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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Hamza gummies:
👍
Me pondré serio con lo que estoy observando en vela semanal y diaria, para aquellos que me siguen y están en corto como yo… DE MANERA PERSONAL opino que la vela diaria de hoy debe de cerrar abajo de los 71,300 para que “en teoria” continue la caida…. Si cierra arriba de ese nivel existe una mayor probabilidad que vaya a terminar de liquidar hasta los 73600 -74,000.
Muchos comentan que puede subir a 79k-80k, de que puede subir, lo puede hacer, pero la probabilidad es baja, digamos que un 20% de 100%, pero puede pasar….
Yo siempre les recomendaba que tuvieran su liquidacion arriba de los 80,000 para prevenir una liquidacion, por tal motivo no suelo usar apalancamientos altos, para estar arriba de ese nivel e ir promediando la subida.
Esto es solo mi opinión personal y pienso que el techo ya fue, no habrá un nuevo máximo más alto (corto plazo), pero me puedo equivocar, no tengo bola de cristal, pero hay que estar preparados y mantener la calma.
Recuerden que las mayores liquidaciones hasta el momento, comienzan abajo de los 64500, no se compara a lo que queda por arriba… además en todos los bearmarkets que han existido la caida supera el 60% desde su punto maximo, en este caso todavia no hemos llegado a tener eso, pero va a llegar, yo me mantendre firme a que tiene que caer. #btc
Muchos comentan que puede subir a 79k-80k, de que puede subir, lo puede hacer, pero la probabilidad es baja, digamos que un 20% de 100%, pero puede pasar….
Yo siempre les recomendaba que tuvieran su liquidacion arriba de los 80,000 para prevenir una liquidacion, por tal motivo no suelo usar apalancamientos altos, para estar arriba de ese nivel e ir promediando la subida.
Esto es solo mi opinión personal y pienso que el techo ya fue, no habrá un nuevo máximo más alto (corto plazo), pero me puedo equivocar, no tengo bola de cristal, pero hay que estar preparados y mantener la calma.
Recuerden que las mayores liquidaciones hasta el momento, comienzan abajo de los 64500, no se compara a lo que queda por arriba… además en todos los bearmarkets que han existido la caida supera el 60% desde su punto maximo, en este caso todavia no hemos llegado a tener eso, pero va a llegar, yo me mantendre firme a que tiene que caer. #btc
Spencer Defeo CVvO:
reclamen
El miedo en el mercado subio a 46, esa es una buena señal para los que estamos en corto, la gente ya se está olvidando que estamos en bearmarket y cada vez hay más alcistas, eso me gusta porque la caida va a estar buena, el tamaño de las liquidaciones por la parte de abajo no se compara con la parte de arriba 👀 #btc
Yohan H:
Ahi se viene la caida y trae fuerza
大趋势仍然是熊市📉📉
而熊市中所有反弹空间都有限制
最后一波极致的插针 宣告反弹彻底结束
大饼短期仍然会跌到67000附近
而7万追高者会一直套在7万上方
拭目以待！ #美国伊朗同意停火两周 #加密市场反弹 #btc #ETH
而熊市中所有反弹空间都有限制
最后一波极致的插针 宣告反弹彻底结束
大饼短期仍然会跌到67000附近
而7万追高者会一直套在7万上方
拭目以待！ #美国伊朗同意停火两周 #加密市场反弹 #btc #ETH
A-爱牛牛:
什么时候能到 5 万🤦♂️
Hasta donde puede subir? Ya con tanta manipulación que hacen, no tengo idea….. pero iré promediando la subida, tiene que caer y lo va hacer, cuando la mayoria piense que ya no lo hará puuum al suelo jajajaaja asi funciona esto, mientras menos personas ganen mejor 😅…. Hasta que llegue a los 50K, me volvere alcista, mientras tanto sigo en corto… 🍀🤞🏻💯 #btc
Janice Jeavons BCeP:
non credo stia per finire, questo mese ne vedremo delle belle
🚨 BREAKING NEWS: Trump announces a 2-week ceasefire with Iran in exchange for reopening the Strait of Hormuz US President
Donald Trump has just announced a two-week ceasefire agreement with Iran, suspending US airstrikes on the condition that Tehran fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz a strategic shipping route carrying approximately 20% of the world's oil.
Bitcoin reacted immediately, surging sharply and recovering the $72,700 mark shortly after the announcement, demonstrating the sensitivity of the digital asset market to geopolitical shifts.
