Ade_Krypt

$BTC

People are calling the bottom far too early once again.

We’re only 212 days into this bear market, not even close to the average cycle duration, yet sentiment is already turning bullish.

Every cycle follows a similar pattern. A relief rally appears, optimism returns, and suddenly many start believing the bottom is already in.

That’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
But several key signs of a real bottom are still missing, repeated liquidity sweeps, a confirmed higher timeframe market structure shift on the weekly chart, and full capitulation across the market.

Of course, cycles evolve and historical patterns aren’t guaranteed to repeat perfectly.

Still, claiming the bottom formed after only four months would mean this cycle ended nearly three times faster than previous Bitcoin bear markets.

Personally, I still believe lower prices are likely and that the true bottom has not formed yet.

My outlook only changes if Bitcoin breaks above the $97k level and invalidates the current bearish higher timeframe structure.
#BlackRockPlansMoneyMarketFundsforStablecoinUsers #CLARITYActHearingSetforMay14

$BTC

There still seems to be room for further upside here.

Now that price has secured a confirmed breakout above the range highs, a move toward filling the CME gap around $84k looks increasingly probable.

Price is already trading into higher timeframe resistance, but while the uptrend structure remains intact, there’s no strong reason to turn bearish yet.

My current plan is to wait for a retracement into the Golden Pocket alongside the CME gap fill, then monitor price action carefully from that area.

If we see a rejection there followed by acceptance back below the level, that would likely be my setup for one final swing short targeting the unswept lows beneath.

On the other hand, if bullish momentum stays strong and resistance gets reclaimed, the entire outlook shifts bullish, opening the path toward a potential $100k move.

If neither scenario develops and price rejects sooner than expected, I’ll wait for a confirmed break of structure before looking to catch the reversal.
#USAndIranTradeShotInTheStraitOfHormuz #TrumpUnveilsPlanToEscortHormuzShips

$BTC LONG UPDATE 📈

On the 2H timeframe, Bitcoin is still trading inside a strong bullish trend structure.
A solid bottom has now formed, and every attempt to create an equal low keeps failing.

That’s a warning sign for bears, especially with price continuing to print higher lows and higher highs.

If momentum stays strong, BTC could push toward 78.5k and possibly 79k under favourable market conditions. That remains my target zone to close my long position.
For now, nothing has changed in my plan — still holding longs.
#USCourtDeniesKalshiPolymarketPause #CryptoMarketCapNears2.6T

$BTC tapped the weekly imbalance and saw a rejection there.

I already took profit on my longs after the first IRL target was cleared.

Price also swept the 77.8K previous daily high, which strengthens the chances of the 76.5K PDL holding as support.

From the higher timeframe perspective, we already lost the previous weekly low and have now filled the 78.2K weekly imbalance.

Sadly, I missed the A+ short setup because it happened while I was asleep. No reason to chase the move now though — I’d rather wait for cleaner confirmations instead of forcing a trade.

This recent push likely trapped a lot of late FOMO longs, while volume started fading. Because of that, a deeper pullback wouldn’t be surprising at all. If price respects the 76.5K PDL and gives me confirmation, I’ll probably look for a range-trade long setup.

My preferred short zone would be near 79K, but I’m not trying to predict the market. If $BTC keeps dropping and loses the PDL, I’ll instead watch for short opportunities on a retest.

Right now, price is stuck between bullish and bearish pressure, so patience matters more than forcing entries.
#FedRateHikeProbability52% #StablecoinsOutpaceTokenizedMMFs

Gold pulling back from recent highs while top tech stocks face pressure is showing how selective markets have become. Companies like $NVDA and Microsoft still benefit from strong AI demand and cash flow, while other Mag 7 names are struggling to maintain momentum after massive rallies.

$XAU correction also feels more like a reset than a collapse. With inflation concerns, central bank uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions still active, many investors may continue viewing gold as a long-term hedge.

Crude oil remains volatile as traders balance slowing global growth against ongoing supply risks.

