诗羽Crystal

The pancake looked bearish from "125000-100000" with a drop of 25000 points!
Below is the entire process of the publicly released strategy, and the actual trading also went short from 125000 to 100000.

During this period, there were also long positions taken, and each transition between long and short was smooth, but the overall direction was never wrong. There were multiple reminders that the interest rate cuts would turn beneficial but ended up being bearish instead. Isn't it delightful to short at high points? One must think ahead of the average person to make money in this market. $BTC $ETH #美国ADP数据超预期

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The pancake 91000 is many, already 1000 points, the concubine 3075 is many, already 43 points～$BTC $ETH

12.5 Bitcoin Aunt Trend Analysis

In this round, we opened long positions at 81000 and perfectly closed them at 94000. Currently, the main funds are insufficient, and we need to pull back to gather strength. We are entering a short-term pullback cycle. If you missed this wave, it's okay; the next pullback is underway, and there are opportunities to go long within it!

The daily K-line reached a high of 94040, short-term support is at 91200, resistance is at 94200. MACD is expanding upwards, DIF and DEA are spreading upwards below the 0 axis. The K-line is consolidating in the upper channel of the Bollinger Bands. We are focusing on the 90000 mark for the middle track and 96150 for the upper track. The dual-line resistance is very strong; it will take time to break through, and for now, we will continue to consolidate.

The four-hour K-line shows even clearer performance, with signs of drawing a door. It has already drawn a door once. As long as the 90000 mark does not break, the market remains bullish. MACD volume is decreasing, and both DIF and DEA are contracting, indicating that the short-term pullback demand is normal. The middle track of the Bollinger Bands is at 90650, and the lower track is at 84500. The strategy is to focus on low longs.

Operation Suggestions
Long in the Bitcoin range of 90500-91000, target 92000-93000
Auntie: Long in the range of 3050-3100, target 3200-3300 $BTC 5$ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐

The short-term trend for BTC is still bullish, and BTC may quickly surge to 95000-96000.

Last night, it dipped to 91600, then oscillated back and forth, ultimately reaching 94000 this morning. During the day, BTC attempted to break through the resistance at 94000 three times but couldn't hold it. The upper resistance has significantly increased. However, the good news is that after hitting 94000, BTC did not quickly drop but has been steadily increasing its bottom, from the spike at 91600 yesterday, to 92600, and then to just now at 92700. This indicates that the selling pressure above is gradually being consumed. Once the selling pressure is sufficiently diminished, it is highly likely to surge directly, and this rising bottom is a bullish signal. This means that if BTC does not fall below the spike position of 91600, it is very likely to short-term challenge the 95000-96000 level.

Recently, a friendly reminder: everyone should avoid shorting, especially near 97000, as the market remains bullish throughout the day, and there is limited space for shorting. After a pullback, going long remains the main trend. Since 91600 was not broken yesterday, I believe it's unlikely to fall below 91600 again. After some consolidation, it should break upward. $BTC $ETH #币安区块链周 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

After the interest rate cut in December, the next pause window for interest rate cuts will last until February next year. During this time, the overall direction of the market is basically bearish. It is highly likely that there will be a rebound around the time of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December, followed by another drop. Currently, there is one key variable: if Japan really raises interest rates, that would be the killer for this round of global risk assets. If it happens, the period from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December to January will indeed be very difficult.
Looking back at the market
The current weekly support for $BTC is still around 74000, and this area will eventually be tested repeatedly. The daily chart itself is a volatile market. To be honest, if I were the major player, I wouldn't accumulate in the 80000-90000 range because retail investors are not desperate enough in this range.
From a short-term perspective
BTC: First look at around 80000; if it breaks, watch for around 75000.
ETH: 2723 can be used for a short-term long position, but it might drop to 2688; basically, this is the range, but it can only be used for a short-term long position.
If you really want to catch the bottom, a slightly reliable level for ETH is around 2620, with a stop at 2500. However, if 2500 breaks, you have to look directly at 2112.
This is the current market situation: if you haven't opened a short position at a high, it's better to wait until it breaks the key support level before shorting, because after all, there's still the positive factor of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December, and the market can rebound and explode at any time.