MThis is a surprising move that could ease rising tensions in the Middle East, but is it just a temporary respite or the beginning of a long-term agreement?
Global oil and stock markets will be watching closely in the coming days. #IranIsraelConflict $BTC #btc $BNB
Donald Trump has just announced a two-week ceasefire agreement with Iran, suspending US airstrikes on the condition that Tehran fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz a strategic shipping route carrying approximately 20% of the world's oil.
Bitcoin reacted immediately, surging sharply and recovering the $72,700 mark shortly after the announcement, demonstrating the sensitivity of the digital asset market to geopolitical shifts.
MThis is a surprising move that could ease rising tensions in the Middle East, but is it just a temporary respite or the beginning of a long-term agreement?
Global oil and stock markets will be watching closely in the coming days. #IranIsraelConflict $BTC #btc $BNB
Vũ - Square VN:
The market is certainly reacting quickly to this latest news.
🚨 Alerta de Noticias de Última Hora 🚨
Irán ha cerrado nuevamente el Estrecho de Ormuz tras lo que afirma ser una violación del alto el fuego por parte de Israel, según medios iraníes.
Esta medida podría tener serias consecuencias para el comercio global y los mercados energéticos, ya que el Estrecho de Ormuz es una de las rutas de tránsito de petróleo más críticas del mundo. Un gran porcentaje del suministro de petróleo global pasa a través de este estrecho todos los días.
📉 Impacto en el Mercado Entrante
Los precios del petróleo pueden aumentar debido a temores de suministro
Los mercados bursátiles globales podrían enfrentar volatilidad
Los mercados de criptomonedas pueden reaccionar con oscilaciones repentinas
🌍 Por Qué Esto Importa
Cualquier interrupción en el Estrecho de Ormuz crea pánico en los mercados energéticos y aumenta la tensión geopolítica en todo el Medio Oriente. Los inversores y comerciantes de todo el mundo están observando de cerca.
⚠️ La situación está desarrollándose rápidamente. Mantente alerta y gestiona tu riesgo sabiamente.$BTC $BTC
$ETH
#btc
Irán ha cerrado nuevamente el Estrecho de Ormuz tras lo que afirma ser una violación del alto el fuego por parte de Israel, según medios iraníes.
Esta medida podría tener serias consecuencias para el comercio global y los mercados energéticos, ya que el Estrecho de Ormuz es una de las rutas de tránsito de petróleo más críticas del mundo. Un gran porcentaje del suministro de petróleo global pasa a través de este estrecho todos los días.
📉 Impacto en el Mercado Entrante
Los precios del petróleo pueden aumentar debido a temores de suministro
Los mercados bursátiles globales podrían enfrentar volatilidad
Los mercados de criptomonedas pueden reaccionar con oscilaciones repentinas
🌍 Por Qué Esto Importa
Cualquier interrupción en el Estrecho de Ormuz crea pánico en los mercados energéticos y aumenta la tensión geopolítica en todo el Medio Oriente. Los inversores y comerciantes de todo el mundo están observando de cerca.
