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Crypto AnalyZen

Scenario-based crypto market analysis. Focus on structure, liquidity and risk. No signals. No hype.
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Бичи
$ADA New low with rising open interest. The divergence against Bitcoin remains in place. Just a few hours before the year-end, the price has fully closed the order block zone. Context remains intact. #ADA #altcoins {spot}(ADAUSDT) {future}(ADAUSDT)
$ADA New low with rising open interest.

The divergence against Bitcoin remains in place.
Just a few hours before the year-end, the price has fully closed the order block zone.
Context remains intact. #ADA #altcoins
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Бичи
$BCH | Market Update Following the analysis shared a week ago, BCH continues to push price higher, despite experiencing deep bullish pullbacks. At present, the risk zone is defined between 575 and 583, with the midpoint coinciding with the 78% Fibonacci retracement at 579. The broader structure continues to support further upside, with a likely move toward filling the 652–678 gap and potentially extending beyond. The projection of the most recent pullback also aligns with the May 2021 closing level, the same month in which the all-time high at 1650 was established. {spot}(BCHUSDT) {future}(BCHUSDT) #BCH #CryptoAnalysis #MarketStructure #BinanceSquare
$BCH | Market Update

Following the analysis shared a week ago, BCH continues to push price higher, despite experiencing deep bullish pullbacks.

At present, the risk zone is defined between 575 and 583,
with the midpoint coinciding with the 78% Fibonacci retracement at 579.

The broader structure continues to support further upside,
with a likely move toward filling the 652–678 gap and potentially extending beyond.

The projection of the most recent pullback also aligns with the May 2021 closing level,
the same month in which the all-time high at 1650 was established.



#BCH #CryptoAnalysis #MarketStructure #BinanceSquare
Crypto AnalyZen
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$BCH Update

BCH reached the 78% retracement of the last swing up and the 50% level of yesterday’s range (large bullish candle).

Despite the recent pullback, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the overall picture can still be considered bullish as long as key levels hold.

Price reaction in this zone will define the next move.
#BCH #PriceActionAnalysis #MarketStructure #altcoins
$ZEC | Market Update $ZEC continues to trade between the 50% and 38% Fibonacci levels 50%–38% Fibonacci (300–748). For better orientation and confirmation of the potential execution of the previously published year-end Scenario 2, measurement boxes were added to the chart to measure the legs of recent pullbacks and assess a potential upside move. At this stage, price action remains fully measurable, again highlighting the 611–650 gap zone as a key area. Awaiting the CME session for additional market context. #ZEC #CryptoAnalysis #MarketStructure #BinanceSquare {spot}(ZECUSDT) {future}(ZECUSDT)
$ZEC | Market Update

$ZEC continues to trade between the 50% and 38% Fibonacci levels 50%–38% Fibonacci (300–748).

For better orientation and confirmation of the potential execution of the previously published year-end Scenario 2,
measurement boxes were added to the chart to measure the legs of recent pullbacks and assess a potential upside move.

At this stage, price action remains fully measurable,
again highlighting the 611–650 gap zone as a key area.

Awaiting the CME session for additional market context.

#ZEC #CryptoAnalysis #MarketStructure #BinanceSquare
$BTC & Macro | Market Context Update DXY continues to move higher in the European session, likely targeting the 98.18–98.22 gap formed on Monday the 22nd, with room for extension. On CME BTC, Friday’s close at 88,010 and the reaction around the 85–87 zone suggest that the current move down may not be complete. A re-entry or deeper move lower remains possible, with 80.23 as the next key level. This area aligns with: • 50% Fibonacci of 32,170–128,240 • Below the 81,900 mid-low (April 2025) • The November 2024 4H gap zone (83–80) #BTCUSDTAnalysis The 2025 opening level at 93,548 is very close and could be reached quickly based on today’s push-up attempt. Scenario: A move lower first is likely, opening the door for new long exposure at more favorable levels. {future}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(BTCUSDT) #BTC #DXY #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare
$BTC & Macro | Market Context Update

DXY continues to move higher in the European session, likely targeting the 98.18–98.22 gap formed on Monday the 22nd, with room for extension.

On CME BTC, Friday’s close at 88,010 and the reaction around the 85–87 zone suggest that the current move down may not be complete.
A re-entry or deeper move lower remains possible, with 80.23 as the next key level.
This area aligns with:
• 50% Fibonacci of 32,170–128,240
• Below the 81,900 mid-low (April 2025)
• The November 2024 4H gap zone (83–80)

#BTCUSDTAnalysis
The 2025 opening level at 93,548 is very close and could be reached quickly based on today’s push-up attempt.

Scenario:

A move lower first is likely, opening the door for new long exposure at more favorable levels.