This market rewards patience, strong fundamentals, and disciplined risk management over hype chasing.
#PostonTradFi $XAU

$BTC is still struggling around the $77.75k resistance zone.

At the moment, it’s limiting upside momentum, but what stands out is that sellers still haven’t managed to force a real pullback.

Price has been consolidating just below resistance for hours now.

Usually, when price keeps pressing under a resistance level without a strong rejection, it suggests momentum is building for a potential breakout.

If $BTC gets a clean move above $77.75k, there’s a good chance price accelerates into the liquidity sitting higher up.

For now, resistance remains intact, but with this kind of compression, it’s not a level I’d confidently short against.

#GoogleLaunchesGemini3.5Flash #Trump'sIranAttackDelayed

$BTC

Another reason this structure doesn’t resemble a classic bear flag.

In typical bear flags, the consolidation phase is usually less than 50% of the size of the initial drop (the flagpole).

Most bear flags tend to follow two key characteristics:

1.They usually resolve within 4–5 weeks.

2. The consolidation stays relatively tight compared to the size of the original breakdown.

Neither condition is being respected here.

This structure has now expanded into almost a 1:1 ratio with the original decline, while still rotating within a multi-month ascending channel.

Because of that, any downside breakdown is likely to be a slower, more prolonged process rather than the sharp continuation move normally seen in a traditional bear flag setup.

#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed #USGOPSeeksPermanentCBDCBan

$BTC starts a new trading week with a fresh setup.

Bitcoin has already taken out the previous daily and weekly lows, which shifts short-term probability lower for reclaiming the 82.3K prior weekly high this week, and also makes a move back to the 78.6K daily high less likely intraday.

Structurally, the market is leaning bearish after the rejection from 82.8K, with an obvious downtrend now forming. My intraday bias remains bearish as a result.
That said, we’re currently testing key higher-timeframe levels that act as long points of interest. A daily imbalance in the range extremes has been filled, right around the monthly open, which makes short-term long scalps reasonable.

I’m viewing any long setups here strictly as intraday bounces within a broader local downtrend, not a trend reversal.

I’m not shorting into support, but for continuation shorts, I’ll be watching price reaction around the 77.8K imbalance.
If we reclaim 78.6K (previous daily high) with a clear bullish displacement, that would signal a potential bullish clear out, opening up continuation longs.

Overall, I’m still positioned short and open to adding on tests of high quality POIs.
Good luck this week.

#SpaceXEyes2TIPO #BlackRockAdds3.14MMSTRShares

Bitcoin is under pressure right now, and here’s why.

Three major factors are weighing on $BTC :

1. US Producer Price Index came in hotter than expected, signaling inflation may be rising again. That lowers the chances of near-term Fed rate cuts.

2. Institutional selling is increasing. RIOT reportedly sold 3,686 BTC in 2026, while MARA posted over $1B in Q1 losses. Some firms that accumulated near the highs are now reducing exposure.

3. Traditional markets are attracting capital. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are pushing fresh all-time highs, pulling investor attention away from crypto.

But there’s one bullish development many are overlooking:

The CLARITY Act just passed the Senate Banking Committee with bipartisan backing, and a full Senate vote could happen within weeks.

Key Bitcoin levels to monitor:

→ $78K — immediate support
→ $75K — next major support if downside continues
→ $82K — key resistance bulls need to reclaim

This isn’t only a crypto issue.

It’s a macro-driven market environment.

And macro conditions eventually shift.

#DuneCuts25%AmidAIEfficiencyPush #DuneCuts25%AmidAIEfficiencyPush

If $BTC bull market rallies have become slower and more gradual over time, it makes sense that bear market rallies would evolve the same way too.

In 2018, relief rallies were sharp and aggressive, with the biggest rebound climbing nearly +90% before continuing lower.

By 2022, those rallies became less explosive and more extended, with the strongest move reaching around +50% before rolling over again.

And in 2026 so far, the same pattern is still playing out. Price action has become slower, momentum weaker, and the current rally has pushed roughly 40% from the lows.

Bear markets are evolving just like bull markets. No cycle has repeated with the exact same volatility structure as the previous one.