⚠️ La situación está desarrollándose rápidamente. Mantente alerta y gestiona tu riesgo sabiamente.$BTC $BTC
$ETH
#btc
damon05:
😱😨
💰 #比特币 多空关键清算结构已经摆在台面上。
📈 多头清算点：
70736
70211
69686
69161
68636（多头最后集中清算区间）
当前下方真正的防守带在 70200-71000。
一旦价格有效跌破这个区间，下面几层清算会逐级触发，尤其是 69600 下方，会进入多头最后的密集清算带，波动可能明显放大。
📉 空头清算点：
72386
72911-73436（空头最后清算区间）
上方如果重新站稳 72300 之上，空头将开始承压；
若行情推进至 72900-73400 区域，将进入空头最终清算区，容易形成快速拉升。
📊 订单流结构：
支撑位：70200-71000
压力位：74000附近
💬 主力动向：
72000附近观察到多头集中止盈离场，暂无明显新的大规模建仓迹象。整体更偏向筹码换手，而非趋势确认。
目前结构非常清晰：
下破触发多头连锁，上破触发空头回补。
真正的方向，可能不会在震荡中给答案，而是在触发清算之后才出现。
注意节奏！#加密市场反弹 $BTC #btc
📈 多头清算点：
70736
70211
69686
69161
68636（多头最后集中清算区间）
当前下方真正的防守带在 70200-71000。
一旦价格有效跌破这个区间，下面几层清算会逐级触发，尤其是 69600 下方，会进入多头最后的密集清算带，波动可能明显放大。
📉 空头清算点：
72386
72911-73436（空头最后清算区间）
上方如果重新站稳 72300 之上，空头将开始承压；
若行情推进至 72900-73400 区域，将进入空头最终清算区，容易形成快速拉升。
📊 订单流结构：
支撑位：70200-71000
压力位：74000附近
💬 主力动向：
72000附近观察到多头集中止盈离场，暂无明显新的大规模建仓迹象。整体更偏向筹码换手，而非趋势确认。
目前结构非常清晰：
下破触发多头连锁，上破触发空头回补。
真正的方向，可能不会在震荡中给答案，而是在触发清算之后才出现。
注意节奏！#加密市场反弹 $BTC #btc
🚨霍尔木兹海峡“炸裂”关闭！比特币瞬间人格分裂：风险垃圾还是石油救星？
伊朗一声令下，霍尔木兹海峡再度封锁！油轮被迫掉头，全球近20-30%石油运输瞬间卡死，油价狂飙，通胀预期直接爆表。美联储降息梦碎，市场从“6月动手”改口到“年底可能加息”。
高利率、强美元、流动性枯竭——比特币首当其冲！
短期：它彻底“黑化”
被当成高风险资产，和美股一起暴跌，波动拉满，恐慌情绪彻底主导。当前价约 70,900-71,200 USD，剧烈震荡中。
但剧情瞬间反转！
如果封锁长期化，比特币的“双重人格”彻底觉醒：
它不再是风险垃圾，而是数字黄金+抗审查神器！
伊朗已计划收取比特币/USDT作为油轮通行费（每桶约1美元，单船最高200万美元），能源贸易直接用加密货币结算，彻底绕过美元体系。这可能是比特币史上最硬核、最真实的采用案例！
最坏情况：全球拖入衰退，所有资产无差别被砸，比特币也难逃一劫。
当下生存铁律（3条必看）：
1. 狠降杠杆——这不是赚钱时刻，是保命时刻！
2. 死盯两个数字：原油价格 + 10年期美债收益率。
3. 保持耐心——这是一场对加密资产属性的终极压力测试。
活下来，你才能见证比特币究竟是“风险垃圾”，还是未来“石油货币”的王者！
风控第一，仅供参考，非投资建议。市场太疯，稳住！#btc
伊朗一声令下，霍尔木兹海峡再度封锁！油轮被迫掉头，全球近20-30%石油运输瞬间卡死，油价狂飙，通胀预期直接爆表。美联储降息梦碎，市场从“6月动手”改口到“年底可能加息”。
高利率、强美元、流动性枯竭——比特币首当其冲！
短期：它彻底“黑化”
被当成高风险资产，和美股一起暴跌，波动拉满，恐慌情绪彻底主导。当前价约 70,900-71,200 USD，剧烈震荡中。
但剧情瞬间反转！
如果封锁长期化，比特币的“双重人格”彻底觉醒：
它不再是风险垃圾，而是数字黄金+抗审查神器！
伊朗已计划收取比特币/USDT作为油轮通行费（每桶约1美元，单船最高200万美元），能源贸易直接用加密货币结算，彻底绕过美元体系。这可能是比特币史上最硬核、最真实的采用案例！
最坏情况：全球拖入衰退，所有资产无差别被砸，比特币也难逃一劫。
当下生存铁律（3条必看）：
1. 狠降杠杆——这不是赚钱时刻，是保命时刻！
2. 死盯两个数字：原油价格 + 10年期美债收益率。
3. 保持耐心——这是一场对加密资产属性的终极压力测试。
活下来，你才能见证比特币究竟是“风险垃圾”，还是未来“石油货币”的王者！
风控第一，仅供参考，非投资建议。市场太疯，稳住！#btc
$BTC : slightly bullish but weak momentum
Price is making a small higher low structure after the drop
Currently facing resistance around 71.5K–71.8K
If breakout → quick push toward 72.2K
If rejection → pullback likely to 71.0K–70.7K
Conclusion: Sideways → slight upward bias unless resistance rejects.#btc
Price is making a small higher low structure after the drop
Currently facing resistance around 71.5K–71.8K
If breakout → quick push toward 72.2K
If rejection → pullback likely to 71.0K–70.7K
Conclusion: Sideways → slight upward bias unless resistance rejects.#btc
Vũ - Square VN:
Thanks for sharing your perspective on the current price levels.