#BTC #DXY #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare
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Бичи
$SOL | Brief Overview This year, Solana printed a new all-time high at 295.83, then declined below the 2023 close / 2024 open (101.72) and the 2025 low at 95.26. Over the past three months, the decline has stalled near the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the Dec 21 low – Jan 25 high move (weekly chart). This level aligns with the midpoint of the March–April 2025 order block zone. Possible scenario: If confirmed, price moves above 146, then advances toward the 50% Fibonacci level at 185.86 of the latest downswing. From there, price is expected to stall within the zone between the 2022 and 2025 opens, or move slightly higher toward the 38% Fibonacci level (201), forming a classical head and shoulders structure, followed by a reversal and a subsequent decline below the 2024 open. {future}(SOLUSDT) #sol #solana #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare #top20coins
$SOL | Brief Overview

This year, Solana printed a new all-time high at 295.83,
then declined below the 2023 close / 2024 open (101.72) and the 2025 low at 95.26.

Over the past three months, the decline has stalled near the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the Dec 21 low – Jan 25 high move (weekly chart).
This level aligns with the midpoint of the March–April 2025 order block zone.

Possible scenario:

If confirmed, price moves above 146,
then advances toward the 50% Fibonacci level at 185.86 of the latest downswing.

From there, price is expected to stall within the zone between the 2022 and 2025 opens,
or move slightly higher toward the 38% Fibonacci level (201),
forming a classical head and shoulders structure,
followed by a reversal and a subsequent decline below the 2024 open.


#sol #solana #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare #top20coins
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Бичи
Crypto AnalyZen
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Бичи
$ADA | Execution update

Trade opened based on prior analysis
Thesis intact.

#ADA #altcoins
$ZEC | Higher Time Frame View With the new year approaching, I’m focused on ZEC on the higher time frame. This year’s expansion looks complete — work done here. Scenario 1 (preferred) Price declines at least to the November open (403.61) and below, toward the old all-time high. In the new year, price trades within the December range, followed by another decline. Scenario 2 Price attempts to reach 50% of the November monthly candle’s tail, fills a lower-timeframe gap, and stalls in this area. The new year opens from this level, raising expectations and setting the stage for another decline. This is a rebalancing framework, not a signal. #zec #ZECUSDT #BinanceSquare {future}(ZECUSDT)
$ZEC | Higher Time Frame View

With the new year approaching, I’m focused on ZEC on the higher time frame.

This year’s expansion looks complete — work done here.

Scenario 1 (preferred)

Price declines at least to the November open (403.61) and below, toward the old all-time high.

In the new year, price trades within the December range, followed by another decline.

Scenario 2

Price attempts to reach 50% of the November monthly candle’s tail,
fills a lower-timeframe gap, and stalls in this area.

The new year opens from this level, raising expectations and setting the stage for another decline.

This is a rebalancing framework, not a signal.
#zec #ZECUSDT #BinanceSquare
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Бичи
$ADA | Execution update Trade opened based on prior analysis Thesis intact. #ADA #altcoins
$ADA | Execution update

Trade opened based on prior analysis
Thesis intact.

#ADA #altcoins
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Execution & risk management here 👉 http://t.me/CryptoAnalyZen
Execution & risk management here 👉 http://t.me/CryptoAnalyZen
Crypto AnalyZen
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Бичи
$ADA | Daily

ADA made a new low yesterday, entering the August–October 2024 accumulation zone.

The clear divergence vs Bitcoin suggests a potential sharp upside move once pressure eases.

Reminder:

2025 opening level: 0.8450

Risk:
A breakdown below the accumulation zone → 0.34–0.32

Upside targets:
• 0.49 → 0.62 Fibonacci (3-month decline)
• 0.53 → 50% Fibonacci + gap
• 0.64 → 24% Fibonacci + gap

Divergence is highlighted on the chart.

#ADA #Cardano #altcoins #BinanceSquare
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Бичи
$ADA | Daily ADA made a new low yesterday, entering the August–October 2024 accumulation zone. The clear divergence vs Bitcoin suggests a potential sharp upside move once pressure eases. Reminder: 2025 opening level: 0.8450 Risk: A breakdown below the accumulation zone → 0.34–0.32 Upside targets: • 0.49 → 0.62 Fibonacci (3-month decline) • 0.53 → 50% Fibonacci + gap • 0.64 → 24% Fibonacci + gap Divergence is highlighted on the chart. #ADA #Cardano #altcoins #BinanceSquare
$ADA | Daily

ADA made a new low yesterday, entering the August–October 2024 accumulation zone.

The clear divergence vs Bitcoin suggests a potential sharp upside move once pressure eases.

Reminder:

2025 opening level: 0.8450

Risk:
A breakdown below the accumulation zone → 0.34–0.32

Upside targets:
• 0.49 → 0.62 Fibonacci (3-month decline)
• 0.53 → 50% Fibonacci + gap
• 0.64 → 24% Fibonacci + gap

Divergence is highlighted on the chart.

