading activity offshore. He urged Budget 2026 to rethink transaction-level taxes and consider a VDA transaction tax model to keep crypto activity onshore, transparent, and economically viable.
February 1, 2026 05:09:14 UTC
India Budget 2026: Will Crypto Take Center Stage?
Crypto and Bitcoin taxes are in focus today, with expectations of rationalisation and clearer rules rather than any expansion of the 30% levy, even as the government has not yet signaled formal changes.

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$ETH $BTC
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USPPIJump #WhoIsNextFedChair #BitcoinETFWatch

$WLD
Der aktuelle Preis des WLD-Tokens beträgt $ 0.41079707
Preisschätzungen für 2026 reichen bis zu $4.18.
Langfristige Prognosen deuten auf mögliche Höchststände von $35.60 bis 2030 hin.
Der WLD-Preis lag fast bei $12 ATH, fiel jedoch in den letzten verbleibenden Tagen von 2025 auf $0.50. Dies hat Bedenken unter Investoren und Händlern hinsichtlich der Zukunft von WLD ausgelöst, und infolgedessen ist die Preisprognose für Worldcoin 2026 zu einem Thema bedeutender Diskussionen geworden, wobei viele an seinen Aussichten im kommenden Jahr interessiert sind.

$ETH Ethereum price is facing structural risk as leverage usage hits record levels despite shrinking market participation.
Declining open interest suggests repositioning rather than fresh capital entering Ethereum derivatives.Support levels on the Ethereum price chart align with zones where leverage concentration may amplify volatility.
Ethereum price has continued to trade under pressure in the late January 2026, due to multiple macro factors which is creating uncertainty in the market and investors are cautious regarding the market. That’s one of the primary reasons why Ethereum price volatility remains elevated. Also, onchain data shows that leverage usage has reached record highs even as overall exposure has declined, reshaping short-term market dynamics.
Ethereum Price Faces a Structural Shift in Derivatives Behavior
From a derivatives perspective, Ethereum price dynamics are increasingly shaped by leverage concentration rather than broad participation. Binance data shows the Estimated Leverage Ratio climbing to a new all-time high near 0.675, the highest level ever recorded for this metric.

This development stands out because it has emerged without a decisive bullish breakout. Ethereum price has hovered around $2,700 for extended periods, suggesting traders are deploying leverage to extract returns from relatively narrow price movements rather than committing fresh capital to long-duration bets.
Historically, leverage ratios approaching the 0.70 level have coincided with heightened sensitivity to volatility. In such environments, even moderate price fluctuations can trigger outsized liquidations, making Ethereum price action more fragile than headline levels may imply.
Open Interest Declines as Exposure Contracts
At the same time, Ethereum onchain chart data from derivatives markets paints a contrasting picture. Per CryptoQuant insights, its total open interest has fallen to roughly $16.4 billion, marking its lowest reading since November. This decline signals a broad reduction in the number of outstanding contracts rather than an expansion of market participation.

In practical terms, fewer positions remain active across futures and perpetual markets. However, those positions that do remain are increasingly leveraged. This divergence suggests a market undergoing repositioning instead of accumulation.
From an Ethereum price analysis standpoint, declining open interest typically reduces directional conviction. When paired with rising leverage ratios, it creates an environment where liquidity becomes thinner and price reactions sharper.
Ethereum Price Chart Highlights Key Technical Stress Zones
Still, price structure remains a central reference. The Ethereum price chart shows a sharp decline toward 200-day EMA band. 
It suggests that if demand comes, it can reverse its decline, but if it breaks the 200-day EMA band, then horizontal support zones around $1,900 and $1,713 could be retested.
#Altcoins  #Cryptonews  #Ethereum  #PriceAnalysis

