📉 $BTC Breaks the 4-Year Cycle — A First in 14 Years
For the first time in Bitcoin’s history, the post-halving year closed in red, breaking a pattern that held strong for over a decade.
🔁 How the Old Cycle Used to Work
Halving year → usually closed green
Post-halving year → historically stronger
Cycle top → followed by a deep bear market
❌ What Changed This Time?
2024 (Halving Year): Strong close ✅
2025 (Post-Halving Year): Closed red ❌
A 14-year pattern has officially been broken.
🧠 Is Bitcoin Weak?
No. Bitcoin has matured.
Earlier cycles were driven by:
Halving supply shocks
Retail speculation
Today Bitcoin reacts more to:
Global liquidity
Interest rates
Institutional flows
Macro & business cycles
⛏️ Halving Impact Is Smaller Now
2012: Supply cut by thousands of BTC/day
2024: Supply cut by only a few hundred BTC/day
Halving still matters — just less than before.
🔄 Final Take
The 4-year cycle isn’t dead — it’s evolving.
Bitcoin is shifting from a halving-driven asset
to a liquidity-driven macro asset.
