Many people hold SHIB and similar meme coins with the hope that one day the price will reach 1 dollar and change their lives This dream sounds exciting but when we look at real numbers supply math and global economics it becomes clear why this scenario is almost impossible in reality
Let us start with SHIB supply SHIB was created with a total supply of 1 quadrillion tokens Out of this around 410 trillion tokens were burned early on and sent to a dead wallet Today the circulating supply is still roughly 589 trillion tokens This number alone explains most of the problem
Now let us do simple math Market cap is calculated as price multiplied by circulating supply
If SHIB reaches 1 dollar
589 trillion tokens × 1 dollar
= 589 trillion dollars market cap
This number is not just big it is unrealistic when compared to the real world economy
To understand how big 589 trillion dollars is let us compare it with global figures
Total world GDP which is the yearly income of all countries combined is around 100 trillion dollars
The entire global stock market including all companies is roughly 100 to 110 trillion dollars
The total global money supply including cash and bank money is estimated slightly above 100 trillion dollars
So for SHIB alone to reach 589 trillion dollars market cap it would need to be worth almost six times the entire global economy This means more money than exists in the world would need to flow into one meme coin which is not realistic
Some people say burning will fix this problem But burning at this scale is not simple or guaranteed
To make 1 dollar possible SHIB supply would need to drop from 589 trillion to something like 100 billion tokens
100 billion tokens × 1 dollar
= 100 billion dollars market cap
A 100 billion dollar market cap is possible in crypto but to reach this supply level more than 99.98 percent of all existing SHIB tokens would need to be burned
Another important point many people ignore is that burning is not fully in the control of the project
Burning depends on community participation
Holders must agree to burn their own tokens
Apps and utilities must generate fees to burn
There is no button the team can press to delete trillions of tokens overnight
This means large scale burning is slow uncertain and cannot be forced Even if burning continues for many years the reduction needed to support a 1 dollar price is extreme
Also price does not move on supply alone Demand matters A token needs massive real world use adoption and trust to justify high market caps Bitcoin reached over 1 trillion dollars because it has a fixed supply of 21 million and is seen as digital gold SHIB does not have scarcity like that
People are often confused because the price per token looks cheap A token priced at 0.00001 feels like it has more room to grow But price alone means nothing without supply A small price with huge supply can still be extremely expensive in market cap terms
This does not mean SHIB cannot grow It can still perform well during bull markets It can still give good returns But expecting 1 dollar ignores basic math and global financial limits
The truth is simple Crypto rewards understanding not hope When you look at supply market cap global money and burn mechanics the 1 dollar dream for massive supply meme coins becomes mathematically unrealistic
In crypto numbers do not lie even when hype does
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