$BTC $ETH
The crypto market crash accelerated during the weekend, with Bitcoin moving below the key support level at $80,000 for the first time in months. It was trading at $78,678 on Sunday, down sharply from its all-time high of $126,300.
Ethereum price crashed to $2,400, while Binance Coin (BNB) fell to $770. The market capitalization of all tokens dropped by over 5.80% in the last 24 hours to $2.67 trillion. This article explores some of the top reasons behind the ongoing crypto crash.
Crypto market crash happened after Trump nominated Kevin Warsh 
One of the main reasons behind the ongoing crypto market crash is that Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to become the next Federal Reserve Chair when Jerome Powell’s term ends in May.
Warsh has recently supported the crypto industry. However, his support was likely because he really wanted the Federal Reserve Chairman job as he has previously blasted the industry.
The same is true with his views on interest rates. In his recent interviews, he has come out in support of lower interest rates. In reality, however, Warsh has always been an interest rate and inflation hawk.
He voted against interest rate cuts and quantitative easing policies in 2011. Most importantly, he has always maintained his opposition to quantitative easing.
Therefore, analysts believe that Warsh will maintain a hawkish view when he moves to the Federal Reserve just as Jerome Powell did.
Soaring liquidations fuelled the crypto crash 
The other main reason for the crypto market crash is the soaring liquidations and falling futures open interest.
Data compiled by CoinGlass shows that the futures open interest dropped by 10% in the last 24 hours to $113 billion.
At the same time, liquidations jumped by 348% in the last 24 hours to over $2.5 billion, the biggest increase in months.
Ethereum liquidations jumped to over $1.1 billion, while Bitcoin rose to over $785 million. Solana positions worth over $197 million, while XRP positions worth $61 million were liquidated. 
These liquidations brought memories of October 10 when the crypto market experienced the biggest liquidation on record. Positions worth over $20 billion were wiped out on October 10 when Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on China.
Rising geopolitical tensions 
The crypto market crash is happening because of the rising geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. Trump has threatened to attack Iran soon because of the recent protests in the country.
An attack on Iran would be bearish for the crypto market because of the impact on the energy market. Data shows that Brent, the global benchmark, has jumped to $70 for the first time in months.
The crypto market crash is also happening because Bitcoin’s role as a safe-haven asset has been debunked. Instead, investors have moved to other safe-haven assets like the Swiss franc and gold, which have soared in the past few months.
Bitcoin price technicals have contributed to the crash 

Technicals have also contributed to the ongoing crypto crash. The weekly timeframe chart above shows that the coin formed a rising wedge pattern. 
It also formed a bearish flag pattern, and moved below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Supertrend indicator. This pattern often leads to more downside, which will lead to more downside for Bitcoin and the crypto market.
#USPPIJump #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USGovShutdown #USIranStandoff

$CARV
ADA bleibt technisch schwach, da die Preisstruktur und technische Indikatoren das bärische Momentum bestätigen, während die Verkäufer bei der Entfaltung des Jahres 2026 fest im Sattel sitzen.
Die Zone von $0.28–$0.30 wird wahrscheinlich bestimmen, ob ADA eine tiefere Korrektur in Richtung $0.22 oder eine kurzfristige Erholung durch überverkaufte Bedingungen erlebt.
Cardano ist in eine kritische technische Phase eingetreten, da der Verkaufsdruck zu Beginn des Jahres 2026 zunimmt. Nachdem es nicht gelungen ist, die Erholung Ende 2025 aufrechtzuerhalten, hat ADA eine breitere Korrekturbewegung aufgenommen und handelt nun nahe den langfristigen Nachfragelevels. Seit Beginn des Jahres 2026 bleibt die Preisbewegung entschieden bärisch, mit niedrigeren Höchstständen und sich ausweitendem Abwärtsmomentum. Das wöchentliche Diagramm platziert den ADA-Preis jetzt in einer entscheidenden Zone, in der die nächste Reaktion wahrscheinlich bestimmen wird, ob der Markt eine tiefere Korrektur oder eine technische Erholung sieht.

