Wise Analyze

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Looks like my bet on $BTC breakout plays out. Sure, not there yet, but now at the top of the range, that was tested multiple times, so chances are decent.

In case Bitcoin really breakout, I think its worth waiting for 67-67.9k zone before considering taking profits from longs or shorting.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 64444 / 66040 / 67535
Below: 62312 / 61670 / 60390


If breakout turns into bull trap, wait for 64k to prove itself as resistance (let price below, reject on attempts to return back above) before shorting. On the downside LP under ~60.3k still untouched, so that may become potential target for that scenario.

⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline

Gold cleared ~4050 liquidity pool, but haven't generated too much volume on that move.

I still think that bounce should be somewhere around the corner, but as it evolves now, I'd wait for another $XAU dip to test 4k and possibly collect stops under 3978 low. FVG around 3935 could be covered if that move extends further.

🎯 Key Levels:
Above: 4150 / 4170 / 4220
Below: 3980 / 3935 / 3865


⏰ #Gold TG alarm set for: 3978, 3935

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC continues consolidation within downtrend. Nearest upper liquidity starts above 64k. That zone worth monitoring for any signs of rejection. If market takes a surprise move and breakout, next liquidation zone will be above 67.6k (resistance around 66666 will defend that zone).

On the downside LP under ~60.3k still untouched. Yesterday's volume concentrated around 61.7-61.9k and will act as SR.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 63817 / 64250 / 66666
Below: 60270 / 59060 / 57444


As I wrote, Fear and Greed dropped very low and in general chart looks prone for a dead cat bounce. While rejection from ~64.5k is possible, I'd bet on breakout as it will spill more blood. But I am not sure it will manage to grow much above devil's 66666 😈

⏰ TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline

#Gold crossing down March low. Big liquidity pool should be here, but so far volume doesn't show that. So either price has to go lower to find more liquidity there, or there will be a failed swing.

🎯 Key $XAU Levels:
Above: 4170 / 4240 / 4300
Below: 4090 / 4070 / 4040

I think buying that dip should eventually bring profit on the bounce. But stop requires a swing low which we don't have yet. So it is yet a chart to monitor, not to trade.

⏰ I've set alarm for 4070 (in Free TG) and will watch it from there

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC touched key level at 60800, bounced and returned back to it today. Choppy consolidation within downtrend. We may always count on surprise pump, but chances for downside continuation remain stronger. Especially with LP under ~60.3k still untouched.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 62333 / 64250 / 67600
Below: 60270 / 59060 / 57444


Bullish scenario with bounce toward 66.7–67.6k delayed. #Bitcoin has to reclaim and find acceptance above ~63.8k in order to return to it and make it visible.

Same as yesterday evening I expect a small bounce here. Everything depends on PA on that move. Acceptance above 61.8k will make bullish scenario a bit closer. Fast rejection there will lead to fast collapse under 60.3k and lower.

F&G Index at 9️⃣- extreme FEAR - these are the times when you should watch the market for bottom signs.

⏰ TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Monday haven't changed a thing, so I keep my $BTC TA untouched. We should wait for:

* Bullish scenario: bounce toward 66.7–67.6k.
* Bearish scenario: revisit 60.3k, with risk of extension toward 59k.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 63940 / 64600 / 65676
Below: 61140 / 60800 / 60220


Just a reminder that last week candle closed bearish, so even if the bottom is here, we won't see it till several weekly candles close and form reversal pattern. So no rush with longs. At the same time I wouldn't consider shorts here as well, as price have traveled a lot and dead cat bounce might follow.

⏰ TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC managed to recover part of its losses over the weekend. However, even with that buy tail, the weekly close still looks bearish enough to leave room for further downside this week.

Zooming in paints a more constructive picture. A bullish divergence is developing, hinting at a potential bounce. The volume profile shows a wide gap up to ~66700, while the main liquidation cluster sits above ~67650. That makes it the most likely target zone if a relief rally unfolds.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 64640 / 65676 / 67600
Below: 61150 / 60267 / 58900


Friday's New York close was around 60268, which also aligns with a small liquidity pool. Whether #Bitcoin dips there first or bounces before revisiting it is impossible to know. But considering the weekly chart, that zone will most likely be tested sooner or later.

⏰ TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline

Another $ETH target zone ~1600 achieved ✅

Two and a half more days till 2W candle close, but as it looks now it keeps strong enough momentum to hunt for the next liquidity pool under 1385. That scenario will be invalidated in case of close above ~1740. Till then it stays valid.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 1741 / 1965 / 2282
Below: 1385 / 1191 / 1071


Any bullishness make sense only after #Ethereum reclaim May close at 1965. Later this level may move lower, as price continues moving down.

⏰ TG alarms set for: D/W/M-20sma, Y VWAP, 2365, 2007, 1384

Like it or not Q3-Q4 is programmed as bottom in Bitcoin Halving Cycles.

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC grabbed liquidity under Week low at 62401 and that have slow down the dump for a day, but today it dipped again with even bigger volume (liquidating early longs). But so far week candle looks very bearish, so I won't judge that lower timeframe volume as anything bullish yet. Too early.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 63300 / 64920 / 67800
Below: 60800 / 59800 / 58942


For more downside moves February 6th low at 59800 is the nearest big LP. Next is August close at 58942.

⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline

$ETH target liquidity pool under ~1742 (February low) achieved ✅

Won't forecast anything as the move is still in action. Bearish momentum got to slow down, before we can count on the bottom. At this stage no clear signs on this two weeks timeframe.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 1965 / 2282 / 2473
Below: 1630 / 1385 / 1191


My next #Ethereum target zone is around 1630. If no bounce there, next goes volume gap till 2025 low at 1385.