#ADA #Cardano #altcoins #BinanceSquare
$BTC A sharp drop in open interest accompanied by high volume, alongside reduced spot exposure, suggests position unwinding rather than new short accumulation. #BTC #bitcoin
$BTC A sharp drop in open interest accompanied by high volume, alongside reduced spot exposure, suggests position unwinding rather than new short accumulation. #BTC #bitcoin
$BTC — Post-expiry & new futures context $BTC options have expired, and the market has entered a new price discovery phase. The put side was dominant into expiry, leading to a widely shared expectation that price should move higher now that options-related pressure is gone. However, positioning suggests the situation may be more nuanced. The new BTCUSDT Jun 26 futures contract opened at 89,503, which currently acts as a reference level for short-term balance. Early long positioning appears to be in place, while spot demand remains limited. In this environment, any downside move would not necessarily indicate a trend breakdown, but could more likely reflect liquidity-driven dynamics. Such a move would likely focus on: • resetting funding • cleaning positioning • rebuilding a healthier base for potential continuation > The key is not direction alone, but whether price accepts or rejects levels around the new contract’s opening range. #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #OptionsExpiry #MarketStructure {future}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC — Post-expiry & new futures context

$BTC options have expired, and the market has entered a new price discovery phase.

The put side was dominant into expiry, leading to a widely shared expectation that price should move higher now that options-related pressure is gone. However, positioning suggests the situation may be more nuanced.

The new BTCUSDT Jun 26 futures contract opened at 89,503, which currently acts as a reference level for short-term balance.

Early long positioning appears to be in place, while spot demand remains limited. In this environment, any downside move would not necessarily indicate a trend breakdown, but could more likely reflect liquidity-driven dynamics.

Such a move would likely focus on:

• resetting funding

• cleaning positioning

• rebuilding a healthier base for potential continuation

> The key is not direction alone, but whether price accepts or rejects levels around the new contract’s opening range.
#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #OptionsExpiry #MarketStructure

$BTC - Short-term structure & derivatives context Bitcoin price continues to move higher, but something important stands out: today we’ve seen a sharp drop in spot positions. At the same time, futures open interest is increasing, suggesting this move is likely being driven by new short positioning rather than fresh spot buying. Tomorrow is a key date — it’s the last trading day for the Dec 26 (6-month) futures contract, followed by rollover into the next one. On top of that, around $23B in Bitcoin options expire on Dec 26, representing roughly 50% of total options open interest — a clear volatility catalyst. 📍 On the options side, max pain for puts is around 92K — worth keeping in mind. With all these factors in play, direction remains unclear for now. In my view, waiting until after the expiry for a clearer picture makes the most sense. #BTC #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday
$BTC - Short-term structure & derivatives context

Bitcoin price continues to move higher, but something important stands out:

today we’ve seen a sharp drop in spot positions.

At the same time, futures open interest is increasing, suggesting this move is likely being driven by new short positioning rather than fresh spot buying.

Tomorrow is a key date — it’s the last trading day for the Dec 26 (6-month) futures contract, followed by rollover into the next one.

On top of that, around $23B in Bitcoin options expire on Dec 26, representing roughly 50% of total options open interest — a clear volatility catalyst.

📍 On the options side, max pain for puts is around 92K — worth keeping in mind.

With all these factors in play, direction remains unclear for now.
In my view, waiting until after the expiry for a clearer picture makes the most sense.

#BTC #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday
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Бичи
$BTC Update: BTC entered the 85.6–86.6 gap again, rebounding slightly before reaching the midpoint. Open interest has increased sharply since the 22nd while price fell, indicating potential new longs. The upside scenario still remains valid at this stage. #BTC #bitcoin
$BTC Update:

BTC entered the 85.6–86.6 gap again, rebounding slightly before reaching the midpoint.

Open interest has increased sharply since the 22nd while price fell, indicating potential new longs.

The upside scenario still remains valid at this stage.
#BTC #bitcoin
Crypto AnalyZen
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$BTC On Monday, price attempted a move above the previous week’s high but failed to enter the gap zone (90–92).

The pullback was accompanied by declining open interest, signaling the closure of short positions opened during the Asian and European sessions.

Currently, open interest is increasing while price trades at the upper boundary of the gap (85.6–86.7), formed during Trump’s speech last Thursday. This behavior supports a long-bias scenario.

Risk: Deeper move into the HTF order block (80–73, midpoint 77)

Upside levels: Gap (90–92) → 94 → Gap (95–101)
#BTC #pullback #bitcoin
{spot}(BTCUSDT)

Potential Scenarios:

• Bullish scenario:

If price holds above the key zone and market conditions remain supportive, continuation toward higher levels may be considered.

