cryptorecovery

De la începutul anului 2026, piața cripto s-a confruntat cu vânturi puternice. Catalizatorul principal este politica recentă a tarifelor din SUA, în special noile taxe impuse asupra principalilor parteneri comerciali din Uniunea Europeană. În timp ce Bitcoin s-a retras din visul său de 100.000 de dolari, investitorii experimentați privesc această volatilitate ca pe un "reset" strategic mai degrabă decât ca pe un declin permanent.
De ce este piața în scădere?

Sentiment de reducere a riscurilor: Amenințarea războaielor comerciale globale a determinat investitorii să-și mute capitalul în active "sigure", precum aurul și obligațiunile de trezorerie. Aceasta a cauzat o presiune temporară de vânzare pe $BTC și $ETH .

 Recent U.S. policy moves are creating a dramatic regulatory pivot from enforcement to guidance , which is broadly bullish for crypto sentiment but currently masked by macroeconomic headwinds and liquidity concerns . The market is pricing in regulatory clarity, but execution risk remains high.
Key Policy Developments (Feb 2026)
1. SEC Enforcement Division Wound Down → "Project Crypto" Launched
SEC's crypto enforcement division has been wound down and a crypto task force created(twitter.com) — marking a seismic shift from the Gary Gensler era. The SEC is now moving toward guidance and rulemaking rather than litigation-based regulation.
Impact: This removes existential regulatory risk for major platforms like Coinbase and Binance, whose cases were dropped. However, the market hasn't fully rallied on this because:
Institutional capital is still cautious (see ETF outflows below)Clarity still requires Congressional action
2. Crypto Market Structure Bill ("CLARITY Act") Near Passage
CFTC Chair Mike Selig told Fox News the crypto market structure bill is "about to" be signed into law(lookonchain.com) (Feb 17). SEC Chair Paul Atkins emphasized that permanent crypto policy requires legislation(chaincatcher.com) to prevent "future backsliding."
Impact: This is structurally bullish — it would:
Establish clear SEC/CFTC jurisdictional boundariesCreate safe harbors for crypto innovationPrevent future administrations from reversing policy
3. Innovation Exemption & Stablecoin Approvals
The SEC is advancing two key proposals:
Crypto asset classification guidance — clarifying which tokens are securitiesRegulatory framework for investment contract securities — enabling institutional RWA (Real World Assets) to scale
Stripe's stablecoin company Bridge received conditional approval for a national trust bank charter(chaincatcher.com), signaling institutional stablecoin infrastructure is now welcomed.
Sentiment Metrics: Extreme Fear
Fear & Greed Index: 12/100 — "Extreme Fear" territoryBull Market Peak Signals: 33.93% — Well below euphoria levelsAHR999 Index: 0.318 — Signals a buying opportunity (< 0.45 = undervalued)Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: "Fire Sale, Buy It!" — Long-term valuation suggests deep discountPrice Action: Consolidation Under Pressure
BTC: $67,722 (down from $70K+ last week)ETH: $1,998 (down from $2.1K)7-day trend: Sideways with downside bias; Iran tensions and macro uncertainty weighing
The problem: Crypto is a risk-on asset . Even with friendly regulation, it's being dragged down by:
Liquidity collapse — Smart money exited in Q3 2025; Bitcoin is now leading a broader macro bear marketGeopolitical tensions — Iran escalation is triggering risk-off rotationsMacro uncertainty — Fed policy, tariffs, and global growth concerns dominate headlines
Analyst Perspective: The Three-Phase Bear Market
Renowned analyst Willy Woo states Bitcoin is in Phase One of a three-phase bear market(chaincatcher.com):
Phase One (Current): Liquidity collapse → Bitcoin leads macro declinePhase Two (Imminent): Global stock markets turn bearish → All risk assets declinePhase Three: Liquidity improves → Final capitulation, then recovery
Implication: Regulatory clarity is necessary but not sufficient to reverse the bear market. The market needs macro stabilization (Fed pivot, geopolitical de-escalation) to re-engage.
What This Means for Your Strategy
Bullish Catalysts (Medium-Term)
✅ Regulatory clarity — CLARITY Act passage removes policy risk premium
✅ Institutional infrastructure — Stablecoin charters, ETF approvals accelerating
✅ Valuation — AHR999 at 0.318 suggests 50-100%+ upside if macro stabilizes
Bearish Risks (Near-Term)
❌ Liquidity drought — Smart money still exiting; ETF outflows persist
❌ Macro headwinds — Fed on hold, geopolitical tensions, weak consumer confidence
❌ Execution risk — CLARITY Act still needs final passage; policy can reverse

#BullMarketSetup #RegulatoryClarity #CryptoRecovery

$ZAMA a început să arate semne timpurii de recuperare după ce a testat suportul puternic de 0.0206. Aici cumpărătorii intră clar și momentumul începe să crească treptat. Dacă prețul oferă un impuls puternic peste 0.0220, putem vedea o mișcare clară pe partea pozitivă până la nivelurile de rezistență următoare.
📌 Setarea mea de tranzacționare pe $ZAMA
Zona de intrare: 0.0215 – 0.0220
TP1: 0.0235
TP2: 0.0245
TP3: 0.0255
Stop Loss: 0.0200
📊 Previziune pe termen scurt a pieței
Grafice aur 15m și 1h pe partea bullish graduală par să se schimbe. Dacă se formează maxime superioare peste 0.0220, continuarea ar putea fi confirmată.