This week, international gold rose from $4040/ounce to $4226/ounce, closing at $4219/ounce.

The continued rise in gold prices this week is due to the market 'betting' that the Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in December this year. Moreover, demand for gold in China surged as the inventory at the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) fell to its lowest level in a decade.
In fact, the slowdown in private sector job growth in the U.S., combined with limited data released by the government, indicates weak economic activity and low inflation. This will continue to drive market expectations for a Fed rate cut.

Next week, the market will see several important data releases. On Monday, attention will be on the November ISM Manufacturing PMI, followed by the ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the October ADP private sector employment data. With no NFP data available, this data will be more closely watched than usual. On Thursday, the U.S. will release weekly initial jobless claims, core PCE, and the preliminary December consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan.

From a 4-hour perspective, gold prices have broken through the downward trend line and are moving towards the next resistance area around 4245. If this level is breached, gold prices may further test the 4370-4380 area; if unable to break through the 4245 resistance, gold prices may fluctuate within the 4045-4245 range.

Therefore, both long and short positions can be considered before breaking the range.

Short position: Enter in the 4276-4274 range, stop loss at 4280.

Long position: Enter in the 4178-4180 range, stop loss at 4174$BTC $ETH #加密市场回调 .

Sol, last night we provided a strategy to short around 140, perfectly executed, accurate prediction!

The short at the 140 level is currently at 126, with a 14-point space! $SOL

This morning's drop was due to market speculation that the Bank of Japan would suddenly raise interest rates, as Governor Ueda spoke and expressed his intention to adopt a more hawkish stance.

Currently, prediction platforms believe that the probability of raising interest rates outweighs that of not raising them. Whether it's Bitcoin, the Nikkei 225, or the Korea Composite Stock Price Index, they all had a poor performance today in the Asian market.

Japan's low interest rates have always represented cheap funds in Asia.
These funds are then borrowed to the market for arbitrage, and raising interest rates will increase the cost of capital. $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析

The pancake shorted at 91700 last night, exited at 87000, woke up to 4700 points! The first order of December, first victory! $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

Performance Summary Part 2!

Talk about the bulk commodity precious metals market
Gold has currently stalled a bit, and the surge in silver this week further proves that gold is at its peak, a truth understood by those who know. Although gold needs to adjust in the long term, it doesn't mean that gold can't reach new highs; it is technically possible for gold to hit new highs next, but it won't rise too much.
Currently, the precious metals market is like the major altcoin season at the peak of the crypto market in 2017, when BTC peaked and ETH, LTC, etc., continued to surge. So it is unlikely that only silver will skyrocket; other metals like copper are also very likely to follow suit. For example, buying copper stocks or going long on copper for a while depends heavily on skill. For instance, directly buying Western Mining with a stop-loss at 21.8; if there's no stop-loss, hold for a month. If someone is very eager to participate, make sure to control the position well.

Grasping the trend means taking action, and the layout is yielding stable profits from the aunt's SOL long positions! $BTC $ETH $SOL

Liquidity is expected to rise in the future, which aligns with the Federal Reserve's upcoming actions!

However, the dog traders insist on following historical patterns to create a bear market; there's nothing that can be done since they control the market, right? Let's respect the bear market cycle! $BTC $ETH

Sol, suggests short around 140, target down to 120. $SOL

11.30 Bitcoin Aunt's Evening Trend Analysis

On the daily level, the MACD is expanding upward, and the K-line shows divergence from the two major indicators at the bottom. The K-line has formed a significant resistance point at 92600 within the Bollinger Bands, with strong pressure above. It is normal for the main force to not break through at once and to pull back to accumulate strength before making another attempt, so the idea of holding a low long position can continue.

On the four-hour level, a new range is formed around the 90,000 mark, with 90,000 as the bottom and 93,000 as the resistance point. The trend node at 94,200 can be a key focus. The MACD has been continuously contracting downwards, and the K-line is consolidating at 90,000. This kind of compressed market is likely to lead to a contraction of the Bollinger Bands, with the upper band already at 92800 and the lower band moving up to 88776. The short-term upward channel is effective, and long positions can be taken at key support levels.

