My view on BTCUSDT đ
I generally agree with the bearish bias in the shortâtoâmedium term, especially if price keeps respecting the bear flag structure.
đč Technicals
The impulsive sell-off + corrective channel does fit a textbook bear flag.
Volume during the recovery has been weak â suggests distribution, not accumulation.
As long as BTC stays below the flag resistance / key lower high, sellers clearly have the upper hand.
A clean breakdown from the flag usually targets:
the previous sell-off low
then deeper liquidity zones / HTF demand below that
Invalidation for this view would be:
A strong daily close above the flag with expansion in volume
Reclaiming a key HTF level (previous support turned resistance)
đč Fundamentals & Macro
Youâre spot on here:
Strong DXY + high US yields = risk-off pressure
Fed âhigher for longerâ narrative keeps speculative assets capped
Big money staying defensive is a headwind for upside continuation
Crypto usually struggles to trend higher when liquidity is tight, even if long-term structure remains bullish.
đ§ My balanced take
Short-term: Bearish / continuation lower more likely
Medium-term: Still a corrective phase within a larger cycle
Long-term: Iâd treat deeper drops as potential accumulation zones, not panic signals
In short:
âĄïž âSell the rallies below resistance, respect the trend, and donât front-run reversals.â
Curious to know:
Are you trading this short-term (scalp/swing) or viewing it from a position-trade perspective?
That changes the game a lot đđ
$BTC #BTC #crypto #CryptoDawar