• Risk scenario:

Failure to hold the key zone may shift focus toward lower higher-timeframe levels.
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Бичи
$BTC update: Price has now visited the 85.6–86.6 gap zone as anticipated. A reversal formation is developing on the 15-minute timeframe. The upside scenario still remains valid at this stage. #BTC
$BTC update:

Price has now visited the 85.6–86.6 gap zone as anticipated.
A reversal formation is developing on the 15-minute timeframe.
The upside scenario still remains valid at this stage. #BTC
Crypto AnalyZen
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$BTC On Monday, price attempted a move above the previous week’s high but failed to enter the gap zone (90–92).

The pullback was accompanied by declining open interest, signaling the closure of short positions opened during the Asian and European sessions.

Currently, open interest is increasing while price trades at the upper boundary of the gap (85.6–86.7), formed during Trump’s speech last Thursday. This behavior supports a long-bias scenario.

Risk: Deeper move into the HTF order block (80–73, midpoint 77)

Upside levels: Gap (90–92) → 94 → Gap (95–101)
#BTC #pullback #bitcoin
{spot}(BTCUSDT)

Potential Scenarios:

• Bullish scenario:

If price holds above the key zone and market conditions remain supportive, continuation toward higher levels may be considered.

• Risk scenario:

Failure to hold the key zone may shift focus toward lower higher-timeframe levels.
$BTC On Monday, price attempted a move above the previous week’s high but failed to enter the gap zone (90–92). The pullback was accompanied by declining open interest, signaling the closure of short positions opened during the Asian and European sessions. Currently, open interest is increasing while price trades at the upper boundary of the gap (85.6–86.7), formed during Trump’s speech last Thursday. This behavior supports a long-bias scenario. Risk: Deeper move into the HTF order block (80–73, midpoint 77) Upside levels: Gap (90–92) → 94 → Gap (95–101) #BTC #pullback #bitcoin {spot}(BTCUSDT) Potential Scenarios: • Bullish scenario: If price holds above the key zone and market conditions remain supportive, continuation toward higher levels may be considered. • Risk scenario: Failure to hold the key zone may shift focus toward lower higher-timeframe levels.
$BTC On Monday, price attempted a move above the previous week’s high but failed to enter the gap zone (90–92).

The pullback was accompanied by declining open interest, signaling the closure of short positions opened during the Asian and European sessions.

Currently, open interest is increasing while price trades at the upper boundary of the gap (85.6–86.7), formed during Trump’s speech last Thursday. This behavior supports a long-bias scenario.

Risk: Deeper move into the HTF order block (80–73, midpoint 77)

Upside levels: Gap (90–92) → 94 → Gap (95–101)
#BTC #pullback #bitcoin

Potential Scenarios:

• Bullish scenario:

If price holds above the key zone and market conditions remain supportive, continuation toward higher levels may be considered.

• Risk scenario:

Failure to hold the key zone may shift focus toward lower higher-timeframe levels.
Weekly Close Update – Dec 21, 2025 ($ADA Example) This week, several altcoins printed new daily lows while $BTC held structure as of Thu, Dec 19. $ADA , in particular, shows relative weakness. Risk Zone: accumulation area from Aug–Nov 2024 (0.34-0.32) Upside Potential: all Fibonacci levels of last decline + gap above (0.74–0.80) Historically, weakness in selected altcoins can indicate late-stage selling rather than trend continuation. Observing BTC structure, open interest, and weekly close behavior is key. #BTC #ADA #DivergenceStrategy
Weekly Close Update – Dec 21, 2025 ($ADA Example) This week, several altcoins printed new daily lows while $BTC held structure as of Thu, Dec 19. $ADA , in particular, shows relative weakness.

Risk Zone: accumulation area from Aug–Nov 2024 (0.34-0.32)

Upside Potential: all Fibonacci levels of last decline + gap above (0.74–0.80)

Historically, weakness in selected altcoins can indicate late-stage selling rather than trend continuation. Observing BTC structure, open interest, and weekly close behavior is key.

#BTC #ADA #DivergenceStrategy
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Бичи
$BCH 4H The price moved into the gap zone between the 62–78% Fibonacci levels (585–572) and even slightly below its midpoint, as marked on the chart. With the final hours before the weekly close, the probability increases that the price may be delivered above the previous weekly opening level (598+). The decrease in open interest during the downside move can be interpreted as short position closures, rather than aggressive new selling. #BCH #altcoins #priceaction
$BCH 4H

The price moved into the gap zone between the 62–78% Fibonacci levels (585–572) and even slightly below its midpoint, as marked on the chart.

With the final hours before the weekly close, the probability increases that the price may be delivered above the previous weekly opening level (598+).

The decrease in open interest during the downside move can be interpreted as short position closures, rather than aggressive new selling.

#BCH #altcoins #priceaction
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