🚨4-Year Cycle Simulation Highlights (Not Investment Advice)🚨 ⚡️Short-Term Volatility ▫️Q3-Q4 may retest strong support at $68K-$73K (Miner Cost + CME Gap) ▫️Weekly TD9 Sequence is about to be reached 🚀Main Uptrend Logic ✅Dual Cycle Resonance: Halving Effect (May 2024) + Federal Reserve Liquidity (Q4 2024) ✅Whale Cost Anchor: Institutions building positions at $65K-$70K / Mining Machine Iteration Cost at $58K ✅Policy Catalyst: U.S. Crypto Legislation may accelerate 🎯Target Trajectory ▫️Conservative Target for H1 2025 at $114K (1.618 Fibonacci Level) ▫️Trump Cycle Exceeding Expectations Scenario $160K+ (Benchmarking Gold 5% Market Value) ⚠️Risk Warning ▫️Monthly RSI > 90 will trigger epic overbought conditions ▫️Whale Position Concentration has reached levels seen on the eve of the 2021 Bull Market ▫️Black Swan Monitoring: U.S. Treasury Liquidity / Middle East Situation
The person involved in this kidnapping case, Lan Zhanfei, previously took the initiative to publicly reveal that his annual income is in the nine figures. Then, on Douyin, the commercial quote was 1.5 million for a single advertisement.
Such a publicly known individual was targeted by kidnappers six months in advance, then once he arrived in South Africa, he was organizedly tracked and ultimately kidnapped. It's really lucky that he was able to return safely afterwards.
Short-term support levels ($88,000 - $89,000): These support zones are shown as prominent yellow horizontal stripes in the heatmap, outlining the tense long positions and dense liquidation clusters during the midday crash, aimed at triggering short liquidations and forced buying walls to ignite potential upward movements.
Short-term resistance levels ($92,000 - $94,000): The ceiling layer glows with a dazzling yellow light, illuminating the significant short positions during the late rebound push; a decisive breakout could trigger a short squeeze frenzy, while a harsh rejection could spiral into a more intense long-term crash.
Overall: In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation volume reached approximately $117,000,000, highlighting moderate leverage fluctuations and presenting a "layered stripe" pattern, resonating with the sharp decline and partial rebound of the candlestick chart, indicating that the market is ready to explore these high-heat price funnels.
Good assets should have 4 conditions: ① Can create a monopoly: create scarcity; ② Must be a necessity: cannot do without; ③ Can create debt: consumer leverage; ④ Can be monetized in the secondary market: producer leverage.
The previous houses met these criteria: land monopoly, mother-in-law economy, 30-year mortgage, and being listed.
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US stock 180 million users A shares 240 million users Binance 300 million users What you think is a secondary blue ocean may be more competitive than A shares First-level predictive applications are the real blue ocean
The top-level meeting meets expectations: 1. No longer mentioning real estate, following the market, preventing risks and providing support. 2. Domestic demand is the priority, improving people's livelihoods, and finally, the higher-ups understand the difficulties on the demand side! 3. Technology ranks second, aligning with the 14th Five-Year Plan direction. The stock market this year has been centered around technology; besides technology, what else can we look at?
The day after tomorrow is very likely to be the economic meeting, determining specific figures and execution guidelines, verifying whether it is 5% already.
I didn't even realize the inflation of $SOL was like this 😂
However, if we factor in the SOL Staking yield and make an adjustment, it might be a bit better; the numbers are based on my memory.
So, at the peak in 2021, you invested 247 dollars to buy 1 SOL, and started compounding Staking immediately, now it’s about 1.25 SOL, worth 138*1.25=172 dollars, even though Solana's market value (77 billion dollars) hasn't changed.
However, SOL is still relatively good; many tokens didn't even give Staking opportunities and are even further from their peak market values back then.