altcoins!

トレーダーの皆さん、次のアルトシーズンは遅れている人を報いることはありません — 準備が整った人を報います。
スマートマネーは静かにAI、DePIN、ゲーム、低時価総額インフラのプレイに回転しています。モメンタムが戻れば、これらのセクターは歴史的に最も大きな倍率を提供します。
🔥 次の100倍波を推進するトップナラティブ
✅ AI + 暗号通貨の融合
✅ DePIN ＆ 分散型コンピューティング
✅ クロスチェーンインフラ
✅ ゲーム ＆ クリエイター経済
✅ 低時価総額ユーティリティトークン
#100xcoin #MarketRebound
🧠 AI ＆ COMPUTE PLAYS
🔹 人工超知能アライアンス ($FET )

USD1は月曜日の朝に約$0.99707に短期間で下落したとThe Blockのデータによると、これは通常、ステーブルコインのデペッグとは見なされません。
攻撃者は複数のWLFI共同創設者のアカウントをハッキングし、影響力のある人々にFUDを広めるよう依頼し、製造された混乱から利益を得るために大量の$WLFIショートを開きました」とトランプ支持の会社がXに投稿しました。「うまくいきませんでした。」
トランプ家の主要な暗号イニシアチブの一つであるWorld Liberty Financialは、月曜日の朝にUSD1ステーブルコインに対する「協調攻撃」の警告を発しました。ドルにペッグされたトークンは月曜日の朝に約$0.99707に短期間で下落したとThe Blockのデータが示しています。

The crypto market continues to evolve rapidly, driven by structural demand, real ecosystem usage, and macro-level liquidity shifts — not just headline price moves.

📈 1️⃣ Liquidity & Market Structure Still Driving Action
Across major exchanges, order book depth remains tighter than in relaxed markets, meaning prices react sharply to large trades. When liquidity thins, volatility increases — and this is exactly what we’ve been seeing. Exchange inflows/outflows are key fundamental signals:
• High inflows → selling pressure
• Sustained outflows → holders moving to cold storage
These movements show that long-term holders are not capitulating, even as short-term price swings occur.
🧠 2️⃣ Institutional Interest Is Evolving
Institutional capital isn’t abandoning crypto — it’s becoming more selective. Firms are focusing on real ecosystem revenue models, DeFi protocols with sustained TVL, and Layer-2 networks that actually reduce cost and friction. This shift in strategy signals moving beyond speculative volumes toward structural participation.
🔥 3️⃣ Altcoins With Real Traction
Several altcoins are attracting meaningful engagement and ecosystem growth — not just hype:
Solana (SOL) – High throughput, expanding DeFi + NFT ecosystems
Polygon (MATIC) – Leading Ethereum Layer-2 rollups
Arbitrum (ARB) & Optimism (OP) – Fast, low-fee scaling networks
Sui (SUI) & Aptos (APT) – Next-gen smart contract platforms
Chainlink (LINK) – Oracle backbone for DeFi data feeds
Toncoin (TON) – Messaging-linked real use cases
RNDR & INJ – Specialized utility and derivatives use
These projects are gaining traction because they solve real problems — not because of memes.
📊 4️⃣ DeFi Activity Remains Resilient
Total value locked (TVL) across decentralized finance remains notable even during pullbacks. This indicates that users aren’t just trading for quick moves — they’re building, staking, borrowing, and earning yield. Layer-2s and revenue-generating protocols provide fundamentals beyond price speculation.
⚖️ 5️⃣ Regulation Is Here — But Not Uniform
Regulatory progress is patchy. Some jurisdictions clarify crypto frameworks, while others tighten oversight. This contrasts creates short-term price noise. However, long-term clarity attracts institutional capital — a fundamental positive trend.
📌 Summary: Fundamentals Still Matter
The market may look choppy on charts, but beneath the surface you’re seeing: ✔ Accumulation by long-term holders
✔ Strong ecosystem growth in DeFi + Layer-2
✔ Institutional rotation into utility-driven assets
✔ Regulatory evolution shaping capital flows
This cycle isn’t about who shouted the loudest.
It’s about who is positioned for real adoption.
Stay informed. Stay strategic. This market rewards structure over noise. 🚀💡