$BTC
Story Highlights
Bitcoin price is flashing historical stress signals as volatility metrics and on-chain loss ratios converge.Weekly technical breakdowns suggest weakening momentum in BTC price USD during early 2026.On-chain data indicates investor pressure is nearing levels previously seen near correction lows.
Bitcoin price slipped below a critical volatility band near $83,000 in late January 2026, triggering renewed downside concern. At the same time, on-chain data shows losses spreading rapidly across holders, placing Bitcoin price behavior in a zone historically associated with heightened stress and late-stage corrections.
Bitcoin Price Breaks Below a Key Volatility Structure
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin price recently closed below the lower boundary of the Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart. This volatility-based indicator, built using statistical medians and standard deviations, has historically helped define trend strength during bull cycles.
When BTC price USD has slipped beneath this band in prior market expansions, it has often coincided with corrective phases rather than full trend reversals. That said, the current breakdown near the $83,000 region suggests weakening momentum rather than immediate capitulation.
Meanwhile, broader market conditions remain fragile. January’s volatility failed to reclaim key resistance levels, reinforcing the perception that Bitcoin price is consolidating under pressure rather than resetting for an immediate upside continuation.
Sentiment Deteriorates as Losses Dominate On-Chain
At the same time, sentiment indicators across social platforms have turned increasingly defensive. Community responses following the recent breakdown show growing expectations of deeper retracements, with downside levels being openly discussed rather than dismissed.
That said, sentiment alone rarely defines market bottoms. Instead, on-chain data provides a clearer picture of structural stress. One notable metric is the ratio comparing UTXOs in loss versus those in profit. This ratio has now fallen to levels typically associated with late correction phases or bear market environments.

When profits dominate, elevated ratios often precede sell-offs as holders realize gains. Conversely, when losses become widespread, selling pressure tends to diminish not because confidence returns, but because fewer participants remain in profit.
UTXO Loss Ratios Signal Peak Stress Conditions
Still, the current environment reflects broad investor strain. Data shows a growing share of UTXOs slipping into unrealized loss, creating a negative feedback loop where fear replaces momentum. Historically, when this ratio approaches extreme lows, it has aligned with periods where downside risk begins to compress.
From an analytical standpoint, this does not imply immediate recovery. Rather, it highlights that Bitcoin price is entering a zone where forced selling often slows, even if volatility remains elevated. Short-term conditions remain bearish, but structurally, the market is approaching a region where pressure becomes asymmetrical.
The BTC price USD is therefore less driven by optimism and more by exhaustion dynamics, where sellers gradually lose dominance as losses spread.
Bitcoin Price Navigates a Compression Phase
In the current setup, Bitcoin price analysis reflects a convergence of technical weakness and on-chain stress rather than a single catalyst-driven move. The breakdown below volatility bands aligns with an environment where most participants are underwater, amplifying fear while simultaneously reducing incentive to sell aggressively.
From this angle, Bitcoin price behavior is increasingly shaped by compression rather than expansion. Whether this phase resolves through further downside or stabilization will depend on how quickly loss dominance peaks and volatility contracts.
#Bitcoin #Cryptonews  #PriceActionAnalysis #USPPIJump

$BTC $BTC
Bitcoin’s fall of around 7% to $77,000 on Saturday might have marked the low of this cycle, according to Bitcoin analyst PlanC.
It comes as other crypto analysts continue to call for further downside for Bitcoin (BTC) in the coming months.
“Decent chance this will be the deepest pullback opportunity this Bitcoin bull run,” PlanC said in an X post on Saturday.
PlanC compares Bitcoin’s fall to previous bear market cycles
Bitcoin fell 7% to around $77,000 on Saturday and has since slightly moved up to $78,690 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.

The asset’s price is now down around 38% from its all-time high of $126,100, which it reached on Oct. 5. PlanC said the downtrend Bitcoin has experienced reminds him of past crashes like the 2018 bear market capitulation when Bitcoin fell to $3,000, the March 2020 crash when the asset fell to around $5,100, and the FTX and Luna collapses, which saw BTC dip to around $15,500 and $17,500 respectively.
“There is a decent chance we are going through another major capitulation low as we speak,” PlanC said. “It seems like the ultimate low will be between $75,000 and $80,000,” he added.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin advocate and financial accountant Rajat Soni said in an X post on Saturday that the drop down to $77,000 came during one of crypto’s more volatile parts of the week and warned traders against overreacting.
“Never trust a weekend pump OR dump,” Soni said. “Bitcoin will make a comeback when you least expect it,” he added.
Bitcoin $60K price level may still be in play
However, some have been speculating that the downfall may go further.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt recently predicted that Bitcoin could fall as low as $60,000 by the third quarter of 2026. 
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen said Bitcoin’s market cycle low will likely come in early October, but “anticipates plenty of rallies will occur between now and then.”
Meanwhile, Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity’s director of global macroeconomic research, said 2026 could be a “year off” for Bitcoin, with prices potentially falling to as low as $65,000.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USPPIJump #USGovShutdown #MarketCorrection

