#1000000Mog usdt Perpetual
Guidance
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📊 Market Analysis – 15m (1000000MOGUSDT)
Market Bias
Pullback within a Strong Bullish Trend
Price has made a sharp impulsive move upward
RSI(6) ≈ 80+ → clearly overbought
A rejection candle near resistance (0.3420 area) is visible
Supertrend (10,3) is still below price → trend is bullish
➡️ This suggests shorting is counter-trend and therefore risky if done aggressively. Shorts are suitable only for pullback/scalp, not trend reversal.
🔻 Is a Short Position Safe or Risky?
Status: Moderately Risky
❌ Risky for high leverage or large size
✅ Acceptable only for quick pullback trades with strict stop-loss
❌ Not safe to hold long-term short while Supertrend remains green
⚙️ Recommended Leverage (For Consistent Profit)
Best Choice: LOW Leverage (5x–10x)
Reason:
Market is still bullish
Overbought RSI can cool off, but price can still spike
Low leverage protects from wick stop-outs & liquidation
🚫 Avoid:
20x–50x → gambling in counter-trend
💰 Recommended Investment Size
5%–10% of total capital per trade
Example:
$1,000 capital → $50–$100 margin
This allows multiple attempts without emotional pressure
🎯 Trade Levels (Short Setup)
Ideal Short Entry Zone
0.3400 – 0.3430
Only valid after rejection / weak candle
Best entry: near previous high (0.3421)
Stop-Loss (Strict)
0.3460
Above recent high + liquidity sweep zone
No SL = account damage
Take-Profit Targets
Scalp TP
TP1: 0.3330
TP2: 0.3280
Swing / Deeper Pullback (only if momentum breaks)
TP3: 0.3220 (Supertrend zone)
📐 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Risk ≈ 1.5%
Reward ≈ 3%–6%
✅ R:R = 1:2 to 1:4 (Healthy & Sustainable)
📉 RSI & Supertrend Impact on Short Bias
RSI(6) Over 80
Indicates exhaustion
High probability of short-term pullback
❌ Does NOT confirm trend reversal alone
Supertrend Still Green
Confirms buyers still in control
Shorts should be quick & light
Trend reversal only if Supertrend flips red
🛡️ Liquidation Safety Advice
Use isolated margin
Keep liquidation 10%+ away from entry
Never average a losing short in a