Any bullishness make sense only after ETH reclaim May close at 1965. Later this level may change to lower if price continues moving down.

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

This week really overperformed my most bearish expectations. Yes, I forecasted "elevator down" when $BTC was at 81k, but I couldn't imagine it to lose 24% in just 20 days (where 17% lost just within these 4 days). As far as I remember what others wrote here and in Twitter, no one expected it.

Good news are that such strong dumps always pay off with a strong dead cat bounce. Most probably will cover the gap in between 67.5k and 70.5k - the only question is WHEN.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 64920 / 67500 / 69000
Below: 60800 / 59800 / 58942


#Bitcoin February 6th low at 59800 is the nearest big LP. Next is August close at 58942. I don't know what to expect beyond that.

⏰ Free TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

The rising wedge broke down. That's the fact. As I expected for this scenario $BTC dumped towards 65k ✅

I prefer to wait for the following Day candles to close before calling the bottom - till PA forms something reversable the dump momentum can push price lower. For example, March low at 64918 is very close and it hides even more sweet liquidity, than April low at 65676 did.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 67750 / 68400 / 69000
Below: 64444 / 63310 / 62400


Fear and Greed at 11 again. Back to where we were just 1.5 month ago.

Lots of gaps left above. When short squeeze starts, it can be massive. At the same time the last lower CME gap is just ~2400 USD away.

Tokyo session today dumped and pumped #Bitcoin back up, giving it some LTF vibes. Will US pick it up or dump lower? I think the moment for the bounce is very close.

⏰ Free TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 62401 and wedge trendline

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

As expected, $BTC continued dumping toward the lower trendline of the rising wedge. The three nearest key levels have already been swept. Whether price bounces here or not is still unclear — the next few days should provide the answer.

What we can say for now:
📈 If a bounce develops, BTC could reclaim the 74–76k zone.
📉 If the wedge breaks down, BTC could easily slide toward 65k — and that likely wouldn't be the final target.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 72270 / 74490 / 75850
Below: 68888 / 66193 / 65458


These next few days are critical. Everything leading up to this point was fairly predictable, and I've been writing about it in the Daily Reviews for weeks.

Now we're at the borderline.

No one knows for sure what comes next. Yes, RSI is deeply oversold across the 1H–12H timeframes. But oversold RSI alone has never been enough to call a bottom.

⏰ FREE TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 86021, 78180, 76800, 69000, 66200

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

May closed bearish, which increases the odds of June pushing lower, regardless of how the move ultimately plays out. That's why my three nearest key levels remain unchanged. One of them should provide a bounce — what happens next will depend on volume and the price action that follows.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 74520 / 75850 / 78333 / 82240
Below: 72330 / 71460 / 70230 / 68888


Friday's UK and US sessions concentrated most of their volume between 73650 and 73970. Tokyo added another reference point lower, around 73400, on Monday.

Overall, it feels like $BTC needs a dip before it can move higher. If that happens and buyers step in, I'd expect a move through Friday's resistance zones and a push toward 74.5–75k. But that's just my current read on the market.

Meanwhile, stock indices continue printing new highs. Crypto is underperforming badly, although that still aligns with the Bitcoin cycle framework, which suggests a retracement phase before the more bullish conditions expected in Q4.

⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 86021, 78180, 76800, 72436, 71460, 70333, 67711

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Bearish breakdown haven't yet reached the target zone around 71-72k. Might not get there, but so far weekly chart shows bearish momentum that should push price lower within next week (with condition that this week candle close the same or lower).

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 74355 / 75757 / 77345
Below: 72500 / 71600 / 70330

Since Tuesday $BTC was dumping without any even tiny bounces. All that while Stock Indices made new ATH twice. Very hard to forecast anything. Yes, there is a big divergence and great distance from Daily 20ema, which should be covered sooner or later. But when?

⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 86021, 78180, 76800, 72333, 70333, 67711

$ETH remains within clear downtrend. Until it does something really bullish like drawing higher high followed by higher low, no sense in watching it for spot accumulation.

Nearest zones to watch on the dips are 2042 and liquidity pool under week's low (2007) around 1982-1992.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 2120 / 2160 / 2205
Below: 2042 / 1991 / 1917


When will it become bullish? If first zone I've mentioned gives proper volume and push price back above ~2130 - in this case we may start hunting for the dips to buy. Till then choppy downfall.

⏰ TG #Ethereum alarms set for: D/W/M-20sma, VWAP VAL, 2450, 2365, 2007, 1936, 1834, 1736

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Yesterday's candle closed bearish. That downside momentum should eventually push $BTC lower. Nearest LPs are around ~75.1k and ~74.7k. These are for bullish scenario.

Bearish scenario assumes breakdown of 1.5 month old range bottom with minimum target zone around 71-72k.

On lower timeframes there are couple of gaps left above, so there is a chance to see a bounce to 76.5-76.8k as well. Won't try to guess the sequence though.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 76500 / 76800 / 77500
Below: 75050 / 74666 / 73900

⏰ Free TG Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 86021, 78180, 76800, 72333, 70333, 67711

📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

US opened with pump and dump, forming very bearish 4H candle. That increases chances to see yesterday's 2nd target for the dips - 75830 (US Friday close). Although might bounce to 76.8k first.

After the dip below 76k, $BTC will either bounce and grow back to 77.2-77.4k (with potential to revisit top of the range at ~78k)
... or dump all the way to ~72k. That target based on weekly timeframe, but can be achieved pretty fast.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 76750 / 77200 / 77740
Below: 76050 / 75666 / 75100


Nasdaq and SPX both found themselves in new ATH zone with gaps left behind, so now both pulling back, dragging Gold and BTC with them. Correlation ain't that strong, but certainly influential.

⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 86021, 78180, 76800, 72333, 70333, 67711