As Bitcoin’s market cap grows and liquidity deepens, both impulsive moves and counter-trend rallies naturally become more compressed and time-consuming rather than vertical.

That’s why time itself remains one of the biggest traps in this market.
The longer price slowly trends higher without fully invalidating the bearish structure, the more traders begin believing the bottom is already in.

But until $BTC reclaims and breaks above the previous lower high, I’m still not convinced the bear market is over.

#SouthKoreaNPSIncreasesStrategyStake #SolanaTreasuryQ1SPSUp108

$BTC is looking very interesting today.

Yesterday, Bitcoin swept the higher timeframe IRL, and the ~$79,845 PDL continues to hold strong as support.

I’m already positioned in a long from yesterday’s sweep, and I’ll consider adding more if price sweeps the ~$80,408 IRL and confirms my entry trigger.

For today, the key bullish objective is reclaiming the ~$81,785 PDH. If that level gets taken, the probability of holding the PDL increases significantly. From there, I’ll be watching the 4H price action closely for continuation setups.

Looking at the bigger picture this week, the main bullish target sits around the ~$82,853 PWH. If price secures that level, I’ll continue looking for additional long opportunities.

My shorts are still active and already secured partial profits. I’m only interested in adding more shorts if Bitcoin loses the ~$78,000 level.

Good luck trading today everyone.

#BinanceOnline #TrumpVisitsChina

$BTC is sitting at a key decision zone right now.

Since yesterday, Bitcoin has been trading between the previous day’s high (PDH) and previous day’s low (PDL), showing clear signs of market indecision and range compression.

This type of price action usually appears around major make-or-break levels, so I’m staying patient and focusing on specific scenarios rather than forcing trades inside the range.

Any positions taken within the compression would only be quick scalp trades.
For higher-probability setups, I’m watching the range boundaries closely — especially around the ~$82,380 PDH.

If price sweeps above ~$82,380 and rejects near the previous weekly high, I’ll be looking for short entries.

On the downside, if Bitcoin loses the ~$80,457 PDL, I’ll wait for price to move into my main long POI around ~$79,000. Depending on the reaction, I may also consider a scalp short on a clean retest before price reaches that zone.

The ~$79,000 region remains an important long POI for me, where I’ll watch for confirmation and long triggers.

However, if BTC loses the ~$78,000 level, it could open the door for a deeper move lower, and I’ll then focus on short continuation setups.

#ClarityActDraft #BinanceOnline

Study $BTC price action over the years.
Notice how almost every major weekly resistance level gets rejected on its first retest.

Notice how key weekly structural zones rarely flip successfully on the first attempt.
You already know where price is sitting.
You already know the level being tested for the first time.

The market has a strange habit of making traders switch their bias at the exact moment they shouldn’t.

Even during strong bull markets, price still forms ranges, revisits levels, rejects key zones, and creates failed breakouts.

Markets rarely move in a straight line without periods of consolidation and hesitation.

That’s how market structure has behaved for years, and this cycle is following the same pattern.

#IranRejectsUSPeacePlan #GrayscaleCardanoETF

$BTC
The level I highlighted in my earlier analysis continues to hold strong so far.
After tapping into the grey zone, price reacted with a solid 2.2% bounce and is now moving toward the recent high near $82.8K.

A liquidity sweep above that high would be a logical move, especially with liquidity building there once again.
On top of that, the unfilled CME gap around $84K still remains above price, making it another likely target.
#USAdds115kJobs #CLARITYActHearingSetforMay14

$BTC | 4H Update

There’s still liquidity resting around 84.2k, and as long as price keeps holding above Monday’s high, I expect that area to get tapped over the weekend.

If we lose this level, the probability increases that a local top is already in place. In that case, price could rotate lower toward the 79.4k region, which acts as the key confirmation level. Acceptance below that zone would confirm the deviation and support further downside continuation.

The Monthly Open around 76k remains the most important area to watch this month. A revisit and strong hold there would suggest continued upside potential and slightly shift the current PA structure away from typical historical bear market behavior.

