btcdowntrend

📉 Stato attuale del mercato orso (Feb 2026)
Grandi cali nei prezzi e nel sentiment:
$BTC Il Bitcoin ha recentemente perso circa il 50% del suo valore rispetto al massimo storico (~$126.000 nell'ottobre 2025), con i prezzi scesi sotto $64.000 e brevemente vicino a $60.000 prima di un breve rimbalzo.
Gli analisti definiscono questa fase "capitolazione totale" poiché grandi detentori e istituzioni riducono le posizioni e le liquidazioni forzate aumentano.
Gli analisti di Galaxy hanno notato che il calo si avvicinava al 40%, suggerendo un potenziale per prezzi più bassi.

Bitcoin's Latest Rout: What's Behind the Decline?
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant turbulence, with Bitcoin and Ethereum facing their sixth consecutive month of losses. ETH has lost half its value since its all-time high in August, while Bitcoin continues to struggle amid mounting pressures.
Key Factors Driving the Decline:
According to Andrew O'Neill, analytical lead on Digital Assets at S&P Global, recent losses stem from the unwinding of leverage in the bitcoin perpetual futures market, combined with liquidity constraints driven by uncertainties over tariffs and Japanese interest rates.
Michael Burry's Stark Warning:
The legendary investor behind "The Big Short" has issued a dire prediction about Bitcoin's deepening bear market. In a recent Substack post, Burry argued that Bitcoin is emerging as a speculative trade rather than a serious asset for investors.
His analysis points to a potential $1 billion catastrophic sell-off in precious metals if Bitcoin continues declining. According to Burry, Bitcoin's recent drops triggered massive liquidations in tokenized silver and gold futures on crypto exchanges - assets traded using crypto as collateral but not backed by actual precious metals. This has sent traditional derivatives into a wider spiral.
Critical Price Levels & Institutional Risk:
Burry warns that Bitcoin breaking below $60,000 would create an "existential crisis" for Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate BTC holder with 713,502 Bitcoin. At $50,000, miners would face bankruptcy and be forced to sell their reserves.
With BTC already down 17.74% monthly, these warnings reinforce negative sentiment. Strategy currently faces over $900 million in unrealized losses, yet the company purchased an additional 855 BTC on Monday.
The Fundamental Issue:
According to Burry, there's no organic use case for Bitcoin to halt its descent. Unlike gold or silver, the cryptocurrency has failed to respond to traditional drivers like geopolitical risks. With nearly 200 public companies holding Bitcoin and BTC treasury firms insufficient to support prices, the pressure continues.
Bitcoin ETFs have recorded some of their largest single-day outflows since late November, with three occurring in January's final 10 days. Burry predicts that if prices keep falling, corporate risk managers will advise companies to sell their Bitcoin holdings.
Market Update:
Bitcoin has slipped 3.17% in the past 24 hours, extending a 14.44% weekly drop amid broader crypto market declines.
#Btcdecline #BTCETFS #DPWatch #BTCDowntrend $BNB $ETH $BTC

Quando ho letto le previsioni di fine anno di Cantor Fitzgerald, non l'ho vista come puramente ribassista - l'ho vista come contestuale.
Sì, la banca avverte che Bitcoin potrebbe essere diretto verso una fase di ribasso più lunga, con la possibilità di un 'inverno crypto' nel 2026. La loro opinione è che BTC potrebbe avvicinarsi a un picco ciclico e potrebbe rimanere sotto pressione nei mesi a venire, potenzialmente tornando anche nella zona dei $75,000, vicino al livello medio di pareggio della Strategia.
Ma ciò che mi ha colpito è quanto sia diverso questo ciclo rispetto ai passati cali.