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: No recovery in sight
A hawkish Fed, alongside rising US-Iran geopolitical tensions, adds pressure on BTC.
US-spot ETFs record an outflow of $403.90 million through Thursday, pointing to the fifth consecutive week of withdrawals.
Institutional outflows persist this week. According to SoSoValue data, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded an outflow of $403.90 million through Thursday. If this trend continues through Friday, it will be the fifth straight week of outflows. A similar trend was seen from mid-February to mid-March, where BTC crashed from $100,000 to roughly $80,000. If this trend continues, BTC could see further correction in the upcoming weeks.
Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery. The ongoing price action heightens the risk of a breakdown as institutional demand continues to weaken, pointing to a fifth consecutive week of withdrawals from spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). In addition, hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, alongside rising geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, are further pressuring the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.
The Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) January meeting showed on Wednesday that policymakers were deeply divided over the necessity and timing of further rate cuts amid concerns about inflation.
However, on the corporate front, Michael Saylor announced on X on Tuesday that Strategy (MSTR) purchased 2,486 BTC, following the purchase of 1,142 BTC in the previous week. Tuesday’s purchase brings the firm’s total holdings to 717,131 BTC, highlighting the firm’s continued aggressive accumulation strategy and long-term conviction in Bitcoin, despite ongoing market weakness, with an average purchase price of $76,027
The cautiously balanced stance, rather than dovish, continues to support the US Dollar (USD), with the US Dollar Index (DXY) trading near two-week high around 98.00 as of Friday. The less dovish FOMC Minutes dampened risk appetite, pressuring risky assets, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping toward the lower consolidating support at $65,700 before rebounding slightly on Friday.
In fact, several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials indicated that more rate cuts could be warranted if inflation declines as expected, while others cautioned that easing too early could compromise the central bank’s 2% inflation target.
Apart from a hawkish tilt by the US central bank, the US military is ready for possible strikes on Iran as soon as Saturday, CBS reported on Wednesday.
Geopolitical tensions put the lid on BTC
K33 Research’s report this week noted that sentiment remains highly defensive in the perpetual market. The chart below shows that the funding rate averaged -0.64% over the last seven days, marking the eleventh consecutive day of negative weekly funding rates. These negative levels mirror the duration of the negative funding rate cycle between April 28 and May 8 in 2025.
As funding remained muted, notional Open Interest (OI) continued to fall, dropping below 260,000 BTC for the first time since October 12 on Tuesday. These developments in the perpetual market signal that longs were steadily exiting during BTC’s slow consolidation, suggesting a low near-term risk of derivatives-driven squeezes.
Bitcoin Perpetuals: Funding Rates vs BTC Price (left) chart Bitcoin Perpetuals: Open Interest (right) chart
The analyst concluded that, “While sell pressure appears to be moderating, participation and capital flows remain weak, leverage is still being reduced, and risk may be underpriced in options markets. A durable recovery still depends on renewed spot demand capable of sustaining price beyond the recent rebound zone.”
The Bitcoin accumulation trend score (7-day Moving Average) chart below shows that during the first down leg in November 2025, the market absorbed heavy selling pressure aggressively, similar to the post-LUNA & FTX crash responses in May and November 2022, respectively.
Weaker accumulation seen at $60,000
However, in the second leg, the recent drop to $60,000 on February 6 saw accumulation weaker than the strong, aggressive dip-buying that followed the LUNA crash. This indicates that current buying interest lacks the urgency and intensity seen during past major capitulation events, which could reinforce the current defensive, range-bound market structure.
Bitcoin accumulation trend score (7-day Moving Average) chart Source: Glassnode
Reuters Breakingviews reported on Friday that growing concerns about Tether’s financial risk profile persist despite its continued dominance in the stablecoin market. While USDT has grown and remains highly profitable, the company still does not publish full, independent audits of its reserves, as it is based in El Salvador, which is hardly known for its tough financial regulation.
The report noted that Tether’s equity cushion is shrinking. It declined from $7.1 billion to around $6.3 billion between the end of 2024 and the end of 2025, even as the volume of USDT outstanding surged. As a percentage ofassets, equity was 3.3% on December 31 last year, down from 4.9% a year earlier and 5.6% at the end of 2023.
In other words, if Tether’s assets lose more than 3.3% of their value, it would no longer have sufficient reserves to redeem all the tokens at their dollar peg,” says Liam Proud.
At the same time, reserves are becoming riskier. Cash-like reserves, including repurchase agreements, bank deposits and US Treasury bills, were 76% of total assets in December 2025, compared with a recent historical range of around 80% to 85%.
The flipside is that riskier investments like Bitcoin, Gold and secured loans now make up 24% of the total, compared with around 15% to 20% previously. A simultaneous drop in Bitcoin and Gold, or losses on its $17 billion loan book, could pressure its capital buffer.
Although USDT remains stable and shows no immediate signs of strain, the report warns that any loss of confidence could have far-reaching consequences. As a core liquidity pillar of the crypto ecosystem, a disruption in USDT could destabilize trading markets. Even possible to imagine major exchanges like Binance helping to rescue it in a crisis, effectively making it too big to fail.
The report concluded that Tether remains resilient, but its growing size and thinner safety margin increase systemic risk if market conditions deteriorate.
Bitcoin weekly chart shows price action resembling that of the late-2021-2022 bear market. In 2021, BTC hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $69,000 in November and corrected 77.57% from the high to the 2022 bottom of around $15,476 in November 2022 in 378 days. Then consolidated for the next 112 days, before the start of another bull cycle in 2023.
In the 2025-2026 period, BTC reached a new ATH at $126,199 in October 2025 and has since corrected by 47% through the third week of February, as of writing on Friday, slipping below the 200-week Exponential Moving Average at $68,065.
If the current regime follows the 2021-2022 pattern, BTC could see further correction, reaching a low of $28,300 (77.51% from the 2025 ATH) on October 19, 2026. Then consolidate for the next 112 days before the start of another bull cycle (similarly seen in 2023 as discussed above).
On the daily chart, the Crypto King has been consolidating within a range between $65,729 and $71,746 since February 7. BTC started the week on a negative note, declined in the first half, and rebounded slightly on Thursday after retesting the lower consolidation boundary at $65,729. As of writing on Friday, BTC is trading at $67,200.
If BTC closes below the lower consolidation level at $65,729 on a daily basis, it could extend the decline toward the key support level at $60,000.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 36, below the neutral level of 50, suggesting bearish momentum. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on Sunday, which remains in place, suggesting that upside bias has not been invalidated yet.
If BTC continues to find support around the lower consolidation range at $65,729, it could extend the advance toward the upper consolidation range at $71,746.
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