小宇说币论

There are no natural masters in the cryptocurrency world, only investors who keep learning and adapting. Investing in cryptocurrency is not only a game of chasing profits, but also a test of human nature, wisdom and patience. If you can handle it, you can enjoy this bull market. Seize opportunities, control risks, and don't let your account lose control. The persimmon market is like life, with ups and downs. You need to face it calmly and stay rational. Don't go all in. The biggest failure often comes from a flawed strategy. Maintaining a good attitude is the key to all success. $BTC $ETH

$BTC $ETH
The morning pancake aunt is as expected going up, steadily making profits following Ayu's rhythm🔥🔥🔥

On the evening of December 2, the cryptocurrency market experienced a rally, which was actually a V-shaped rebound that occurred in the early hours of the same day. The core reason was a technical correction after an oversold condition and the entry of bottom-fishing capital, compounded by the support from some institutional fund layouts. The details are as follows:

Technical rebound after market panic was cleared: On the evening of December 1, Bitcoin once plunged over 8%, and Ethereum fell over 10%. The sharp decline triggered a large number of leveraged long positions to be liquidated, leading to a surge in panic selling. When prices hit low levels, the selling pressure in the market was basically released, and this oversold state naturally triggered a technical correction, pushing prices up.
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Bottom-fishing capital actively entered the market: After Bitcoin fell to a low of 83788 dollars, its price attractiveness became evident, leading bottom-fishing capital to actively enter the market. The buying pressure continued to surge, driving prices to quickly rebound by over 2000 dollars from the lowest point, causing the entire cryptocurrency market to warm up.
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Support from institutional fund layouts: The movements of institutional funds provided support for the rebound. In the last week of November, the U.S. spot Ethereum ETF saw significant net inflows, and institutions like BlackRock took advantage of this price correction to position themselves. This positive signal also drew in some funds, providing support for the cryptocurrency rebound.
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Signals of the Federal Reserve's dovish shift affecting the market: On December 2, the most hawkish Fed governor, Bowman, acknowledged the slowdown in employment and inflation. This statement was interpreted by the market as a sign that the hawkish stance was being influenced by economic realities, which somewhat alleviated the market pressure previously brought about by macro policies and indirectly created a relatively mild emotional environment for the cryptocurrency rebound.

Bitcoin Aunt's Morning Operation Suggestions

After experiencing a wave of upward movement last night, the current trend has already shifted, and after a pullback, you can lay out low positions!!!

Operation Suggestions
$BTC Bitcoin around 90500, target around 92500
$ETH Aunt around 2970, target around 3050

Big Pie Auntie's Morning Trend Prediction

Currently, the four-hour MACD momentum is continuously decreasing, and the candlestick has shown a certain trend towards forming a golden cross. The hourly momentum is continuously strengthening, and Big Pie Auntie is also located above the middle band of the hourly Bollinger Bands. This morning, we focus on a low momentum approach.

Operation Suggestions
$BTC Big Pie around 85800 target around 87200
$ETH Auntie around 2780 target around 2880

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This morning, Ayu suggested a trading layout, and the big pie successfully gained 1000 points, Auntie took 70 points, successfully securing 7000U🔥🔥🔥

The candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair is emerging, potential favorite Hassett says the market is ready

Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council, praised the market's positive reaction to President Trump possibly nominating the next Federal Reserve chair before the end of the year, and this chief economic advisor is seen as the most likely candidate for the position.

Hassett declined to comment on whether he is a front-runner to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Powell during his appearance on CBS's 'Face the Nation' last Sunday, but he referred to related reports from Bloomberg News as 'rumors.' Last week's reports indicated that he is viewed as a leading competitor.

However, he cited the market's positive reaction to Trump's reportedly imminent announcement of a nomination—this subtly addressed concerns that the new chair might have too close a relationship with the president.

Insiders revealed that Trump trusts Hassett and believes he aligns with him in pushing the Federal Reserve for more aggressive rate cuts. Hassett's emphasis on the market reaction effectively countered concerns that his nomination might be interpreted as a threat to the Fed's independence.

Despite Trump's reputation for changing his mind at the last minute, the prospect of Hassett's nomination briefly pushed the 10-year Treasury yield below 4%.

Treasury Secretary Scott Pruitt, who is responsible for the selection process, stated last week that Trump might announce his nominee before the Christmas holiday on December 25. Trump said last Sunday: 'I know who I want to be the Federal Reserve chair, and I will announce it soon.'

As the Federal Reserve begins to slowly cut rates again, Trump's dissatisfaction with Powell is growing, and he has made it clear that he wants a chair who can push for rate cuts more aggressively. Hassett stated that he would accept the position if invited, but analysts warn that he may struggle to unite the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee and could be more susceptible to Trump's pressure.

Whoever Trump chooses, the nomination must be confirmed by the Senate as chair. If an outsider is chosen, they will likely also need to be confirmed as a Federal Reserve governor, serving a 14-year term starting in February next year. Powell's term as chair will end in May next year.

