In the crypto market, some questions go beyond price alone. Whether USTC can be re-pegged to one dollar is one of them. This question essentially brings two different languages face to face: mathematics and belief.

On one side, numbers, supply–demand balance, and economic realities; on the other, hope, expectations, and community psychology.

What Does It Mean to Be a Stablecoin?

The core promise of a stablecoin is clear: to maintain a stable value. This stability is usually supported by reserves, collateral, or reliable mechanisms. USTC, however, previously tried to maintain this peg through an algorithmic structure.

The collapse exposed how fragile this model was. Even though USTC is still traded today, it is no longer perceived as a stablecoin in the classical sense. It is evaluated more as a crypto asset burdened by its past.

What Does Mathematics Say?

For USTC to reach one dollar again, a price increase alone is not enough. The real issue is whether it can remain at that level sustainably. From a mathematical perspective, this would require a serious supply adjustment, strong demand, and a credible stabilization mechanism.

The problem is how difficult it is to meet all these conditions simultaneously and sustainably. The size of the supply, the loss of trust inherited from the past, and the ecosystem’s limited use cases all create question marks on the mathematical side.


Where Does the Belief Come From?

Despite this, the idea that “USTC can reach one dollar again” has not completely disappeared. The main reason is that belief has always played a powerful role in crypto markets.

Communities sometimes act before mathematics. Expectations, rumors, and scenarios can influence price movements. Short-term rallies can be seen as moments when this belief is reflected in prices.

However, belief often buys time—it does not create solutions.

The Trust Issue: The Hardest Part to Repair

When trust is lost in financial systems, restoring it requires far more than a technical update. The USTC case is no different.

For investors, the key question is no longer “does it work?” but “will it break again?” Until this doubt is removed, the one-dollar level remains only a target.

Is One Dollar a Target or a Symbol?

For USTC, the one-dollar level today is not just a price point but also a psychological threshold. It represents compensation for the past and a form of reputational redemption.

But symbols do not last unless they are supported by reality. Belief without mathematics quickly fades. Mathematics without belief, on the other hand, struggles to gain traction in the market.

Conclusion: Mathematics Wins, but Belief Buys Time

Reaching one dollar again is not theoretically impossible for USTC. However, achieving this in a sustainable and healthy way cannot be explained by price movements alone.

At its current stage, USTC stands as a vivid example of the tension between mathematics and belief. Which one will prevail depends not only on technical adjustments but also on trust that may—or may not—be rebuilt over time.

Perhaps the real question should be this:

Is it more important for $USTC to reach one dollar, or to build a structure that truly justifies being there?