That said, I still lean toward a move below the Monthly Open later this month. If that happens, it would likely confirm the early-month rally as a liquidity grab and deviation. From a timing perspective, the market still doesn’t feel like it’s in a true bottoming phase yet, which makes this scenario more likely.

For now, the plan is simple: look for short setups either from a sweep of the current 82.8k high or directly from the 84.2k region, then hold toward a retest of the Monthly Open and reassess price action from there.

#IranDealHormuzOpen #IranDealHormuzOpen

Bitcoin just got pulled into geopolitical turbulence:

$BTC rallied to $80,400 on Sunday night following Trump’s “Project Freedom” Hormuz escort operation, marking its highest level since early February.

What stood out was how thin the momentum looked, just $160M in weekly ETF inflows and no Saylor accumulation, yet price still pushed sharply higher.

But sentiment flipped quickly after Iran reportedly struck a US warship. Oil jumped 4% to $105, $BTC slipped back to $79,050, and futures turned negative.

Right now, markets are reacting to war risk in real time. Until tensions around Hormuz ease, every breakout could face heavy uncertainty.

#TrumpUnveilsPlanToEscortHormuzShips #CryptoVCFundingFalls74%inApril

$BTC has finally reached our projected 80K target. We’ve consistently highlighted this level in our recent updates, and it has now been achieved.

At this stage, BTC could face resistance around the 80K–82K zone, with a possible short-term pullback toward 78K before the next move higher. However, if bullish momentum remains strong, Bitcoin may continue pushing toward 82K and beyond.

This outlook remains valid as long as $BTC BTC stays above the 78K support level.
We’ll continue providing updates as the market develops.

#TrumpSaysIranConflictHasEnded #BankofEnglandMayPauseDigitalPound

$ETH still has a lot to prove here.

I’ve talked about this chart several times already.

The key level remains 0.032 against $BTC . If ETH breaks and holds above it, that’s when the real momentum begins and things could get very exciting.

But if it fails to reclaim that zone, the next major support sits around 0.026 BTC. And with Bitcoin potentially pushing toward $93K, ETH may need to stay patient before its own breakout run starts.

#EthereumFoundationSellsETHtoBitmineAgain #BankofEnglandMayPauseDigitalPound

Bitcoin just flipped the narrative again. After a three-day pullback that had bears getting comfortable, $BTC has reclaimed $76K and is now pushing against the $77K resistance zone with strong momentum.

What’s impressive isn’t only the rebound, it’s the resilience underneath it. Even after more than $75M in long liquidations and ETF outflows earlier in the week, including a reported $54M withdrawal from BlackRock in a single day, spot demand continues absorbing supply while broader risk assets recover. April ended as one of Bitcoin’s strongest months in the past year, and that momentum is already spilling into May.

The bigger picture still looks constructive 👀 Institutional positioning remains solid, with ETF assets hovering around the $100B range overall. Onchain data also suggests Bitcoin may still be undervalued compared to previous market cycles. Add in improving macro conditions like softer oil prices and renewed appetite for risk assets, and the market structure still favors upside.

$80K remains the key short-term target. A decisive breakout there could open the door for a retest of recent highs and potentially new territory beyond that.
This isn’t pure hype, it’s Bitcoin doing what it has always done best: shaking out weak hands while long-term capital quietly accumulates. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and don’t ignore the strength of this setup.
What’s your next key level to watch?

#U.S.SenatorsBarredfromTradingonPredictionMarkets #FedRatesUnchanged

$BTC is still lagging behind the broader stock market in performance. In the short term, however, price action is tracking Monday’s outlook closely.

This consolidation around current levels may actually be healthy, especially if we see a breakout above the structural low (m low), which could trigger a bullish continuation.

Meanwhile, altcoins are showing very little strength, volumes remain weak and price movements are mostly noisy and unreliable.

For more confident trading conditions, what’s needed is clear: the return of strong buyers and a meaningful rise in volume. Only then can we expect cleaner price action and more reliable opportunities.

#FedRatesUnchanged #AftermathFinanceBreach