Pancake Aunt's Lunchtime Price Guide

$BTC Pancake around 87000, target around 85000
$ETH Aunt around 2860, target around 2780

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This morning's trading can only be described as a grand slam. A Yu repeatedly reminded the big pancake aunt about the high-level layout, and being reminded means getting on the train each time translates to eating meat each time!!!

There will be a midday analysis released later, everyone pay close attention 🔥🔥🔥

$BTC $ETH
After the downward pin in the morning, the market made a small-scale rebound repair. A Yu promptly reminded to pay attention to key positions and continue to lay out the order book. Isn't this also a steady way to make profits?🔥🔥🔥

$BTC $ETH
Morning pancake aunt's layout is perfectly in place🔥🔥🔥

The starting point of profit is never blind, but rather precise directional judgment + suitable entry point!

$BTC $ETH
In the morning, following Ayu's layout was also a delight, with the big pie taking two thousand points, the auntie one hundred points, successfully cashing out 11000U from 2000U, achieving a 5-fold return🔥🔥🔥

$BTC $ETH
After the morning collective plunge, continuing to position high in the layout is also not a problem. Auntie Da Bing has reached below the target point.

The reason for the collective plunge this morning has been found!!!

The collective plunge of cryptocurrencies this morning is the result of multiple adverse factors such as recent macroeconomic pressures, changes in institutional funds, and regulatory uncertainties continuing to ferment🔥🔥🔥

The uncertainty of Federal Reserve policies continues to exert pressure: Previously, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized that another rate cut in December is far from certain, and Governor Cook echoed this hawkish statement, directly suppressing market expectations for monetary policy easing. Moreover, cryptocurrency prices have always shown a negative correlation with Federal Reserve interest rates, and this ongoing policy uncertainty continues to put pressure on the cryptocurrency market, becoming an important macro inducement for the price plunge.
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Outflow of institutional funds and loss of ETF funds: The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has recently seen a large-scale net outflow, which has eroded the funds available in the market to absorb selling pressure, amplifying price volatility. At the same time, in the past month, long-term holders in the cryptocurrency market have sold over 800,000 bitcoins, and the exit of institutions and long-term investors has further intensified market selling pressure, triggering the price plunge.
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Stalled regulatory processes undermine market confidence: The previously pro-crypto U.S. "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" has become stalled in the Senate Banking Committee due to government shutdown and bipartisan disagreements, and the bill is unlikely to be signed before 2026. The regulatory framework remains unclear for a long time, hindering institutional investors from entering the market, which has eroded market confidence and prompted panic selling by investors.
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Linked with risk assets facing synchronized selling: Currently, the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index and S&P 500 Index has reached 46% and 42%, respectively. Recent escalating trade tensions and issues like the U.S. government shutdown have led to a broad decline in risk assets, and cryptocurrencies have not exhibited safe-haven properties; instead, they have been sold off alongside tech stocks, driving the price further down this morning.

The Big Cake Aunty's Morning Operation Suggestions

Ayu is also slightly late this time, did you catch this downward pin?!

Currently, the daily level has already shown a trend of a death cross formation, and the other short-term cycle candlesticks have also formed death crosses. The MACD at the hourly and four-hour levels is also below the 0 axis and has formed an entity. The subsequent momentum is also significantly strengthened. This morning, we will focus on high momentum.

Operation Suggestions
$BTC Big Cake near 90500 momentum, target near 87300
$ETH Aunty near 2980 momentum, target near 2880

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Yesterday's layout for catching waves in the stock market was also quite on point, this is the charm of short-term trading, right? 🔥🔥🔥

Ah Yu is also monitoring the market in real-time all day, accurately grasping the market. Every signal capture is professional and meticulous, making trading more reassuring!

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The thought process prompted in the early morning has also come out of a certain framework, and those without direction who need reference can pay attention to today's morning analysis

Pancake Aunt's Morning Trend Prediction

In the early morning, A Yu suggested a layout for the big pancake around 92000 and Auntie around 3050. Are there any friends who haven't slept and are ready to get on board!!!

Currently, a death cross has formed on the four-hour K-line, and the MACD momentum is continuously weakening. The hourly MACD momentum is continuously strengthening. This morning, we will focus on the high pancake.

Operation Suggestion
$BTC Pancake around 91500, target around 90000
$ETH Auntie around 3045, target around 3980

Big Pancake Auntie's early morning operation suggestions

$BTC Big Pancake around 92000, target around 89500
$ETH Auntie around 3050, target around 2880

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This evening, the US stock market is closed. A Yu is also based on the hints from the market that the strength of the current trend is clearly insufficient. After the index fell below 3000, the layout of the market has made gains again. The big trend can be synchronized! 🔥🔥🔥

Continue to pay attention to A Yu's evening strategy for market layouts. ⚠⚠⚠