90% of traders are still trapped right now…‼️
They’ve been thinking for the last 2 years that a bull market is coming, while in reality, the bull market has already come and even finished.
Now my plan for $BTC is simple. I’m watching the $58k level before any big move happens.
So yes, I’d suggest you also stay out of this trap and make your plan according to the actual market structure.
#btc #trap #58k
They’ve been thinking for the last 2 years that a bull market is coming, while in reality, the bull market has already come and even finished.
Now my plan for $BTC is simple. I’m watching the $58k level before any big move happens.
So yes, I’d suggest you also stay out of this trap and make your plan according to the actual market structure.
#btc #trap #58k
$BTC listen.....listen.....🔉
🚀Bitcoin (BTC) remains the king of the crypto market and often sets the direction for all altcoins. Recently, BTC has shown strong volatility, which creates both risk and profit opportunities for traders.
📈 Market Insight
BTC is currently moving in a range with bullish momentum building
Strong support zone: $60,000 – $62,000
Resistance level: $68,000 – $70,000
If BTC breaks resistance, we could see a new rally
💰 Profit Prediction
Short-term: 5%–12% profit possible on breakout trades
Mid-term: BTC could reach $75K – $80K if bullish trend continues
Long-term: Many analysts still expect $100K+ in the next cycle
👉 Smart traders are focusing on buying dips and selling resistance zones
⚠️ Risk Factors
Market manipulation by whales 🐋
Global economic news impact
Sudden liquidations in leverage trading
🤔 Question for You
Are you buying Bitcoin now, or waiting for a dip before entering the market?
💬 Drop your strategy below!
$BTC
#btc #crypto #trading #MarketRebound #Binance
🚀Bitcoin (BTC) remains the king of the crypto market and often sets the direction for all altcoins. Recently, BTC has shown strong volatility, which creates both risk and profit opportunities for traders.
📈 Market Insight
BTC is currently moving in a range with bullish momentum building
Strong support zone: $60,000 – $62,000
Resistance level: $68,000 – $70,000
If BTC breaks resistance, we could see a new rally
💰 Profit Prediction
Short-term: 5%–12% profit possible on breakout trades
Mid-term: BTC could reach $75K – $80K if bullish trend continues
Long-term: Many analysts still expect $100K+ in the next cycle
👉 Smart traders are focusing on buying dips and selling resistance zones
⚠️ Risk Factors
Market manipulation by whales 🐋
Global economic news impact
Sudden liquidations in leverage trading
🤔 Question for You
Are you buying Bitcoin now, or waiting for a dip before entering the market?
💬 Drop your strategy below!
$BTC
#btc #crypto #trading #MarketRebound #Binance
🔻 $BTC REJECTION — SHORT THIS NOW! 🔻
The top is in (for now). That $72.4K rejection wasn’t random — it was a clear signal that sellers are stepping in hard. Momentum just flipped, and the downside move is warming up. 📉
⚡ QUICK PLAY
• Entry: $71K
• Target: $70K 🎯
• SL: $71.39K
💥 WHY THIS SHORT HITS
• Brutal Rejection = Smart Money Selling
• Structure Break = Momentum Shift
• $70K Magnet = Liquidity Below
If $70.8K snaps, this drops FAST. No hesitation.
🚨 Don’t chase — position smart and ride the flush.
$BTC looking weak… downside liquidity is calling.
#btc #TradingSignals #crypto #Binance #Write2Earn
The top is in (for now). That $72.4K rejection wasn’t random — it was a clear signal that sellers are stepping in hard. Momentum just flipped, and the downside move is warming up. 📉
⚡ QUICK PLAY
• Entry: $71K
• Target: $70K 🎯
• SL: $71.39K
💥 WHY THIS SHORT HITS
• Brutal Rejection = Smart Money Selling
• Structure Break = Momentum Shift
• $70K Magnet = Liquidity Below
If $70.8K snaps, this drops FAST. No hesitation.
🚨 Don’t chase — position smart and ride the flush.
$BTC looking weak… downside liquidity is calling.
#btc #TradingSignals #crypto #Binance #Write2Earn
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