$BTC $SOL $ETH
Activity on major altcoin networks, namely Solana and Ethereum, saw major milestones in January. Daily active addresses on Solana consistently topped 5 million in the second half of the month.
Ethereum overtook major layer 2s in December in terms of daily active addresses after major upgrades to the network. In January, the network marked a 25% increase in daily active addresses amid efforts from developers to “future proof” Ethereum.
Seven Bitcoin (BTC) miners in the US are in a critical storm zone and may need to temporarily scale back their mining activities as a winter storm rocked power grids and left thousands without electricity.
Geopolitical concerns, namely US President Donald Trump’s supposed aspirations to acquire Greenland, have global investors wary. Bitcoin’s price fell nearly 10% from a monthly high of $97,000.
Here’s January by the numbers:
Active Solana addresses increase nearly 115% amid token launch frenzy
The Solana network saw a monthly spike of 115% in active daily addresses as of Jan. 28. The total number of such addresses regularly topped 5 million, according to data from Nansen.

The surge is the result of a renewed spree in memecoin minting following the launch of Anthropic’s Claude Cowork, an AI agent that can control a user’s desktop. This allowed developers using Solana-based token launchpad Bags to turn token launches into overdrive.

Fees on the platform spiked to $4.5 million on Jan. 16. For context, from September to December last year, daily fees rarely passed five digits and, sometimes, were as low as several hundred dollars.
Over the same period, the number of tokens that “graduated,” or launched, from Bags overtook the other popular Solana token launch platform Pump.fun.
Active Ethereum addresses increase 25%
Activity on the Ethereum network has also seen a significant uptick. At the end of December, it overtook prominent L2s Base and Arbitrum in terms of daily active addresses. In January, the same metric increased 25%.

The increase in activity follows some important upgrades to the network, which have increased blob sizes and therefore lowered fees. On Jan. 29, average fees on Ethereum were less than $0.01.
These upgrades were part of an effort to finalize work on Ethereum. On Jan. 12, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said that Ethereum should ultimately pass a “walkaway test.” He said the true test of Ethereum would be for it to keep functioning and fulfilling the needs of users without the presence of developers actively changing and monitoring the network.
Seven US Bitcoin miners face curtailment during winter storm
Seven Bitcoin mining operations in the United States may curtail operations as winter storms put stress on the American power grid in the Southeast and South Central regions.
According to data from Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, mining locations operated by Riot, Core Scientific, CleanSpark and Bitdeer “are structurally set up to act as flexible loads via utility demand response programs.” 
“We do not yet have confirmation of real time curtailments for this storm, but the model has already proven its value when conditions tighten.”

The storm, which has also affected the Midwest and Northeast, has seen cancelled flights, dangerous travel conditions and power outages and has killed at least 20 people as of Jan. 27.
Southern states, which are generally unaccustomed to snow and lack the critical infrastructure to contend with wintry conditions, were hit hardest. As of Jan. 28, some 400,000 people were without power in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas.

Many Bitcoin miners have set up in locations where they can stabilize grid prices, buying power cheaply when there is little to no demand and temporarily switching off during stress periods.
Four in 10 merchants in US accept crypto: PayPal report
Crypto is getting more popular for payments, according to major payments processor PayPal. Four in 10 merchants in the US now accept crypto, the company said in a January report. PayPal’s survey found that crypto offers faster transaction speeds and more privacy and attracts crypto-savvy customers.

