Pi Network’s Pi Coin (PI) staged a modest rebound on Tuesday after sliding to a new all-time low of $0.150, marking the weakest price level since the token began trading on centralized exchanges. While the recovery offers short-term relief, broader indicators suggest that risks remain elevated.
The sharp decline has become a critical stress test for Pi Coin, as opposing forces continue to shape its near-term outlook. On one side, declining exchange reserves point to reduced immediate selling pressure. On the other, upcoming token unlocks and weak market participation remain potential headwinds.
Market-Wide Risk-Off Sentiment Pressures Pi Coin
The broader crypto market has recently been under pressure following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs targeting eight European Union countries, which triggered heightened volatility across global risk assets.
While safe-haven assets such as gold and silver rallied, equities and crypto-related instruments weakened. Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $95,000, and Ethereum (ETH) also recorded losses. Against this backdrop, Pi Coin did not escape the sell-off.
Market data shows PI briefly fell to $0.150 on OKX, printing a pronounced long lower wick on the daily chart. This price action suggests that sellers attempted to force a deeper decline but were met with strong buying interest at lower levels, resulting in a rejection of further downside.
Such behavior typically reflects heightened volatility rather than sustained bearish control, indicating that demand exists below the current price range, even if confidence remains fragile.
Exchange Data Signals Reduced Immediate Selling Pressure
Supporting this view, exchange balance data from Piscan indicates a decline in Pi Coin holdings on centralized platforms. As of January 20, exchanges collectively held approximately 420 million PI, valued at around $75.6 million.
This figure represents a reduction of nearly 7 million tokens since early January, suggesting that some investors may have bought the dip and moved their holdings off exchanges. At the time of writing, PI was trading near $0.189, posting a modest 1% gain over the past 24 hours.
While falling exchange reserves can reduce short-term selling pressure, this signal alone is not sufficient to confirm a trend reversal.
Low Volume and Token Unlocks Cloud the Outlook
Despite the rebound, Pi Coin’s recovery remains structurally weak. Weekly trading volume has dropped sharply, falling below $100 million, a dramatic 99% decline from the peak weekly volumes exceeding $10 billion recorded in March 2025.
Low trading volume often reflects limited investor participation, making price rebounds difficult to sustain. This lack of engagement is further confirmed by Google Trends data, which shows search interest for “Pi Network” remaining subdued, registering just 5 at press time.
Looking ahead, supply dynamics may introduce additional pressure. The Pi Network is scheduled to unlock more than 140 million tokens over the next 30 days, increasing the circulating supply.
Token unlocks often act as a short-term headwind, as newly available tokens can prompt holders to realize gains or rebalance positions. If demand does not rise proportionally, the increase in supply may weigh on price stability.
Cautious Balance Between Support and Risk
Taken together, Pi Coin’s recent price action reflects a market caught between dip-buying interest and structural challenges. While reduced exchange balances and downside rejection offer temporary support, weak volume and upcoming token unlocks suggest that volatility is likely to remain elevated.
Disclaimer:
This article is for informational purposes only and reflects personal analysis. It does not constitute investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research before making any financial decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any outcomes resulting from actions taken based on this content.
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