🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING HELD IN PLACE, BUT IT’S ABOUT TO BREAK
If you’re wondering why BTC feels stuck between $85k & $95k while everything else is going up…
I have the data right here.
And the magnetic pull holding us back expires in only 4 days.
Here’s what’s about to happen:
Bitcoin is currently caught in a massive options web.
Look at the chart below, the concentration for JANUARY 30 is nearly double anything else…
Market makers are currently in a "Long Gamma" position in this range.
– As price rips: They’re forced to sell to stay hedged.
– As price dips: They’re forced to buy to stay hedged.
It’s the reason why every pump gets immediately rejected and every dump gets bought up instantly.
It’s not weak buyers, it’s forced dealer activity.
The chart shows a massive MAJOR UNWIND on January 30.
As we approach this date, the "Price Pin" starts to vanish.
Once these options expire, the hedges are gone, and the mechanical selling that’s been suppressing our rallies DISAPPEARS.
We go from a pinned market to a released market.
When that much gamma leaves the system at once, the move is usually fast and violent…
🚨 BREAKING: THE GOVERNMENT WILL SHUT DOWN IN 6 DAYS?
The last time they shut down, gold and silver jumped to new all-time highs.
But if you’re holding other assets like stocks, you need to be extremely careful…
Because we’re heading into a total data blackout.
Here are the 4 specific threats:
– The Data: No CPI or jobs reports leaves the Fed and risk models unable to see what’s going on. Volatility (VIX) must reprice higher to account for the uncertainty.
– Collateral Shock: With previous credit warnings, a shutdown could trigger a downgrade. This would spike repo margins and destroy liquidity.
– Liquidity Freeze: The RRP buffer is dry. There's no safety net left. If dealers start hoarding cash, the funding markets seize up.
– Recession Trigger: The economy loses ~0.2% GDP per week of shutdown, potentially tipping a stalling economy into a technical recession.
In the last major funding stress (March 2020), the spread between SOFR and IORB blew out.
Watch the SOFR-IORB spread. If it starts gapping, it means the private market is starving for cash even while the Fed sits on a mountain of it. We saw this in 2020.
This sounds scary, but don’t worry I’ll keep you updated on everything.
$BTC