PayPal vice president and general manager May Zabaneh said, “What we’re seeing both in this data and in conversations with our customers is that crypto payments are moving beyond experimentation and into everyday commerce.”
Some 84% of the same merchants believe that crypto payments will become mainstream in the next five years.
Bitcoin’s price static amid Greenland fiasco
Bitcoin’s price saw a brief climb toward $100,000 in the middle of this month before falling back down to $87,000. The more than 10% decrease came amid discussions over what could happen to Greenland, itself an autonomous territory of Denmark.

Trump claimed that the US needs to control Greenland for security purposes and to counteract Chinese and Russian ambitions in the Arctic. This is despite the fact Denmark and the US are part of NATO, an organization created to counteract the very same ambitions.
While tempers have cooled, the fact that Bitcoin, along with global markets generally, was affected by the saber-rattling, shows that BTC is a risk-on asset.
Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at investing and trading platform IG, said, “Cryptocurrencies offered no haven from the wave of selling that washed over global markets in response to Trump’s threat.”
Trump’s mercurial foreign policy, including punitive, unilateral tariffs and ramping up aggressive rhetoric with former allies, put a damper on Bitcoin’s price, according to some analysts.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #ZAMAPreTGESale #USIranStandoff #BitcoinETFWatch

$BTC $XRP
Two high-profile crypto figures are preparing to pour tens of millions of dollars into California politics, aiming to reshape the state Legislature by backing moderate, business-friendly candidates and countering the influence of labor unions.
The effort, operating under the banner of Grow California, is backed by Chris Larsen, a longtime Democratic donor and co-founder of Ripple, and Tim Draper, a venture capitalist known for his support of Bitcoin (BTC), according to The New York Times.
“The government unions do a great job,” Larsen reportedly told the outlet. “But that’s going to clash with a lot of the things that are going to make California successful if there’s no counterforce,” he added.
The move comes as Silicon Valley donors grow increasingly alarmed by a proposed California wealth tax, backed by a healthcare union, that would levy taxes on the assets of the state’s richest residents if approved by voters. While Larsen and Draper say Grow California was seeded before the proposal emerged, the tax has become a clear rallying point for the initiative.
Related: If history repeats itself, will the US Congress become more pro-crypto in 2026?
Larsen, Draper seed Grow California with $10 million
According to campaign finance filings set to be submitted, Larsen and Draper each contributed $5 million to launch the group last September, per the report. Grow California now claims to have secured roughly $40 million in commitments across independent-expenditure committees and affiliated nonprofit entities. Larsen has said he expects to contribute as much as $30 million of his own money over multiple election cycles.
California Democrats currently hold more than two-thirds of the seats in both legislative chambers, with labor unions often acting as key gatekeepers in competitive races. Grow California plans to focus its resources on a limited number of state legislative contests. The group has said it will stay out of the 2026 gubernatorial race and avoid costly ballot proposition campaigns.
Larsen, whose net worth is estimated at nearly $15 billion, has described California’s political system as overly dominated by unions and special interests. He reportedly pointed to lessons learned from Fairshake, a crypto-backed super PAC that spent heavily in recent federal elections, as proof that sustained political spending can shift outcomes.
Related: Ray Dalio says 2026 US midterm elections may reverse Trump policies
Crypto-backed PACs amass war chests ahead of 2026 US midterms
Crypto-funded PACs are ramping up for the 2026 US midterm elections, as debates over digital asset regulation heat up in Congress. Industry-backed groups say they plan to expand their political influence by backing candidates they view as supportive of crypto and opposing those seen as hostile to the sector.
On Wednesday, Fairshake disclosed it is holding $193 million in cash, boosted by major contributions from Ripple Labs, Andreessen Horowitz and Coinbase. The group said its cash reserves have grown sharply since mid-2025 and revealed intentions to remain active after spending more than $130 million on media buys during the 2024 federal elections.
Magazine: A ‘tsunami’ of wealth is headed for crypto: Nansen’s Alex Svanevik
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USPPIJump #MarketCorrection #USGovShutdown