Operational Suggestions
Bitcoin: Long in the range of 90000-91000, with a target of 92000-93000
Aunt: Long in the range of 2960-2980, with a target of 3050-3100$BTC $ETH

This week started from Monday and set a bullish tone overall, with not much change in between. The daily chart has been steadily moving upwards, and the weekly chart is likely to close with a nice bullish candle. After a big rise and fall, a consolidation is needed; this is not the kind of market where one should rush in aggressively, so those who haven’t entered at lower levels should not blindly chase.
In the short term, the 4-hour level is nearing overbought territory, and pushing further up will be a bit difficult, so the strategy is to wait for a surge, then look for a top signal. The key level to watch is still 93400.
—— If it can't push up next week, the market may pull back a bit, waiting for interest rate cuts to continue the rally, then follow the correction trend.
—— If it breaks above, then 93400 will become a new support level, and the market can continue to rise further.
Overall, the direction is still optimistic, but the short term has already squeezed into the pressure zone, so don’t chase too much; just wait for the market to give the next action.

The US stock market's Nasdaq has seen a new high since October 29
In the following 20 trading days
There were 13 trading days with fluctuations exceeding 2%
During the rise in May
Up until December 29 when it reached a peak
The number of times with fluctuations exceeding 2% was very limited
It has a bit of the flavor from January to March this year
At that time due to Trump’s tariff barriers
Now due to issues around the interest rate cuts in December
And the risk of bubbles in AI technology stocks
In conclusion, utilizing significant price fluctuations
Successfully washes out positions to complete the debt-reduction challenge
Debt reduction occurred once at the beginning of the year, and once at the end of the year
Trump presents the most perfect answer this year
Of course, the dividend period for the US stock market has not ended
There will definitely be another wave of major rises
The cryptocurrency market will ride on the coattails of the US stock market
As for the mid-term elections next year
Trump will surely be firmly seated at the fishing platform #加密市场观察

The cryptocurrency market is transitioning from a four-year bull-bear cycle to a stock market-like structure.
Bitcoin's five bull market cycles and their gains:
1. First bull market cycle (October 5, 2009 - June 8, 2011) gain: 41,771 times, duration: 611 days.
2. Second bull market cycle (November 18, 2011 - November 29, 2013) gain: 621 times, duration: 742 days.
3. Third bull market cycle (January 14, 2015 - December 17, 2017) gain: 130.5 times, duration: 1068 days.
4. Fourth bull market cycle (December 15, 2018 - November 10, 2021) gain: 22.1 times, duration: 1089 days.
5. Fifth bull market cycle (November 7, 2022 - October 7, 2025) gain: 8.1 times, duration: 1125 days.
As Bitcoin assets and investors continue to mature, the peak price of Bitcoin keeps rising, and thus the gains of each bull market cycle are getting smaller, while the losses of each bear market cycle are also decreasing. The duration of bull markets is also getting longer, with bear market durations starting from the second cycle being basically over 1 year.
And the Bitcoin halving schedule:
The first Bitcoin halving occurred on November 28, 2012, reducing the mining reward from 50 Bitcoins per block to 25.
The second Bitcoin halving occurred on July 9, 2016, further reducing the block reward to 12.5.
The third Bitcoin halving occurred on May 11, 2020, reducing the reward to 6.25 per block.
The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred on April 20, 2024, reducing the reward to 3.125 per block.
As of today, Bitcoin has undergone four halvings, referred to in the industry as the halving cycle. In the past, almost every time before and after a Bitcoin halving, the price of Bitcoin would surge dramatically.
We can see that the impact of halving on Bitcoin is becoming smaller, and the four-year bull-bear cycle in the crypto space can still be used for this round, but it won't be so accurate for the next round. The cryptocurrency market is transitioning towards a stock market-like structure. $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹

Recent achievements of some students in live trading! $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析