Bitcoin is pricing in a recession that may not happen
The researcher believes that #البتكوين today "reflects the most pessimistic forecasts for global growth since 2022," a period characterized by a sharp tightening of U.S. monetary policy and the collapse of several major institutions such as the 'FTX' platform #العملات #الرقمية .
He added that "Bitcoin is essentially pricing in a recessionary growth environment," explaining that the digital currency has already absorbed most of the negative news expected for late 2025 and early 2026.
This view contrasts with statements from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott P. Sente, who said on Sunday that the United States is not on track to enter a recession next year.
However, Bitcoin's performance has remained weak. After reaching a new record high of $125,100 on October 5, prices plummeted sharply following a liquidation wave of $19 billion on October 10. Sentiment deteriorated further after President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, leading to a wave of risk aversion in global markets.
With Bitcoin falling below $100,000 on November 13 and briefly touching $90,000 on November 20, bullish confidence has declined, but not completely disappeared. Bitcoin has since returned to exceed the $90,000 level within days and has maintained it since then $BTC
📊📈From a sharp decline to the possibility of a strong recovery… Does #البتكوين rewrite the scenario #الاقتصادي ?
The digital asset markets are experiencing a highly sensitive phase, where global economic fears intersect with expectations of a return to momentum in high-risk assets. Amid this disparity between
pessimistic sentiment and the more positive economic indicators, Bitcoin emerges as an asset undergoing a broad reassessment that could change its trajectory in the coming period, especially in light of analyses suggesting that current prices do not accurately reflect the forthcoming economic environment.
Thus, Bitcoin may be on the verge of entering one of the strongest macroeconomic environments in years, while its current price remains significantly lower than what the expected economic landscape suggests for the future, according to
researcher Andrei Dragosh at Bit Wise Digital Asset Management. The researcher believes that current conditions recall the highly extreme yet rewarding environment that followed the collapse resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. $BTC
It seems that Bitcoin ($BTC ) is acting as though a recession is imminent — even if macroeconomic data suggests otherwise. Andre Dragosh, head of research #الأوروبي at Bitwise Asset Management, clarified in a post on platform X on Friday that Bitcoin is currently pricing in the most pessimistic outlook for global growth since the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle in 2022 and the collapse of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
Dragosh relied on aggregate survey data from sources like Sentix and ISM and Philly Fed, producing a chart that compares global growth expectations with the aggregate signals embedded in the price of Bitcoin. The chart shows a sharp divergence: the black line representing implicit growth expectations for Bitcoin has fallen below one standard deviation under zero, a much more pessimistic level than the #الاقتصاد aggregate survey-based index, which remains close to neutral territory. According to Dragosh, this setup resembles previous decoupling instances like March 2020 and November 2022, before Bitcoin recorded significant increases.
XRP price predictions indicate a level of $2.22 as a turning point
The trading of Ripple (#Ripple ) has stabilized in the last 24 hours with a slight increase to 2.22$XRP amid buyers attempting to regain control after a week of stability within a narrow range. XRP is one of the most closely monitored cryptocurrencies, with a market capitalization of $133.7 billion and daily trading volumes exceeding $3.5 billion.
Currently, the question remains whether speculators can push for a weekly close above $2.22, as this would provide a crucial signal for a shift in momentum towards continued upward movement.$XRP
Ethereum price predictions amid attempts to defend the support level of $3,000?
The price of Ethereum (#Ethereum ) continues to try to cling to the pivotal $3,000 level while attracting additional buyers around it despite the recent decline, with the current price drop over the last 24 hours being about 1.35% at $2,997.90 and a market cap reaching $361.8 billion. Although the currency continues to face pressure, the ongoing defense by buyers of this area suggests the price is preparing for a decisive breakout.
With the overall mood improving, traders are asking the same question: Does the price movement of Ethereum quietly establish a strong launch pad to reach $5,000?
Technical analysis of Ethereum's price movements indicates it is still stuck within a descending channel.
A review of the daily chart of Ethereum's price movements shows it continues to move within a descending channel that has limited any rebound since mid-October. The failure to break the $3,108 level, which is stable below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA-20), confirms the strength of the resistance barrier in the foreseeable future. $ETH