$BTC
After surging toward the $100,000 mark a few days into the new year, the price of Bitcoin looks set to end January in stark contrast to how it started the month. On Thursday, January 29, the flagship cryptocurrency fell to a multi-month low of around $81,500, with the general market sentiment worsening over the past few weeks.
Going into the weekend, the price of Bitcoin has somewhat cooled off, recovering above the $93,000 level on Friday, January 30. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data suggests that the market leader is only on the verge of another violent price movement.
BTC Setting Up For A Violent Liquidation Cascade
In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, CryptoOnchain shared insights into the current on-chain condition of the Bitcoin price. According to the market quant, the Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) witnessed a notable upswing on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, while price was undergoing its most recent correction. 
For context, the Estimated Leverage Ratio is an on-chain metric that tracks the ratio between open interest and the reserve of an exchange (Binance, in this case). This metric measures the average amount of leverage used by the traders in a particular market or exchange. 
A higher ELR signals a higher market risk, suggesting that small price movements could lead to significant liquidations. According to data from CryptoQuant, CryptoOnchain highlighted that the Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio recently spiked to a critical level of 0.188 when the price fell to around $81,500, indicating that the Open Interest is exceptionally high relative to the exchange’s reserves.

Furthermore, CryptoOnchain shared that the divergence between rising leverage and falling prices is a classic “bearish divergence” signal in the derivative market. “It indicates that despite the price weakness, traders are aggressively increasing their leverage positions,” the on-chain expert added.
What’s more, CryptoOnchain revealed that when the market becomes heavily over-leveraged during a price correction, it implies that the traders are either “buying the dip” with high leverage or increasingly taking short positions. The market quant said this setup usually precedes a “violent liquidation cascade.”
Overall, CryptoOnchain concluded that the market is currently in a high-tension zone, with the combination of peak leverage and low prices suggesting that a “squeeze” is imminent. The analyst, however, clarified that the direction of the next violent movement depends on the dominant side (bulls or bears) of the market. 
Bitcoin Price At A Glance
As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $84,200, reflecting a nearly 1% jump in the past 24 hours.
$ETH
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USPPIJump #USGovShutdown #BitcoinETFWatch

$ETH $XRP
Story Highlights
A tense Davos encounter revealed how deeply divided Wall Street and crypto leaders are over the future of U.S. regulation.Brian Armstrong’s pushback on stablecoin rules left him isolated among top U.S. bank CEOs.A stalled Senate vote has turned a policy debate into a high-stakes power struggle behind closed doors.
Reportedly, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon confronted Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong at the World Economic Forum in Davos last week, calling him a liar over his comments about banks trying to kill crypto legislation.
The Wall Street Journal reported that Dimon interrupted a coffee meeting between Armstrong and former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair. He pointed his finger at the Coinbase chief and said, “You are full of s—.”
Armstrong had appeared on TV days earlier saying banks were lobbying to sabotage crypto-friendly regulation in the US.
Top US Bank CEOs Refuse to Meet Armstrong
Dimon was not alone. Several banking executives gave Armstrong the cold shoulder at Davos.
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan met with him for 30 minutes but shut down his argument.
“If you want to be a bank, just be a bank,” Moynihan said.
Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf told Armstrong there was “nothing for them to talk about.” Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser gave him less than a minute.
Coinbase is a client of both JPMorgan and Citi.
Also Read :  No Fed Cuts in 2026? JPMorgan’s New Forecast Puts Bitcoin Back Under Pressure
Why Banks Want Stablecoin Rewards Banned
The fight comes down to one issue: stablecoin rewards.
Crypto firms like Coinbase pay around 3.5% to users who hold stablecoins. Banks pay under 0.1% on checking accounts. Banks say these payouts work like interest-bearing accounts but skip the rules they have to follow. They warn that customers could move large sums out of traditional banks and into crypto.
Armstrong says the market should decide. Banks can raise their rates or launch their own stablecoins if they want to compete.
Armstrong’s Stance Stalled the Senate Vote
Just before the Senate Banking Committee was set to vote on the CLARITY Act, Armstrong posted on X that Coinbase could not support the bill.
He said the draft included a “defacto ban on tokenized equities,” DeFi restrictions, and amendments that would “kill rewards on stablecoins, allowing banks to ban their competition.”
“We’d rather have no bill than a bad bill,” he wrote.
The committee postponed its vote within hours.
The White House now plans to bring bank and crypto leaders together. David Sacks, Trump’s crypto czar, is expected to attend.
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Story Highlights
The crypto strategies that worked in 2021 are quietly failing as smarter capital reshapes the market.Institutional buyers are forcing crypto projects to prove real value.A new investing filter is emerging in crypto, and most tokens don’t pass it.
The 2021 playbook is dead. Buying everything no longer works.

