Brothers $BTC have bounced back, not far from 100,000
比特道涨
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This is the last wave of decline. After this wave of decline, it will quickly rebound. Bitcoin will return to over 100,000 US dollars again. Hold on a little longer, and when it returns to above 100,000 dollars, everyone should be more careful. It may really be time to step back and observe.
What does this mean? A three-week reversal! Goldman Sachs' Fear Index confirms the Federal Reserve's 'policy reins'
Goldman Sachs' Fear Index has dropped from a near historical high to a low within three weeks, a shocking contrast!
This is by no means a spontaneous market adjustment, but rather the Federal Reserve's monetary policy 'instant steering'—the policy direction directly reverses sentiment, rather than being driven by fundamentals.
The true leader is never market sentiment, but the Federal Reserve, whose policy reins are precisely guiding the direction of the risk market. $BTC
Provided 6 reasons why the bull market will come in 2026 1️⃣ The market cycle may extend until 2026 2️⃣ The cost basis of ETFs provides strong support 3️⃣ Signs of complete capitulation from short-term holders 4️⃣ The stablecoin market is in a "super cycle" 5️⃣ Stablecoins and institutional (ETF) inflows — liquidity supports future rises 6️⃣ The macroeconomic & monetary policy environment may turn to easing
Unique Perspective on the Federal Reserve's Decision: Rate Cuts Amid Divergence, Difficult to See One-Sided Market in the Cryptocurrency Circle
Wednesday 3:00 FOMC Decision, 3:30 Powell Press Conference, the core focus is on "Cautious Rate Cuts Amid Divergence".
The market bets on a 25 basis point rate cut, but the Federal Reserve is torn between hawkish and dovish stances, with data gaps intensifying the game. Powell is likely to adopt a "hawkish rate cut" approach, both releasing easing measures and setting subsequent thresholds, leading the cryptocurrency circle to possibly see a "buy the expectation, sell the fact" scenario, with volatility being more certain than one-sided rises and falls.
Michael Saylor talks about selling $BTC bitcoins: comparing equity and BTC value!
On December 3rd at the Binance Blockchain Week, Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor clarified the selling logic: when the equity price is higher than the value of each bitcoin, selling equity creates shareholder value; if the equity price is lower than the value of each BTC, he chooses to sell bitcoin derivatives or directly sell bitcoins.
The domestic crackdown on cryptocurrency in 13 sectors has a significant impact, directly triggering account bans for deposits and withdrawals, with some automatic unbans. Bank cards need to be processed at offline counters, and ordinary users are clearly affected. Retail investors are reluctant to enter against the wind, and many U merchants are gradually withdrawing. Now both institutions and retail investors are exiting, with funds continuously flowing out, which is a typical characteristic of a bear market.
BlackRock IBIT has seen record outflows for six consecutive weeks, but it’s too early to be pessimistic!
Bloomberg data shows that BlackRock IBIT has experienced a net outflow of 30,000 coins $BTC for six consecutive weeks, setting a historical record for outflows, leading many to feel pessimistic about BTC.
However, it currently holds 776,000 coins, a slight decrease from the peak of 806,000 coins, and ETF investors are mostly long-term holders, so short-term outflows do not change the long-term landscape, making it too early to be pessimistic!
The Road to Financial Freedom Revolution: Sun Yuchen rejects "stability" and embraces uncertainty!
Sun Yuchen bluntly refuses "stable work"—the truth about financial freedom is not about seeking stability, but actively embracing uncertainty!
Most people are trapped in comfort and miss opportunities, while the real key to wealth lies in daring to venture into the unknown. Refusing a life that is predictable is the first step towards financial freedom!
If the market doesn't pick up, will Sun arrange a job for everyone?
$BTC Secondary trading is never as simple as 'just a few clicks on the buy and sell buttons'! Other tracks may not require deep thinking, but here it takes countless thoughts and practices to establish a foundational logic and dynamic thinking (looking at the structure rather than guessing rises and falls).
As a side note: I have found that excellent traders often share a common trait - they remain single. Life's trivial matters consume the most energy and are precisely the biggest killers of deep thinking.
👉 Hahaha, do you want to make money or fall in love? 😍
$BTC In the past two months, the core driver of the decline: ETF outflows hit a record high! The recent outflow amount of Bitcoin ETFs reached a historic peak, with net withdrawals exceeding 3.5 billion U.S. dollars in November alone, far exceeding inflows. A large number of retail investors followed suit and fled at the peak, combined with institutional capital withdrawal, directly exacerbating market selling pressure, becoming one of the main reasons for the decline. The outflow of funds and the price drop form a negative feedback loop; don’t blindly follow the crowd to cut losses, preserving the principal is more crucial than betting on a rebound!
Maji Fuying completely released, Maji No. 2 isn't doing much better 😂 17 hours ago, Maji No. 2 closed a long position with $ETH , earning 1.285 million, which is a significant drop compared to the peak of 5.3 million. After pocketing the gains, it opened long positions twice during the decline, losing nearly 230 thousand, ultimately accumulating 1.055 million from three long positions. The lesson of shrinking profits: don't take all profits at once, following the trend and bottom fishing will surely incur losses, taking profits is the real way to earn cash!
The capital inflow into Bitcoin $BTC continues to decline, even as prices rise, forming lower highs. This type of bearish divergence is similar to what we observed in 2021-2022, which later transitioned into a macro downtrend.
Binance founder CZ stated that too much money has been spent chasing small, quick gains in cryptocurrency. "Focus on ethical teams that build for the long term. Large amounts of capital are accumulated slowly with endurance." $BTC
$ETH Trading Suggestions - Conservative Strategy: It is advised to wait and observe, waiting for the price to break through the resistance level of 3130 USDT to further confirm the bullish trend. If the price subsequently breaks through this resistance level, consider buying appropriately during price pullbacks, with a take-profit price set at 3200 USDT (looking at previous highs after the breakout); simultaneously, set a stop-loss price at 2950 USDT (risk control level, exit unconditionally if it falls below), to manage risks.
- Aggressive Strategy: You can buy with a small position (10% of total) based on positive buying signals within the 4-hour cycle. Set the take-profit price at 3110 USDT (recent resistance level), and if the price fails to break through this resistance level, you can take profits in time; set the stop-loss price at 2990 USDT (close to the low point on December 5, 2025, to control short-term risks).
$ETH Support Factor Analysis 1. On-chain and futures data support: According to on-chain data, Cryptoquant shows that the Binance ETH Taker buy-sell ratio has risen to 0.998 (the highest since August 2025) from a low of 0.945 after the Fusaka upgrade. In the 4-hour cycle, the change in this data indicates that futures traders viewed the upgrade as a bullish catalyst during this period, actively entering buy orders and providing momentum for price growth.
2. Market signals indicate: The Matrixport weekly report points out that ETH is currently in a 'position vacuum' (historically low), a similar situation in 2025 previously drove prices up by 38%; last week, 35.8% of options trading was bullish, indicating that bulls are gradually positioning themselves. In the 4-hour cycle, these market signals can influence investor decisions and attract more capital inflow, thus providing support for prices.
3. Long-term trend transmission: Since May 2025, ETH has performed strongly, with futures open interest doubling (8 billion → 16 billion), reflecting long-term confidence in the upgrade of ETH's economic structure. This long-term positive trend will be reflected in the 4-hour cycle, making investors more inclined to hold or buy ETH during this period.
$ETH 4-hour cycle market trend analysis: 🧧Market Judgment Within the 4-hour cycle, the probability of ETH rising is 65%. The price has rebounded to 3043 USDT, having moved away from the low of 2992.5, showing a certain upward trend.