Ryan Connor, Head of Research at Blockworks, told Milk Road’s John Gillen that most crypto projects fail the moment you look past the surface. The market has moved on, and many investors haven’t caught up.
Connor said the last cycle rewarded tokens that had nothing real behind them.
“People in crypto were rewarding tokens for doing nothing, like bringing nothing to the table. All you needed in 2021 was a story and a token and some branding and you could walk away a multi-millionaire. That’s no longer the case.”
The buyers have changed. Institutions now set the pace, and they want real teams, real revenue, and real value. Tokens built on hype alone are getting wiped out.
Why Macro Matters More Than You Think
Connor pointed out that crypto tracks NASDAQ closely. You cannot have a crypto view without a macro view.
Right now, the setup looks solid. The VIX is healthy, high yield spreads are tight, and the Fed is forecasting 5% GDP growth, the highest since 2014. More than half of that growth comes from the AI boom.
Deregulation is also helping. Connor described it as a “pressure cooker” release after years of regulatory crackdowns.
Where the Smart Money Is Going
Connor named Pendle Finance as a 12-month play. The protocol holds 25-30x more TVL than its closest competitor in yield stripping. It wins whether stablecoins or perpetuals dominate.
Hyperliquid came up too. It offers equity perpetuals, something traditional finance cannot match yet. But Connor flagged the risks: traders jump platforms fast, and players like CME, Robinhood, and Coinbase could close the gap once regulations shift.
Investors Are Done With Empty Promises
Connor said the mood among token holders has shifted.
“Token holders are revolting back. They want to see value accruing to the token. They’re not falling for stories anymore. They want to see proper structures with protections.”
For investors, recognizing which projects are built to last when market conditions change again will be the true win.
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Speaking on CNBC, BitMine CEO Tom Lee explained why gold prices have risen strongly while Bitcoin has struggled. He said metals are moving higher due to a weak U.S. dollar and strong global demand. 
At the same time, the crypto market remains under pressure and has not been able to keep up with gold’s rally.
Tom Lee on Gold Rally and Dollar Weakness
According to the interview aired this week, Tom Lee said the recent surge in gold and silver was one of the most surprising trades of the year. He said strong momentum, investor demand, and global uncertainty have all pushed precious metals higher.
He explained that the U.S. dollar remains under pressure as global growth improves and the Federal Reserve stays cautious on rate cuts. A weaker dollar usually supports hard assets, which is why gold has continued to climb. 
Lee added that in some regions, especially in China, demand has been unusually strong, with certain silver ETFs actually trading at high premiums.
“I think it’s really eye-popping, but it might just be a lot of price momentum too.”
Why Crypto Is Not Keeping Up With Gold
Futher when asked about seeing strong momentum in precious metals, but not as much in cryptocurrencies.
Despite similar market conditions, Lee said crypto has failed to benefit from the same situational, even while considered as a haven.
Yeah, crypto’s been a huge disappointment because whether it’s debasement, geopolitical uncertainty, or central banks easing, those have been tailwinds for precious metals.
It really should be a tailwind for crypto, but I think crypto suffered and still hasn’t recovered from the October 2025 crash. 
Each time crypto prices attempted to recover, new shocks forced traders to reduce risk again. This has kept confidence low and slowed any sustained rebound.
Investor Money Will Now Shift To Bitcoin
Market history shows that when gold prices peak and start to fall, investors often move their money into Bitcoin. This pattern was seen in 2017 and 2021. After gold lost momentum in those years, Bitcoin rallied strongly, jumping nearly 1000% in 2017 and around 400% in 2021.
Recently, gold appears to have reached a top again. Prices fell from around $5,600 to nearly 4USDT,892, a drop of about 13%
Such a pullback often signals that the strong gold rally may be slowing down. When this happens, the crypto market tends to rally hard.
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